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Politics

Which is more important now: political reform or the economy?

264 replies

FrakkinTheReturningOfficer · 08/05/2010 16:18

Political reform is going to be bad for the economy, in the short term at least.

Sorting out the economy probably means putting political reform on hold.

Which would you choose?

OP posts:
FrakkinTheReturningOfficer · 09/05/2010 09:51

TDiddy - how much money do you need to have to play invest?

I am completely clueless but probably should learn a little more about trading currency!

OP posts:
TDiddy · 09/05/2010 09:47

Coolfonz, I sold the September FTSE future and then bought it back; in the jargon, I went short.

TDiddy · 09/05/2010 09:46

see here but be careful to know how much money you are betting investing.

You can set limit/orders so that you can auto-pilot. YOu need to do these carefully especially in volatile markets. happy to talk anyone through just be careful not to invest more than you can bear to lose!

Coolfonz · 09/05/2010 09:41

Shorting the FTSE with an ETP?

FrakkinTheReturningOfficer · 09/05/2010 09:40

?????

I need to learn how to do this before Monday! We won't have any answers before Tuesday at the earliest so maybe I can make some cash...

Don't think my class would appreciate me interrupting a lesson to cash in though.

OP posts:
TDiddy · 09/05/2010 09:38

Nothing fancy, sold GBP and Eurs against USD.

I also shorted FTSE but closed my position out too quickly.

Coolfonz · 09/05/2010 09:35

What were you betting on Tdidders?

TDiddy · 09/05/2010 09:33

FrakkinTheReturningOffice - agreed that spending the books need to be balanced. The question is about timing.

Also, we shouldn't be forced into a ConLib coalition just to fix short term market turbulence. Many of the commentators talking about market turbulence are "spivving and speculating* and making money from the turbulence...I admit that I made a few thousand in the last week or so ...just messing around.

FrakkinTheReturningOfficer · 09/05/2010 09:22

No bankers in this household. 1 FT employee of the state, 1 PT (PT private sector) - admittedly the French state currently but even if we were back in tge UK and I wish we were I'd be just as concerned about the economy. Possibly even more so because at some point we will have to make cuts and when we do they'll be big, which puts our jobs at risk and reduces the amount of cash we have available to do our jobs.

If the country itself has no money we don't get paid! We have to stop borrowing, cut the deficit and increase GDP. Public sector workers are just as affected by this as the next person.

OP posts:
TDiddy · 09/05/2010 09:04

FrakkinTheReturningOffice - the people who shout loud about market turbulence are the vocal minority who have much to lose. Who is there to shout loud about the stake that the silent majority have in public services and jobs?

TDiddy · 09/05/2010 09:01

A Govt (president) should be able to walk and chew gum...wise words from Dubya Bush

FrakkinTheReturningOfficer · 09/05/2010 08:31

FOP one can multitasking but

  1. political reform creates instability that the markets don't like
  2. if one side offers you PR and the other offers a concrete plan for the economy who do you choose
  3. what is the first policy you debate when you get into parliament

I find it interesting how many people here have said that political reform should have a higher consideration than the economy because my natural inclination would be to pass a lot of unpopular (with the voters) policy designed to sort out the economic situation under a coalition than start tinkering with the political system.

TBH if people (politicians) can be grown up about this I'll be more inclined to think PR is a viable possibility but if they can't sort it out do we have to go through this every 5 years? PR is far more likely to result in the kind of consensus politics we need politicians to start using now. Are we ready for that?

OP posts:
LeninGrad · 09/05/2010 08:10

This reply has been deleted

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

FiveOrangePips · 09/05/2010 02:11

What is more important/ for whom is it more important?

Surely political reform can happen, as well as trying to sort out the economy ? Can no-one multi-task whilst governing a country?

TDiddy · 09/05/2010 01:18

you shudda have a coalition with the group that came first

Heathcliffscathy · 09/05/2010 01:14

quiz.

we came third.

and was robbed.

bit like the libdems.

TDiddy · 09/05/2010 01:12

So where did you go then Sophable. Was wundering about your silence

expatinscotland · 09/05/2010 00:09

'Poor Dave Cameron he deserved a run as PM but I have to observe dispassionately that he runs a serious risk of ending up in the scrap heap.'

We live in hope . . .

Heathcliffscathy · 08/05/2010 23:48

you see, i went out and I missed this.

this is my favourite mn thread of the week.

as you were.

TDiddy · 08/05/2010 23:44

edam - i think that is weak. The Govt (tax payer) bought at the bottom of the market and will make a killing. The Govt srewed the shareholders in favour of the taxpayer. Rare and brilliant. Maybe GB's legacy will be stronegr than his premiership. Even his exit is now looking better than we might have thought.

A day after the general election the Tories are looking spent and without momentum. The likes of Mandelson will play one more stroke before they exit : PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION!!

Poor Dave Cameron he deserved a run as PM but I have to observe dispassionately that he runs a serious risk of ending up in the scrap heap.

edam · 08/05/2010 23:27

Thanks Claig, will have a hunt around for that.

The whole 'bailing out the banks was good value for the taxpayer' thing kind of ignores the fact that we were held to ransom. It's like a mugger leaving you with multiple injuries but years later paying back the money he nicked and pretending that's all right then.

When Rover failed, all the workers lost their jobs - no matter how talented or bright they were. Same deal with the Corus plant. And with every other industry - except the City. Didn't even pause for breath before they started using that old slogan about 'because we are so special' again, did it?

TDiddy · 08/05/2010 21:21

policywonk - Murdoch's newspapers werent going to give Brown any credit just before the election and maybe Brown was staying clear of appearing to be on the side of the bankers.

Advantage of 75pc natinalisation as opposed to 100pc is that 25pc is in actively traded liquid market so the Govt can value their 75pc stake. Otherwise, a buyer might try to screw taxpare and pick it up at a loss to taxpaers.

Next Govt will do well to keep their stakes in Lloyds and RBS for a couple of years. It will be a bumper profit. After all the govt controls the entire market structure: solvency riles, competition, etc. Even base rates can be influenced by Govt. So the only sceneario is bumper profit for taxpayer. We might miss GB and Alistair Darling when the Sovereign crisis crystallise! Let's see.

claig · 08/05/2010 20:13

edam, you probably know the Italian partisan song "Bella Ciao". I heard a beautiful version in Spanish on a documentary about the Spanish Civil War. If you haven't heard it, it is well worth finding

jackstarbright · 08/05/2010 20:11

But it might be the LibLab thing the Market didn't like - maybe a strong labour win would have been ok.

EdgarAllenPoll · 08/05/2010 20:11

Our finest minds still go into the City, due to the astronomical salaries, whilst our other industries are neglected."

i think this begs questions about how (particularly sciences) are taught in schools, and viewed by the uk public. i would also argue that the UK is full of talent in many other areas outside banking, and in a way, you view banking as where the ;best' go, bcauseit is where the hghestsalaries are (if a brilliant woman becomes a midwife, that's great, but no-one is ever going to recognise her as the 'best and brightest' are they?)

Actually the one guy i know in proper trade banking enjoys it because he likes doing sums. it's all about numbers, and manipulating them...and that's his idea of fun.

i also work in commercial banking, and our branch makes a pre-tax profit of £52 mill a year - of which the taxman gets a sizeable chunk, not to mention the fact it keeps about 300 people in jobs at the moment. a reasonable proportion of our clients are overseas, so it also brings in foreign cash.

finance is no more or less stable than any other business sector....so what is wrong with th UK exporting Financial services? I tell you one thing: we're good at it.