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What do with think will be in Labour’s budget?

574 replies

tenpairsofshoes · 12/10/2026 19:04

They don’t seem to be giving much away but any indication that they might help kickstart the economy or are we just going to get £2 bus fares, £45 off our elec bill a year and petrol prices on google map? None of Labour polices seem to help anyone that is really struggling but isn’t in receipt of UC! I’m speaking as a single mother who is trying to sell a property to move on with my life but can’t. Yes I know I’ve very fortunate to have bricks and mortar but that doesn’t mean I’m loaded (because the property isn’t worth much)! I feel like everyone is expecting the chancellor pull a rabbit out of a hat but I think we’ll all be very disappointed/pissed off!

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Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 17:43

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 17:41

It doesn’t unlock anything that someone on a full state pension doesn’t get. Everyone gets a bus pass, free prescriptions, etc. They may get housing benefit but most pensioners don’t have housing costs anyway as they own their homes outright.

So it DOES unlock additional benefit of housing benefits. Currently 1.5 million pensioners are renting and it's forecast that a third of pensioners will be renting in around 15 years' time. So it's a very significant number of people.

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 17:41

NorthXNorthWest · 22/10/2026 17:13

The irony is that someone pension tax credit can be significantly better off due the other benefits it can unlock.

It doesn’t unlock anything that someone on a full state pension doesn’t get. Everyone gets a bus pass, free prescriptions, etc. They may get housing benefit but most pensioners don’t have housing costs anyway as they own their homes outright.

Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 17:40

NorthXNorthWest · 22/10/2026 17:13

The irony is that someone pension tax credit can be significantly better off due the other benefits it can unlock.

That's exactly the kind of thing that need reform as it is driving detrimental behaviour patterns.

NorthXNorthWest · 22/10/2026 17:13

Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 17:03

NIC has morphed into just another tax when the additional earnings linking was introduced. Originally it was a fixed sum regardless of income. Then it morphed into a tax when it became income related - when you pay more but get no additional benefit for paying more - i.e. a tax.

There are also loads of people who've barely paid any NIC but still qualify for state pension, i.e. low earners, unemployed & other benefits, etc.

It's why I keep saying we need to scrap NIC and raise income tax instead.

The irony is that someone pension tax credit can be significantly better off due the other benefits it can unlock.

Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 17:03

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 16:21

@Badbadbunny

Entitlement to state pension is based on the number of qualifying years a person has paid NIC. Currently, to receive the maximum state pension 35 years of contributions are required.

I had made 35 years of contribution by time I was 56. My retirement age is 67. So, for 11 years I will pay NIC, but my state pension will be the same as if I had not. As per last year’s P60, I paid £5560 in NIC.

The reason pensioners don’t pay NIC is that they are drawing a pension paid for by NIC when they were working.

Regards savings and ISAs, those who have worked all their lives will likely have more than younger people who have not yet worked all their lives. It’s called saving.

NIC has morphed into just another tax when the additional earnings linking was introduced. Originally it was a fixed sum regardless of income. Then it morphed into a tax when it became income related - when you pay more but get no additional benefit for paying more - i.e. a tax.

There are also loads of people who've barely paid any NIC but still qualify for state pension, i.e. low earners, unemployed & other benefits, etc.

It's why I keep saying we need to scrap NIC and raise income tax instead.

Electra10E · 22/10/2026 17:01

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 16:42

It was pastiche.

Uh huh.

Take a break, go for a run or a long walk - it will do you the world of good.

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 16:42

Electra10E · 22/10/2026 16:14

Break out the hard data.

It was pastiche.

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 16:21

@Badbadbunny

Entitlement to state pension is based on the number of qualifying years a person has paid NIC. Currently, to receive the maximum state pension 35 years of contributions are required.

I had made 35 years of contribution by time I was 56. My retirement age is 67. So, for 11 years I will pay NIC, but my state pension will be the same as if I had not. As per last year’s P60, I paid £5560 in NIC.

The reason pensioners don’t pay NIC is that they are drawing a pension paid for by NIC when they were working.

Regards savings and ISAs, those who have worked all their lives will likely have more than younger people who have not yet worked all their lives. It’s called saving.

Electra10E · 22/10/2026 16:14

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 14:56

Really? All of them? What about all those millionaire pensioners on gold plated pensions? They’re paying more than a lot of people in work.

Break out the hard data.

EasternStandard · 22/10/2026 16:08

Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 15:01

Many will be paying far less in tax than what they take in benefits and cost of public services used. A far higher proportion than workers who are actually contributing more, not in terms solely of tax/benefits, but also actually making things or doing things that generate wealth.

It’s really not a high number in any case. Economically inactive are high majority no or low tax payers. Even with that minority of early retirees, they’re a minority in high tax group anyway.

NorthXNorthWest · 22/10/2026 15:33

RedTagAlan · 22/10/2026 13:19

Quote

" No country has it all. But of those similar to us I like elements of:

Denmark
Switzerland
Netherlands
Sweden
Norway"

I answered a post with some data last week. Looking for the data again, here are countries ranked in terms of overall tax burden. The UK is 27th. All those countries apart from Switzerland are above the UK. They have a higher overall tax.

Top 10, 20 & 50 Highest Taxed Countries in the World (2026) — TaxAtlas

And here is public social spending as a % of GDP. Denmark, Sweden and Norway are above the UK. The Netherlands and Switzerland below.

Public social spending as share of GDP (ourworldindata.org)

So it looks like Switzerland is your optimum.

I explicitly wrote: No country has it all. But of those similar to us I like elements of:

Pretty sure it would be difficult to interpret that as I would like to replicate x country wholesale.

UK is 27th

Tells us where we rank not now well taxes are spent, whether we get good value or what they do to productivity or growth.

So it looks like Switzerland is your optimum.

No. The optimum would be be policies which create the conditions Beveridge described:

The State in organising security should not stifle incentive, opportunity, responsibility; in establishing a national minimum, it should leave room and encouragement for voluntary action by each individual to provide more than that minimum for himself and his family.

William Beveridge

That is not the same as letting large corporates and billionaires run amok.

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 15:29

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:23

@TemperanceWest

Who is attacking pensioners? Not me.

My post was not directed at any specific poster, but a general question. Pensioners seem to be blamed for a lot.

Do those that do the blaming not realise they will be pensioners too one day?

Apparently not. You can bet your bottom dollar they’ll change their tune when they are.

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:23

@TemperanceWest

Who is attacking pensioners? Not me.

My post was not directed at any specific poster, but a general question. Pensioners seem to be blamed for a lot.

Do those that do the blaming not realise they will be pensioners too one day?

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 15:21

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:13

Why are pensioners attacked so often? If people have paid into a private pension scheme and sufficient national insurance contributions, why are they not entitled to receive an income?

Regards millionaire pensioners, it’s estimated that 22% of pensioner are from households whose assets exceed £1 million. Assets of course includes property.

My post was ironic. Pensioners are the most attacked group on MN.

Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 15:19

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:13

Why are pensioners attacked so often? If people have paid into a private pension scheme and sufficient national insurance contributions, why are they not entitled to receive an income?

Regards millionaire pensioners, it’s estimated that 22% of pensioner are from households whose assets exceed £1 million. Assets of course includes property.

It's not "attacking" pensioners. With tax, it's about fairness and parity. Pensioners are paying less in tax on the same incomes as workers due to being NIC exempt, and yes, NIC is just another tax.

It's also typically pensioners who can make use of the additional personal savings allowance giving them an extra £5k exemption for bank interest received - pensioners are more likely to benefit from this because they're more likely to have substantial savings. Likewise it's pensioners who are more likely to have hundreds of thousands invested in ISAs than younger workers.

Where are the "special" tax reliefs for workers - you know, the people we need to encourage to work more, produce more, earn more, etc?

It's also not "attacking" pensioners to query why millionaire pensioners don't have their benefits means tested, i.e. not just state pension, but disability pensions, carers allowance, free prescriptions, free bus passes, etc - they are in a better position to pay and not draw benefits than the majority of younger workers.

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:19

@TemperanceWest

It includes people who are accessing their private pension but are not yet at state pension age. It is people who are NOT seeking work btw.

Okay, that might explain Andrew Niels figure of 6.7 million economic inactive figure he gave on BBC QT 24 September 2026.

EasternStandard · 22/10/2026 15:16

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:08

@TemperanceWest

The ONS figure of 9 million economic inactive people does not include pensioners, but those who are not in employment and have been seeking work.

There’s a breakdown anyway. 80 to 85% are little to no tax group.

Only a small proportion of early retirees pay high tax in any case.

TemperanceWest · 22/10/2026 15:16

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:13

Why are pensioners attacked so often? If people have paid into a private pension scheme and sufficient national insurance contributions, why are they not entitled to receive an income?

Regards millionaire pensioners, it’s estimated that 22% of pensioner are from households whose assets exceed £1 million. Assets of course includes property.

Who is attacking pensioners? Not me.

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:13

Why are pensioners attacked so often? If people have paid into a private pension scheme and sufficient national insurance contributions, why are they not entitled to receive an income?

Regards millionaire pensioners, it’s estimated that 22% of pensioner are from households whose assets exceed £1 million. Assets of course includes property.

TemperanceWest · 22/10/2026 15:10

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:08

@TemperanceWest

The ONS figure of 9 million economic inactive people does not include pensioners, but those who are not in employment and have been seeking work.

It includes people who are accessing their private pension but are not yet at state pension age. It is people who are NOT seeking work btw.

Economic inactivity

"People not in employment who have not been seeking work within the last 4 weeks and/or are unable to start work within the next 2 weeks"

TemperanceWest · 22/10/2026 15:09

Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 15:01

Many will be paying far less in tax than what they take in benefits and cost of public services used. A far higher proportion than workers who are actually contributing more, not in terms solely of tax/benefits, but also actually making things or doing things that generate wealth.

They may be contributing in other ways, providing child care so parents can go out to work, they may be unpaid carers to friends or family, saving the state money, volunteering etc.

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 15:08

@TemperanceWest

The ONS figure of 9 million economic inactive people does not include pensioners, but those who are not in employment and have been seeking work.

EasternStandard · 22/10/2026 15:05

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 14:59

https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/economicinactivity

If they are not in employment, what taxes are they paying?

The tax payers are a low amount anyway.

According to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), approximately 9.12 million people aged 16 to 64 in the UK are currently economically inactive. 1]

A breakdown of this population reveals why the proportion paying substantial tax is so low:
The "Little-to-No Tax" Group (~80%–85%)

Economic inactivity - Office for National Statistics

People not in employment who have not been seeking work within the last 4 weeks and/or are unable to start work within the next 2 weeks.

https://www.google.com/goto?url=CAESiwEB6zswFUgZUvmMNT0Wk1AMFuZOI8XSQ0H_jQOJfPNFv_0hbmpXwjvxVcxu4j0rCjxyaW8YLmxbbVQQSrBSuc_XFkY16_lvz8aQLoC4FCy-QxWIFiX4d9CHe6wlvmwcTUYHLzBNX8wp698uQPLkZ06AjTQlhJagZXagvzJAXOldTYcCPs3sfH4gnPhg

TemperanceWest · 22/10/2026 15:04

EEexpat · 22/10/2026 14:59

https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/economicinactivity

If they are not in employment, what taxes are they paying?

Some may have a private pension they are paying income tax on. Some benefits are taxable too. Interest on savings is taxable if not in an ISA.

Badbadbunny · 22/10/2026 15:02

BIossomtoes · 22/10/2026 14:56

Really? All of them? What about all those millionaire pensioners on gold plated pensions? They’re paying more than a lot of people in work.

A tiny proportion and if their income is from pensions, they're paying less tax than workers on the same income because they're not paying NIC!