Page 3 | Farage receives second £36m donation in two days for Reform

EasternStandard · 15/09/2026 19:21

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:18

Does to me. I'd far, far rather Kemi as PM than Farage.

But it is still funny. He'll be switching to Plaid next, like the Refirm Senedd member. Or Green perhaps.

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I like Kemi so no issues here. But no they won’t clearly given the parties you mention.

EEexpat · 15/09/2026 19:19

@MelissaLovedMantari

I have kept a copy of that seat projection. I will compare it to the actual after the next general election.

Based on those numbers, a coalition of Labour and the Liberal Democrat’s would be 325 seats. One short of 326. So, who else would be in the coalition?

12345change · 15/09/2026 19:18

Why a rise in tactical voting could keep out Reform at the next election | The Independent

Well this has cheered me up today!

Why a rise in tactical voting could keep out Reform at the next election

https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/reform-tactical-voting-poll-labour-b3050353.html

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:18

EasternStandard · 15/09/2026 19:15

They’ve been pretty clear they’re ABL so it doesn’t really matter.

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Does to me. I'd far, far rather Kemi as PM than Farage.

But it is still funny. He'll be switching to Plaid next, like the Refirm Senedd member. Or Green perhaps.

Efacsen · 15/09/2026 19:17

EEexpat · 15/09/2026 19:08

@concertinacornflake

Yes, I think it's a big decision for the Conservatives as to whether they would or wouldn't join a coalition.

If it gets them into power, they won’t hesitate. Look at the last. Theresa May palled up with the DUP in 2017. David Cameron teamed up with Nick Clegg in 2010.

@Efacsen

Poll percentages are not correlated to seats. The 2024 general election was a good example.

Labour received fewer votes in 2024 compared to 2019 which was considered to be their worst result in 84 years. However, they more than doubled their seats from 203 to 412.

There are cleverer people than me who have worked out the metrics for both right and left-wing coalitions - and currently the balance is significantly in favour of a left-wing coalition

But you 'don't believe in' political polling as you have shown over and over again on this thread - I'm inclined to believe that you don't actually understand it either so it's a bit of a waste of time trying to explain it to you

Also the incumbent party [Labour] would automatically get the first opportunity to form a coalition - which further advantages a left-wing coalition

EasternStandard · 15/09/2026 19:15

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:13

Our lovely greyrock has turned from predicting a Reform win to a Tory one so fast I am surprised his head hasn't fallen off ;

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They’ve been pretty clear they’re ABL so it doesn’t really matter.

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:13

EasternStandard · 15/09/2026 19:07

Elevated to GIFs well done op you’re making people progress ;

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Our lovely greyrock has turned from predicting a Reform win to a Tory one so fast I am surprised his head hasn't fallen off ;

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:10

EEexpat · 15/09/2026 19:08

@concertinacornflake

Yes, I think it's a big decision for the Conservatives as to whether they would or wouldn't join a coalition.

If it gets them into power, they won’t hesitate. Look at the last. Theresa May palled up with the DUP in 2017. David Cameron teamed up with Nick Clegg in 2010.

@Efacsen

Poll percentages are not correlated to seats. The 2024 general election was a good example.

Labour received fewer votes in 2024 compared to 2019 which was considered to be their worst result in 84 years. However, they more than doubled their seats from 203 to 412.

Here is a seat projection for you.

Farage receives second £36m donation in two days for Reform

EEexpat · 15/09/2026 19:08

@concertinacornflake

Yes, I think it's a big decision for the Conservatives as to whether they would or wouldn't join a coalition.

If it gets them into power, they won’t hesitate. Look at the last. Theresa May palled up with the DUP in 2017. David Cameron teamed up with Nick Clegg in 2010.

@Efacsen

Poll percentages are not correlated to seats. The 2024 general election was a good example.

Labour received fewer votes in 2024 compared to 2019 which was considered to be their worst result in 84 years. However, they more than doubled their seats from 203 to 412.

EasternStandard · 15/09/2026 19:07

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:03

So you no longer think Reform will win. Jumping ship, eh!

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Elevated to GIFs well done op you’re making people progress ;

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:04

concertinacornflake · 15/09/2026 18:46

Yes, I think it's a big decision for the Conservatives as to whether they would or wouldn't join a coalition.

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But Kemi has already said no. And on current polling a Ref-Con coalition would still not have a majority.

MelissaLovedMantari · 15/09/2026 19:03

Greyrock79 · 15/09/2026 18:01

I am not sure that some of these posts will age well, when the Tories sneak in during the next GE.

Such is the obsession with Reform.

Oh, but the thread is about Reform - well, that hasn’t stopped a number of you going off-piste.

So you no longer think Reform will win. Jumping ship, eh!

concertinacornflake · 15/09/2026 18:59

ShitHoleDweller · 15/09/2026 18:50

I’d pick Farage over Zac any day of the week.

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As would all the other right leaning voters presumably .

It's a left wing policy from a left wing party.

They're not trying to appeal to you.

Warmlight1 · 15/09/2026 18:59

ShitHoleDweller · 15/09/2026 18:38

You’re going to have to write that again as I don’t have a scooby what you’re alluding to 😬

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Well for me to write it again I'd have to believe you.

I think the mass assault of a woman in public followed by a ringing endorsement from the leadership is a difficult thing for some people to acknowledge. So they don't talk about it.
Fair play even Nick Ferrari came out. And he's not your typical.lefty.

BIossomtoes · 15/09/2026 18:58

Efacsen · 15/09/2026 18:49

And how long before the notoriously techy thin-skinned Farage fell out with his coalition partner?

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About a week is my guess.

ShitHoleDweller · 15/09/2026 18:50

concertinacornflake · 15/09/2026 18:39

Think the Green policy is to 'phase out' private housing through regulation and taxation with a corresponding increase in social housing.

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I’d pick Farage over Zac any day of the week.

Efacsen · 15/09/2026 18:49

concertinacornflake · 15/09/2026 18:46

Yes, I think it's a big decision for the Conservatives as to whether they would or wouldn't join a coalition.

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And how long before the notoriously techy thin-skinned Farage fell out with his coalition partner?

Efacsen · 15/09/2026 18:47

EEexpat · 15/09/2026 18:44

@concertinacornflake

Can Reform ever win a majority?

In terms of seats, I would say no. However, if there is a hung parliament in the next general election, they might get in by a coalition.

But a left-wing coalition would be bigger

You'd know that if you 'believed in' polling

concertinacornflake · 15/09/2026 18:46

EEexpat · 15/09/2026 18:44

@concertinacornflake

Can Reform ever win a majority?

In terms of seats, I would say no. However, if there is a hung parliament in the next general election, they might get in by a coalition.

Yes, I think it's a big decision for the Conservatives as to whether they would or wouldn't join a coalition.

EEexpat · 15/09/2026 18:44

@concertinacornflake

Can Reform ever win a majority?

In terms of seats, I would say no. However, if there is a hung parliament in the next general election, they might get in by a coalition.

Efacsen · 15/09/2026 18:43

Greyrock79 · 15/09/2026 18:40

You assume that the Northern Messiah will exceed Starmer’s tenure.

Burnham is a perfectly unserious PM for the deeply unserious country the UK has become. Light weight and desperate to be liked. At least Starmer made a cursory effort to challenge the country’s fiscal delusions before disappearing up himself.

I hope the idea that you should prioritise welfare spending over defence will be repeated in every election poster and speech. 14 years Labour waited to return to power and this is the best they can do.

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Okay - keep your hair on - we know you don't like Burnham

Better Burnham than the 'liar' and 'racist' Farage any day

concertinacornflake · 15/09/2026 18:43

I hope the idea that you should prioritise welfare spending over defence will be repeated in every election poster and speech. I totally understand why this is being spun this way, Badenoch has a job to do, but it was not welfare but 'social security' by which he meant if you make people homeless it further negatively impacts social stability.

Original poster

Greyrock79 · 15/09/2026 18:40

Efacsen · 15/09/2026 18:35

Agree - nothing is certain

The other interesting metric is a right wing coalition vs a left wing coalition which currently significantly favours a left wing coalition - in addition to the incumbent party having the first shot at forming a coalition

But we will see - GE still a long way away

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You assume that the Northern Messiah will exceed Starmer’s tenure.

Burnham is a perfectly unserious PM for the deeply unserious country the UK has become. Light weight and desperate to be liked. At least Starmer made a cursory effort to challenge the country’s fiscal delusions before disappearing up himself.

I hope the idea that you should prioritise welfare spending over defence will be repeated in every election poster and speech. 14 years Labour waited to return to power and this is the best they can do.

OP posts:

concertinacornflake · 15/09/2026 18:39

Warmlight1 · 15/09/2026 18:32

So in your definition, ordinary working people are not allowed to rent out any property?!

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Think the Green policy is to 'phase out' private housing through regulation and taxation with a corresponding increase in social housing.

ShitHoleDweller · 15/09/2026 18:38

Warmlight1 · 15/09/2026 18:37

Really? There's a good deal.of harmony though isn't there. When that woman was assaulted all the elected leaders had exactly the same spontaneous thought.

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You’re going to have to write that again as I don’t have a scooby what you’re alluding to 😬