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Politics

This migrant problem is going to let Reform in isn’t it?

916 replies

EvangelicalAboutButteredToast · 24/07/2025 12:33

Honestly it’s such a bloody nightmare. Reform are making a total hash of local government from what I’ve read, putting teenagers in charge of whole departments with no relevant experience. What are they going to do if they are elected to run a country!!!! I’m honestly terrified. Labour need to be seen to be actively doing something to quell the far-right momentum that’s gaining traction from ordinary folk. I’m amazed at the average, usually pretty sensible people around me who are now telling me they are going to vote Reform.

there was an interview I saw yesterday where the minister said that thousands of people were being deported regularly. The interviewer asked why there were no videos of this and she said there could be. Well let’s see it! It would absolutely help.

OP posts:
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strawberrybubblegum · 25/07/2025 14:52

TopPocketFind · 25/07/2025 13:34

clamping down on the black market, maximum fines for businesses employing people illegally etc that would very quickly get our numbers back down.

I don't think anyone has a problem with that.

More effective than protesting outside a hotel housing asylum seekers.

But not something individuals can do.

Until the government start listening and act on people's concerns, civil unrest will increase.

EasternStandard · 25/07/2025 14:28

If people want to reduce costs then voluntary movement is pretty much free to tax payer, and doesn’t involve tear gas at migrants eg French coast. People just leave and pay for that themselves.

EasternStandard · 25/07/2025 14:27

The chart on that link shows the projection at IPOs

This migrant problem is going to let Reform in isn’t it?
Bluebellwood129 · 25/07/2025 13:42

Have Labour done a good job so far? Maybe in some areas, but it's not like we ever hear about them because good news doesn't interest many people. Have they made a hash of some bits? Yes, but governing a country is really hard and I'm inclined to believe that it's not for lack of effort or good intentions.

It's due to sheer incompetence.

EasternStandard · 25/07/2025 13:41

strawberrybubblegum · 25/07/2025 13:27

I think that it would definitely have discouraged people, yes. I remember when the policy was being bounced around, I watched a journalist interviewing a potential immigrant on a French beach who was very knowledgeable about what was going on. The immigrant said that he didn't believe Rwands would go ahead, so it wasn't putting him off.

Potential asylum seekers are absolutely making rational, economic choices. The Left are hugely underestimating them - part of the weird racism the Left often display, where they see non-Westerners as Noble Savages for them to rescue.

If we implemented some of the suggestions by a pp above such as clamping down on the black market, maximum fines for businesses employing people illegally etc that would very quickly get our numbers back down.

I agree people make rational decisions and Rwanda would have made people decide differently, or more likely move on to ROI when here. That was happening already, not at a cost to the taxpayer, unlike pretty much all other stuff related to asylum which is very costly.

The illegal thing is just part of it, the asylum grant rate is quite high here so over half will know that they will be granted a yes eventually.

Bluebellwood129 · 25/07/2025 13:39

Kaaardiffgalnow · 24/07/2025 18:13

Next year's Senedd elections will be a good indicator. Reform will give Welsh Labour quite a hiding, although aren't likely to take power.

Getting Labour out in Wales will significantly weaken Starmer's position and will be another step to getting rid of him, with relentless public pressure.

TopPocketFind · 25/07/2025 13:34

strawberrybubblegum · 25/07/2025 13:27

I think that it would definitely have discouraged people, yes. I remember when the policy was being bounced around, I watched a journalist interviewing a potential immigrant on a French beach who was very knowledgeable about what was going on. The immigrant said that he didn't believe Rwands would go ahead, so it wasn't putting him off.

Potential asylum seekers are absolutely making rational, economic choices. The Left are hugely underestimating them - part of the weird racism the Left often display, where they see non-Westerners as Noble Savages for them to rescue.

If we implemented some of the suggestions by a pp above such as clamping down on the black market, maximum fines for businesses employing people illegally etc that would very quickly get our numbers back down.

clamping down on the black market, maximum fines for businesses employing people illegally etc that would very quickly get our numbers back down.

I don't think anyone has a problem with that.

More effective than protesting outside a hotel housing asylum seekers.

EmpressoftheMundane · 25/07/2025 13:27

The Left can tackle immigration effectively. It’s just that controlling migration requires saying no, and being mean to migrants. This is true whether you are coming from the left or the right.

Denmark has been cery tough from the left. From a recent economist article:

For a place with a cuddly reputation, Denmark has been cruel to its migrants. Authorities in 2015 threatened to seize asylum-seekers’ assets, including family jewels, to help pay for their support. Benefits were cut, as was the prospect of recent arrivals bringing in family members. Being granted permanent residency, let alone Danish nationality, takes longer than almost anywhere else. And it is far from guaranteed: those offered refuge are afforded protection only as long as conflict in their home country rages, their status reviewed every year in some cases. Somalis and Syrians once settled in Denmark are among those who have been asked to head back to a “home” their children have never known.

https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/07/10/denmarks-left-defied-the-consensus-on-migration-has-it-worked

Illustration of Mette Frederiksen standing behind a giant lego wall in that migrants are standing on the other side of

Denmark’s left defied the consensus on migration. Has it worked?

Building walls, one brick at a time

https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/07/10/denmarks-left-defied-the-consensus-on-migration-has-it-worked

strawberrybubblegum · 25/07/2025 13:27

TopPocketFind · 25/07/2025 11:33

Do you really think 20,000 people would have been discouraged because the UK planned to send 300 people to Rwanda?

Safe and legal routes would discourage people risking their lives in a small boat.

For the majority of refugees, the only way to claim asylum is being on British soil. The Rwanda plan would not have changed that.

I think that it would definitely have discouraged people, yes. I remember when the policy was being bounced around, I watched a journalist interviewing a potential immigrant on a French beach who was very knowledgeable about what was going on. The immigrant said that he didn't believe Rwands would go ahead, so it wasn't putting him off.

Potential asylum seekers are absolutely making rational, economic choices. The Left are hugely underestimating them - part of the weird racism the Left often display, where they see non-Westerners as Noble Savages for them to rescue.

If we implemented some of the suggestions by a pp above such as clamping down on the black market, maximum fines for businesses employing people illegally etc that would very quickly get our numbers back down.

Nchangeo · 25/07/2025 13:18

I think everyone is over complicating this as usual.

If a woman posts on mumsnet saying she wants another kid, has 5 kids already and can’t afford to meet their needs. Most posters say well you have to think of your current children. You have to stop until your in a better position. It’s exactly the same. Just macro rather than micro.

The solution is quite simple and combines everyone’s ideas.

Safe and legal routes only.

You arrive in this country illegally then you are being deported somewhere else; and will never be eligible for citizenship. Where is a question, but plenty of countries manage to do this. No idea why we can’t.

Families primarily eligible for legal routes under asylum; a family must include women and children. Single males are foot loose and can go anywhere in the world. Unless you are a net contributor. Then you may apply as a single male. There is a cap.

Yes harsh to single males. I have a son. It’s sad for them. But men are statistically a risk. They might have family and friends here. So they can come on holiday. Sure they want to live here for xyz. Well likewise. There’s plenty of countries I would love to live in but can’t. Such is life. Life’s not fair.

Yes these safe routes and deportation routes take time to organise. Doesn’t matter. They can announce from tomorrow anyone entering illegally will no longer be eligible and will simply be risking their lives for no reason. They will be held until deported. Please await the new system.

That’s it. Simple as that.

EasternStandard · 25/07/2025 12:39

strawberrybubblegum · 25/07/2025 11:24

That's 20% of what we're currently spending on asylum seekers every year.

If it had discouraged just 20,000 asylum seekers it would have paid for itself. That's how much asylum seekers cost us.

It was effective in voluntary movement to ROI, that wasn’t even paid for by the tax payer.

Instead we have tear gas on French beaches, overwhelmed police there dealing with fearful migrants plus protests, plus high costs.

Xenia · 25/07/2025 12:33

£2m inheritance tax free band (mine is currently only £325k and the state takes 405 of all for which I have worked if I die) is very tempting - the Reform proposed limit. USA has an allowance of $15m tax free for single people and has for years and China and Sweden have no IHT. However I do not want the Tory vote split so it is going to have to be very tactical indeed come 2029 otherwise Labout will just get in again.

Only 10% of estates come within IHT so it is not likely to be relevant for most voters. VAT threshold to rise however and other points might https://www.tax.org.uk/general-election-2024-reform-uk-propose-big-cuts-in-income-inheritance-and-corporation-taxes

General Election 2024: Reform UK propose big cuts in income, inheritance and corporation taxes | Chartered Institute of Taxation

Reform UK have published a manifesto proposing £90 billion of tax cuts including raising the inheritance tax threshold to £2 million, reducing corporation tax to 15%, lifting the income tax personal allowance to £20,000 and the higher rate threshold to...

https://www.tax.org.uk/general-election-2024-reform-uk-propose-big-cuts-in-income-inheritance-and-corporation-taxes

TopPocketFind · 25/07/2025 11:33

strawberrybubblegum · 25/07/2025 11:24

That's 20% of what we're currently spending on asylum seekers every year.

If it had discouraged just 20,000 asylum seekers it would have paid for itself. That's how much asylum seekers cost us.

Do you really think 20,000 people would have been discouraged because the UK planned to send 300 people to Rwanda?

Safe and legal routes would discourage people risking their lives in a small boat.

For the majority of refugees, the only way to claim asylum is being on British soil. The Rwanda plan would not have changed that.

strawberrybubblegum · 25/07/2025 11:24

TopPocketFind · 24/07/2025 21:38

The £700m spent on the failed Rwanda plan would have gone a long way towards clearing the asylum backlog and ending the use of hotels.

£1.8m for each of the 300 asylum seekers

That's 20% of what we're currently spending on asylum seekers every year.

If it had discouraged just 20,000 asylum seekers it would have paid for itself. That's how much asylum seekers cost us.

safetyfreak · 25/07/2025 11:24

deusexmacintosh · 25/07/2025 00:48

Farage had to sack one of his party last year when he was caught on video describing autistic people as 'vegetables'.

Kemi Badenoch said autistics have too many privileges, special treatments, and receive too much funding at her Conservative party conference in 2024.

The rhetoric of disabilities = scroungers has been underway since Cameron in 2010.

9000 of the 50,000 adults with Downs Syndrome had Do Not Resuscitate orders slapped into their health records by GPs in 2020-2022, when neither the adult nor their parents/carers/LPAs had been consulted or signed any legal documentation. Most of the patients were young and had no serious health risks that would warrant DNR.

This is what's coming.

A population of nearly 2 million people with developmental conditions and learning disabilities will be sifted into useful and parasite categories.

Farage/Tories will follow RFK and Trump, who are setting up an Autism Register via Trump's Project 2025 to figure out which autistic Americans are not paying taxes or being good little capitalist worker bees.

Just as Dr Hans Asperger did in 1930, under Hitler and the Nazi Party's orders.

It was called Aktion T4.

Idiot. Moron. Imbecile.

The first 2 classifications were sent to the Aktion T4 program and killed. The last classification were spared and used as medical experiments or cheap labour.

300,000 murdered.

The first victim of the Nazi concentration camps - the first person to be sentenced to death - was a 9 year old autistic boy.

A 'mental defective'.

Unfortunately for those of us with developmentalconditions, many of us will be unable to leave.

Farage and the Tories will re open the Imbecile Asylums closed down by Thatcher, as a cost saving exercise to house disabled children and adults, because they'd rather give developers money to build housing developments for cheap immigrant labour or middle class retirement villages, luxury apartments, and other naice schemes that benefit the rich.

The current ATU units will be expanded to keep us locked away from 'normal society' and we will be left to die.

Our peers with high and moderate support needs will be demonised as useless eaters, and slowly pushed out of sight.

This is the reality of a right wing future. It happened before, and will happen again if not stopped.

The disabled are the canary in the coal mine that everyone ignores. Quietly snuffed out while the rest of the country look away.

Lol, no.

I work in adult social care and there is an huge amount of protection for disabled and older people in this country. This is why adult and children services are taking up most of the local authority budgets.

Doubtmyselff · 25/07/2025 11:19

ThisPearlShaker · 25/07/2025 00:06

I'm not sure what your point is. "They did it in America therefore we shouldn't do it here?" - is that supposed to be it? I really couldn't care less about some US civil servants whining because they've lost their jobs. They can learn to weld.

You read my original comment correctly: I advocate a drastic and ruthless clear out of the Civil Service. I think if we went back to 2019 levels alone we'd be eliminating 10s of thousands - all added with zero effect on productivity.

We need a figurative bonfire of quangos, laws, and civil servants.

If you bothered to click the link you'd see DODGE cut 10's of thousands of civil service jobs and when they realized the country will collapse, they re-hired 10's of thousands.

If you think public sector waste will somehow lift the lives of ordinary people and not doing anything about private sector excesses, bail outs and tax avoidance, no credible economist agrees with you.

But as ever, we don't listen to experts anymore. We just listen to social media posts and russian bots winding up hysteria.

There are no black and white answers I'm afraid, its complicated and hard work, so soundbites sound so much better.

THis man, is going to take over our civil service....oh dear

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c991epp257lo

Close shot of former Reform UK chairman Zia Yusuf, wearing a suit, with light blue blurry background

'Noses out of joint': Colleagues reveal what Reform's Zia Yusuf is like to work for

Some who have worked with the former Reform chairman call him a "powerhouse", but others describe a chaotic workplace.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c991epp257lo

PandoraSocks · 25/07/2025 09:03

Blunderbussviking · 25/07/2025 08:52

Of course Reform’s manifesto is written to hardworking people who are fed up. What did you expect? Should their manifesto be written for the upper classes or the hundreds of thousands of “asylum seekers” who will never contribute or the illegal migrants who don’t pay taxes?
And what do you mean they won’t be able to deliver it? Of course they will be. It is also outlined in the manifesto. Wake up!

What is outlined? You mean the costings which were probably written on the back of one of Farage's fag packets and have been widely derided?

Wake up!

Blunderbussviking · 25/07/2025 08:52

Flixon · 25/07/2025 08:44

This is at the heart of the problem the ‘ordinary’ people are seeing. Ordinary people are working hard, for no more money , their bills are higher, they are being taxed (stealthily) more and more and their public services are failing them. But they see, and I think everyone knows someone, people misusing the welfare state , not working, not contributing in any way with a higher standard of living and a lot less worries.
I read the Reform manifesto before the last election. It’s written for these people, it promises them Utopia. But anyone can write anything in a manifesto when they have no chance of having to deliver it.
I find the possibility of a Reform Government terrifying, but if the main parties want to avoid it, the y need to wake up, start being honest about the UK crises (plural) and start having done very difficult conversations.

Of course Reform’s manifesto is written to hardworking people who are fed up. What did you expect? Should their manifesto be written for the upper classes or the hundreds of thousands of “asylum seekers” who will never contribute or the illegal migrants who don’t pay taxes?
And what do you mean they won’t be able to deliver it? Of course they will be. It is also outlined in the manifesto. Wake up!

Flixon · 25/07/2025 08:44

eqpi4t2hbsnktd · 24/07/2025 13:33

I don't want to pay for more people who have and will never contribute.
I won't vote Reform though....

This is at the heart of the problem the ‘ordinary’ people are seeing. Ordinary people are working hard, for no more money , their bills are higher, they are being taxed (stealthily) more and more and their public services are failing them. But they see, and I think everyone knows someone, people misusing the welfare state , not working, not contributing in any way with a higher standard of living and a lot less worries.
I read the Reform manifesto before the last election. It’s written for these people, it promises them Utopia. But anyone can write anything in a manifesto when they have no chance of having to deliver it.
I find the possibility of a Reform Government terrifying, but if the main parties want to avoid it, the y need to wake up, start being honest about the UK crises (plural) and start having done very difficult conversations.

Blunderbussviking · 25/07/2025 08:26

deusexmacintosh · 25/07/2025 00:48

Farage had to sack one of his party last year when he was caught on video describing autistic people as 'vegetables'.

Kemi Badenoch said autistics have too many privileges, special treatments, and receive too much funding at her Conservative party conference in 2024.

The rhetoric of disabilities = scroungers has been underway since Cameron in 2010.

9000 of the 50,000 adults with Downs Syndrome had Do Not Resuscitate orders slapped into their health records by GPs in 2020-2022, when neither the adult nor their parents/carers/LPAs had been consulted or signed any legal documentation. Most of the patients were young and had no serious health risks that would warrant DNR.

This is what's coming.

A population of nearly 2 million people with developmental conditions and learning disabilities will be sifted into useful and parasite categories.

Farage/Tories will follow RFK and Trump, who are setting up an Autism Register via Trump's Project 2025 to figure out which autistic Americans are not paying taxes or being good little capitalist worker bees.

Just as Dr Hans Asperger did in 1930, under Hitler and the Nazi Party's orders.

It was called Aktion T4.

Idiot. Moron. Imbecile.

The first 2 classifications were sent to the Aktion T4 program and killed. The last classification were spared and used as medical experiments or cheap labour.

300,000 murdered.

The first victim of the Nazi concentration camps - the first person to be sentenced to death - was a 9 year old autistic boy.

A 'mental defective'.

Unfortunately for those of us with developmentalconditions, many of us will be unable to leave.

Farage and the Tories will re open the Imbecile Asylums closed down by Thatcher, as a cost saving exercise to house disabled children and adults, because they'd rather give developers money to build housing developments for cheap immigrant labour or middle class retirement villages, luxury apartments, and other naice schemes that benefit the rich.

The current ATU units will be expanded to keep us locked away from 'normal society' and we will be left to die.

Our peers with high and moderate support needs will be demonised as useless eaters, and slowly pushed out of sight.

This is the reality of a right wing future. It happened before, and will happen again if not stopped.

The disabled are the canary in the coal mine that everyone ignores. Quietly snuffed out while the rest of the country look away.

Were you severely sleep-deprived when you wrote this garbage? 😆The time you posted it would indicate the possibility…
That’s what I was talking about..the classic example of citing what Hitler and the nazis did in the 40s and spouting that it will happen again 🙄

MathNotMathing · 25/07/2025 08:07

This reply has been deleted

This has been deleted by MNHQ for breaking our Talk Guidelines.

suburburban · 25/07/2025 08:02

bozzabollix · 25/07/2025 07:31

You do realise we all benefit from being part of the EHCR? It protects us from our own government should we need that.

Its astonishing how the media have managed to make some of us want to get rid of our own rights and protections that were hard won.

Trouble is they are working against us at the moment but understand what you are saying

Elasticareboot · 25/07/2025 08:01

The whole ‘the tories screwed this’ isn’t a plan is it?

twistyizzy · 25/07/2025 07:59

Rabbit caught in headlights, glitching and buffering because he hasn't got a pre-prepared statement to read from:

https://x.com/HoodedClaw1974/status/1947536223104352326

https://x.com/HoodedClaw1974/status/1947536223104352326