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Politics

Scared about a poll I read where Reform wins outright in First Past the Post????

214 replies

fixingmylife · 10/05/2025 17:50

I guess we are years away from a General Election, but I am scared about the rise in populism and the seemingly popular Reform. I think it would be unthinkable to have Farage as our Prime Minister. I don't want a small state, private NHS, racist far right populist, Trumpist in charge of the country.

I know MN is generally fairly anti Reform, Brexit etc, but where are all these Reform voters. I don't know anyone personally who has admitted they would vote for them? Is it the all the disenfranchised young men?

OP posts:
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SquashedMallow · 11/05/2025 09:30

101jobs · 11/05/2025 09:24

I totally agree with you SquashedMallow. It’s pointless trying to have a conversation sometimes, it is just a one-way street with some people.

Yes indeed... And everything you raise 'racist' is extrapolated. It's why reform are in front. But there's none so blind as those that choose not to see I suppose..

Barbadossunset · 11/05/2025 09:24

Under FPTP they could ( and will) get a majority with 20% of the votes.
That's why we need to switch to PR now.
@CillaBlackSmith

If the polls were showing a big lead for Labour, would you still be wanting PR?

101jobs · 11/05/2025 09:24

SquashedMallow · 11/05/2025 09:03

And there we have it @fixingmylife instead of acknowledging the concerns of many people that I have written. She puts a sarcastic laughing emoji under each of my replies. You can kind of see how people are fed up can't you ? That's the "oh so educated" response.....

I totally agree with you SquashedMallow. It’s pointless trying to have a conversation sometimes, it is just a one-way street with some people.

FatherFrosty · 11/05/2025 09:21

wasnt it the YouGov poll that showed this?

im worried too. Labour need to start getting their achievements out. They need to start calling out the bullshit.
i know this goes against the grown ups being in charge they are trying to present

EasternStandard · 11/05/2025 09:17

SquashedMallow · 11/05/2025 09:03

And there we have it @fixingmylife instead of acknowledging the concerns of many people that I have written. She puts a sarcastic laughing emoji under each of my replies. You can kind of see how people are fed up can't you ? That's the "oh so educated" response.....

I agree there’s no point in the pp asking if it’s all laughing emojis in return.

JasmineAllen · 11/05/2025 09:16

Middleagedstriker · 11/05/2025 08:49

I think she means what is good about Reform?

Apart from being anti immigration and jumping on whichever anti-woke bandwagon he wants they don't have many policies and none that won't harm the working classes more. If he's looking towards protectionism that is going to damage the economy and make things cost more.
Nigel farage thinks the people that vote for him are beneath him. He is a very rich middle class former banker and cares absolutely nothing about the people that he has voting for him.

I've met him a couple of times in real life and he is pretty unlikable as a person. His very articulate but his mannerisms and body language is quite strange I can't imagine him being a good person to represent the UKe Labroad and at this moment in time we need a good representative who is likeable and diplomatic. He has already alienated most of Europe with his strange behavior in the EU parliament.

I agree what you say about protectionism but as for what Farage thinks of his supporters I'll take with a pinch of salt because I can barely remember a time when a detractor wasn't saying 'you'd be stupid to vote for x because they look down on you'.

Also, to be an effective leader you don't necessarily have to be a nice person.

noblegiraffe · 11/05/2025 09:14

Viviennemary · 11/05/2025 00:06

Why are folk so scared of reform. A lot of folk are dissatisfied with the present government and the Tories were even worse.

Edited

Because they changed their name from the Brexit Party to try to disassociate themselves from that disaster and now it looks like they're planning another one.

Scared about a poll I read where Reform wins outright in First Past the Post????
MightAsWellBeGretel · 11/05/2025 09:06

It was a poll, not a crystal ball. The outcomes of polls can be very easy influenced.

All you can do is use your vote wisely. It's utterly pointless being 'scared' by things that are unlikely and completely out of your control, either way. Find another hobby and reading material if this one causes you much distress.

SquashedMallow · 11/05/2025 09:03

And there we have it @fixingmylife instead of acknowledging the concerns of many people that I have written. She puts a sarcastic laughing emoji under each of my replies. You can kind of see how people are fed up can't you ? That's the "oh so educated" response.....

EasternStandard · 11/05/2025 09:02

Blackcordoroys · 11/05/2025 08:53

In a poll I read recently 81% of the population think immigration is too high. So Mn views on it are VERY out of the ordinary

Mn isn’t really in line with that. Labour are throwing out some immigration type headlines but it may not do it. It does put focus on the issue though.

CharSiu · 11/05/2025 09:00

@fixingmylife You have to remember that Brexit was voted for by the majority who bothered to vote. People can wring their hands as much as they like about only % voted at all in any election or referendum but unless you go down the road of Australia who fine people for not voting that’s what you have. Starmer won with less actual votes than Corbyn got in the 2017 election. They just targeted seats well and Reform also split the Conservative vote. Labour won because Conservative voters were so angry with their party and punished them not because Labour are amazing. Labour will only win the next election if they are beyond amazing and I can’t see that happening.

In my constituency that swings red and blue as a matter of course if Reform hadn’t stood then the Conservatives would very likely have won easily.

BIossomtoes · 11/05/2025 08:58

EasternStandard · 11/05/2025 08:52

I think this would be a tough sell. Even with massive polls in favour pre last GE Starmer was worried enough about the red wall voter to rule out the SM and CU.

They’d soon change their minds if the economy improved.

Blackcordoroys · 11/05/2025 08:53

In a poll I read recently 81% of the population think immigration is too high. So Mn views on it are VERY out of the ordinary

EasternStandard · 11/05/2025 08:52

fixingmylife · 10/05/2025 18:33

You would think if Starmer v Farage in the next election. If Starmer did the right thing and went in on a ticket against Brexit and with a move to rejoining, at least some of the Brexit madness, he would do better than he is at the moment. Surely it would be the answer if he were to be against Farage?

I think this would be a tough sell. Even with massive polls in favour pre last GE Starmer was worried enough about the red wall voter to rule out the SM and CU.

Middleagedstriker · 11/05/2025 08:49

Hayley1256 · 10/05/2025 23:45

Why do think all reform supporters are bad? You've said yourself you don't any! I have a very politically mixed group of friends and family - all of them good people and most of them want the same outcome but just different ways of getting there.

You need to be open to having conversations with people and would bet you do know reform supporters they just haven't told you.

I think if things keep going the way they are we are going to end up with a Conservative/ Reform coalition at the next GE

I think she means what is good about Reform?

Apart from being anti immigration and jumping on whichever anti-woke bandwagon he wants they don't have many policies and none that won't harm the working classes more. If he's looking towards protectionism that is going to damage the economy and make things cost more.
Nigel farage thinks the people that vote for him are beneath him. He is a very rich middle class former banker and cares absolutely nothing about the people that he has voting for him.

I've met him a couple of times in real life and he is pretty unlikable as a person. His very articulate but his mannerisms and body language is quite strange I can't imagine him being a good person to represent the UKe Labroad and at this moment in time we need a good representative who is likeable and diplomatic. He has already alienated most of Europe with his strange behavior in the EU parliament.

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 11/05/2025 08:39

fixingmylife · 10/05/2025 18:33

You would think if Starmer v Farage in the next election. If Starmer did the right thing and went in on a ticket against Brexit and with a move to rejoining, at least some of the Brexit madness, he would do better than he is at the moment. Surely it would be the answer if he were to be against Farage?

It won’t.

It will galvanise the Reform vote even more.

The EU have not exactly coveted themselves in glory during the Brexit negotiations, they are seen as obstructive and unnecessarily hard line toward the UK and this won’t help.

I think Brexit was a mistake, but we cannot walk it back now.

MsJinks · 11/05/2025 08:34

Unless Tories sort themselves and their messaging out then they won't be the 2nd party. LibDems seem to be stuck in 3rd party - despite having many more seats than Reform no one ever discusses their prospects.
So basically, how it looks today, is Labour v Reform.
When I drove past polling stations on Referendum day I had a conviction it would be 'out' - there was such a queue at my local one like I've never seen, normally walk straight in for any election, people were clearly out to get their vote in when they wouldn't normally be fussed. If Reform manage to maintain their attraction to the protest vote, attraction to people not normally engaged in politics even enough to vote due to wanting 'a better deal' then they have a good chance and I think you'll see it in action at polling stations.
Due to their inexperience plus their attractiveness to dubious folk then I think it's also possible they'll collapse or eat each other before 2029 - personally I very much hope so!
We aren't going to get PR any time soon, and whilst scared of Regorm or similar I actually don't think we should be finding roundabout ways to avoid it - good clear messaging but staying within our current democratic rules is the way to go.
Though I do believe in PR, or rather not FPTP, as it happens just we shouldn't push it through to avoid things we don't like - should have it as and when it's agreed and voted on.

BIossomtoes · 11/05/2025 08:00

Starmer would do better to focus on things he can actually achieve - reduction in NHS waiting lists, improving funding for secondary education, sorting access to GPs etc.

All of which depend on improving the economy and closer relations and improved trade deals with Europe are key to that.

Meadowfinch · 11/05/2025 00:34

fixingmylife · 10/05/2025 18:33

You would think if Starmer v Farage in the next election. If Starmer did the right thing and went in on a ticket against Brexit and with a move to rejoining, at least some of the Brexit madness, he would do better than he is at the moment. Surely it would be the answer if he were to be against Farage?

Brexit is still divisive and the split is still roughly half, I don't see how leading with an undo-brexit message would help. You just reopen the wound.

I don't think Reform stand much chance in a GE because much of this month's vote was a protest vote.

Starmer would do better to focus on things he can actually achieve - reduction in NHS waiting lists, improving funding for secondary education, sorting access to GPs etc.

Carpaltoenail · 11/05/2025 00:18

I voted reform at the last election but wouldn’t have done if I’d thought the candidate had a chance of being elected. I live in a safe seat so mine was a protest vote.

I don’t want to see a Reform government but the main parties have to start listening to voters instead of dismissing their concerns.

SquashedMallow · 11/05/2025 00:14

fixingmylife · 11/05/2025 00:10

What about the NHS, Education, Climate Change, Defense spending, Welfare, Prisons, Social Care? Surely these things are of more importance than the Reform dog-whistle, let's blame the migrants and trans people for all the countries problems.. Sigh. We need immigrants and with such a low birth rate who is going to look after us when we need social care? It's not just about immigration and trans people.

Once again - you're coming out with tired "tropes". Read what I've written again : did I say anywhere in there that I don't support immigration and we don't need immigration? Once again you've done the old classic of shutting down the conversation by stating I've blamed "trans people" and "immigrants" that's so lazy and manipulative.

Luckily other people will read my post and see exactly my thoughts, which ironically is not what you've deduced.

Look, reform won't get in. It won't happen. It's a "protest" vote for most people: so hopefully the government will take heed of it and act accordingly.

fixingmylife · 11/05/2025 00:10

SquashedMallow · 10/05/2025 23:56

They're the only party willing to even voice a willingness to tackle real problems such as mass unfetted immigration. And NO having issues with mass immigration, unregistered males with totally different cultural norms here, without qualifications and valuable contribution to society is NOT racist.

Nobody bar nobody (except actual racists) have a problem with foreign professionals coming here to work. It'd be utter madness to judge one professional against another based on country of origin.

The real problem that keeps getting diverted from by screeching "racist"(and successfully, by the way no other party dares broaches it with any gusto) is mass uncontrolled immigration by people that's way of life does not meet our cultural expectations, and are not contributing to our society but actively being a burden and a drain on it. People are fed up !

We're cow towing to tiny minorities (such as trans people ) and demanding the other 99% majority stick pronouns on their work emails and badges (it's work! That's crazy !) and that's not enough - men in toilets with young girls to #be kind. It's utter madness! And people are sick of being branded an 'ist' and have a conversation or debate instantly shut down.

Reform are the only party willing to talk "common sense" in the sea of madness that's currently out there. That's enough for many people to cling on to.

It's not even the groups in question that are the problem (e.g trans people - we used to all just rub along and accept this teeny tiny minority and let them leave in peace : Nadia winning big brother in the noughties anyone ?) a genuine transperson known of as a 'woman' who advertised freely she was 'transsexual' and was born male and remained biologically male. Nobody (unless a bigot) would have a problem with that! Nobody bloody did back then! But she wasn't shouting from her podium to make 99% of us change our everyday life to accommodate her. Institutions such as NHS and government are the ones trying so hard to get on the "right on" bandwagon they're the ones dictating on the 0.01%s loud minorities behalf ! And not listening to all the everyday people (that includes immigrants and LGBTQ people ) !

So people in conclusion have had enough and want to stop being silenced for fear of being persecuted and branded an 'ist. People are scared to say how they feel (and most of the time their thoughts are indeed rational )

It makes me aghast when you get those old gems flying around "oh so you don't mind Dr Raj, he's the right type of immigrant is he, you racist ?" Well.... actually yes!!!! Nobody does mind the 'right' type of immigrant and nobody gives a shit what their colour or creed is ! But people don't want 20 yr old males arriving on mass with zero to contribute.

No other party acknowledges normal people's normal concerns. The vote share proves this. And it's not all Wayne and Sharon smoking their roll ups with their man utd shirts on down the boozer with their tattooed arms out. Wake up !

What about the NHS, Education, Climate Change, Defense spending, Welfare, Prisons, Social Care? Surely these things are of more importance than the Reform dog-whistle, let's blame the migrants and trans people for all the countries problems.. Sigh. We need immigrants and with such a low birth rate who is going to look after us when we need social care? It's not just about immigration and trans people.

OP posts:
MiloMinderbinder925 · 11/05/2025 00:08

Viviennemary · 11/05/2025 00:06

Why are folk so scared of reform. A lot of folk are dissatisfied with the present government and the Tories were even worse.

Edited

Because they're going to make the country a lot worse than it is and won't fulfill their promises.

Why do you think that someone who admires Putin and Trump is good for the country?

Viviennemary · 11/05/2025 00:06

Why are folk so scared of reform. A lot of folk are dissatisfied with the present government and the Tories were even worse.

SquashedMallow · 11/05/2025 00:03

@fixingmylife would you mind telling me what the sarcastic laugh emoji was on my reply ? Or does my opinion not matter?