Trump has said we are on the brink of WW3, aibu to agree with him?

He might be right, but his reasonng may be wrong.

According to this https://geneva-academy.ch/galleries/today-s-armed-conflicts there are currently 110 armed conflicts around the world. I think the difference is, at the moment they are more individual rather than the two coalitions as existed during WW2, but there is risk that different factions may begin to cooperate with seemingly (to them) a common objective.

I think there will be a full on war in Middle East.
I think this will make us very vulnerable to terrorist and sabotage attacks.
Plus, we can brace for fuel price rises and even shortage in supply.
I do not think we will get further involved in it. At least, if we do have any common sense.

Well i don’t think he’s far wrong to be honest. It certainly could escalate, let’s hope not

why is Trump so crazy here? The US supplies weapons to Israel.

We are the closest we've ever been to world war 3 but it is still extremely unlikely to happen. No world leader is mad enough to want that. Nobody will come out on top. We'd all destroy each other. I'm not saying that to scaremonger. I'm saying it to show why it's not going to happen. You can't be a power mad lunatic if you have been obliterated.

From NATO's own website showing that this is an overly simplistic view.

"The volume of US defence expenditure represents approximately two thirds of the defence spending of the Alliance as a whole. However, this is not the amount that the United States contributes to the operational running of NATO, which is shared with all Allies according to the principle of common funding. Moreover, US defence spending also covers commitments outside the Euro-Atlantic area."

Terrorism/suicide bombers surely?

I agree.

I could see China and/or Russia being opportunistic here if it suited them. We’ve already got war in Europe (Ukraine) it could all spread and get tangled up together like in WWII. Started with Hitler then we had Mussolini and the Japanese piling in as well. World war before you know it.

Well, to be honest, as a US citizen, I am getting a bit tired of my country carrying such a large financial cost for NATO and the UN. I am also tired of our countrymen being sent out to "protect and die" because we can deploy a larger force.

I guess I am jaded. A horrible hurricane and storm has decimated a part of our country. People are dead, missing, cities without power, roads closed, so help cannot get through quickly. And yet, I am not exactly hearing anything on the news about other countries rushing to help us. Yep, I AM jaded.

The USA has two business sales propositions and business models

1. war - military and weaponry
2. pharmaceuticals

it will do whatever it takes to ensure that it’s profit margins are secure. This is why it meddles so insidiously in the Middle East and south and Latin America. It wants war but not all out war (because that’s bad for business). Why will freak out the US at the moment is that it is potentially running out of their control.

And yes we are involved already and yes it leaves us open to increased levels of domestic terrorism, an economic downturn worse than we could
imagine and political unrest/insecurity and a decrease in foreign good relations in Europe.

i think anyone who doesn’t realise this is not thinking logically or indeed laterally about the situation. One has to critically it.

I do think we are on the cusp, but the US may be good enough at their chosen job to bring us back from it.

The US is the biggest threat to world peace. Let’s hope they do something about it.

The problem is that his stands “against intervention” abroad are usually in the form of arguments against maintaining the security commitments we already have — eg to NATO. These commitments have deterred great powers from making war against each other for many decades, but they only work if they are clear-cut and unambiguous. Ambiguities leave room for mistakes. We don’t want Putin wondering if we’re really serious about going to war to defend Estonia, Poland etc.

Its not the US's nuclear capability that is actually needed to protect smaller NATO nations in Europe, its the ability to comprehensively defeat any conventional act of aggression to the point whereby it would be pointless for Putin to even attempt it.

Most of NATO's conventional capability is the US military and its ability to rapidly deploy large forces. If that's removed, then a conventional conquest of the Baltics and/or Finland becomes a lot more feasible, because as much as NATO articles suggest otherwise, the US, UK, or France is not about to go nuking Moscow because Russian tanks are rolling through Riga due to the fact the Latvian military was unable to stand them up at the border.

It's not just about people back in the US though, although I know lots believe the narrative that Jews control everything for their own gain hyperbole. It's wild how many people don't understand why Israel not being wiped from the map is beneficial to us and the US.

I don't like the orange man, I think he usually spouts utter rubbish, but he may be onto something here.
I live in Cyprus so alot closer to all the hot posts than most of you do..and for the most past ,life goes on as usual. Since july we have had two US destroyers, one amphibious assault ship and one aircraft carrier al dock on their way to the hotspots. British troops are also being funneled through our bases here, as are refugees fleeing Lebanon.
Our airports are rammed, our Google maps and Waze have been scrambled, and we often find that instead of downtown Limassol we are being told we are approaching Beirut airport (thanks to US/UK scrambling the signals)
Last night had us a little worried though when the sky was lit up with what appeared to be rockets overhead. So far no news on where they came from,.and they didnt land on Cyprus, so that's good

Other countries wouldn't need to get involved for another WW to break out - despotic sociopathic leaders (yes, men I'm looking at you) look at what's happening and decide they'll hop on the bandwagon and wage their own wars to satisfy their own power trip. Stranger things have happened.

the link between Iran and Russia for example is extremely worrying ....

What he's proposed sounds sensible to be honest. He doesn't want to just leave NATO, but for the US to continue to provide nuclear cover for Europe from it's strategic bases here, but pull back on providing other US military interventions in Europe unless a country really needs it. Lots of countries, ours included, have relied on the US to the detriment of our own defence spending, now there are issues with recruiting and financial challenges including in the US, countries should pull their weight.

@Calmomiletea I survived 4 years of his presidency. In a red state.

The Russia Ukraine war - Kerch Strait incident of 2018

Though Russia made a ‘deniable’ invasion of Ukraine in 2014 with Putin’s unbadged Wagner group little green men, followed by the 2022 invasion it was on 25 November 2018 that Russian navy ships openly fired on the Ukrainian navy and shipping

Trumps reaction - “We do not like what’s happening either way. We don’t like what’s happening, and hopefully it will get straightened out.”

Yes, the old stopped clock principle.

I understand that it’s scary what’s going on , and I feel nervous listening to the news as well.

However,I try and reassure myself that we’ve been j. This situation before and it’s not escalated.

He won't drag the US into a war, but if he continues his reckless, idiotic rhetoric about pulling the US out of NATO, he's basically throwing every single other member, especially the smaller states, to the wolves. He's an unhinged, senile, lunatic who has no understanding of the consequences of his own actions. By the US becoming increasingly isolationist and insular, he'd passively destabilise the rest of the planet and leave nations like the Baltic States at the mercy of Putin. Some might suggest that isn't entirely random happenstance.

Some said what if was our country, what if France decided to lob rockets at us, what should we do? It was said today not accurate reporting by mainstream media.