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Politics

Lib Dems - Why don't they have a chance?

64 replies

Lionnose · 02/07/2024 14:27

Just that really? I keep talking to people who say 'I don't really want to vote Labour, I'd rather vote Lib Dem but I'm doing it as a tactical vote as the lib dems don't have a chance'

Maybe it's just I'm talking to a small group of people who all live in the same area so thought I'd ask a wider audience. If everyone who wanted to vote lib dem did would this make them have a chance? I'm sure there is a lot more to it than what I know and I'm interested in hearing more about it.

I saw on a previous thread that they don't have a chance of creating a government is that because they don't have enough MP's with experience and they'd not be able to manage it even if they miraculously won?

OP posts:
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delphi13 · 03/07/2024 20:31

I vote Lib Dem, luckily for me we moved to an area where it is usually a close run thing between them and the conservatives. This time round it looks like a clear cut win for LD, my only concern is that the local racists are trying to stir up support for Reform and being a rural area near the seaside with very low diversity, there are a lot of racists about.

verdantverdure · 03/07/2024 20:14

Ed Davey is about to multiply his 8 seats into 50? 70?

Buffoon that.

verdantverdure · 03/07/2024 20:13

AstonMartha · 03/07/2024 19:42

It’s Lib Dem here to get rid of the tories

Same here.

AstonMartha · 03/07/2024 19:42

It’s Lib Dem here to get rid of the tories

Palagiprincess · 03/07/2024 19:11

Warmfeet · 02/07/2024 18:33

I used to like Lib Dem, but this lot seem like a bunch of clowns and I really can’t take them seriously.

Pretty much this - Ed Davey is a buffoon.

Tontostitis · 03/07/2024 19:02

If you believe in single sex spaces and that women have rights you can't vote Lib Dem. I'm a previously life long Liberal/Lib Dem /SDP voter and the canvases walked away from me saying we don't want people like you voting for us when I asked her to explain her parties stance on Women's Rights

User135644 · 03/07/2024 18:57

The Lib Dems were progressing well in the 2000s and could have kept building. They had a lot of seats and votes and Lab and Con weren't popular.

They tossed it all away under Clegg and had to start again.

NewName24 · 03/07/2024 18:55

Thanks @FlouncingBabooshka , that's interesting.

FlouncingBabooshka · 03/07/2024 16:28

Lionnose · 03/07/2024 10:01

@ItsTapasTime I feel like we are in a similar constituency then. Which makes it all the more confusing to me why people voting labour when they want to vote lib dem when it's very unlikely either will beat the conservative.

It's very tricky isn't it, because if the conservative wins here it would probably be better if everyone had voted for who they actually wanted to show the parties what the rest of us actually want to change in the country and which party we support the most. But I also see that it's worth the tactical vote (still confused why people seem to lean to labour being the tactical vote in our area) in the hope that someone/anyone can beat our current conservative

OP - your friends who are saying they will vote Labour to get the Tories out have probably checked a website like this one:

https://tactical.vote

You can enter your postcode and at the top of the page it takes you to it will show you your best bet for tactical voting. Under that it shows the results of the 2019 election and then under that it shows all the main polls’ calculations on the winner and runner up in your constituency. If they aren’t showing the LibDems as likely winners then it’s going to be a wasted vote.

Apologies if this has already been posted - I’m not able to RTFT atm.

Look up the tactical vote in your constituency

tactical.vote | General Election 2024

https://tactical.vote

KeirSpoutsTwaddle · 03/07/2024 13:58

Policy wise I'm aligned with Lib Dems. But they don't agree with me about what a woman is, so I can't really vote for them. It's both essential and basic.

IamaRevenant · 03/07/2024 13:56

I think the Tory coalition and the reneging on stopping university fees by Nick Clegg put off an awful lot of people around my age. I'm sure it depends on where you live and your local demographic but everyone I know aged approx 30 to 40 wouldn't ever vote Lib Dem for the above reasons.

bergamotorange · 03/07/2024 13:54

It costs a lot and takes a lot of volunteers to run an effective campaign. The Lib Dems cant afford to target everywhere - they are building up from a low number of MPs.

Also some areas just won't vote Lib Dem in high enough numbers - you might personally know a lot of Lib Dem-leaning people, but that doesn't mean the whole constituency is like you. If you are in a very leave-voting area, for example, a Lib Dem candidate with their pro-EU stance is not as likely to win as if you are in a remain-votong seat. How socially conservative are voters in your area - this can have a big impact.

verdantverdure · 03/07/2024 13:53

Fingers crossed for your constituency @scissy. My Blue Wall Tory stronghold is also predicted to go Lib Dem

scissy · 03/07/2024 13:43

verdantverdure · 03/07/2024 12:09

Love it Grin

Oh I know, you should have seen the Tory candidate's face at the hustings!!!
Sadly he still won but with a tiny majority. We're one of the seats with an 85% probability Lib Dem gain.

tedgran · 03/07/2024 13:41

I live in a solid Libdem constituency, won't be voting for them due to their stance on gender. I once asked a Libdem canvasser if he could tell me what a woman was, he said he couldn't answer that. If we had an SDP candidate I would be voting for them, as I did in the mayoral elections. Still dithering......

Captainmycaptains · 03/07/2024 13:30

The ‘coalition’ showed just how much the LIb Dems could be trusted. Not at all.

Gasp0deTheW0nderD0g · 03/07/2024 13:29

XDownwiththissortofthingX · 03/07/2024 10:36

How many ferries did Labour build back in the early 2000's when the fleet was already overdue for replacement?

You could well be right that the roots of this go back to the Labour era. All I know is that the SNP have been in power for a long, long time and have not been competent.

verdantverdure · 03/07/2024 12:09

scissy · 03/07/2024 11:46

I think it depends where you are OP. I live in a Lib Dem/Tory swing seat and the Lib Dems are VERY active (and always have been tbf). They have run the local council for over 20 years. It's got to the point that even though officially Labour have to stand, (it's in their constitution apparently) in the last 2 elections the candidate "selected" has basically said "vote Lib Dem" 🤣 and they don't actively campaign at all.

Love it Grin

scissy · 03/07/2024 11:46

I think it depends where you are OP. I live in a Lib Dem/Tory swing seat and the Lib Dems are VERY active (and always have been tbf). They have run the local council for over 20 years. It's got to the point that even though officially Labour have to stand, (it's in their constitution apparently) in the last 2 elections the candidate "selected" has basically said "vote Lib Dem" 🤣 and they don't actively campaign at all.

verdantverdure · 03/07/2024 10:42

NetballHoop · 03/07/2024 10:38

I like the Lib Dems and for once in my life there's a (slim) chance that they might overturn the humongous Tory majority where I live. They beat Labour into 3rd place at the last election and have gradually grown their local support.

I'd vote for Labour though if they had a better chance of toppling the Tories here.

It's all about being tactical and getting the Tories out this time isn't it. I'd vote for whoever I had to to be honest.

Luckily here it's very clearly Lib Dem who are the challengers to the Tories so it's an easy choice.

NetballHoop · 03/07/2024 10:38

I like the Lib Dems and for once in my life there's a (slim) chance that they might overturn the humongous Tory majority where I live. They beat Labour into 3rd place at the last election and have gradually grown their local support.

I'd vote for Labour though if they had a better chance of toppling the Tories here.

XDownwiththissortofthingX · 03/07/2024 10:36

Gasp0deTheW0nderD0g · 03/07/2024 10:34

Yes, good point. I am an expat Scot with family in Scotland. I regularly visit and play ferry roulette in the hope of getting over to the island where my Mum lives. We should have had a new ferry years and years ago, but it's still a long way off. The SNP are a bunch of incompetents, and that's the kindest form of words I can come up with.

How many ferries did Labour build back in the early 2000's when the fleet was already overdue for replacement?

Gasp0deTheW0nderD0g · 03/07/2024 10:34

Yes, good point. I am an expat Scot with family in Scotland. I regularly visit and play ferry roulette in the hope of getting over to the island where my Mum lives. We should have had a new ferry years and years ago, but it's still a long way off. The SNP are a bunch of incompetents, and that's the kindest form of words I can come up with.

MissScarletInTheBallroom · 03/07/2024 10:33

thehousewiththesagegreensofa · 02/07/2024 18:54

This is my issue. Of the manifestos, I align most closely with the LibDems. But I really don't want the Tories to remain in power and we are in a Tory stronghold but which stats suggest could actually swing to Labour in this election. For that to happen, everyone who is in my position needs to actually vote Labour. But then I am voting to end single sex spaces.
Aaahhhh!!! Normally, I am exhausted after the election having been up all night watching the results. I am already losing sleep this week as I just can't decide what to do!

If it helps, the Lib Dems are even worse than Labour on gender stuff, so if the choice is between Labour and Lib Dem and you care about women's rights it's better to vote Labour. It's a horrible choice because they're both woeful on women's rights but the Lib Dems are far worse.

Hoolahoophop · 03/07/2024 10:33

Do any of the current polls show area specific results or are they all general votes?

I just did a vote for policies thing, came out Lib Dem, Green and Labor tie! So I looked at the details, and align more with Lib Dem, plus I recognize the candidate and liked his statement, he is clearly local, knows the issues and has good life experience.

We are a tory strong hold, I doubt we will get them out, I want our representative out as I have had dealings with him over the years and think him diabolical. Last time around Labor and Lib dem got about the same vote. But I don't know what people in my area are thinking this time around.

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