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Original poster

I’m calling the date of the next General Election

233 replies

Lettucelet · 21/03/2024 20:43

Thursday 24 October 2024.

My logic is thus:

  1. Tory MPs with kids in private school will want the election after the next academic year starts so that they will get an extra year VAT free while Labour gets its house in order. This is why Jeremy Hunt said the election wouldn’t happen until the Autumn.

  2. Tory MPs will want to take full advantage of the summer holidays/recess so they won’t want to campaign in July/August when they could be on a yacht instead.

  3. Term will start Week Commencing Monday 9 October at the latest. They will want to have a week to sort things out.

  4. So, 6 weeks after the Thursday of the week after 9 September is Thursday 24 October which fits in nicely with half term and they can go on holiday again.

Place your bets.

OP posts:
Zonder · 08/04/2024 08:46

We don't get involved but our media is all over it usually.

TizerorFizz · 08/04/2024 00:10

The bookmakers seem to show Oct and Nov at 2/1. I don’t think we get involved in the USA election nor they in ours. The lead up to it and campaigning is busy here and in USA. So the date won’t matter and the bookies agree. If it’s autumn for both, both countries will see heavy campaign activity.

Zonder · 07/04/2024 19:40

sosuemee · 07/04/2024 18:05

A couple of the MPs DH works alongside reckon 14th November. Conference out the way at the start of October and then immediately call the election.

I think that's too close to the US elections.

sosuemee · 07/04/2024 18:05

A couple of the MPs DH works alongside reckon 14th November. Conference out the way at the start of October and then immediately call the election.

HRTQueen · 05/04/2024 23:28

I think mid December

campaigning while the US are in the last few weeks if campaigning will completely over shadow what is going on here simply because the US elections are more entertaining

but that Labour being over shadowed a little might benefit the Tories slightly

also the economy may have improved slightly by then so a few may return to the Tories

TooBigForMyBoots · 05/04/2024 23:19

JessS1990 · 05/04/2024 20:28

Would that allow enough time to sort out the wallpaper for the flat, and familiarise oneself with all the needs of the Number 10 pot plants?

Show quote history

He doesn't care about traditional Tory values such as wallpaper and the gardens. He's all about the modern Tory values of benefiting family and investors at the cost of UK citizens.

XDownwiththissortofthingX · 05/04/2024 21:03

December, or mid-January.

They'll want as long as possible to keep their noses in the trough, and they'll also want the weather to be as miserable as possible to depress turnout in the hope a few more of them cling on to their majorities.

Citrusandginger · 05/04/2024 20:57

I'll take a punt on Oct 17th too. Some schools have two week half terms so it would get it out of the way. Also avoids the US election and the King's Birthday.

JessS1990 · 05/04/2024 20:28

TooBigForMyBoots · 05/04/2024 18:03

I think the Tories will remove Sunak after the Council Elections, crown a new Leader over the summer and go to the polls in October.

Would that allow enough time to sort out the wallpaper for the flat, and familiarise oneself with all the needs of the Number 10 pot plants?

TooBigForMyBoots · 05/04/2024 18:03

I think the Tories will remove Sunak after the Council Elections, crown a new Leader over the summer and go to the polls in October.

LlynTegid · 05/04/2024 18:00

Seems sensible and quite possible. Also before the clocks go back, which depresses many people and makes them not want to bother to go out in the evening.

Original poster
Lettucelet · 24/03/2024 13:40

ToBeOrNotToBee · 23/03/2024 19:16

Not forgetting all the students that won't be registered at their uni address by the deadline so they'll miss the vote, and thus, artificially bolster Tory share.

Gah! Didn’t think of that. Yet another reason why it will be early /mid October.

OP posts:
ToBeOrNotToBee · 23/03/2024 19:16

Not forgetting all the students that won't be registered at their uni address by the deadline so they'll miss the vote, and thus, artificially bolster Tory share.

DanceToTheMusicInMyHead · 23/03/2024 19:12

At work we reckon early October to give a bit of space before the US election

Thegoodbadandugly · 23/03/2024 19:10

LizzieSiddal · 23/03/2024 19:08

I’ve also heard 17th Oct. I wish it was asap but that ain’t going to happen.

They will lose most of their seats in the local elections anyway.

Thegoodbadandugly · 23/03/2024 19:09

I don't know why they don't just do it in may when the local elections are, save the British public a lot of money.

LizzieSiddal · 23/03/2024 19:08

I’ve also heard 17th Oct. I wish it was asap but that ain’t going to happen.

Zonder · 23/03/2024 19:06

Not sure about October. Conference time.

PoppingTomorrow · 22/03/2024 18:27

I hope it's early December

ScierraDoll · 22/03/2024 18:20

I agree with your reasoning, although all your points apply to Labour MPs as well.
I wish they would call the election now. Labour are likely to be in for 2 terms so the sooner it starts the sooner it ends

CaveMum · 22/03/2024 18:12

George Osborne reckons November (can’t remember exact date), citing inside sources.

Flatleak · 22/03/2024 18:12

It's not going to be within 2 weeks of the US election in either direction - too much of a security concern. My money is on 17th October (we're taking bets at work - political sector)

ThreeFeetTall · 22/03/2024 18:10

Do any of you listen to The News Agents podcast? They were joking on there that it won't be the week with 25th October as that is the anniversary of a Canadian election where the Tory party got only 3(!) seats and it was a bit ominous!

LightSwerve · 22/03/2024 17:45

I thought the money was on 10th October?

JessS1990 · 22/03/2024 17:44

Couchto5ktowine · 22/03/2024 16:34

14 Nov. Allows Rishi to say he did 2 years as PM (appointed 25 Oct 2022) and is after the US election.

Not an issue, as long as everyone believe in THE PLAN as much as Rishi he will be PM for much longer than that.