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Politics
Original poster

I’m calling the date of the next General Election

233 replies

Lettucelet · 21/03/2024 20:43

Thursday 24 October 2024.

My logic is thus:

  1. Tory MPs with kids in private school will want the election after the next academic year starts so that they will get an extra year VAT free while Labour gets its house in order. This is why Jeremy Hunt said the election wouldn’t happen until the Autumn.

  2. Tory MPs will want to take full advantage of the summer holidays/recess so they won’t want to campaign in July/August when they could be on a yacht instead.

  3. Term will start Week Commencing Monday 9 October at the latest. They will want to have a week to sort things out.

  4. So, 6 weeks after the Thursday of the week after 9 September is Thursday 24 October which fits in nicely with half term and they can go on holiday again.

Place your bets.

OP posts:
boys3 · 22/05/2024 17:17

4th July confirmed. Bring it on!

BloodyHellKenAgain · 22/05/2024 17:17

Some idiot is playing Things can only get better over him

boys3 · 22/05/2024 17:15

He’s at the podium now.

Can’t see the property montage yet - may be it was just a baseless rumour.😁

Janome9300 · 22/05/2024 17:12

CurlewKate · 22/05/2024 17:11

I've got a tenner on the Tories winning....

What odds did you get on that?

CurlewKate · 22/05/2024 17:11

I've got a tenner on the Tories winning....

boys3 · 22/05/2024 17:09

HappiestSleeping · 22/05/2024 17:03

At the moment, Labour would need a bigger swing than they did when Blair won, so Sunak probably wants to get in before this becomes more likely than it is now.

TBH, I think it's in the balance. Starmer isn't covering himself in glory. Much as I want the current bunch out, I am not sure it will happen :(

Chris Mason just mentioning the 20 point poll lead that Theresa May had going into the 2017 election campaign.

In terms of swing though it does seem the Labour vote is far better geographically distributed now.

boys3 · 22/05/2024 17:05

Zonder · 22/05/2024 16:52

For 4th July they don't have to announce it til a week tomorrow. So don't hold your breath.

Show quote history

@Zonder do you think he’s about to announce something completely different outside No 10 in the next few minutes?

Rumour has it that it’s a montage of possible Californian properties from the US equivalent of Right Move. 😀

HappiestSleeping · 22/05/2024 17:03

At the moment, Labour would need a bigger swing than they did when Blair won, so Sunak probably wants to get in before this becomes more likely than it is now.

TBH, I think it's in the balance. Starmer isn't covering himself in glory. Much as I want the current bunch out, I am not sure it will happen :(

Zonder · 22/05/2024 16:58

Get in there quick!

Original poster
Lettucelet · 22/05/2024 16:57

I’ve got 2 mins to place a bet at William Hill.

OP posts:
Original poster
Lettucelet · 22/05/2024 16:57

That’s the sound of me exhaling.

OP posts:
Zonder · 22/05/2024 16:56

What's so funny @Lettucelet ?

Original poster
Lettucelet · 22/05/2024 16:56

Zonder · 22/05/2024 16:52

For 4th July they don't have to announce it til a week tomorrow. So don't hold your breath.

Show quote history

Hahahahahhahaaha

OP posts:
Zonder · 22/05/2024 16:52

Lettucelet · 22/05/2024 16:05

<Drums fingernails on kitchen table waiting for announcement>

6pm. Or 8pm. But no later as they’ll want to hit tomorrow’s newspaper headlines.

For 4th July they don't have to announce it til a week tomorrow. So don't hold your breath.

boys3 · 22/05/2024 16:31

Looks like my December theory way of the mark. But could not be more pleased to be wrong if a July date is announced in the next few hours.

SeptugenarianToddler · 22/05/2024 16:23

ThreeFeetTall · 22/03/2024 18:10

Do any of you listen to The News Agents podcast? They were joking on there that it won't be the week with 25th October as that is the anniversary of a Canadian election where the Tory party got only 3(!) seats and it was a bit ominous!

It was even worse than that, the Cons went from a majority to only TWO seats.

From Wikipedia "It was the worst defeat, both in absolute terms and in terms of percentage of seats lost, for a governing party at the federal level in Canada, and among the worst ever suffered for a governing party in a Westminster system. It is also one of the few instances of a governing party in any country going from a strong majority to being almost wiped off the electoral map.

HebburnPokemon · 22/05/2024 16:22

UK Independence Day - finally free of the bullshit

Original poster
Lettucelet · 22/05/2024 16:05

<Drums fingernails on kitchen table waiting for announcement>

6pm. Or 8pm. But no later as they’ll want to hit tomorrow’s newspaper headlines.

OP posts:
boys3 · 22/05/2024 15:40

And indeed every Summer thereafter, plus Autumn (or should it be Fall), Winter and Spring.

really does seem a win all round.

Bunchesofhyacinths · 22/05/2024 15:31

Yep, 4 July

boys3 · 22/05/2024 15:27

A new take on Independence Day.

plus Rishi can enjoy most of the summer in California.

WhatToDoNowEh · 22/05/2024 15:22

4th July

Original poster
Lettucelet · 22/05/2024 15:21

They can do all their campaigning before the end of term and then enjoy their school holidays when they’ve lost their seats and are unemployed.

OP posts:
Original poster
Lettucelet · 22/05/2024 15:19

4 July.

OP posts:
Dymaxion · 08/05/2024 21:59

I reckon January, just to piss off all the dissenters in his own party.

Sunak doesn't need the job or the money, he won't care if the party destroys itself, with petty infighting, before the next election. He can swan off, on a private jet, to his lovely house in the States and leave it all behind him.