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Politics

Please can someone explain? Will we pay if we leave EU without a deal?

580 replies

HappydaysArehere · 17/10/2017 19:53

With all this talk of billions of pounds which we are supposed to owe if we leave and talk of continuing to pay after we leave, I am in the dark. If we walk away with no deal will we pay anything like the amounts talked about? If we are able to do that surely the EU will be big losers as well as us! I am at a loss. Grateful for your input as I am bewildered. I voted to remain but must say the shenanigans being played by the EU are showing them as more like the Mafia than a democratic institution.

OP posts:
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Carolinesbeanies · 31/10/2017 09:36

PS Do have a go at that Yanis Varoufakis video Rufus, it is a really informative view, even with an open mind, and does indeed have significance regards our current position now with regards Brexit and negotiations.

Carolinesbeanies · 31/10/2017 09:29

"Not being able to learn about the EU at this stage is not a failing on my part"

Absolutely Rufus. It isnt a failing, nor do I suggest we all enrol pretty damn quick in night classes. But were you claiming to have worked as an economic advisor in the Troika? Were you then claiming authority to call posters thick as pig shit, because you were an economic genius?

Ive always said, Ill happily try to answer any sensible question, and I have, hundreds of times on various threads. I have no obligation to proove to any poster why Im not as thick as pigshit, which is whats demanded here, and neither do you, and certainly have no obligations whatsoever to an abusive and offensive poster.

How was your holiday by the way?

Carolinesbeanies · 31/10/2017 09:05

Spin did a very good explanation to the OP Rufus. Ive explained why the A50 stands and would require the UKs goodwill to extend into any further 'transition' period as the EU have no authority, power or legal standing to demand an extension, or demand the terms of notice (i.e, more money) now be owed.

So on current A50 notice, Spins explanation is 100% correct. Thats the OPs question. The answer is no, there is no obligation to pay any additional amounts apart from our 2 year notice commitments.

Rufustherenegadereindeer1 · 31/10/2017 08:59

One last thing Smile

A long time ago when i worked in a bank we had customers ring who didn't understand stuff like their mortgage payments.

Now it was confusing and some people got it the first time you explained, some got it when you reworded and explained for the second time

One lady wasnt getting at all...and in the end i had to apologise to her and say i was really sorry, I obviously wasn't explaining it properly and i passed her to a manager who explained it beautifully

This lady wasnt thick as pigshit , unless she was going to work in a mortgage company there was no need for her to learn about it in any detail. She just needed that small aspect explaining to her

I like to listen to people who sound like they know what they are talking about...i like to listen to both sides. Not being able to learn about the EU at this stage is not a failing on my part when apparently these threads are full of people who find this stuff 'blatantly' obvious

Anyway

Im done, i will definitely lurk Smile but there is no point me engaging on these threads as im obviously as thick as pigshit Grin

But no hard feelings caroline, hopefully see you in more salubrious surroundings on other threads Smile

Rufustherenegadereindeer1 · 31/10/2017 08:41

And by the way

Can people bear in mind that they are on a thread which starts 'Please can someone explain...'

So if the answer is no, i cant explain. Then just say it

I appreciate that somethings may be too much to explain on a thread like this

Rufustherenegadereindeer1 · 31/10/2017 08:37

Thank you caroline

i don't subscribe to the 'leavers are....' and 'remainers are....' would be very nice if other people could do the same

lljkk · 31/10/2017 08:37

Don't worry. The worst case scenario is only 75,000 jobs lost after Brexit.

Of course that's 75,000 in the financial services sector alone . But it's a worst case scenario, so we might lose only half that many jobs. Nothing to worry about.

Please can someone explain?  Will we pay if we leave EU without a deal?
OliviaD68 · 31/10/2017 08:32

@Carolinesbeanies

Negotiate what? What is it the UK wants to negotiate? I don’t believe we know what we want yet but perhaps I have missed something.

And I’m also not aware we’ve resolved the questions of EU citizens in the UK ( and vice versa), the NI border question (which kinda hinges on what the UK wants / whether we can still be part of the CU) and the settlement ...

Also: we are still waiting for you to reply to our other questions. Your MTO point was a non point diversion but the other points are still outstanding.

Carolinesbeanies · 31/10/2017 08:30

Rufus, here it is for you again. I then had to explain the who, what, and whys.

When were being chased round threads demanding explanations of basic economics, who or what a trade minister is, theres a valid argument to say, go and find out instead of being spoon fed muppetry economics from the Norths, and relying on salacious ignorant headlines. (Have the Norths even got a GCSE in maths? Who knows)

If youre interested in EU economics, go and find out. Its all in the public domain, theyre very open about their fiscal policies. If youre interested in Greece, heres a good start from the man who was in the seat at the time. However, if you prefer for example, the Brussels version of lazy tax avoiding Greeks getting everything they deserve, theres not a lot I can say to you.

Please can someone explain?  Will we pay if we leave EU without a deal?
Please can someone explain?  Will we pay if we leave EU without a deal?
Carolinesbeanies · 31/10/2017 08:15

Yesterdays Handelsblatt.

"The sluggish pace of negotiations so far on Britain’s exit from the EU in 2019 has fueled fears of a disruption to trade that could hit Germany hard."

We all hope not, but if theyre not going to negotiate, theres bugger all the UK can do.

global.handelsblatt.com/politics/world-trade-makes-a-comeback-845798/amp

Rufustherenegadereindeer1 · 31/10/2017 07:56

Spin, I had to explain a tweet earlier, 140 characters, we're hitting hew lows.

What

You explained stuff...where, can you tell me which post

I will feel a bit mean saying that people aren't explaining stuff and i missed it, its a big thread

Carolinesbeanies · 31/10/2017 07:51

Spin, I had to explain a tweet earlier, 140 characters, we're hitting hew lows.

Sergio Ermotti this week must also join the thick as pigshit club.

Please can someone explain?  Will we pay if we leave EU without a deal?
Spinflight · 31/10/2017 03:22

"Good Brexit article link"

You're still linking to twaddle from that muppet North?

Unless of course you are that muppet north, in drag....

Would explain a lot. :)

lljkk · 29/10/2017 14:56

How very democratic of the EU to listen to a popular petition, too.

OliviaD68 · 29/10/2017 13:43

Horrible EU.

Can’t believe it just did this. How dare they protect us from multinational corporations?

If I want cancer why can’t I just get it?

Please can someone explain?  Will we pay if we leave EU without a deal?
OliviaD68 · 29/10/2017 13:39

Good Brexit article link

OliviaD68 · 29/10/2017 13:24

@shhhfastasleep

Agree.

Not even sure you can characterise as hardball particularly. Just basic Negotiation Strategy 101. Protecting their interests and the status quo. And using the considerable leverage the EU has to greatest effect.

The UK would do the same if it could.

I don’t understand the complaints about the EU being ‘mean’. It’s not about nice or mean but about what makes sense for the EU27. Whether it hurts the UK has little bearing on the remaining EU.

shhhfastasleep · 29/10/2017 13:11

I don’t see EU shenanigans. I see exactly what is to be expected in the negotiations. Why shouldn’t they play hardball?
Which is why I voted Remain. What kind of person expects divorce on the cheap?

OliviaD68 · 29/10/2017 12:55

@Moussemoose

You’re right. I want that too. But I haven’t found it yet.

I have only identified downside. No upside. Not even on this point of ‘sovereignty ‘ or ‘immigration ‘. It’s all superficial and emotive. Racist at times.

But the hard economic stuff is really going to hurt us.

Rufustherenegadereindeer1 · 29/10/2017 12:49

olivia

It is hard Grin

And again i agree mousse

Moussemoose · 29/10/2017 12:43

The thing is I really want there to be a good argument for Brexit. I want good reasons. I might not agree with them but I want an argument I can respect.

What scares me is the total absence of sensible reasoning. The lack of anything approximating a coherent argument. I am panicked by the jaw dropping incompetence.

What the fuck have we done?

OliviaD68 · 29/10/2017 12:17

@Rufustherenegadereindeer1

You're right. No defence. I'll behave now even if I'm finding it very, very hard ...

But ... on another note: Monty Python sure is good stuff. Never gets old. Might as well laugh at that if we can't get answers on Brexit.

Rufustherenegadereindeer1 · 29/10/2017 12:06

olivia

Thanks not meaning to have a pop..honestly

Its just giving them more ammunition for the whole 'remainers are so mean' schtick they have going

OliviaD68 · 29/10/2017 11:55

@Moussemoose

Now that's unfair: getting Greeks to pay taxes is like asking Trump or BoJo to tell the truth.

When I was working in Greece my understanding is that Greece had hired Germans to help with their tax collection processes. Or at least some Germans were seconded to Greece to help. They found massive disorganisation - eg shopping carts (yes the kind you shop in) full of tax returns in a basement - so complete disorganisation and lack of record keeping.

So my very basic understanding is a lack of operational competence as part of a broader theme of rampant mismanagement.

So to start they would need to get themselves organised before they could even think about enforcement.

But I am no tax collection expert and have heard this only second hand. However, this does not sound unreasonable given other things I experienced in my four months on the ground. Perfectly reasonable expectation.

Moussemoose · 29/10/2017 11:48

Less Monty Python and more like Alice Through the Looking Glass.

Keep it up Olivia it makes me laughGrin

Anyway I'm waiting to find out how a different plan would have made Greeks pay taxes.