I am not an expert on it, but if anyone leaves the EU, I think it will be France and if it does the shockwaves will be so huge that the fissures will destroy the entire EU and other countries will follow very quickly.
'We have a minor earthquake in France. A party committed to withdrawal from the euro, the restoration of French franc, and the complete destruction of monetary union has just defeated the establishment in the Brignoles run-off election.
It is threatening Frexit as well, which rather alters the political chemistry of Britain's EU referendum.'
....
'I am watching this with curiosity, since Marine Le Pen told me in June that her first order of business on setting foot in the Elysee Palace (if elected) would be to announce a referendum on membership of the European Union, with a "rendez-vous" one year later:
I will negotiate over the points on which there can be no compromise. If the result is inadequate, I will call for withdrawal. Europe is just a great bluff. On one side there is the immense power of sovereign peoples, and on the other side are a few technocrats
...
" France is not a country that can accept tutelage from Brussels ."
Officials will be told to draw up plans for the restoration of the franc. Eurozone leaders will face a stark choice: either work with France for a "sortie concerted" or coordinated EMU break-up: or await their fate in a disorderly collapse
" We cannot be seduced. The euro ceases to exist the moment that France leaves, and that is our incredible strength. What are they going to do, send in tanks? "
Her four sticking points on EU membership are withdrawal from the currency, the restoration of French border control, the primacy of French law, and what she calls "economic patriotism", the power for France to pursue "intelligent protectionism" and safeguard its social model. "I cannot imagine running economic policy without full control over our own money," she said.
...
'It is now highly likely that the Front will sweep the European elections next May, a vote perfectly suited to their agenda. It will not be alone. Euro-sceptics look poised to storm the Strasbourg Hemicycle. That will be another fact on the ground.
The worst fears of the EU elites are starting to come true. It is entirely their own fault .'
blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100025783/time-to-take-bets-on-frexit-and-the-french-franc/
France historically cannot be controlled or subjugated by a tiny technocratic elite of puppets who work for a handful of plutocrats. The French had a revolution to overthrow a previous aristocratic elite.
The tiny puppets and popinjays and ex-polytechnic lecturers and ex-barristers will have to accept France's terms, but these terms are against everything that their plutocratic banking masters had planned for the European people and for their global order. What will happen?
As Le Pen asked 'What are they going to do, send in tanks?'
I wouldn't put it past them, because they are witnessing the end of their dreams and plans and the decline of their grip on power. Whatever happens, France and the French people will win.
" The worst fears of the EU elites are starting to come true "
It's coming to a head and the puppets are shaking. At Davos and elsewhere the puppets and their masters speak of nothing else.
'And I’ll reiterate a personal view of mine, that while I think that I’m fairly well read up on most things political (and financial), I on balance cannot form a view on in or out, because no bugger has laid out all the facts before me.'
The only fact worth considering is that being in strips us of our democratic right to make our own laws and determine our own fate and make our own rules on whether our rivers can be dredged and how the silt from them will be disposed of and whether the eco-habitat of the 'Depressed River Mussel' shpuld prevent dredging and whether we should cripple our industries with their carbon taxes.
The whole thing is coming to an end and the entire class pf puppets who have fed at the trough will lose.