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Politics

Very good critical analysis of the current economic crisis we're in

70 replies

ttosca · 30/05/2011 20:01

From Crisis to Slump - James Meadway:

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CogitoErgoSometimes · 01/06/2011 21:59

The financial crisis contributed to a downturn in tax revenues but prior to 2008 the finance sector led the boom both through lending and through tax contributions. We should have been running a fat surplus if Brown had stuck to his promised 'Golden Rule', not a deficit at all

But whatever happened or didn't happen in 2008, the bald truth is that there is a lot less money coming into the system. Tax rises and public spending cuts were on the cards whoever was at the helm. I don't think invoking socialism is the answer. Look at Spain's socialist worker government struggling to appease the people and balance the books at the same time - and failing on both counts.

ttosca · 01/06/2011 21:38

I think 'the cuts' and 'the banking crisis' are two separate issues. It keeps getting dumbed-down to the populus that everything would be peachy if only the banks were better managed, paying more back into society or giving up bonuses... but it ain't that simple. The cuts aren't being implemented to pay for the banking crisis, past or future. They are being implemented, together with tax-rises, to balance the national books better and reduce the deficit - the ongoing difference between tax revenues and government spending. They don't eliminate the deficit, not even close. And they don't do anything to reduce the national debt whatsoever.

Well, you're wrong, because the deficit was at 3% before the financial crisis. It was the financial crisis which caused it to jump to 11% and made interest payments unpayable.

The UK doesn't spend that much on public spending. For example on health, in 2007, it spent (as a percentage of GDP), the same as Malta and Portugal, and less than:

Iceland, France, Norway, Germany, Austria, Palestine, Sweden, Luxembourg, Denmark, Timor, Malawi, and São Tomé and Principe.

www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0934554.html

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ttosca · 01/06/2011 21:33

Ttocsa - what makes you think that it is possible to engineer economic crisis out of the system?

I don't. Crisis is endemic to Capitalism.

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complimentary · 01/06/2011 09:23

Butler.

complimentary · 01/06/2011 09:23

Oh dear....zzzzzz another case of class war!Grin As he says 'the answer is socialism' I thought these old dinosaurs were as dead as the dodo. When I and others see he's from Socialist Worker,we switch off and demand my butler bring me another g&t!Grin

CogitoErgoSometimes · 31/05/2011 10:05

I think 'the cuts' and 'the banking crisis' are two separate issues. It keeps getting dumbed-down to the populus that everything would be peachy if only the banks were better managed, paying more back into society or giving up bonuses... but it ain't that simple. The cuts aren't being implemented to pay for the banking crisis, past or future. They are being implemented, together with tax-rises, to balance the national books better and reduce the deficit - the ongoing difference between tax revenues and government spending. They don't eliminate the deficit, not even close. And they don't do anything to reduce the national debt whatsoever.

Reorganising the banks so that they are more stable makes sense. Setting up self-financing funds so that they don't expect bail-outs in future makes sense. However, depositors' money has to be protected. People the world over are campaigning not to have capitalism abolished and all work for the collective.... quite the reverse.

TheCoalitionNeedsYou · 31/05/2011 07:47

Ttocsa - what makes you think that it is possible to engineer economic crisis out of the system?

claig · 30/05/2011 23:35

Now I am completely insane.
He believes that that is why the cuts are happening. He doesn't understand why they are really happening. He needs to question why, not just accept that Lehman went bankrupt because of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and accept that cuts are being made because of teh next imminent crisis.

So this movement on the left, does it not include the massive Labour party? How will he achieve success without them?

ttosca · 30/05/2011 23:25

claig

Yes, you do appear to be completely insane - and incoherent.

He is serious, and that's why he doesn't support Ed Milliband, because Ed Milliband is not going to substantially change the system. The two main parties are essentially neo-liberal parties and do not represent any kind of threat to the system or established order.

He is not accepting the rationale for the cuts, for the 100th time. He is saying that we are being told that we must accept the cuts to pay for the crisis. There is a big difference. If you can't understand the difference, perhaps you should stop commenting.

The only thing which can cause drastic social and economic change is great pressure from below - that is, the public rising up and saying that they have had enough.

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claig · 30/05/2011 23:16

He is not serious. he says we have to build a movement "on the left" to "break open the machine". If he was serious he would back Ed Miliband and make sure that Ed miliband was on board to change the system. He is accepting the rationale for the cuts, it's not ideological he says, and without cuts it will happen again he says, and he says teh only thing that can be done is to 'break open the machine'. He's whistling in the wind and has got no chance of 'breaking open teh machine' without the support of people like Ed Miliband, and when he wakes up, he will realise that Ed miliband won't join him either.

claig · 30/05/2011 23:10

Yes, you told me I was once before. I haven't changed, I still am.

QuintessentialOldMoo · 30/05/2011 23:10

buyer. am tipsy. sorry

QuintessentialOldMoo · 30/05/2011 23:09

But more importantly, will property prices come down???

[eager beaver future byer emoticon]

ttosca · 30/05/2011 23:08

Him?!?!

Are you completely paranoid? Are you insane?

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claig · 30/05/2011 23:06

'He's saying that the public are being told the cuts'

Yes but he says that it is true and he says that it is because of the systemic financial system that it is true.

Yes he says we must change the system. We all know that. But he says that Ed won't be able to help. So who is going to change it? Him.

claig · 30/05/2011 23:02

A lot of what he says is right too, and it is interesting. But I think he misses the big picture.

ttosca · 30/05/2011 23:01

Oh my god.

Claig - he's not arguing in support of cuts. He's saying that the public are being told the cuts are necessary because, in reality, little has changed in the finance sector, and another crisis is going to happen and the public will (again) be expected to bail them out.

What he is actually arguing for is a change in the financial system so that another financial crisis cannot occur again: for example, putting back into place the Glass?Steagall_Act which required banks to separate citizen's deposits from casino gambling.

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claig · 30/05/2011 22:42

Yes he swallows teh official line. He believes that Lehman went bankrupt due to the poor people of Atlanta not being able to pay back their sub-prime mortgages. He's probably been reading the Guardian. He believes what Eddie George says that we have to endure cuts or there will be another banking crisis. The Guardian probably quoted that as well. It's the boy who cried wolf syndrome. When is he going to stop believing that, because otherwise we will have to keep enduring cuts and cuts in case the mythical next crash appears. He says it's not ideological and Ed Miliband can't make a difference. If Ed can't make a difference, then who can? Who is going to wave the magic wand and fix teh "systemic" problem? He doesn't understand the real politics behind it. He reads too much of teh Guardian.

ttosca · 30/05/2011 21:49

No claig. That's wrong. He's saying that the Capitalist class wants to implement cuts in order so that the government will have money to bail out the banks again when the next crisis occurs (and which is expected to occur).

He also says that the problem is systemtic and that another crisis cannot be avoided until changes are made to the system which will prevent the same sort of gambling occurring again.

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claig · 30/05/2011 21:20

He says the cuts are not ideological. He agrees with Eddie George that we have to have the cuts in case there is another banking crisis around the corner.