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Politics

See all MNHQ comments on this thread

AV or not ?

334 replies

theoldbrigade · 20/04/2011 19:00

Thoughts please.

OP posts:
GiddyPickle · 05/05/2011 11:33

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Tw1nkle · 05/05/2011 11:28

IF AV gets accepted:
Do we know how the results will be published?
Will we see how many people voted for the least popular etc?
Or will we just be told the result?
I'd find it really interesting to see how it was worked out each election (i'm like that!!)
Thanks.

trouble2plus2 · 05/05/2011 11:20

What we all want from voting is a system that elects a non-corrupt, selfless candidate who most of us are happy(ish) with, and a body of MPs that more or less reflects the people of the country we live in. What the issue is, is that the candidates themselves are not always of this demographic, and it produces a body of MPs which is not representative of society (this is obvious in the gender balance alone, and dont get me started on the class thing).

However, unless an AV system encourages more representative and selfless people to put themselves up a candidate, then I dont see how this issue is resolved. I don't see the point in spending money and confusing the electorate to just get the same, or broadly same, result.

On the other hand, I dont want this opportunity to tell government that we want change, no matter how little, to pass me by. The question is whether its worth changing an established, well-understood method just to 'sock it to the tories' - as much as I would love to, I'm still not convinced by the entire 'Yes' argument.

Today, I might just stay at home and play with my babies - much more interesting..........

sieglinde · 05/05/2011 10:52

Giddy, I don't think there's ANY evidence that Australia wants to get rid of AV. Nimpy et al, think this makes little sense. Everyone's vote only gets counted ONCE in the final total. I lived in Oz for many years, and an unpopular fringe party - Pauline Hansen - was EASILY seen off. Anyway, Nick Griffin likes FPTP....

DuelingFanjo · 05/05/2011 10:46

ok, I have changed my mind to yes after reading this unless someone can pick holes in it?

bagpusss · 05/05/2011 10:39

Yes to AV, if only to get the inertia out of the electoral system. Of course AV is far from ideal in terms of electoral reform, but still, get those politicians thinking about it!

DuelingFanjo · 05/05/2011 10:39

Are we the only country in the entire European Union that chooses MPs with a FPTP system?

GiddyPickle · 05/05/2011 10:34

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WinkyWinkola · 05/05/2011 09:43

Well, even if the YES vote wins (which it won't), the Tories will find some way not to implement AV. They can't afford to let a truly representative democracy emerge, even bit by bit because that would mean they would rarely be, if ever, in power again.

AnonymousBird · 05/05/2011 09:23

No, no and no once again.

CaroBeaner · 05/05/2011 09:16

There will be twice as much counting to do, and time is money - of course it will be expensive.

That's FINE, and right if it is a good system, but I don't happen to believe it is.

'lie' is a very big and cross word to use!

Anyway, my vote is cast.....

Paul88 · 05/05/2011 09:12

AV is not hugely expensive - that is a LIE. It will take a bit longer to count in some constituencies. Big deal. It is fairer - you want it to be cheaper too?

CaroBeaner · 05/05/2011 08:55

Unless that small step is seen as 'good enough' and takes the pressure off.

AV is hugely expensive, doesn't solve any existing problems,and diverts the focus away from meaningful change as much as it acts as a stepping stone.

In encouraging politicians to say what the people who don't really want them want to hear, it will turn politics into even more of a marketing campaign - I would rather have politicians who say what they really mean than what opponents want to hear.

Tw1nkle · 05/05/2011 08:54

If AV goes ahead, surely the smaller parties would benefit?
I'd vote for my preference first (which could be a small party), then for who i would have voted for with FPTP.

So surely AV is better for the smaller parties (although it will probably have the same result as FPTP)?

interregnum · 05/05/2011 08:46

Av is not fair either,- yes but it is the only offer on the table, and is slightly fairer than Fptp

They aren't going to leap from a referendum on AV to one on PR, -yes but if we show there is some appetite for change, the debate wiil be kept alive
when the No vote wins there wont even be 25-30 years of AV,

The longest journey always begins with a small step.

Paul88 · 05/05/2011 08:42

AV is the fairest way to elect a single representative from a field of more than two. FPTP is a less good way to do this. That is today's choice.

For those like Giddy who really want PR - we don't know what will happen next but I for one think we are much more likely to get future change if we vote for some change now - not to keep the status quo.

GiddyPickle · 05/05/2011 08:37

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GiddyPickle · 05/05/2011 08:32

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interregnum · 05/05/2011 00:42

The NO campaign is going to win, and I must say how disillusioned I am with
the British public. I always thought we stood for certain principles , truth
justice and fairness.In the last 40 years almost 50% of constituencies have not changed hands, if you live in Caerphilly and vote Tory, or Chichester and vote Labour you might as well stay at home. I know who is going to win
in my constituency next time, yet if I moved 20 miles down the road , my vote would count for something.
In the NHS postcode lottery over the supply of cancer drugs no one thought
the remedy was for cancer patients to move house to get treatment , yet
that is what I need to do to get a vote to mean something.
If the No vote wins, as Miliband said today no political party wil go near this issue for a longtime, one chance to start down the road to a fairer voting system is going to be rejected, and probably the only chance you will get
for the rest of your life.
Ironically the politicians who want you to vote for fptp, know it is not fair,
when they start with a blank sheet of paper they always come up with some form of PR, from voting for their Party leaders to voting in the Scottish, Welsh, NI or European Parlaments.

So if you vote NO remember the next time that you moan about some inequality in society be it bankers bonus or getting your child into the school
you wanted , you had a chance however small and insignificant it might be to start to make an unfair system just a teensy bit fairer and didn't bother.

NimpyWindowmash · 05/05/2011 00:03

Ok maybe it just feels unfair - my maths isn't too good. I'm really not sure now but I'd better get some sleep.

Missingfriendsandsad · 04/05/2011 23:52

Remember 1. the no campaign is financed by tory backers - they are from a class that thinks that people who didn't go to private school are a) can't make decisions (though the evidence is often the opposite) and b) to stupid to notice when they are being lied to - that is why the No campaign has been selling lies -

  1. The idea that AV leads to coalitions is nonsense - it actually magnifies landslides (dramatic switches in public viewpoint). This fundamental misunderstanding is based on lies put about by the NO campaign and internally in the tory party by MPs who were opposed to letting the country decide at all.
  1. The economist dramatically misunderstood some key 'facts' about AV, and based their whole leader and two articles on one piece of discredited research from the University of Essex. This was a big mistake and in my view totally discredits the Economist - the Financial Times has understood AV and is supporting a YES vote, and has written appropriately on the pitfalls of each. There are many inaccuracies in their articles on AV - factul ones, not opinion ones, that I will be writing a letter to them about. I will also be cancelling my subscription - not because of their choice but because these articles on a key subject were either biased or ill-informed or both which is not what I buy the paper for. (the times I will still read because although it is NO and pedalling similar misunderstandings its a) what I expected and b) I regard it anyway as less rigorous than the economist - I was wrong in that!!
  1. Nimpy it might seem unfair, but it isn't. You are expressing a preference of where your vote should go in the final count.

Someone voting for a party that is not eliminated is effectively saying:

My first preference is that my vote goes to Funny Juggler
at Round 2. Funny Juggler hasn't lost the first round, the election has not produced a winner, so I would still like my vote to go to Funny Juggler
at Round 3. Funny Juggler is still in! go juggler! I would still like my vote to go to Funny Juggler
at Last round: The election has not produced a winner, Funny Juggler
is one of the two stongest candidates and I would still like my vote to go to Funny Juggler.

Someone voting for a party that is eliminated in the second round, who had expressed a second preference is saying:

My first preference is that my vote goes to Surprisingly Good Singer. when votes are counted:
at Round 2: Surprisingly Good Singer hasn't lost but the election has not produced a winner, so I would still like my vote to go to Surprisingly Good Singer
at Round 3: Surprisingly Good Singer has lost! she has been eliminated, but there is still no winner, because its not the final, so I can't vote for her in this round or later rounds. Because I can't vote for Surprisingly Good Singer, so I would like my vote to go to Dance Toupe from South London.
at last round - Dance Toupe from South London is in the final! One of the strongest candidates!!! I would still like my vote to be with Dance Toupe from South London!

That is a much fairer system than first past the post because it means that someone can say 'I would really like Dance Toupe from South London until they are eliminated, then their vote is switched when the 'final' is announced. This happens in so many sports, talent shows, etc (especially ones where simon cowell is involved) because elimination voting gets the biggest crowd behind each candidate which is what politics should be about.

(in x-factor the winner with the biggest support is the one that sells the most records ireespective of whether someone really liked Jedward or whatever...

Donki · 04/05/2011 23:48

Nimpy.
Surely, if a party has already reached over 50% of the votes, then it doesn't matter how the rest of the votes are re-distributed. They can't add up to more than 50% as well? (Unless my maths is totally up the creek. But then I am very tired!)

NimpyWindowmash · 04/05/2011 23:01

But if your choice comes 3rd, it's not counting is it, just because a party has reached 50%, your second vote is never counted. If, as a losing vote, it was redistributed, it could have left to a different party winning, if libdems were on 40, then 10% labour redistributed to libdems could have helped libdems to 50. But the vote for the 3rd placed party is given less power for being 3rd than the losing votes that came 4th or 5th. That, to me, seems unfair.

Paul88 · 04/05/2011 22:32

In your example, if the Tories can get to 50% without LD or Labour being redistributed, face it, Labour never stood a chance. Tory would clearly beat any other party in a head to head in this constituency. In fact Tory wins under both FPTP and AV. How can you say AV is less fair?

All ballot papers count once, in every count. If your first choice is eliminated, your second choice is counted. If your first choice is not eliminated, it is still being counted. Every ballot paper counts equally.

NimpyWindowmash · 04/05/2011 22:13

I am voting No, basically because I find it unfair.
For example, let's say if you vote Labour 1st choice, and Labour come third on first choice votes, with Tory first, LibDem second. Then maybe some smaller parties get eliminated, and then their votes are redistributed, then with all these second choices counted, eg UKIP, independent, BNP, or whatever, the Tory candidate reaches 50%, so as a Labour voter, your second choice never gets counted, but the second choice of people who chose say, ukip or bnp does get counted. I'm not sure if this is a realistic example or not, but on principle, I just feel it's wrong that one person's preference has been given more weight than another's. I don't think FPTP is that great either, but I don't want to switch to a less fair system.

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