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Politics

Economy shrinks by 0.5%. Georgie is blaming the weather

36 replies

LadyBlaBlah · 25/01/2011 11:07

A great opportunity for Georgie to repeat a pun of "we will not be blown off course by bad weather". He has said it 4 times already in a single interview. Seems a lame excuse - there is never just one factor.

He doesn't dare mention that elusive word confidence

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Remotew · 25/01/2011 22:16

I just cannot see that what they are doing is helping the economy or the deficit. Suppose time will tell.

huddspur · 25/01/2011 22:13

The figures we've seen for the end of last year are worrying, if you take out the cold weather then we had a growth rate of 0% and stagnation according the ONS. Inflation is far too high, unemployment is also rising and the borrowing figures for November and December were eyewatering.
I think everyone expected the recovery to be choppy but the problem is many of the economic indicators ain't looking clever at the moment. Hopefully the growth will increase when the ONS revises them in the coming weeks

Niceguy2 · 25/01/2011 22:10

Nice guy, so this was deliberate and according to plan?

claig · 25/01/2011 19:14

I think the weather must have had an effect. Gideon probably believed the socialist weather doom-mongers, the "50 days left to save the planet" global warming evangelists. He probably made the common mistake of believing them, and didn't foresee the coldest winter since records began.

nagynolonger · 25/01/2011 15:49

Gideon?

Anyone who wanted to spend money on extra food and gifts would have found a way to do so.......If they have the money of course!

Some shops will have suffered and others, maybe local businesses will have done better.

He can't use the weather as an excuse.

MilaMae · 25/01/2011 15:12

Abouteve I totally agree, the phrase Loose Cannon comes to mind. It's quite scary to be frank.

Remotew · 25/01/2011 15:09

Nice guy, so this was deliberate and according to plan? I don't think so. They lack vision about how their policies will affect the economy, unless they are setting out to mess things up even further. If so then they should be gotten out, asap.

mamatomany · 25/01/2011 15:09

Well I ordered 90% of my shopping online and it all arrived safely so I can only conclude it's confidence that is the problem not the weather.
We were also given a lot of money for presents all of which was spent on big ticket items, I'm doing my bit.

LilyBolero · 25/01/2011 15:04

I agree with what Ed Balls said - "Don't blame the weather, Get a plan B FAST".

Niceguy2 · 25/01/2011 14:53

Nearly everybody I know planned to spend less for 2 reasons 1)they were broke already 2)they were worried about what further cuts are to come.

MilaMae · 25/01/2011 14:03

Every single thing I ordered got there on time even forgotten jellybeans for the stockings I ordered very last minute.

I buy a lot of toys online and all the companies I use had a very generous guaranteed deadline to order by. Not one said don't order we can't deliver.

Where I live the roads were only unroadworthy for 3 days(2 if you had a deathwish). You just re-schedule or buy something different. I spend the same amount on everybody every year, a bit of snow won't change that cuts do.

Who are these people completely snowed in for 3 months Hmm?

Nearly everybody I know planned to spend less for 2 reasons 1)they were broke already 2)they were worried about what further cuts are to come.

As I said on the other thread it's going to get a whole lot worse it can't possibly not. The gov really seem to think their slash and burn policy will have people moaning but still spending to fund the growth they want,not going to happen.

My concern is why the gov seem so surprised. Their lack of foresight is seriously worrying.

Remotew · 25/01/2011 13:49

I'm the most last minute person when it comes to Christmas shopping but must have ordered stuff on-line in good time this year as I received everything. We were hit with heavy snow twice in December but I somehow managed to spend as usual.

I will not be spending anything that isn't absolutely necessary in the next few months and reckon alot of people may feel the same. Be interesting to see what the growth figures are for the next quarter.

LilyBolero · 25/01/2011 12:44

Perhaps they will finally realise that you can 'do' economics by just saying the same thing over and over and hoping that makes it true (eg Child benefit cuts - tough but fair....but they're not fair....they're TOUGH but FAIR).

Or perhaps that is just hoping too much.

sfxmum · 25/01/2011 12:25

I don't think there is any doubt that there will be a double dip recession, stronger excuses for deeper cuts too and we are all in this together Hmm bless

LadyBlaBlah · 25/01/2011 12:24

Einstein also said "Anyone who doesn't take truth seriously in small matters cannot be trusted in large ones either"

The snow, my arse.

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sfxmum · 25/01/2011 12:23

you can do the same thing over and over again and expect different results if ' the same thing' is done under different circunstances/conditions , I would guess, plently of factors can affect outcome

LilyBolero · 25/01/2011 12:19

lol @ Einstein

If the next quarter shows contraction, then we're back in recession. Perhaps then Gideon might listen....

...but probably not.

Chil1234 · 25/01/2011 12:18

"If they cannot get out they will shop online."

I know that December is a long time ago but don't you remember the major problems caused by the backlog of parcels and gifts not arriving in time for Christmas? Many were cancelled or returned. Many didn't even bother ordering. And supermarket online orders couldn't get through either.

OhYouBadBadKitten · 25/01/2011 12:14

snorted on my tea at 'Einstein's definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results..' How true!

LadyBlaBlah · 25/01/2011 12:10

Einstein's definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results..........

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sfxmum · 25/01/2011 12:08

well to be fair, as much as I dislike him, the weather was a big factor not to mention all the illnesses about, it certainly affected my spending

Remotew · 25/01/2011 12:06

It was before Christmas one of the busiest in the retail calender. People will buy under normal circumstances whatever they weather. If they cannot get out they will shop online.

Cannot remember his name but an outgoing business leader said just yesterday that this government lack vision. Basically they are cutting this and that for ideological reasons and they haven't a clue what they are doing. It doesn't need an expert to tell us this.

LadyBlaBlah · 25/01/2011 12:06

Complex yes, not just about the weather then?

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Niceguy2 · 25/01/2011 12:01

This really is a storm in a teacup.

We're talking about the UK economy. One of the largest in the world. As such its complex. We've got one set of unexpected figures of 0.5% (0% if you exclude the weather) over 3 months and people are using it to claim the cuts are all wrong.

The only thing which matter is the long term trend, not a one off set of figures. If the next one is bad....and the one after that. Then perhaps that will be more proof.

To be frank, given the cuts and uncertainty in the air right now, I'm surprised it was 0% at all.

I always thought the prospect of a double dip recession was likely no matter who was in charge or what came out of the poltician's mouths. You can't slash public spending by over 25% and not expect a short term blip.

mycounty · 25/01/2011 11:59

The weather is 'partly' to blame as people couldn't get out to waste their money!