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Conflict in the Middle East

UN Security Council to vote on Strait of Hormuz

269 replies

Twiglets1 · 03/04/2026 07:55

The UN Security Council’s vote on a proposal to ensure the safety of ships in the Strait of Hormuz has been rescheduled from Friday to Saturday, according to media reports.

The council’s 15 members are set to vote on a resolution from Bahrain aimed at protecting commercial shipping in the critical waterway, which usually carries about one-fifth of global oil and natural gas supplies.

The Associated Press and Reuters news agencies have reported that a draft resolution includes text authorising countries “to use all defensive means necessary” to protect commercial shipping.

The proposal is considered unlikely to pass, as China, a veto-wielding permanent member of the council, has made it clear that it opposes any resolution that mentions the use of force.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/2/iran-war-live-trump-to-address-nation-tehran-denies-seeking-ceasefire

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rainingsnoring · 04/04/2026 09:40

EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 09:39

No. There’s nothing stopping the pp posting the name of a reputable index that shows what they think is the case.

The UK is a democracy in any reputable index despite posters listing various elements.

We don't need 'a reputable index' or a large quote from The Telegraph in order to debate and consider this topic or other topics. They don't disprove the points being raised. See my post above.

EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 09:39

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 09:35

Didn't @RedTagAlan explain why they couldn't comply with the request?

On undemocratic UK institutions. The House of Lords.

No. There’s nothing stopping the pp posting the name of a reputable index that shows what they think is the case.

The UK is a democracy in any reputable index despite posters listing various elements.

rainingsnoring · 04/04/2026 09:38

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 09:24

Threads are bestest when they stray into more interesting territory.😎

@Twiglets1 what @RedTagAlan is saying about democracy is that it hangs on the parameters used for definition in the index. I would add that methodology is also relevant.
As an aside re definitions, China is now being described as an example of 'authoritarian capitalism'. From what I witnessed there in 2008, I agree.

Disclaimer, before I get accused of something or another again. 🙄
I believe that the UK is fighting to remain a functioning democracy but several undemocratic practices do exist. #fptp

It might be useful to look at what the word Democracy actually means. It means 'people rule' or 'power of the people'.

This implies that the country is governed in a way that the majority approve of; that the politicians acively pursue policies that represent the citizens's wishes. It also means that everyone is equal in front of the law and also involves freedom of speech.

I would argue that these tenants of democracy no longer apply to most Western countries without reservation.
There is a strong likelihood that the US and other Western countries will become more authoritarian as time goes on and the governments continue to fail.
This is all very much following the pattern of a Fourth Turning so, frustrating and upsetting as it is, it is expected.

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 09:35

EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 09:27

And @Twiglets1is asking for a reputable index that uses any other parameters that underpins their thinking.

Didn't @RedTagAlan explain why they couldn't comply with the request?

On undemocratic UK institutions. The House of Lords.

EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 09:27

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 09:24

Threads are bestest when they stray into more interesting territory.😎

@Twiglets1 what @RedTagAlan is saying about democracy is that it hangs on the parameters used for definition in the index. I would add that methodology is also relevant.
As an aside re definitions, China is now being described as an example of 'authoritarian capitalism'. From what I witnessed there in 2008, I agree.

Disclaimer, before I get accused of something or another again. 🙄
I believe that the UK is fighting to remain a functioning democracy but several undemocratic practices do exist. #fptp

And @Twiglets1is asking for a reputable index that uses any other parameters that underpins their thinking.

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 09:24

Threads are bestest when they stray into more interesting territory.😎

@Twiglets1 what @RedTagAlan is saying about democracy is that it hangs on the parameters used for definition in the index. I would add that methodology is also relevant.
As an aside re definitions, China is now being described as an example of 'authoritarian capitalism'. From what I witnessed there in 2008, I agree.

Disclaimer, before I get accused of something or another again. 🙄
I believe that the UK is fighting to remain a functioning democracy but several undemocratic practices do exist. #fptp

EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 09:18

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 09:15

Yup… it’s a strange thing for someone to question. Just because the UK is starting to take a stricter stance on hate speech or marching in support of terrorists that doesn’t somehow mean we’re no longer a democracy.

Living in a democracy doesn’t mean you can say and do exactly what you want! No functioning society allows that.

It’s also odd to go there in response to proscription laws. We have an effective legal system and framework to deal with support for those orgs, and we’re a democracy.

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 09:16

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:46

Show me a reputable index that doesn't class the UK as a democracy.

Democracy ? But we were discussing authoritarianism.

Anyway, I don't think I can. Because... ahem... limited internet. I am amazed I got that authoritarianism index as it is.

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 09:15

EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 09:05

I don’t think that exists. They’ll all show the same re U.K. being a democracy.

Yup… it’s a strange thing for someone to question. Just because the UK is starting to take a stricter stance on hate speech or marching in support of terrorists that doesn’t somehow mean we’re no longer a democracy.

Living in a democracy doesn’t mean you can say and do exactly what you want! No functioning society allows that.

OP posts:
RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 09:08

rainingsnoring · 04/04/2026 08:56

Thank you for the explanation. I had looked it up but wasn't sure it applied in the specific case.

I should have said sorry, it might not be a correct term. It's something we talk about in a group I am in. But the term works I think. "vote harvesting" might be better though ?

rainingsnoring · 04/04/2026 09:07

BelleHathor · 04/04/2026 08:22

Iran has an extremely longgggggg memory. People tend to forget that Iran was occupied during both World War 1 and World War 2 by the allies.

Their first democratically elected leader was removed after an American/UK led coup jn 1953 under operation Ajax, where local Iranian youth were paid to start riots (sound familiar?) and an unpopular British selected Shah was reinstalled.

Due to this Iranians are fiercely independent, Putin revealed that they didn't even sign the mutual agreement with Russia until January this year and even doing that was fiercely debated within Iran. The weapons they use are mostly produced in Iran, this is to avoid the situation like during the Iraq war where due to sanctions they were unable to use their American bought weapons as they needed spare parts. It also reduces the leverage their allies have to pressure them by threatening to withdraw weapons/assistance.

On the PRC, I think you misunderstand them, yes the horrors Japanese occupation inflicted on the Chinese people during WW2 were horrific (comfort women etc.) and are not forgotten.

However hatred/revenge does not drive their foreign policy. A strong prosperous Japan that can buy Chinese products (ironically things like TVs that Japan used to be famous for) and is also questioning the utility of having American bases in Japan is far more important in the long run.

One of the Colonel's that I listen to said that a mistake we make in the West when thinking about our "adversaries" is that we attribute behaviour to them that we would do. Example: Logically now would be the best time for XI to "take back" Taiwan as that's what we would do.

Interesting, thank you.

I totally agree with you on this.

'One of the Colonel's that I listen to said that a mistake we make in the West when thinking about our "adversaries" is that we attribute behaviour to them that we would do. Example: Logically now would be the best time for XI to "take back" Taiwan as that's what we would do'

and this in your subsequent post:

Yes, a joke between be and my friends on XI, "is do nothing and win". Meaning his strategic patience knowing that China is on America's list to be "contained" is fascinating. I am more hot headed, so if I were China my flags would be flying in Taiwan right now. However XI seems to be pursuing a slowly, slowly they'll rejoin naturally process aka the 100 year plan.

The West fails to understand other cultures repeatedly and also assumes that they are superior in every regard. It is a serious flaw. I certainly don't pretend to have an understanding of lots of cultures but I am a mixture of European and Asian myself so have more understanding than many Brits and am generally more open minded in this regard. I expect you have heard this Chinese proverb, attributed to Sun Tzu: 'If you wait by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies will float by'. This and what you said above are great concepts.

EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 09:05

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:46

Show me a reputable index that doesn't class the UK as a democracy.

I don’t think that exists. They’ll all show the same re U.K. being a democracy.

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 09:02

BelleHathor · 04/04/2026 08:22

Iran has an extremely longgggggg memory. People tend to forget that Iran was occupied during both World War 1 and World War 2 by the allies.

Their first democratically elected leader was removed after an American/UK led coup jn 1953 under operation Ajax, where local Iranian youth were paid to start riots (sound familiar?) and an unpopular British selected Shah was reinstalled.

Due to this Iranians are fiercely independent, Putin revealed that they didn't even sign the mutual agreement with Russia until January this year and even doing that was fiercely debated within Iran. The weapons they use are mostly produced in Iran, this is to avoid the situation like during the Iraq war where due to sanctions they were unable to use their American bought weapons as they needed spare parts. It also reduces the leverage their allies have to pressure them by threatening to withdraw weapons/assistance.

On the PRC, I think you misunderstand them, yes the horrors Japanese occupation inflicted on the Chinese people during WW2 were horrific (comfort women etc.) and are not forgotten.

However hatred/revenge does not drive their foreign policy. A strong prosperous Japan that can buy Chinese products (ironically things like TVs that Japan used to be famous for) and is also questioning the utility of having American bases in Japan is far more important in the long run.

One of the Colonel's that I listen to said that a mistake we make in the West when thinking about our "adversaries" is that we attribute behaviour to them that we would do. Example: Logically now would be the best time for XI to "take back" Taiwan as that's what we would do.

I am gonna disagree with you re much of what you say re the PRC I am afraid.

There is very much a very active spat going on with Japan just now, things the Japanese PM said about TW. And re WW2, the Party does not allow it to be forgotten. There were horrors. And for the CPC it is not over.

Re US troops in Japan. The PRC did claim Okinawa. Then they dropped their claim, but there is a possible build up to the claim being made again.

Yes, this is the time for Uncle Xi to plan to take TW. All thanks to Trump not having a clue. Yup, "take back" should be in parenthesis, because it was never part of the PRC. And nor was the South China Sea.

But not enough space here, and likely too far off topic :-)

rainingsnoring · 04/04/2026 08:56

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 07:57

Vote farming is just where countries "buy" UN votes. See the PRC belt and road thing. It's not often in mainstream news, but is among "China watchers". China for example is trying to get the UN Human Rights stuff changed. And it needs votes. One of the things it wants to change is to add "access to high speed rail" as a Human right. The right to "live peacefully and have a stable Government". Yup. They really do.

Also access to resources and all that, but UN votes are very sought after if one does not have many pals in the world.

Thank you for the explanation. I had looked it up but wasn't sure it applied in the specific case.

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:46

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 08:43

I made a point when I posted that link that different indexes used different metrics and get different results. I not repeat that here as I rather took that as a given that people knew that.

Show me a reputable index that doesn't class the UK as a democracy.

OP posts:
BelleHathor · 04/04/2026 08:44

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 08:34

One of the Colonel's that I listen to said that a mistake we make in the West when thinking about our "adversaries" is that we attribute behaviour to them that we would do. Example: Logically now would be the best time for XI to "take back" Taiwan as that's what we would do.

I'm interested in Chinese culture and have to constantly remind friends that they don't think like us. I once mentioned 30 year business planning to a Chinese colleague who replied, it's more like 100 years. #byd

Yes, a joke between be and my friends on XI, "is do nothing and win". Meaning his strategic patience knowing that China is on America's list to be "contained" is fascinating. I am more hot headed, so if I were China my flags would be flying in Taiwan right now. However XI seems to be pursuing a slowly, slowly they'll rejoin naturally process aka the 100 year plan.

Trump has inadvertently helped with this, by failing to protect the GCC countries from attack he's proved that American security guarantees are all but useless.

Additionally by moving the Air Defence systems from South Korea to the Middle East.

Thankfully a lot of debate is happening in Asia with many countries realising that America may be the problem, the US needs a reason to justify their military spending and bases, so perhaps they help sow the discord that creates these problems?

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 08:44

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:33

The Economist Democracy Index divides countries into full democracies, flawed democracies, hybrid regimes and authoritarian regimes.

Examples of full democracies: Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Spain, Greece, Ireland and the UK.

Examples of flawed democracies: India, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, Chile, Israel, Poland, France, Italy, Hungary, Argentina, South Africa and the US.

Examples of hybrid regimes: Romania, Zambia, Peru, Senegal, Mexico, Morocco, Tunisia, Ukraine, Turkey, Bangladesh and Hong Kong.

Examples of authoritarian regimes: Lebanon, Algeria, Palestine, Rwanda, Qatar, UAE, Zimbabwe, Pakistan, Iraq, Egypt, China, Russia, Iran, Syria & Afghanistan.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index

Even though the stats stopped at 2024, I could not help but notice the trend.

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 08:43

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:33

The Economist Democracy Index divides countries into full democracies, flawed democracies, hybrid regimes and authoritarian regimes.

Examples of full democracies: Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Spain, Greece, Ireland and the UK.

Examples of flawed democracies: India, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, Chile, Israel, Poland, France, Italy, Hungary, Argentina, South Africa and the US.

Examples of hybrid regimes: Romania, Zambia, Peru, Senegal, Mexico, Morocco, Tunisia, Ukraine, Turkey, Bangladesh and Hong Kong.

Examples of authoritarian regimes: Lebanon, Algeria, Palestine, Rwanda, Qatar, UAE, Zimbabwe, Pakistan, Iraq, Egypt, China, Russia, Iran, Syria & Afghanistan.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index

I made a point when I posted that link that different indexes used different metrics and get different results. I not repeat that here as I rather took that as a given that people knew that.

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:42

This index backs up my point that the UK is a full democracy @RedTagAlan and every other index (there are several) also puts the UK in the democracy camp. I don't know why you would bother to question this.

You said before that you live somewhere that limits access to full information, though you seem to read a lot of sources for someone with limited access. Maybe that affects how you see democracy but we have a huge amount of freedom around free speech in the UK (just not hate speech).

OP posts:
EasternStandard · 04/04/2026 08:41

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:33

The Economist Democracy Index divides countries into full democracies, flawed democracies, hybrid regimes and authoritarian regimes.

Examples of full democracies: Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Spain, Greece, Ireland and the UK.

Examples of flawed democracies: India, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, Chile, Israel, Poland, France, Italy, Hungary, Argentina, South Africa and the US.

Examples of hybrid regimes: Romania, Zambia, Peru, Senegal, Mexico, Morocco, Tunisia, Ukraine, Turkey, Bangladesh and Hong Kong.

Examples of authoritarian regimes: Lebanon, Algeria, Palestine, Rwanda, Qatar, UAE, Zimbabwe, Pakistan, Iraq, Egypt, China, Russia, Iran, Syria & Afghanistan.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index

Thanks for this

shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 08:34

One of the Colonel's that I listen to said that a mistake we make in the West when thinking about our "adversaries" is that we attribute behaviour to them that we would do. Example: Logically now would be the best time for XI to "take back" Taiwan as that's what we would do.

I'm interested in Chinese culture and have to constantly remind friends that they don't think like us. I once mentioned 30 year business planning to a Chinese colleague who replied, it's more like 100 years. #byd

Twiglets1 · 04/04/2026 08:33

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 04:53

Word salad ?

And I was talking of authoritarianism. Not democracy. A democracy can be authoritarian.

The Economist Democracy Index divides countries into full democracies, flawed democracies, hybrid regimes and authoritarian regimes.

Examples of full democracies: Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Spain, Greece, Ireland and the UK.

Examples of flawed democracies: India, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, Chile, Israel, Poland, France, Italy, Hungary, Argentina, South Africa and the US.

Examples of hybrid regimes: Romania, Zambia, Peru, Senegal, Mexico, Morocco, Tunisia, Ukraine, Turkey, Bangladesh and Hong Kong.

Examples of authoritarian regimes: Lebanon, Algeria, Palestine, Rwanda, Qatar, UAE, Zimbabwe, Pakistan, Iraq, Egypt, China, Russia, Iran, Syria & Afghanistan.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index

The Economist Democracy Index - Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economist_Democracy_Index

OP posts:
shuddacuddadidnt · 04/04/2026 08:22

I agree with others on @BelleHathor's post. It's informative posts like these that enable genuine debate. Both Japan and South Korea face challenging economic conditions directly linked to the war in Iran, not least being the falling value of their respective currencies.
Admist all the pro Trump/US/Israel posturing, we must never forget the plight of ordinary people who are suffering in a war that they didn't start, and don't want.

re UN vote farming, I think of it as being like Fifa, but not as overtly as using bungs in briefcases.

BelleHathor · 04/04/2026 08:22

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 07:35

Quote "During the Saddam Hussein initiated Wsr against Iran in the 1980s, Japan remained neutral, unlike many other countries who helped fund and supplied weapons to Iraq. Japan remained one of Iran’s biggest trading partners continuing to buy Oil, providing a lifeline to buy essentials to support ordinary Iranians."

I never knew that. Thanks for the info.

So based on that, it appears that Iran is not being overly influenced by the PRC, and that they have a long memory. I would say there is near nothing more the PRC would like to see than the Japanese economy collapse.

Iran has an extremely longgggggg memory. People tend to forget that Iran was occupied during both World War 1 and World War 2 by the allies.

Their first democratically elected leader was removed after an American/UK led coup jn 1953 under operation Ajax, where local Iranian youth were paid to start riots (sound familiar?) and an unpopular British selected Shah was reinstalled.

Due to this Iranians are fiercely independent, Putin revealed that they didn't even sign the mutual agreement with Russia until January this year and even doing that was fiercely debated within Iran. The weapons they use are mostly produced in Iran, this is to avoid the situation like during the Iraq war where due to sanctions they were unable to use their American bought weapons as they needed spare parts. It also reduces the leverage their allies have to pressure them by threatening to withdraw weapons/assistance.

On the PRC, I think you misunderstand them, yes the horrors Japanese occupation inflicted on the Chinese people during WW2 were horrific (comfort women etc.) and are not forgotten.

However hatred/revenge does not drive their foreign policy. A strong prosperous Japan that can buy Chinese products (ironically things like TVs that Japan used to be famous for) and is also questioning the utility of having American bases in Japan is far more important in the long run.

One of the Colonel's that I listen to said that a mistake we make in the West when thinking about our "adversaries" is that we attribute behaviour to them that we would do. Example: Logically now would be the best time for XI to "take back" Taiwan as that's what we would do.

RedTagAlan · 04/04/2026 07:57

rainingsnoring · 04/04/2026 07:39

Yes, your last para' makes sense.

I'm not sure what you mean by 'vote farming' in this instance though.
The French seem to have become more dovish. A wise move imo.

Vote farming is just where countries "buy" UN votes. See the PRC belt and road thing. It's not often in mainstream news, but is among "China watchers". China for example is trying to get the UN Human Rights stuff changed. And it needs votes. One of the things it wants to change is to add "access to high speed rail" as a Human right. The right to "live peacefully and have a stable Government". Yup. They really do.

Also access to resources and all that, but UN votes are very sought after if one does not have many pals in the world.

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