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Conflict in the Middle East
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MrsSkylerWhite · 22/06/2025 11:35

ChocolateGanache · 22/06/2025 09:52

Fucking maniac.

Unfortunately, not the only one in this scenario.

I certainly wouldn’t be poking at a leader and armed forces who believe that they will be martyred if they die after I had publicly promised a two week pause to come to the table.

Humanity really doesn’t learn, does it?

Growlybear83 · 22/06/2025 11:29

IToldYouSoSee · 22/06/2025 10:56

The US is the biggest threat to world peace, as long as they are led by Trump. All of us will now pay for his egotistical madness.

I agree with you that the US is a huge threat to world peace, but not as much so as Israel. The alliance between Trump and Netanyahu is quite chilling.

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 11:27

BelleHathor · 22/06/2025 11:22

No problem at all MushMonster, it's an extremely complicated situation.

Thankfully, there are a lot of Military and Geopolitical people that have been breaking it down for us normies. I learned the difference between liquid fuel and solid fuel rockets this week lol!

On USA vs Iran, America has lost every wargame played against Iran. They would need a ground force of over 1 million soldiers if they wanted to invade due to the terrain. Iran also has whole underground cities so an air campaign would have limited effect on Military assets.

Read up on the Millennium challenge :
https://mackenzieinstitute.com/2023/11/a-250-million-war-game-and-its-shocking-outcome/

https://nationalsecurityjournal.org/i-fought-a-u-s-war-against-iran-in-a-simulator-it-ended-badly/

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/i-fought-a-war-against-iran-and-it-ended-badly/

Why would this be wanted? Terrain warfare that is

BelleHathor · 22/06/2025 11:22

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 11:11

Thank you @BelleHathor
It is just so complex and.... irrational!

No problem at all MushMonster, it's an extremely complicated situation.

Thankfully, there are a lot of Military and Geopolitical people that have been breaking it down for us normies. I learned the difference between liquid fuel and solid fuel rockets this week lol!

On USA vs Iran, America has lost every wargame played against Iran. They would need a ground force of over 1 million soldiers if they wanted to invade due to the terrain. Iran also has whole underground cities so an air campaign would have limited effect on Military assets.

Read up on the Millennium challenge :
https://mackenzieinstitute.com/2023/11/a-250-million-war-game-and-its-shocking-outcome/

https://nationalsecurityjournal.org/i-fought-a-u-s-war-against-iran-in-a-simulator-it-ended-badly/

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/i-fought-a-war-against-iran-and-it-ended-badly/

A $250 Million War Game and Its Shocking Outcome

https://mackenzieinstitute.com/2023/11/a-250-million-war-game-and-its-shocking-outcome/

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 11:11

Thank you @BelleHathor
It is just so complex and.... irrational!

BelleHathor · 22/06/2025 11:06

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 10:45

So, they were due a follow up meeting to their negotiations on the Sunday, with Trump. But Israel attacked on Friday.

It is really impossible for us to tell, because each of the parties has their version of events. But they were talking. That was happening.
Iran left one of the big nuclear deals during Trump first term and Trump was, in theory, working at getting them back and sign a new deal. Same as Hamas left negotiations during Trump's first time. Trump did back up the settlements and Jerusalem as capital.
These lot of men do not get along. And we all pay the price for it!

Just a small correction, Trump was the one who unilaterally tore up/withdrew the USA from the JCPOA early in his first term. Partly due to lobbying from the Israel Lobby and also because of his irrational hatred of anything "Obama". Iran stuck to the terms of the agreement for a while bit until sanctions were levied by America.

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 10:59

Pakistan is another possible player with a lot to balance.
Pakistan does have nuclear weapons.

CommissarySushi · 22/06/2025 10:59

londongirl12 · 22/06/2025 10:55

It’s on the news right now that Iran’s foreign minister is to meet Putin. So they might not be able to fight back themselves, but other countries can…

As I said, their potential allies have been cooling off for a while. If Russia really wanted Iran to have nuclear weapons, they'd just give them one.

That's besides the fact, that Russia is not in a good position to get involved in another war.

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 10:57

I do not think they will retaliate against US.
But, as they just did, carry on attacking Israel.
I do not see them surrendering either.
So they are stuck in this.

IToldYouSoSee · 22/06/2025 10:56

TheMel · 22/06/2025 02:21

Are you seriously suggesting a nuclear Iran isn't a threat to world peace?

The US is the biggest threat to world peace, as long as they are led by Trump. All of us will now pay for his egotistical madness.

londongirl12 · 22/06/2025 10:55

CommissarySushi · 22/06/2025 10:53

Agree with this. Iran does not have the capability to fight back against the US. Any potential allies they had have been backing off for a while now. They would be left a smouldering mass of rubble if they did choose to retaliate.

It’s on the news right now that Iran’s foreign minister is to meet Putin. So they might not be able to fight back themselves, but other countries can…

CommissarySushi · 22/06/2025 10:53

mids2019 · 22/06/2025 09:53

I think it's time for a realistic view of this.

Firstly the U.S. has an immensely powerful military and so the Iranians if they choose to attack U.S. interests will be hit with immense force and surely that would be a suicidal move for the Iranian regime. However the prospect of the fall of the Osmlamist Iranian regime would be welcomed globally not least by oppresssed Iranians.

There are no good moves for Iran but surrender on Israel/US terms which I do hope they do (not least for my petrol costs). We should welcome the fact Iran can now not produce nuclear weapons that in theory could reach London. We want a safe world.

Agree with this. Iran does not have the capability to fight back against the US. Any potential allies they had have been backing off for a while now. They would be left a smouldering mass of rubble if they did choose to retaliate.

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 10:45

Twiglets1 · 22/06/2025 08:48

I agree they are not really adding anything.

I did have some hope that recent negotiations in Geneva with representatives from the UK, France, Germany and Iran might have achieved some progress but No.

I find it really hard to understand the mindset of some of these ME leaders. Why didn't they negotiate before too much damage was done?

So, they were due a follow up meeting to their negotiations on the Sunday, with Trump. But Israel attacked on Friday.

It is really impossible for us to tell, because each of the parties has their version of events. But they were talking. That was happening.
Iran left one of the big nuclear deals during Trump first term and Trump was, in theory, working at getting them back and sign a new deal. Same as Hamas left negotiations during Trump's first time. Trump did back up the settlements and Jerusalem as capital.
These lot of men do not get along. And we all pay the price for it!

HappyNewTaxYear · 22/06/2025 10:38

BelleHathor · 22/06/2025 02:01

A 245 year old country messing with a 5000 year old civilization that beat Alexander the great.......

This point is entirely meaningless. What’s great about that particular 5,000 year old civilisation these days? It’s completely backwards.

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 10:35

AvoidableError · 22/06/2025 10:25

I really hope we won’t be seeing a surge of terrorist attacks in the US and UK now.

Trump, Netanyahu and all the corrupt ME leaders can rot in hell together.

They would probably build alliances and take over Hell, leaving Lucifer unemployed and homeless.....

MushMonster · 22/06/2025 10:34

MistressoftheDarkSide · 22/06/2025 01:49

I'm just about recovering my powers of speech, and am trying not to shit myself, tbh. TMI but there we are.

I was watching a bit of Ghost Theory for light relief, and switched back to Agenda Free TV at the exact moment our boy Lookner was shouting "breaking news".

Oh boy.

Also started a thread on AIBU and someone has referred to a Biblical prophecy about Elams Bow. Please tell me that this whole thing isn't really being driven by religious nutters on all sides?

How are Iran's "allies" going to react is my big worry, followed by the likely surge in terrorism.

Fuck fuck fuck.

Crazy thing to think, right?
That all these guys are following a script about how to end the world.
But... if you just look for it, you will find sources and individuals talking about it. Just google it.

The attack on Iran has been named Rising Lion, for example. The lion is a symbol of the Persian Empire. It was in the pre Islamic flag, for example. Google tells me that prophecies also talk about a lion in Israel. But the lion naming, whatever the fuck that means, could be related to one of these texts.

Anyway, I do not think this is of particular importance, bar that it may allow to predict the general lines the crazy loonies will move the conflict into.

It could help to explain why none of this lot seem to care, even a little bit, for human lives or international laws.

It is all very dark, rather shocking and senseless. It is not something I want to read about.

AvoidableError · 22/06/2025 10:25

I really hope we won’t be seeing a surge of terrorist attacks in the US and UK now.

Trump, Netanyahu and all the corrupt ME leaders can rot in hell together.

mids2019 · 22/06/2025 09:53

I think it's time for a realistic view of this.

Firstly the U.S. has an immensely powerful military and so the Iranians if they choose to attack U.S. interests will be hit with immense force and surely that would be a suicidal move for the Iranian regime. However the prospect of the fall of the Osmlamist Iranian regime would be welcomed globally not least by oppresssed Iranians.

There are no good moves for Iran but surrender on Israel/US terms which I do hope they do (not least for my petrol costs). We should welcome the fact Iran can now not produce nuclear weapons that in theory could reach London. We want a safe world.

ChocolateGanache · 22/06/2025 09:52

Fucking maniac.

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 09:09

HellsBalls · 22/06/2025 08:40

@Twiglets1 ”Kier Starmer has called on Iran to "return to the negotiating table"

Starmer and Lammy are clowns.
For all the effect they have internationally, they may as well be posting here on MumsNet.

Pretty much. I don’t mind though they can stay out. Just say it was a good idea and forget pretending to be any influence.

Twiglets1 · 22/06/2025 08:48

HellsBalls · 22/06/2025 08:40

@Twiglets1 ”Kier Starmer has called on Iran to "return to the negotiating table"

Starmer and Lammy are clowns.
For all the effect they have internationally, they may as well be posting here on MumsNet.

I agree they are not really adding anything.

I did have some hope that recent negotiations in Geneva with representatives from the UK, France, Germany and Iran might have achieved some progress but No.

I find it really hard to understand the mindset of some of these ME leaders. Why didn't they negotiate before too much damage was done?

HellsBalls · 22/06/2025 08:40

@Twiglets1 ”Kier Starmer has called on Iran to "return to the negotiating table"

Starmer and Lammy are clowns.
For all the effect they have internationally, they may as well be posting here on MumsNet.

Twiglets1 · 22/06/2025 08:32

Kier Starmer has called on Iran to "return to the negotiating table" .

He has made a statement to say that "stability in the region is a priority" and described Iran's nuclear programme as "a grave threat to international security".

"Iran can never be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon and the US has taken action to alleviate that threat", Starmer said.

According to the BBC, there was no UK involvement in the US strikes, although Starmer was informed of them in advance.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cq53l41gl8jo

A headshot of Keir Starmer with a Union Jack in the background.

Keir Starmer calls for Iran to return to negotiating table

The prime minister says in a statement that Iran can never be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cq53l41gl8jo

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 08:23

TheMel · 22/06/2025 02:21

Are you seriously suggesting a nuclear Iran isn't a threat to world peace?

I agree I see this on mn a fair bit. It is concerning.

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 08:21

Surprising to wake up to. Hopefully best case scenario is what happens.

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