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Conflict in the Middle East

Israel/Hamas War - Ceasefire

920 replies

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 10:01

Each Saturday we are seeing demonstrations in London where people are marching with placards and calling for a ceasefire in the Hamas/Israel war.

However, it is difficult to know how the supporters of Palestine think this can be achieved? (Interestingly, no calls for Hamas to cease hostilities and return the hostages were heard - so is this really a call for unilateral disarmament?)

And who should Israel negotiate a ceasefire with? Hamas, ISIS, ISSP, The Muslim Brotherhood - all of these groups/any of these groups?

What is it the supporters of Palestine actually want?

OP posts:
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SuePine69 · 15/01/2024 15:07

DownNative · 15/01/2024 13:51

Ceasefires can lower the cost of aggression and cause more deaths in the long run, especially when conducted at the wrong time.

Thomas Sowell's 2014 article on the very issue is still highly relevant, so I'll leave it here:

https://eu.desertsun.com/story/opinion/contributors/2014/08/02/thomas-sowell-cease-fires/13533171/

At the end of World War II Chiang Kai-shek was the President of China. He was poised to eliminate the Communists but the Americans insisted on a ceasefire. As a result Communists were able to get stronger and eventually take over China in a bloody civil war. From that time onward millions of Chinese lost their lives by famine and execution.

This is what MacArthur said about envoy Marshall
"When Marshall was sent to China with secret State Department orders, the Communists at that time were bottled up in two areas and were fighting a losing battle, but that because of those orders the situation was radically changed in favor of the Communists. Under those orders, as we know, Marshall embargoed all arms and ammunition to our allies in China. He forced the opening of the Nationalist-held Kalgan Mountain pass into Manchuria, to the end that the Chinese Communists gained access to the mountains of captured Japanese equipment. No need to tell the country about how Marshall tried to force Chiang Kai-shek to form a partnership government with the Communists."

I don't want a ceasefire, I want Hamas to surrender and give up the hostages. Just like when the Americans forced Japan to surrender, except without the destruction of cities by bombing and the starvation caused by destruction of merchant shipping. Then the deaths will cease.

Parkingt111 · 15/01/2024 14:56

QuickChangeName · 15/01/2024 14:51

I assume everyone here is aware that there was a ceasefire that was broken by Hamas deciding to rape, mutilate and murder hundreds of civilians and kidnap over 200 others? Perhaps they could have thought about the likely outcome before they did that? Perhaps the Gazan civilians who worked on the Kibbutzim that were destroyed and gave intel to Hamas could have thought about the consequences too?

Well ofcourse they should have not only thought about it but also not carried out such a horrendous attack.
It doesn't mean that everyone should just accept the subsequent horrific revenge attack that the Gazans as a whole have been subjected to.
If so, then why did a staggering 152 states vote for a ceasefire?

Dulra · 15/01/2024 14:54

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Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:51

stomachameleon · 15/01/2024 14:46

There has been another terrorist attack today in Israel. I don't think Hamas are keen on stopping any time soon. Or any other Palestinian factions.

And I've just heard there's been another attack on a ship near Yemen, but no details yet.

Looks like the spaghetti's going to hit the windmill very soon...

OP posts:
QuickChangeName · 15/01/2024 14:51

I assume everyone here is aware that there was a ceasefire that was broken by Hamas deciding to rape, mutilate and murder hundreds of civilians and kidnap over 200 others? Perhaps they could have thought about the likely outcome before they did that? Perhaps the Gazan civilians who worked on the Kibbutzim that were destroyed and gave intel to Hamas could have thought about the consequences too?

ConnieCounter · 15/01/2024 14:50

stomachameleon · 15/01/2024 14:46

There has been another terrorist attack today in Israel. I don't think Hamas are keen on stopping any time soon. Or any other Palestinian factions.

Well this is why a ceasefire would be good.

And for the 250 Palestinians a day who are being slaughtered.

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:48

anotherlevel · 15/01/2024 14:42

If you don't think it's very effective, then why are you not voicing your opinion on the Pro Israel March?

Hmm, more whataboutery 🤔

But to answer your question, I have made my opinions known to the organisers and my MP.

OP posts:
stomachameleon · 15/01/2024 14:46

There has been another terrorist attack today in Israel. I don't think Hamas are keen on stopping any time soon. Or any other Palestinian factions.

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:45

headstone · 15/01/2024 14:35

The UK Tory government sells the weapons to the Saudi government which they on the Yemeni people, similar to what is happening in Gaza. Corbyn for all his faults was always against this as were labour before Stammer. Typically those who are for a ceasefire in Gaza also want arms sales to Saudi to stop. There really is something evil about our government. Keep the protests up.

I think your post is rather naive.

Even if UK stopped selling arms to the Saudis they would buy them from elsewhere.

"Typically those who are for a ceasefire in Gaza also want arms sales to Saudi to stop"

I'm not sure how the two can be conflated and I haven't seen an interviews of any of the matchers mention this.
Where have you found this information?

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anotherlevel · 15/01/2024 14:42

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:36

@Tel12 "Our government is being made aware that their stance is not supported by the whole of the electorate. It's a democratic right."

I'm not disputing it's a democratic right. I just don't think it's very effective.

If people want to get their opinions across that can be done via MPs

If you don't think it's very effective, then why are you not voicing your opinion on the Pro Israel March?

ConnieCounter · 15/01/2024 14:39

@Toggenburgsaregreat Do you think people aren't contacting their MPs already? That doesn't seem to be effective either.

What is it about marches that bothers you so much?

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:36

@Tel12 "Our government is being made aware that their stance is not supported by the whole of the electorate. It's a democratic right."

I'm not disputing it's a democratic right. I just don't think it's very effective.

If people want to get their opinions across that can be done via MPs

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headstone · 15/01/2024 14:35

The UK Tory government sells the weapons to the Saudi government which they on the Yemeni people, similar to what is happening in Gaza. Corbyn for all his faults was always against this as were labour before Stammer. Typically those who are for a ceasefire in Gaza also want arms sales to Saudi to stop. There really is something evil about our government. Keep the protests up.

ConnieCounter · 15/01/2024 14:33

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 13:52

@ConnieCounter A cease-fire isn't as easy as it sounds -

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/12/22/israel-hamas-gaza-ceasefire-truce-pause-war/

"A ceasefire isn't as easy as it sounds"? According to that article that's because Israelis don't want one. We already know that. That was my whole point.

Tel12 · 15/01/2024 14:31

I would think that at the moment the marchers are voicing their wish for the daily mass murder to stop. Not that I can speak for anyone else, but that what's apparent to me. Then perhaps talking can begin. At the end of the day there will be discussions. It's what happens when the fighting stops and it will stop. Our government is being made aware that their stance is not supported by the whole of the electorate. It's a democratic right.

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:28

@TinkerTiger "Perhaps they stopped because the UK welcomed them with open arms, Boris visited their President, and they have sent aid.

Perhaps we're still marching for Palestine because that hasn't happened"

We sent Aid to Gaza in Oct - For 2023/24, the UK has committed £87 million in aid to the Occupied Palestinian Territories (around US$109 million). This includes £60 million announced in October/November 2023 (US$75 million). Additional commitments have also been announced by the United States (US$100 million) and the European Union (€100 million, around US$107 million). Germany, France, Canada and Japan are among those to also pledge aid. - from House of Commons Library

So you think we should take in Gazan refugees?

And who do you think Sunak should pay a visit to?

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anotherlevel · 15/01/2024 14:23

The supporters of Palestine just want peace and for all the bombings and killings to stop. They want Palestine to be free to live without being imprisoned, controlled etc - to have their freedom back. Thats what these marches are about. They're not about supporting Hamas or hating on the Jewish faith or inciting hate.

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:22

QueenRania · 15/01/2024 14:13

That wasn't the point of this thread though was it?

No, and it wasn't me who brought up the issue of dead babies.

It's still a valid question though IMO

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TinkerTiger · 15/01/2024 14:21

Here's a link one of the marches for Ukraine, in case you need a refresher https://amp.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/mar/27/march-in-support-of-ukraine-in-london-everything-was-turning-blue-and-yellow

Perhaps they stopped because the UK welcomed them with open arms, Boris visited their President, and they have sent aid.

Perhaps we're still marching for Palestine because that hasn't happened Confused

Parkingt111 · 15/01/2024 14:18

I suppose they want the same as what the other 153 states voted for at the UN. A ceasefire

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:18

@MissyB1 "I can’t work out if you actually want a ceasefire or you don’t? 🤔 If you do then why would you object to people marching for that?"

What I want is largely irrelevant.

However, I can't see people marching all over London will make one iota of difference.

Did the "Ban the Bomb" marches make any difference? Poll Tax Riots ? Just Stop Oil ? Anti-lockdown Protests.
There's your answer.

To date, the costs of policing the Palestine supporters rallies is £17million paid for by central government. That's mine, yours and everyone else's taxes.
People on these boards are the first to complain if they are impacted by the government having no funds for x,y, or z.

Pressure can be brought to bear on governments without squandering tax payers money.
However, if someone can tell me how marching through London can bring about a ceasefire in a country over 2,000 miles away, I'm all ears.

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TinkerTiger · 15/01/2024 14:18

OP I do think that civil war gets different responses than one country being obliterated by another. I don't make the rules.

Russia/Ukraine had and still has loads of attention, outrage, marches etc and the UK bloody opened their doors to Ukrainians, did you sleep through that? Or are Israelis just untouchable in your mind?

DownNative · 15/01/2024 14:18

The Center For Security Studies has a pretty good 2022 article on the issue of ceasefires. Reasons are multifaceted including the following:

"Ceasefires are often used to achieve political or military objectives that are incompatible with a peaceful resolution of the conflict. “Parties to a conflict use these pauses for instance to rearm or consolidate territorial control over an area,” Clayton says."

Indeed, this is a well known tactic of terrorist groups such as Hamas, PIRA and many others.

It's very reasonable, valid and normal for there to be great scepticism when a terrorist group calls for one as part of its own PR propaganda.

Anyway, link here:

https://css.ethz.ch/en/center/CSS-news/2022/11/why-conflict-parties-cease-fighting.html

Why conflict parties cease fighting

https://css.ethz.ch/en/center/CSS-news/2022/11/why-conflict-parties-cease-fighting.html

QueenRania · 15/01/2024 14:13

Toggenburgsaregreat · 15/01/2024 14:01

I disagree.

Do you think dead babies in Yemen don't matter?

Or matter less than Palestinian babies?

That wasn't the point of this thread though was it?

DownNative · 15/01/2024 14:05

Dulra · 15/01/2024 13:59

That is an opinion piece from 10 years ago with nothing of substance or evidence in it

Yes, it's an opinion piece. It even states so. But it's not insubstantial.

Ceasefire demands can and do make conflicts last longer.

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