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Conflict in the Middle East

Towards a sustainable peace

392 replies

mids2019 · 01/01/2024 16:20

I think for a peace to be obtained constructive dialogue has to be started but in order for this to happen in my opinion Palestine has to acknowledge and their leaders publically denounce the heinous acts of October 7th and make clear such an event will never be repeated.

There have been to many senior Palestinian politicians wishing their grievances to be heard without mentioning October 7th and this will only have the effect of enraging Israel.

We need Palestinian leadership that is willing to sit down with Israeli leaders and from the outset denounce violence specifically making it absolutely clear there will be no 'revenge' for the current Israeli incursion.

We also need to be pragmatic and understand Israel will not be giving Gaza any financial aid so it will be up to the richer gulf states primarily to discuss funding some sort of rebuilding within Gaza. Also eventually there needs to be opportunities for Palestinians to emigrate in order to gain jobs and allow future generations to thrive. I think ultimately you would have to view Gaza as a city state with a multi million rebuilding package coming from those supportive nations in the middle east.

We also need to ensure education in Gaza is such that anti semitiism isn't promoted from a young age so we have a chance for a generation of Palestinians growing up knowing the only way forward is peace.

I think there is a peace to be had if both sides want it and are willing to negotiate positivist with a commitment to prevent terrorism and ensure there is security for both parties.

OP posts:
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DownNative · 07/01/2024 16:04

Babyboomtastic · 07/01/2024 15:25

What would do a long way for Palestinians I think, is some parity between how Israel and Palestine is treated.

I have no issue with a demilitarised Palestinian state, living alongside a demilitarised Israeli one, with the security for both being the responsibility for international peacekeepers. Then both sides allowed to gradually take security responsibility back over a period of decades.

Only when both sides are prevented from committing attrocities are people likely to start talking constructively about the future. Neither side can flourish when they all live in fear of eachother and the future.

It would never happen because Israel is too powerful for this, but a sustainable, fair peace isnt possible when one side is largely unarmed and the other has nukes ..

Any suggestion of a demilitarised Israel is a flight of fantasy and a non-starter. There is no way this will happen when other terrorist groups controlled as proxies by a hostile rogue State as Iran exists.

Western States and Arab States such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia will not seriously put forward such proposals.

It's a ridiculous suggestion that isn't worth further discussion.

History indicates Israel has required military power in order to defend itself from the invasion by five Arab States to more recent times.

No, it is any possible Palestinian State that will be permanently demilitarised. On a smaller scale at home here, it was PIRA who were demilitarised and not the British Army.

As I said, not worth further serious discussion. 🤦‍♂️

stormy4319trevor · 07/01/2024 15:57

I have no issue with a demilitarised Palestinian state, living alongside a demilitarised Israeli one, with the security for both being the responsibility for international peacekeepers. Then both sides allowed to gradually take security responsibility back over a period of decades.

This is a good idea and would definitely reduce the violence and death toll.

Thereissomelight · 07/01/2024 15:55

Girahim · 07/01/2024 12:38

Knowing @Thereissomelight I don't think that's what they were talking about.

You don’t know me at all.

Livinginanotherworld · 07/01/2024 15:40

mids2019 · 07/01/2024 15:08

@theoldweirdalbion

With difficulty ...

I think you have to be realistic and understand currently there is a large pool of Palestinian recruits for such organisations given the magnitude of Israeli response.

I suppose you could ensure as far as possible leaders with such views do not get a voice. In the UK we have laws to prevent recruitment to terror organisations and to prevent hate speech so could such policies be implemented in Gaza.

I think for younger Gazans any UN schools should ensure that education does not include lessons that lead to anti semitism and give a positive vision for the future

In the same mind, Israeli schools should also sort their education out as well. We also (the west) and Israel do not have the right to control over any future elections of Palestine.

But to your earlier post, there will be no peace whilst The IDF is still in Gaza, whilst Israel has control of their water, power and everything else.
People have to realise that because Israel won’t let the Palestinians have a legitimate armed forces, or an airport, or no coastal access there will always be Hamas, or it’s equivalent, what choice have they got to defend themselves ? Israel will not defeat Hamas, it’s an ideology born from oppression and lack of control over their own future.

Babyboomtastic · 07/01/2024 15:25

What would do a long way for Palestinians I think, is some parity between how Israel and Palestine is treated.

I have no issue with a demilitarised Palestinian state, living alongside a demilitarised Israeli one, with the security for both being the responsibility for international peacekeepers. Then both sides allowed to gradually take security responsibility back over a period of decades.

Only when both sides are prevented from committing attrocities are people likely to start talking constructively about the future. Neither side can flourish when they all live in fear of eachother and the future.

It would never happen because Israel is too powerful for this, but a sustainable, fair peace isnt possible when one side is largely unarmed and the other has nukes ..

mids2019 · 07/01/2024 15:08

@theoldweirdalbion

With difficulty ...

I think you have to be realistic and understand currently there is a large pool of Palestinian recruits for such organisations given the magnitude of Israeli response.

I suppose you could ensure as far as possible leaders with such views do not get a voice. In the UK we have laws to prevent recruitment to terror organisations and to prevent hate speech so could such policies be implemented in Gaza.

I think for younger Gazans any UN schools should ensure that education does not include lessons that lead to anti semitism and give a positive vision for the future

OP posts:
theoldweirdalbion · 07/01/2024 15:03

A somewhat more nuanced account ⬆️
Just to clarify I meant more nuanced that the first article I posted not the article gloriagloria
posted.

theoldweirdalbion · 07/01/2024 14:55

As far as possible the ideology that allowed the formation and power of Hamas has to be challenged.
How would you suggest this is done?

mids2019 · 07/01/2024 14:52

@DownNative

I agree with all the above.

Before any long term settlent can even be considered Hamas have to be destroyed. As far as possible the ideology that allowed the formation and power of Hamas has to be challenged.

When the war is over there must be a security force present that will be able to further investigate those that instigated October 7th and obviously free remaining hostages if not released.

Any Israeli military occupation would in reality be a necessary layer of security for Israel. I am sure IDF soldiers would want to return home but sadly there is another necessary.job to be done.

What simply can't happen is that immediately after the war Israel leaves and an unscrutinised Palestinian authority emerges from the semi wasteland, probably a Hamas mk 2, with a remit of bloody revenge on Israel in some manner. Currently realistically there will be many Palestinians that would support this . The problem would be then confounded if you then have international money flooding in an unaccountable manner for reconstruction which again can be used by the new hard-line vehemently anti Israel leadership to renew weapons and militant groups (supported by Iran of course). You then have the conditions for an eventual repeat of October 7th......

To have a constructive way forward you need a reset on Gaza with an international temporary security outfit made up of all invested players. Eventually over years the security apparatus may recede and the groundings of some sort of Palestinian sovereignty (or autonomy) can be discussed. One thing should be apparent. The Palestinian people would have a poor future if they did support a group like Hamas again and consider October the 7th 'legitimate Resistance'. Hamas are a proscribed terrorist group for a reason.

OP posts:
theoldweirdalbion · 07/01/2024 14:50

A somewhat more nuanced account ⬆️

gloriagloria · 07/01/2024 14:08

DownNative · 07/01/2024 13:30

And this is to say nothing of how Palestinian leaders over decades have failed Palestinians! 🤦‍♂️

Reality is rejecting every possible peace settlement ever tabled eventually leads you and your people to a total dead end.

And you'll end up with less than before too.

But it was Netanyahu, who, on his own admission blocked to Oslo accords, not the Palestinians- a direct quote:
""They asked me before the election if I'd honor [the Oslo accords]... I said I would, but [that] I'm going to interpret the accords in such a way that would allow me to put an end to this galloping forward to the '67 borders. How did we do it? Nobody said what defined military zones were. Defined military zones are security zones; as far as I'm concerned, the entire Jordan Valley is a defined military zone. Go argue." Netanyahu then explained how he conditioned his signing of the 1997 Hebron agreement on American consent that there be no withdrawals from "specified military locations", and insisted he be allowed to specify which areas constituted a "military location"—such as the whole of the Jordan Valley. "Why is that important? Because from that moment on I stopped the Oslo Accords"
It's now clear: the Oslo peace accords were wrecked by Netanyahu's bad faith | Avi Shlaim | The Guardian

It's now clear: the Oslo peace accords were wrecked by Netanyahu's bad faith | Avi Shlaim

Avi Shlaim: I thought the peace accords 20 years ago could work, but Israel used them as cover for its colonial project in Palestine

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/12/oslo-israel-reneged-colonial-palestine

Livinginanotherworld · 07/01/2024 13:42

mids2019 · 06/01/2024 16:31

Who pays for any rwconstruction?

The Israelis would like the EU, US and the Arab world to foot the bill which may be costly and the West is going to be miffed given the amount already given for the building of hospitals etc. Will anyone want to build infrastructure which may be again bombed in 5 or 10 years time.

It's going to be a hard sell to the international community to supply massive aid (I assume loans to Gaza may be impractical).

Without the money for reconstruction Gaza may not the most hospitable place to live and we would have along term refugee problem and we would have to decide how best to advocate this??

Israel must be made to pay for rebuilding Gaza, they were the ones who flattened it to ground. Why would anyone else pay ?

theoldweirdalbion · 07/01/2024 13:40

And this is to say nothing of how Palestinian leaders over decades have failed Palestinians! 🤦‍♂️

Reality is rejecting every possible peace settlement ever tabled eventually leads you and your people to a total dead end.

And you'll end up with less than before too.

Well there’s 2 sides to every story. An alternative POV is outlined here.

https://theintercept.com/2023/11/28/israel-palestine-history-peace/

All the Times Israel Has Rejected Peace With Palestinians

Israel prefers endless conflict to a Palestinian state, as the past 75 years have shown.

https://theintercept.com/2023/11/28/israel-palestine-history-peace/

theoldweirdalbion · 07/01/2024 13:35

Like Germany and Japan before them, any independent Palestinian State will NOT be fully sovereign. Egypt has indicated a demilitarised Palestinian State is on the cards.
Demilitarisation does make sense

A coalition of the willing will impose a settlement based on military, political and business control
Which the more extreme fractions of Palestinian society will try and resist with, you guessed it, more terrorism.

Palestinians won't be able to fight against a Western, Israeli and Arab coalition
Not in the sense that they can declare war and send in the army but then they can’t do that now.
It’s worth remembering Iran and Hezbollah will probably back any terrorist factions. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey etc probably want to remain neutral/avoid any wider conflict which isn’t quite the same as backing Israel the way America does.

The very fact you laughably said "Posters like the OP and yourself are saying “well Israel’s in charge and Gaza has to suck it up”" just demonstrates you've failed to read AND comprehend my actual words.
That is what you’re saying though

DownNative · 07/01/2024 13:30

And this is to say nothing of how Palestinian leaders over decades have failed Palestinians! 🤦‍♂️

Reality is rejecting every possible peace settlement ever tabled eventually leads you and your people to a total dead end.

And you'll end up with less than before too.

DownNative · 07/01/2024 13:22

theoldweirdalbion · 07/01/2024 11:39

I repeat, the problem isn't the power imbalance. I note you are so selective you decided to chop off the rest of it in relation to Germany and Japan
I wouldn’t push the Germany/Japan comparison too far. There may be factors that make this a slightly different scenario.

Power is what matters here. Palestinians are learning the hard way that Hamas and other Palestinian terrorist group actions will not and does not advance their cause or interests.
And they will have to accept various restrictions from now on
Let might make right? - well that mentality isn’t going to discourage any tendencies towards violent insurrection is it?
And the power imbalance IS part of the problem. Posters like the OP and yourself are saying “well Israel’s in charge and Gaza has to suck it up” and again that’s just going to encourage terrorism.

Edited

My intention isn't to fully compare the two in every aspect. The point centred around restrictions on sovereignty being imposed by external sovereign powers.

Nothing else.

Like Germany and Japan before them, any independent Palestinian State will NOT be fully sovereign. Egypt has indicated a demilitarised Palestinian State is on the cards.

You might scoff and make retorts such as "Let might make right", but reality is very different. Western, Israeli and most Arab States are not friendly towards Palestinian terrorist groups. It IS in their interests to demilitarise them for the greater good of the region.

Political, military and economic might is important. Palestinians have none of these whereas the West, Israel and Arab States such as Saudi Arabia and Egypt do.

Rather than might making things right, it's more accurate to state that might makes things possible and to happen.

As I've said many times before from my own experience, peaceful settlements do not arise until a terrorist group is defeated or very close to it.

A coalition of the willing will impose a settlement based on military, political and business control. We've seen it before involving whole countries and we'll see it with the tiny strips of Palestinian controlled areas.

Palestinians won't be able to fight against a Western, Israeli and Arab coalition. They have no meaningful power as Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman pointed out to Palestinian leaders.

The very fact you laughably said "Posters like the OP and yourself are saying “well Israel’s in charge and Gaza has to suck it up”" just demonstrates you've failed to read AND comprehend my actual words. Especially since I've repeatedly stressed the importance of a Western, Israeli and Arab coalition of the willing.

Let me point out also that the Arab coalition of the past with its Three Noes Of Khartoum has failed over time. With that in mind, Arab States are going to have to form a coalition with Israel. Iran won't be in it, but major Arab powers like Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Qatar would likely be.

I understand terrorism very well having experienced it in real life too. Unfortunately, most commenting here haven't and don't really understand it. Defeat of Hamas is key here. That can be enough to discourage future terrorism and ensure the focus will be on politics.

The failure of Hamas must be made plain for all to see. Not a propaganda of the peace process type of thing.

Once again you're being highly selective in your responses, so cheerio to you. 🤷‍♂️

stormy4319trevor · 07/01/2024 12:46

@mids2019 Gaza has gas reserves which they currently can't profit from. They could also are limited on fishing. They had an excellent university but were restricted in forming academic exchanges and partnerships which might have helped. I am sorry, but it's stopped raining for 5 . and I must walk the dog. I'll get back to you later, hope that's OK!

EmberLight · 07/01/2024 12:45

Dibilnik · 07/01/2024 12:10

"resist..."?!????!

Yes, it's like when Israel says "self defence".

mids2019 · 07/01/2024 12:41

@stormy4319trevor

so you look at the 2 state solution and hence borders based on international law

OK Japan and Germany have natural resources but there are wealthy nations (wish as the UK) that in reality do not have a huge amount of natural resource. Growing the Hasan economy is of imprtance.

how do you suggest dealing with problem of two territories being split given Israel is between? Maybe the split is just part of the future.

the war will end. No wars last forever.

the blockade is associated with swcurity. If security could be somehow assured for the Israelis I see no advantage to them in maintaining a blockade and there would be scope for interaction and trade.

OP posts:
Girahim · 07/01/2024 12:38

stormy4319trevor · 07/01/2024 12:19

I think Palestinians have engaged in all kinds of resistance - from peaceful marches, where they have been wounded and killed - to appeals to international justice, to charities, government organisations and the media, from BDS to diplomacy. They are, I think, entitled to this. They have drawn attention to their plight with all these measures. I think everyone agrees that Hamas is a different matter and we can't accept their tactics.

Knowing @Thereissomelight I don't think that's what they were talking about.

stormy4319trevor · 07/01/2024 12:34

@mids2019 Yes, economic assistance and sovereignty is the ideal. However, Japan and Germany are recognised nations, with borders, able to profit from their own natural resources, not under blockade, not subject to regular bombing, have freedom of movement, freedom of engagement with the wider world, are not split into two separate occupied territories. If Gaza can be transformed to this state of affairs then I suspect peace will prevail.

theoldweirdalbion · 07/01/2024 12:25

"resist..."?!????!
Obviously Hamas’s methods of retaliation are not acceptable as they involve the killing of innocent people but there does seem to be a cycle of violence/hate that needs to be broken somehow.

mids2019 · 07/01/2024 12:22

@stormy4319trevor

it is is not the scale of conflicts that are being compared but the fact there can be ultimate positives for nations and peoples that have lost conflict and had their militaries removed. Germany suffered Dresden and Hamburg while Japan suffered Nagasaki. Germany and Japan did not decide to pursue terrorism as a way to make peace with their neighbours and both countries have successfully developed their economies massively. Both Japan and Germany are larger counties granted but the people made it work by trade and use of their own natural talent and resource.

if Palestinians could be assisted economically by the international community in combination with a peace plan to establish sovreignty then there is a way forward. I don't think continued talk of Palestinian military resistance is helpful because look where that has got Gaza currently ?

OP posts:
stormy4319trevor · 07/01/2024 12:19

I think Palestinians have engaged in all kinds of resistance - from peaceful marches, where they have been wounded and killed - to appeals to international justice, to charities, government organisations and the media, from BDS to diplomacy. They are, I think, entitled to this. They have drawn attention to their plight with all these measures. I think everyone agrees that Hamas is a different matter and we can't accept their tactics.

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