Please or to access all these features

AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

AIBU to question rising private school fees amid declining GCSE results

386 replies

Sidedoors · 23/08/2026 16:09

Private school GCSE decline.

What happened? Is this an example of what’s to come?

Fees are rising well beyond inflation annually yet, results are in decline.

State schools prioritising, ‘reserving seats’ in house for 6th Form. Risky investment?

https://schoolsweek.co.uk/gcse-results-day-2026-6-key-trends-from-this-years-data/

AIBU to question rising private school fees amid declining GCSE results
AIBU to question rising private school fees amid declining GCSE results
AIBU to question rising private school fees amid declining GCSE results
AIBU to question rising private school fees amid declining GCSE results
OP posts:
Thread gallery
34
BustopherPonsonbyJones · 25/08/2026 21:40

I need a car to get around. I could spend £80,000 on one or I could get one for £8,000 second hand. Some people would choose the £80,000 car and I would choose the £8,000 car. I don’t care about cars. Equally some people are happy to stay in hostels and rough it whilst travelling but I like a nice luxury hotel. Hostels and hotels both provide a place to sleep. We all spend money to suit our own preferences. You don’t want to pay for your child’s education but others prefer what an independent education provides. Your money, your choice, your prerogative, indeed.

Your problem is you don’t want it/probably can’t afford it so you don’t want anyone else to have it either, just in case your child misses out on what your friends’ children are getting. Have the courage of your convictions and use state education. 93% of people do, so you won’t be on your own, but equally a significant number will continue to use private schools even if you don’t.

Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 21:02

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 20:44

Yes, as a sector it is a challenging context - BUT within the sector there is a real range of schools experiencing very different dynamics. A number of schools are clearly struggling- evidenced by the uptick in closures (which Labour claimed wouldn’t happen btw), but there are also some schools that are very much coming out ahead. While many schools need to rethink their business model, private education isn’t going away anytime soon.

and an increase in the number of students getting discounts isn’t really an indicator one way or another. For some schools it may be a sign of decreasing margins (and cause for concern), but in other schools it might be part of a bigger strategy - just look at how American universities use grants as part of a larger recruitment strategy (recruiting for talent that boosts prestige as well as high net worth or other influential individuals who will support the school beyond simply paying fees)

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 20:47

Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 20:31

Do you need to reread and edit this for clarity?

I can speak to my own experience at one school - believe it or don”t. I guess it is uncomfortable for you when people have experiences outside this bizarre narrative.

One third.

AIBU to question rising private school fees amid declining GCSE results
OP posts:
Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 20:44

Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 20:31

Do you need to reread and edit this for clarity?

I can speak to my own experience at one school - believe it or don”t. I guess it is uncomfortable for you when people have experiences outside this bizarre narrative.

The data, The facts are from the CEO of the ISC I know which I choose to believe!

https://www.isc.co.uk/media-enquiries/news-press-releases-statements/independent-schools-facing-incredibly-difficult-financial-headwinds-warns-isc-ceo/

OP posts:
Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 20:31

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 20:05

Recollections may vary.

It will be down to every individual family to read school communication, look at factual evidence such as the CEO of independent schools themselves testifying that 1 in 3, one third are on assistance.

How fabulous for you, of course we only have your word for that.

Schools with children in transition years or exam years will not just offload families out priced due to VAT.

Every family will study school communication, school provision standard and most importantly the annual financial accounts.

That is where the evidence the data is held not anonymous comments on Mumsnet.

Do you need to reread and edit this for clarity?

I can speak to my own experience at one school - believe it or don”t. I guess it is uncomfortable for you when people have experiences outside this bizarre narrative.

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 20:05

Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 19:48

Not sure what to tell you - my dc school (regional - very far from London) has increased pupil numbers this year and have had a really strong intake for next. They have the highest fees in the region, and focus on breadth and quality of experience - if anything they have expanded extracurriculars (delivered at no additional cost) rather than cut back. Clearly their strategy is to focus on families that are less price sensitive and want the best education available- so far it seems to be working.

a number of families have been priced out of private entirely in our region, but for those that have not there seems to be a willingness to pay a few grand more for the better school.

Recollections may vary.

It will be down to every individual family to read school communication, look at factual evidence such as the CEO of independent schools themselves testifying that 1 in 3, one third are on assistance.

How fabulous for you, of course we only have your word for that.

Schools with children in transition years or exam years will not just offload families out priced due to VAT.

Every family will study school communication, school provision standard and most importantly the annual financial accounts.

That is where the evidence the data is held not anonymous comments on Mumsnet.

OP posts:
Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 19:48

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 18:17

I can assure you they’re not.

imagine the headache of navigating the tiered fee structure!

There is simply not the wealth in regional independents to meet the Fees + hikes. Relying on the Middle class as your main bread and butter yet, increasingly priced out.

The return on investment is just no longer there. It’s not worthwhile. When a couple leave they normalise the transition, others follow and they all go on to enjoy their new found disposable monies (with their own families). Snowball effect.

Not sure what to tell you - my dc school (regional - very far from London) has increased pupil numbers this year and have had a really strong intake for next. They have the highest fees in the region, and focus on breadth and quality of experience - if anything they have expanded extracurriculars (delivered at no additional cost) rather than cut back. Clearly their strategy is to focus on families that are less price sensitive and want the best education available- so far it seems to be working.

a number of families have been priced out of private entirely in our region, but for those that have not there seems to be a willingness to pay a few grand more for the better school.

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 18:17

Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 18:10

What cash injection? As @Araminta1004 this is likely to cost money rather than add to state budgets.

state schools are definitely not improving from what I can tell - fewer teachers not more as promised, and most state school heads expect to need to do cost cutting over the next year. And the proposed send policies are diabolical - if anything that alone likely to push some parents to stretch for private.

i would LOVE to see state doing better, but if anything I see the gap between state and private widening as the Indy sector consolidates. Consistently it has been the no frills, more afffordable private schools that are just a bit better than state which have closed, while the more prestigious / ‘luxurious’ schools are doing just fine.

I can assure you they’re not.

imagine the headache of navigating the tiered fee structure!

There is simply not the wealth in regional independents to meet the Fees + hikes. Relying on the Middle class as your main bread and butter yet, increasingly priced out.

The return on investment is just no longer there. It’s not worthwhile. When a couple leave they normalise the transition, others follow and they all go on to enjoy their new found disposable monies (with their own families). Snowball effect.

OP posts:
Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 18:10

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 13:32

It’s not about simply absorbing VAT

Private schools have increased fees beyond inflation for a decade. They’re unsustainable.

The worry for independent school is not making them affordable….

Its making them affordable WHILST providing the value for money and elevated service standard people sign up for,

No brownie points for absorbing VAT.

What will be interesting to monitor is the provision.

If independent decline and state (VAT cash injection) improve,

Families will increasingly leave due to there simply being no reason to stay.

What cash injection? As @Araminta1004 this is likely to cost money rather than add to state budgets.

state schools are definitely not improving from what I can tell - fewer teachers not more as promised, and most state school heads expect to need to do cost cutting over the next year. And the proposed send policies are diabolical - if anything that alone likely to push some parents to stretch for private.

i would LOVE to see state doing better, but if anything I see the gap between state and private widening as the Indy sector consolidates. Consistently it has been the no frills, more afffordable private schools that are just a bit better than state which have closed, while the more prestigious / ‘luxurious’ schools are doing just fine.

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 18:04

Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 16:38

Most likely a Labour supporter - desperate for the VAT policy not to get pulled. Pupil numbers are down more than 7,5% Jan 26 to Jan 24 according to official DFE forecasts. So that is way beyond and Parliament is on notice that the policy has failed? Just like we all predicted because it failed in every other country around the world that tried to implement something similar.
So if numbers are down against forecasts, the policy has failed? I mean the IFS predicted 6% max over 5 years and they are already at 7,5% down in just two years

And those who pushed for the policy obviously are now desperate.

When those fish pies and cheesecakes go…… (which they will already the reduced F&B options are in place).

https://inews.co.uk/inews-lifestyle/child-private-school-state-depressing-difference-4726844?srsltid=AfmBOorKRtnraUiqrdOEB25qFoQHoYcv1IJ8o82PPyKvZIXXr6G45Z7H

The education comparison; selective independent/good state is exactly the same.

One costs £250k per child the other is Free.

Save that money for family enrichment, family holidays, family time. Family investment.

More and more families all with the same findings.

My children went to private and state schools - this was the most depressing difference

Academically, our state schools are getting better and better. Children are being let down by junk food lunches

https://inews.co.uk/inews-lifestyle/child-private-school-state-depressing-difference-4726844?srsltid=AfmBOorKRtnraUiqrdOEB25qFoQHoYcv1IJ8o82PPyKvZIXXr6G45Z7H

OP posts:
Backtoschooloncemore · 25/08/2026 18:00

Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 17:43

“Private schools currently benefit from an unfair tax break that means they avoid paying VAT on fees. Through closing this loophole, Labour will raise vital money needed to improve standards in stretched state schools with more teachers. This funding will also help pay for mental health support staff in every school, working to boost the wellbeing of young people.”

The manifesto was explicitly to raise funds.

The manifesto pledge was not to harm private schools?

The fact they consider private schools not paying VAT was ‘unfair’ shows you what they really thought of private schools.

They don’t (yet) say children’s shoes benefit from an unfair tax break, or that supermarkets use a loophole to avoid paying VAT on bread.

Boredofprivateschoolbashing · 25/08/2026 17:43

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 08:16

Oh no the letters in our mums group private kids/ state kids/ no kids expressly state due “due to the unprecedented times and VAT on fees it is critical we pull together and those with the broadest shoulders should help our community X-school “support fund” applicants will be monitored no news cars, holidays, lifestyles etc for this additional support! (Taken from Fee money others pay in!) Entire “support” glossy documents and PDF where you can ‘donate’ monies specifically mentioning going to school repairs, projects, hardships, bursary basic school upkeep and maintenance.

Non “private” families offering to buy a coffee or lunch for those tied into independent schools as they have no money everything going to the school fees!

The Wealthy within the group complaining of the reduced quality of food and constant emails explaining why things are being pulled or cancelled. From experience it is the wealthy who are the most price conscious, they must see return of investment.

Regular Fee paying families at these schools are having an awful time. Sacrificing a lot. No summer holidays barely affording a coffee with friends. Constant dread with annual Fee increase.

Children within the same friendship circles of the same age groups thriving, no difference in education attainment. One family no financial burden and plenty disposable income the other drowning in school fees.

Sounds like anecdotal evidence to me. Also you're writing 'style' is really grating.

Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 17:43

“Private schools currently benefit from an unfair tax break that means they avoid paying VAT on fees. Through closing this loophole, Labour will raise vital money needed to improve standards in stretched state schools with more teachers. This funding will also help pay for mental health support staff in every school, working to boost the wellbeing of young people.”

The manifesto was explicitly to raise funds.

The manifesto pledge was not to harm private schools?

Backtoschooloncemore · 25/08/2026 17:20

Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 16:38

Most likely a Labour supporter - desperate for the VAT policy not to get pulled. Pupil numbers are down more than 7,5% Jan 26 to Jan 24 according to official DFE forecasts. So that is way beyond and Parliament is on notice that the policy has failed? Just like we all predicted because it failed in every other country around the world that tried to implement something similar.
So if numbers are down against forecasts, the policy has failed? I mean the IFS predicted 6% max over 5 years and they are already at 7,5% down in just two years

And those who pushed for the policy obviously are now desperate.

It has only failed if you believe it was introduced to raise money rather than for ideological reasons. Labour would never pull
it.

I don’t believe OP has a child in private school, I think she just has a vendetta against them.

Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 16:38

Most likely a Labour supporter - desperate for the VAT policy not to get pulled. Pupil numbers are down more than 7,5% Jan 26 to Jan 24 according to official DFE forecasts. So that is way beyond and Parliament is on notice that the policy has failed? Just like we all predicted because it failed in every other country around the world that tried to implement something similar.
So if numbers are down against forecasts, the policy has failed? I mean the IFS predicted 6% max over 5 years and they are already at 7,5% down in just two years

And those who pushed for the policy obviously are now desperate.

wales2027 · 25/08/2026 16:25

Where are you getting all these ‘begging letters’ and why haven’t you actually posted any of them?
It’s all very curious!

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 16:03

BustopherPonsonbyJones · 25/08/2026 15:41

I can’t work out whether you have a child in an independent school or not. Either way, either take them out or don’t start them in the system. What else do you want? Would it make you feel better if everyone else took their child out too? Honestly, enjoy state school education and the extra money in your pocket. Move on and don’t keep focusing on what private schools do or don’t offer. You can take pleasure in them closing (if they are as bad as you think) or enjoy having more money to spend if they don’t. But you have to accept that other people’s children will still attend independent schools and most will gain a lot from the experience.

Yes, Debt.

OP posts:
Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 16:03

BustopherPonsonbyJones · 25/08/2026 15:41

I can’t work out whether you have a child in an independent school or not. Either way, either take them out or don’t start them in the system. What else do you want? Would it make you feel better if everyone else took their child out too? Honestly, enjoy state school education and the extra money in your pocket. Move on and don’t keep focusing on what private schools do or don’t offer. You can take pleasure in them closing (if they are as bad as you think) or enjoy having more money to spend if they don’t. But you have to accept that other people’s children will still attend independent schools and most will gain a lot from the experience.

Nobody involved in the scam likes the whistleblower,

No “independent” school parent tells me what to do.

Should I choose I will create new threads, daily. I will repost news of every independent school begging letter,

That’s my prerogative.

OP posts:
BustopherPonsonbyJones · 25/08/2026 15:41

I can’t work out whether you have a child in an independent school or not. Either way, either take them out or don’t start them in the system. What else do you want? Would it make you feel better if everyone else took their child out too? Honestly, enjoy state school education and the extra money in your pocket. Move on and don’t keep focusing on what private schools do or don’t offer. You can take pleasure in them closing (if they are as bad as you think) or enjoy having more money to spend if they don’t. But you have to accept that other people’s children will still attend independent schools and most will gain a lot from the experience.

Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 14:44

https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-10125/CBP-10125.pdf

Section 4 has the official figures and decline in pupil numbers.
Seems like the OBR has to update their forecast of how much this policy will raise as there is already a 5% decline in mainstream independent. Boarding is a much higher decline more than 8%.

Meanwhile independent special has gone up 14.4%. Presumably mostly taxpayer funded, at huge cost. The key question is how many of those kids were previously in independent mainstream? Or could have been at a cheaper cost. Independent special is an average cost of 62k per pupil.

Personally I just want to know how much Labour has cost us the taxpayer.
Even best case scenario of raising over a billion, it was never going to make a substantial dent in the state school budget which is in excess of 65 billion.
The fact Labour have driven more kids into independent special schools entirely funded by the taxpayer was largely predicted.

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 13:32

Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 13:25

It will affect schools differently though - our school is in a much stronger financial position and has been able to absorb/ delay some of the VAT impact as a result of another local school closing. So in my region there has been a drop in private school pupils but the consolidation has taken the pressure off remaining schools.

It’s not about simply absorbing VAT

Private schools have increased fees beyond inflation for a decade. They’re unsustainable.

The worry for independent school is not making them affordable….

Its making them affordable WHILST providing the value for money and elevated service standard people sign up for,

No brownie points for absorbing VAT.

What will be interesting to monitor is the provision.

If independent decline and state (VAT cash injection) improve,

Families will increasingly leave due to there simply being no reason to stay.

OP posts:
Labraradabrador · 25/08/2026 13:25

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 13:03

40,000 have exited so far

The independent “hardship support” will grow this year.

Again, Fees will rise

amidst a backdrop of cuts to the provision.

Any guess on the total figure of leavers 26/27 academic year…….?

It will affect schools differently though - our school is in a much stronger financial position and has been able to absorb/ delay some of the VAT impact as a result of another local school closing. So in my region there has been a drop in private school pupils but the consolidation has taken the pressure off remaining schools.

Sidedoors · 25/08/2026 13:03

Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 12:56

https://www.waldorfschule-uhlandshoehe.de/unsere-schule/schulgeld

And this one is subsidised by the German local Government depending on need it seems and then what parents pay is individualised.
Seems like France and Germany help with private school education top ups.

So I guess OP - you want a private education and cannot afford it in the UK. Move country then. I don’t think Waldorf would be your cup of tea though nor a typical French Catholic education either.

40,000 have exited so far

The independent “hardship support” will grow this year.

Again, Fees will rise

amidst a backdrop of cuts to the provision.

Any guess on the total figure of leavers 26/27 academic year…….?

OP posts:
Araminta1004 · 25/08/2026 12:56

https://www.waldorfschule-uhlandshoehe.de/unsere-schule/schulgeld

And this one is subsidised by the German local Government depending on need it seems and then what parents pay is individualised.
Seems like France and Germany help with private school education top ups.

So I guess OP - you want a private education and cannot afford it in the UK. Move country then. I don’t think Waldorf would be your cup of tea though nor a typical French Catholic education either.

Dooferer · 25/08/2026 12:52

Independent school provide a calm, violence free environment which allows high functioning ASD children to cope without being overwhelmed. Thats the only reason why we fork out for our ND child to go there. The other 3 have had to ‘slum it’ at state schools. There are so many families in the same situation, and it would be so nice if either:

  1. They sorted state education out so all schools had a calm, safe environment which allowed ND and NT children to learn, or;

  2. they scrapped the VAT on fees for parents like us who would be DELIGHTED to be able to use state provision, but can’t.