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How many kids have left the school? (VAT)

407 replies

limeandwater · 23/03/2026 13:38

It's been long enough now that I think we can make a reasonable conclusion on how bad it has hurt school.

To be honest at our school I only know 3 pupils that have left because of the VAT so not as bad as many feared.

Still heartbreaking for the kids though.

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randomchap · 24/03/2026 06:54

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 23:17

It applies to all children and taxes their non state education at 20%.

Nope. Not true. Private tutors are not included. The only parents effected are those sending children to private schools.

Your insistence in trying to push this false narrative is bizarre.

Stnam · 24/03/2026 06:42

InOverMyHead84 · 24/03/2026 05:56

Another flip side is seeing teachers move from collapsing fee paying schools into the state sector.

Being candid, the standard is very patchy.

Really? I've worked mainly in state schools but also in private schools and never found this. I would say the standard of teaching is about the same.

dinbin · 24/03/2026 06:25

Barnsleybonuz · 23/03/2026 22:11

The fact is that all VAT has done is push forward the inevitable. People who can’t afford the 20% rise would be pushed out of private education in the next few years anyway. I can’t say I agree with it but school fees have risen so much over the years vs income that it was moving that way regardless. I started off paying £2500 a term at prep and finished paying for 6th form at £8500 a term and that was pre VAT

Yes, this is overlooked a lot (as well as the falling birth rates). Fees have been pricing people out for years and many parents who can afford the 30k plus a year want all singing & dancing which a lot of private schools don’t offer.

bunnyvsmonkey · 24/03/2026 06:05

We are at grammar and have noticed quite a few transferring but speaking to parents that's largely because despite having four good private schools locally, they've all become SEN hotspots and for international students. Great if you have a child who has SEN and doesn't mind most the cohort being socially segregated but it doesn't seem worth the money otherwise.

LoftyPlumLion · 24/03/2026 06:00

Schools closing has many factors https://schoolsweek.co.uk/how-falling-school-rolls-are-not-just-londons-crisis/

its too easy for rich people to weaponise the VAT issue through soundbites.

money is tight, nobody likes paying tax but we have a shrinking ageing population and do have some tough decisions to make.

How falling school rolls are not just London's crisis

Declining childbirth rates are hitting school demographics as the issue spreads across England

https://schoolsweek.co.uk/how-falling-school-rolls-are-not-just-londons-crisis/

InOverMyHead84 · 24/03/2026 05:56

Another flip side is seeing teachers move from collapsing fee paying schools into the state sector.

Being candid, the standard is very patchy.

LoftyPlumLion · 24/03/2026 05:44

Propping up failing schools through tax breaks is not right.

the few schools I know about raised prices well below the 20% that was added - which in my mind shows there is far to trim.

we are at a point where wealth inequality has grown considerably and we do need to take tough decisions, and sometimes the losers in those tax and spend decisions are rich people. The VAT loophole on schools made no sense other than a kick back for the wealthy at the expense of the many.

Religions should pay VAT next.

OrdinaryThings · 24/03/2026 05:36

I know of 7 children from my daughter’s year that have left, some had siblings who have also left. 5 of the children had SEN and went to the school because state school couldn’t provide what they needed. I know 1 of those 5 is now at another private school but at least 3 are being home educated with their parents having to give up work.

My nephews school closed. They moved to another private school but a few of their friends went to a local state school or again are being home educated with parents having to give up work die to the children have SEN.

I know a few families that were going to send their children to private school but have now chosen not to. They've all used the money that they’ll save on school to buy a house in an area with really good state options.

My youngest is in year 12 so it’ll only impact us for another year, although then there is uni to pay for. The VAT increase was not an issue for us financially, but if it was, we’d have done whatever we could to keep our youngest at their school. So many state schools are failing children, especially children with SEN. I’m so glad that we had the option to choose a good school as a good education and good experience of school days is vital imo.

ScholesPanda · 24/03/2026 03:14

DGS private primary school closed down shortly after the introduction of the 20% VAT. However, rolls had been falling for a number of years and it is likely it wasn't viable anyway. He moved to a competing combined
Primary/ Secondary school and is very happy there.

Private primaries are being hit particularly hard I think, because so many secondaries have moved to launch their own primary option that competition was hitting them hard anyway. I also think that some schools with lower fees are being hit- partly because the parents may be struggling to afford the fees anyway; but also because they often can't afford the 'extras' that can make the difference between them and a good state school in a nice area, so many parents are happy to opt with the state option (particularly at primary).

Meadowfinch · 24/03/2026 02:21

FasterMichelin · 23/03/2026 20:26

Kids leave schools all the time. In my child’s class, Y3, they’ve had 5 kids leave since Reception (and 4 start). People move, or change schools for other reasons. Heartbreaking sounds dramatic to me.

If parents can no longer afford something, then the kids adapt. It’s how the parents frame it that makes the difference. There are lots of wonderful state schools out there.

Bur there are not wonderful state schools in every area. In our town there is one reasonable ex-grammar and four poor quality comps where bullying and violence are rife.

Pollyanna87 · 24/03/2026 01:58

givemesteel · 23/03/2026 22:53

I expect your kids aren't at private school Polly. Many people in that situation may be able to afford 20% for one child. But how many can for 2 or 3, plus inflation on everything else, mortage rates rising massively, wage stagnation and so on. A lot of parents were doing their best to find the fees but this was the straw that broke the camel's back.

“Doing their best to find the fees” means they could never afford it.

DarkForces · 23/03/2026 23:40

InveterateWineDrinker · 23/03/2026 14:58

Well, it hasn't been long enough to fully understand the impact because parents won't have wanted to disrupt exam cycles if they could possibly avoid it. A child in Y10 or L6th when the VAT change came into effect would still have not sat their GCSEs or A levels yet so parents would beg borrow or steal to see that through, and then withdraw them. There's gonna be a bloodbath in the summer.

A bloodbath? Wow. We've had local state schools shut and merge without such hyperbole. A couple of sad news stories but no bodies strewn across fields.

dinbin · 23/03/2026 23:35

mugglewump · 23/03/2026 14:31

I don't see how you can extract the VAT issue from all the other factors which might be affecting school numbers; fall in birth rate, rapid inflation since 2020, cost of living crisis, interest rates or the school becoming less popular (rumour-mongering).

A balanced view would take all these into account. Near me, 4 state schools have closed in the past 2 years because of falling roll, so I don't see how you can apportion everything to VAT on fees.

Agree

OrcaSwimmingInATeaPot · 23/03/2026 23:33

Pollyanna87 · 23/03/2026 22:37

If you can’t afford a 20% increase in fees, you couldn’t afford the fees in the first place. It’s only 20%

That's nonsense. 20% is not a small amount. You also have to remember that the 20% is on top of the usual fee hikes and the usual fee hikes have been worse than ever because of the sudden increase in costs. We'd budgeted for that but not for an additional 20%. Imagine if the interest you pay on your mortgage suddenly increased by 20%. You wouldn't say then that if you couldn't afford a 20% increase you couldn't afford the house in the first place.

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 23:17

randomchap · 23/03/2026 23:12

So it doesn't apply to all children, just those in private education. So not a tax on children's education. Glad we've cleared that up.

It applies to all children and taxes their non state education at 20%.

randomchap · 23/03/2026 23:12

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 23:06

It’s a tax on children’s education when not provided by the state. That’s what it is. I agree it’s a bullshit tax. It’s not a subset of children (as if that excuses it), it applies to all children as soon as you choose a non state education option.

So it doesn't apply to all children, just those in private education. So not a tax on children's education. Glad we've cleared that up.

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 23:06

randomchap · 23/03/2026 23:00

Stop trying to push the bullshit that it is taxing children's education. It's not a blanket tax on it, as well you know.

It's a tax on private education, not children's education. A subset of children's education, at a push, but not children's education

It’s a tax on children’s education when not provided by the state. That’s what it is. I agree it’s a bullshit tax. It’s not a subset of children (as if that excuses it), it applies to all children as soon as you choose a non state education option.

randomchap · 23/03/2026 23:00

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 22:36

Maybe it wasn’t the best time to start taxing children’s education, if there ever is a good time anyway.

Stop trying to push the bullshit that it is taxing children's education. It's not a blanket tax on it, as well you know.

It's a tax on private education, not children's education. A subset of children's education, at a push, but not children's education

givemesteel · 23/03/2026 22:53

Pollyanna87 · 23/03/2026 22:37

If you can’t afford a 20% increase in fees, you couldn’t afford the fees in the first place. It’s only 20%

I expect your kids aren't at private school Polly. Many people in that situation may be able to afford 20% for one child. But how many can for 2 or 3, plus inflation on everything else, mortage rates rising massively, wage stagnation and so on. A lot of parents were doing their best to find the fees but this was the straw that broke the camel's back.

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 22:47

Pollyanna87 · 23/03/2026 22:37

If you can’t afford a 20% increase in fees, you couldn’t afford the fees in the first place. It’s only 20%

That is rock solid logic right there.

Pollyanna87 · 23/03/2026 22:37

If you can’t afford a 20% increase in fees, you couldn’t afford the fees in the first place. It’s only 20%

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 22:36

CurlewKate · 23/03/2026 22:11

Yes. It’s frustrating that so few people acknowledge this. A number of private schools have been closing or on the brink of closure before VAT was introduced. And the schools that have closed were largely vulnerable for other reasons too.

Maybe it wasn’t the best time to start taxing children’s education, if there ever is a good time anyway.

FoxyHedgehog · 23/03/2026 22:30

Barnsleybonuz · 23/03/2026 22:11

The fact is that all VAT has done is push forward the inevitable. People who can’t afford the 20% rise would be pushed out of private education in the next few years anyway. I can’t say I agree with it but school fees have risen so much over the years vs income that it was moving that way regardless. I started off paying £2500 a term at prep and finished paying for 6th form at £8500 a term and that was pre VAT

You could use that logic to justify any tax.

whiteumbrella · 23/03/2026 22:26

Think you’d have a better idea next year. My DC and a few others from her year will be leaving private after the next natural break in education/entry point, so struggling it out until then.

ParisianLady · 23/03/2026 22:25

1/6th of one child’s year left for state, they clearly cited cost as the main reason.

Intake in Reception is down 25% on previous years but this could be down to other factors. There used to be waiting lists and in one year they added a whole additional class due to demand, this is no more.