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GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:57

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:43

The questions are is this an increasing trend and are trans people over-represented in the demographics of school shooters (i.e. both categories skew young, so maybe not). You might even argue we don[t know the gender of school shooters past, only their sex.

I agree that the BBC has to wait for facts and not report on officially unsubstantiated social media gossip. Remember how Christoper Jefferies was thrown to the lions by unscrupulous press outlets.

Depending on how the incidents are categorised, there have been between mid-hundreds to low-thousands of school shootings in the US over the last six years.

If only four of those hundreds/thousands of incidents were perpetrated by any one identifiable demographic then there's simply not enough statistical significance available to predict whether or not there's a trend emerging.

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:54

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:44

Not that I believe in the word or construct of 'gender' but what you say is interesting in that school shooters/mass shooters of the past, how many went on to later claim trans identity?

I think many get killed perhaps so that may skew it.

Yes, or that trans has always been more prevalent than we think but that people lived closeted. It's a possibility.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:52

Also, we can look at the numbers of “trans women” that have committed other violent crimes, and that is vastly higher than women.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:50

AnSolas · 11/02/2026 11:47

Note your classification "trans / anti-trans wars" not that it is a Womens Rights issue of #notourcrimes.

You could examine why you phrased it that way.

Why there is no focus on a discussion on Womens Rights to have society and the law recognise that female only single sex should actually mean and be actually female only.

In this case that the killer be recorded as a male and be included in the list of male killers who carried out mass murder of children in their own community.

If people use the term “anti trans” they are a TRA. It’s an activist term. I’m a feminist, gender critical if I have to have a label. It’s a women’s rights issue and women’s rights is why we are so concerned. I don’t want violent, resentful men having a free pass to women’s spaces which the pp probably thinks is perfectly acceptable.

AnSolas · 11/02/2026 11:47

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 10:55

I'm not a "TRA" so please don't use that slur with me.

If you think my numbers are wrong then fine, give your sources. The wikipedia article simply counts school shootings without any mention of the perpetrator's views on sex or gender. Should I assume it's wrong? How many school shootings in the US do you think have happened since 2019?

I used the Williams Institute simply because that was the one that came up first in a google search I just did. I'd never heard of it before and I'm not so engrained in the minutia of the trans / anti-trans wars to instantly recognise it as one that takes any particular side. What do you think the percentage of the US population is that's trans-identifying?

Note your classification "trans / anti-trans wars" not that it is a Womens Rights issue of #notourcrimes.

You could examine why you phrased it that way.

Why there is no focus on a discussion on Womens Rights to have society and the law recognise that female only single sex should actually mean and be actually female only.

In this case that the killer be recorded as a male and be included in the list of male killers who carried out mass murder of children in their own community.

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:45

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:42

I’m not all that interested in your poorly informed opinions personally. Do another half arsed google and think what you like. I am interested in looking at how the WI got that 1% figure.

Sure, it's much easier for you to continue making wild-arsed claims if you don't need to back them up, isn't it?

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:44

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:43

The questions are is this an increasing trend and are trans people over-represented in the demographics of school shooters (i.e. both categories skew young, so maybe not). You might even argue we don[t know the gender of school shooters past, only their sex.

I agree that the BBC has to wait for facts and not report on officially unsubstantiated social media gossip. Remember how Christoper Jefferies was thrown to the lions by unscrupulous press outlets.

Not that I believe in the word or construct of 'gender' but what you say is interesting in that school shooters/mass shooters of the past, how many went on to later claim trans identity?

I think many get killed perhaps so that may skew it.

DownhillTeaTray · 11/02/2026 11:43

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:42

I’m not all that interested in your poorly informed opinions personally. Do another half arsed google and think what you like. I am interested in looking at how the WI got that 1% figure.

'Advanced statistical modelling' from biased sources, innit

Using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, the Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System, and advanced statistical modeling,

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:43

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:35

Thank you. According to that, then, 2019 - 2025 there have been 1,726 school shootings. Of which four(?) have so far been identified on this thread as being perpetrated by trans-identifying people.

Apparently 4 out of 1,726 is an overwhelming majority for some people.

The questions are is this an increasing trend and are trans people over-represented in the demographics of school shooters (i.e. both categories skew young, so maybe not). You might even argue we don[t know the gender of school shooters past, only their sex.

I agree that the BBC has to wait for facts and not report on officially unsubstantiated social media gossip. Remember how Christoper Jefferies was thrown to the lions by unscrupulous press outlets.

YourAmplePlumPoster · 11/02/2026 11:42

If you want to find out who did it, its on X. MSM lying as usual.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:42

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:40

I already cited the source but here it is again - https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/publications/trans-adults-united-states/

But oh look - once again you're making claims and providing zero sources. I'm shocked, shocked I tell you.

...well not that shocked.

I’m not all that interested in your poorly informed opinions personally. Do another half arsed google and think what you like. I am interested in looking at how the WI got that 1% figure.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:40

Yes, the ONS had to admit their own data wasn’t robust.

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:40

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:34

Can you link the Williams Institute figure please? I want to know how they derived that number - survey/extrapolation etc.

there are lots of different numbers of mass shootings. I’m talking about ones where three or more people have been killed. All experts seem to agree the number of female mass shooters (not just school shooters) is very small. 3 of them are TIFs.

I already cited the source but here it is again - https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/publications/trans-adults-united-states/

But oh look - once again you're making claims and providing zero sources. I'm shocked, shocked I tell you.

...well not that shocked.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:39

I think they are biased in how they frame gender identity ideology and all that flows from it.

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:39

DownhillTeaTray · 11/02/2026 11:38

Yes, to the extent that the Office For National Statistics has unaccredited that question. Language matters!

We consider that there is sufficient evidence that the gender identity question in the census has underperformed, with some groups of people being more likely than others to misunderstand the question.

https://osr.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/news/osr-publishes-its-final-report-on-the-review-of-the-statistics-collected-on-gender-identity-during-the-england-and-wales-census/

I knew I'd read it somewhere

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:39

I wasn’t actually talking about their population figure being biased, but I am interested in where it comes from. I think 1% of the population is probably a bit of a stretch, personally. But it’s hard to know the true figure.

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:39

I dont know about school or mass shootings in terms of representation but men who say they are women are hugely over represented in the prison population, per head in terms of sexual offenses against women.

You are at more risk from a man who says he is a woman, than a man who says he is a man.

DownhillTeaTray · 11/02/2026 11:38

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:35

I think there was some research about this in the UK, wasnt there some issue with this on a census or some formal system somewhere, where huge swathes of communities in London where English was not their first language identified as trans some how because of the wording of something

Probably not making any sense, I read it on this forum at some point

Yes, to the extent that the Office For National Statistics has unaccredited that question. Language matters!

We consider that there is sufficient evidence that the gender identity question in the census has underperformed, with some groups of people being more likely than others to misunderstand the question.

https://osr.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/news/osr-publishes-its-final-report-on-the-review-of-the-statistics-collected-on-gender-identity-during-the-england-and-wales-census/

OSR Publishes its Final Report on the Review of the Statistics Collected on Gender Identity During the England and Wales Census

The Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR) has published its final report on the review of statistics on gender identity, based on data collected as part of the 2021 England and Wales Census. During our engagement on this review, the Office for Nation...

https://osr.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/news/osr-publishes-its-final-report-on-the-review-of-the-statistics-collected-on-gender-identity-during-the-england-and-wales-census

Bigcat25 · 11/02/2026 11:36

daysofpearlyspencer · 11/02/2026 08:30

Unfortunately, self identification is enshrined in law in Canada, the trans lobby is extremely powerful there, they are calling the killer a gun person rather than mis gender him. The correct pronouns usage is way more important than dead children apparently.....

Oh come on. All that's being talked about here is gender ideology, same as you criticize them for.

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:36

DownhillTeaTray · 11/02/2026 11:32

There are so few trans people statistically, supposedly, that the minute one commits a school and/or mass shooting, they are over representing the numbers.

I think I'll just copy-and-paste:

At the risk of boring even myself, what proportion of the US population do you think is trans-identifying and what is your source for that?

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:35

DownhillTeaTray · 11/02/2026 11:27

And this is where they use language to confuse people. What do you mean by "trans man"?

"Trans identified man" works better. Or TIM for short.

I think there was some research about this in the UK, wasnt there some issue with this on a census or some formal system somewhere, where huge swathes of communities in London where English was not their first language identified as trans some how because of the wording of something

Probably not making any sense, I read it on this forum at some point

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:35

trappedCatAsleepOnMe · 11/02/2026 11:19

https://k12ssdb.org/all-shootings

There a school shooting data base - though it includes all cases where a gun is fired on school property it says.

It's fucking depressing that someone actaully keeping a database - I assume it's just US based as this is usually very much a US problem with spordic occurances in other countries.

Thank you. According to that, then, 2019 - 2025 there have been 1,726 school shootings. Of which four(?) have so far been identified on this thread as being perpetrated by trans-identifying people.

Apparently 4 out of 1,726 is an overwhelming majority for some people.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:34

Can you link the Williams Institute figure please? I want to know how they derived that number - survey/extrapolation etc.

there are lots of different numbers of mass shootings. I’m talking about ones where three or more people have been killed. All experts seem to agree the number of female mass shooters (not just school shooters) is very small. 3 of them are TIFs.

AnSolas · 11/02/2026 11:33

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 10:41

There were 473 school shootings in the US 2019 - 2025 (source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_the_United_States_(2000%E2%80%93present) ). So far in this thread there's been three, maybe four of those that were perpetrated by trans-identifying people. That's less than 1% of school shootings which even the most innumerate of people wouldn't agree represents "the vast majority".

As for trans-identifying people being "certainly over-represented", there's a range of figures for how many of the US population is trans-identifying but figures of around 1% overall seem common, eg https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/publications/trans-adults-united-states/ although numbers for the age range more likely to shoot up a school tend to be higher. So less than 1% of school shooters are trans-identifying against around 1% of the population identifying as trans. And that, to you, is them being "over-represented", is it?

Keep being scared of what the right-wing grifters tell you to be scared about. Your fears keep them rich.

You know the maths you are quoting needs to be loollked at right?

If the population is
49 % male 51% female

If 1% is the total population

Thats 2 females ( per thread )
and how many males?

Weighted to
2 of how many female killers
? of how many male killers.

This is rather important when male killers are moved from the male class and placed into the female class

ThatBlackCat · 11/02/2026 11:32

Crikeyalmighty · 11/02/2026 11:25

You are probably correct - why not say though it was a trans man - I don’t get it, call a spade a spade I say . It will come out anyway.

Because a trans man is a female who identifies as a man. The shooter was a transwoman ie a male who identifies as a woman.

Yeah, that's what changing the names of everything does. It deliberately causes confusion and distorts things. It's a feature of the agenda and ideology, not a bug.

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