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Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To reckon that Reform will win the next election, and to be utterly terrified about it? 😪

584 replies

mumofoneAloneandwell · 26/01/2026 14:33

i am a leftie

I think they’ll win

If don’t, they’ll have the majority in a hung parliament and govern as a minority party before joining with the Tories.

i’m going to tighten my belt re running my home and prepare for onslaught as the country becomes unrecognisable

OP posts:
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ExtraOnions · 26/01/2026 21:25

I don’t have any issues accessing a GP, and never had. I can ring at any time tomorrow, I will get traiged by a Dr, and if I need to I’ll come in and see them, or they might perscribe meds, or suggest something else.

I have a well managed GP surgery, who employ a great practice manager, and have processes that aren’t out of the ark.

EsmeSusanOgg · 26/01/2026 21:25

TwoTuesday · 26/01/2026 21:18

All the Tory defections should trigger by elections in their constituencies, they were not voted in as Reform candidates so how can they just switch to Reform and keep their seats? It's not what their constituents voted for.

In First Past the Post you vote for the candidate individually, not the party. Which means MPs retain their seat even if they cross the floor or have the whip removed. It was a system set up before we had the diversity of parties we currently do. Many voters also think it terms of who they want as PM and vote accordingly, even though that isn't technically who they are voting for. Ideally we'd have electoral reform into a system that is easier/ clearer to follow and good political education/ media that reports accurately. But... That's been something people have been trying to sort for a few decades.

TwoTuesday · 26/01/2026 21:18

All the Tory defections should trigger by elections in their constituencies, they were not voted in as Reform candidates so how can they just switch to Reform and keep their seats? It's not what their constituents voted for.

EsmeSusanOgg · 26/01/2026 21:16

Livelovebehappy · 26/01/2026 20:44

You have ready access to your GP?! How lucky you are. If I want an appointment to see my GP, I have to enter a phone queue of 50 people at 8 in the morning. We can only have same day appointments, and once they’re filled, it’s rinse and repeat for the following day. No wonder people use A&E as a walk in GP service. And no NHS dentists either. I have one fortunately, but there’s a 2 year waiting list for new NHS patients to register. I can’t believe that people are so used to the rubbish service we receive that they’re actually thankful for it.

I agree there are issues with current access to NHS. And NHS backlogs. But Reform would privatise the NHS and reduce access.

I think a number of other parties have better approaches to NHS reform than selling it off.

mumofoneAloneandwell · 26/01/2026 21:13

Livelovebehappy · 26/01/2026 20:44

You have ready access to your GP?! How lucky you are. If I want an appointment to see my GP, I have to enter a phone queue of 50 people at 8 in the morning. We can only have same day appointments, and once they’re filled, it’s rinse and repeat for the following day. No wonder people use A&E as a walk in GP service. And no NHS dentists either. I have one fortunately, but there’s a 2 year waiting list for new NHS patients to register. I can’t believe that people are so used to the rubbish service we receive that they’re actually thankful for it.

yes the access is free and I can contact them. I do have a long wait on the phone but that’s due to cuts

OP posts:
EsmeSusanOgg · 26/01/2026 21:08

Quickchangeartist · 26/01/2026 21:03

You don’t really think these defecting Tories are going to risk letting Farage near an actual election. One of them, let’s put our money on Jenrick’s ego, will challenge him for the leadership pretty soon.

I'm not sure. I think they are all hoping to be on a front bench. And will be loyal until they are JB power. But I cannot see that playing out in anything but a negative way. The way Reform is structured is also unconventional - more like a shell corporation than a political party.

EsmeSusanOgg · 26/01/2026 21:06

Underthinker · 26/01/2026 20:19

I'm not a reform fan, but calling them fascists is a bit of a stretch. I used to read the guardian and remember fondly the section of their readership who like to claim anyone right of Corbyn is a fascist. There were always bullet pointed checklists that "proved" it.

Reform do meet the criteria to be considered fascist. They certainly celebrate and push authoritarian agendas.

I've never been a Corbyn voter or supporter.

There comes a point where getting squeamish and not calling a spade a space becomes massively problematic. Worth looking at the fallacy of being tolerant of intolerance.

One of the issues regularly flagged with parts of the left and the Labour party in the past has been the competitiveness over who is the most left wing person on the left. I'm not and have never been a part of that. I hover between slightly left or slightly left of centre depending on policy.

Quickchangeartist · 26/01/2026 21:03

You don’t really think these defecting Tories are going to risk letting Farage near an actual election. One of them, let’s put our money on Jenrick’s ego, will challenge him for the leadership pretty soon.

ExtraOnions · 26/01/2026 20:58

caringcarer · 26/01/2026 20:24

I think no it's a bit of a joke to say Reform would be a security risk when it's Starmer who is attacking farmers and putting our food security at risk, trying desperately to give away the Chargos Islands and rent them back costing billions and allowing a mega Chinese embassy to open in London far larger than necessary for purpose.

I think you’ll find that the biggest threat the Farmers, by far, are supermarkets, and thier collective buying power. The European markets are much more difficult to get into, so they are at the mercy of the big buyers.

It’s not inheritance tax that’s the problem, it’s people expecting cheap food (but much easier to point at Government Policy, than to spend more on a higher welfare chicken)

The Chagos island situation came about under the last government, and we are required to abide by the court judgments.

Talkinpeace · 26/01/2026 20:56

The current government all over Europe are ignoring or pandering to mass immigration policies, people have had enough and want change.

a) The biggest cause of immigration in western Europe in the last three years has been Ukraine

b) the biggest single cause of immigration to the UK in the last three years has been HongKongers

c) Boat people take that route because all the sensible and legal routes have been removed

d) Ageing populations in the whole of Europe mean we either hire immigrants or accespt shrinking economies

e) No policy anywhere has persuaded women to have more children once birth rates drop below 2.5 - most of Europe 35 years ago, most of Asia 10 years ago

EsmeSusanOgg · 26/01/2026 20:56

Underthinker · 26/01/2026 20:19

I'm not a reform fan, but calling them fascists is a bit of a stretch. I used to read the guardian and remember fondly the section of their readership who like to claim anyone right of Corbyn is a fascist. There were always bullet pointed checklists that "proved" it.

No, it really is not. They are certainly authoritarian and are emulating paths to political victory used by fascist parties of times gone by.

In the same way the current US administration's use of ICE to intimidate states who do not tend to vote in support of the current administration emulates tactics used by Hitler and the Nazis in the early 1930s.

Not everyone who votes for Reform is a right wing bigot fascist sympathiser. But everyone who is a right wing bigot fascist sympathiser does vote for Reform.

The issue is that there is no unifying alternative at the moment, which leads to split votes across the board.

What this realistically.means come the next general election - it is too far away to tell. But the Scottish and Welsh parliamentary elections will be considered a litmus test for overall popularity of Reform and of other parties.

EasternStandard · 26/01/2026 20:54

ChurchWindows · 26/01/2026 20:49

I'll be surprised if Kemi lasts until the next election.
The Tories seem to drop a woman into the top role when the shit is hitting the fan, let her take the hit then swap her out for a nice public schoolboy when the storm has passed and any real power is in sight. Truss and May were both fall guys.

I doubt it she’s beating the male leaders atm

Minutewaltz · 26/01/2026 20:53

ive got health issues for which I need the nhs - I expect we won’t have the ready access to gp’s (however rubbish it currently is) that we do now.

Ready access to GPs? I wish we were that lucky.

Clubbiscuit · 26/01/2026 20:50

Ablondiebutagoody · 26/01/2026 15:19

Can't be worse than Labour or the Tories.

Yes they can be. Try no NHS, lower taxes so no money for anything except his billionaire pals and ICE agents on the streets. Our local Reform guy is a really nasty character. He’s known locally for really verbally attacking women if they disagree with him on social media. I pointed out that he was wrong about something and he obviously searched me up and basically doxed me online to try to shame me.

ChurchWindows · 26/01/2026 20:49

I'll be surprised if Kemi lasts until the next election.
The Tories seem to drop a woman into the top role when the shit is hitting the fan, let her take the hit then swap her out for a nice public schoolboy when the storm has passed and any real power is in sight. Truss and May were both fall guys.

Livelovebehappy · 26/01/2026 20:44

mumofoneAloneandwell · 26/01/2026 20:36

Well my dd is autistic so I expect that we are going to have a reduction in her already not massive dla, should they get in

I expect that the support she gets at school will be cut

I suspect that things like cheap events due to her being disabled will be stopped

I expect food prices to get higher, etc 😪

ive got health issues for which I need the nhs - I expect we won’t have the ready access to gp’s (however rubbish it currently is) that we do now.

Edited

You have ready access to your GP?! How lucky you are. If I want an appointment to see my GP, I have to enter a phone queue of 50 people at 8 in the morning. We can only have same day appointments, and once they’re filled, it’s rinse and repeat for the following day. No wonder people use A&E as a walk in GP service. And no NHS dentists either. I have one fortunately, but there’s a 2 year waiting list for new NHS patients to register. I can’t believe that people are so used to the rubbish service we receive that they’re actually thankful for it.

Ohanotherflippingcold · 26/01/2026 20:43

caringcarer · 26/01/2026 20:24

I think no it's a bit of a joke to say Reform would be a security risk when it's Starmer who is attacking farmers and putting our food security at risk, trying desperately to give away the Chargos Islands and rent them back costing billions and allowing a mega Chinese embassy to open in London far larger than necessary for purpose.

  1. It's about time Farmers paid the same taxes as everyone else. I think shedding tears for farmers that are millionaires or have bought farms as a tax dodge is laughable
  2. You aren't bothered about the ' Chargos' Islands are you? You are against the giving them back because Trump and Farage have said it's a bad thing
  3. The security services approved the Chinese embassy after Starmer asked for a report into it. It is good for diplomatic relations and the economy to to develop better connections with China.
Livelovebehappy · 26/01/2026 20:39

KatiePricesKnickers · 26/01/2026 20:17

I’m right of center, and I can’t see Reform getting in. Without Farage they are nothing.
Labour are already more right wing than the previous Tory government.
If Starmer doesn’t perish due to the illegal immigration ( they are mostly economic migrants ) then I rate Labour’s prospects the highest.

I don’t think the current Labour Party is right wing at all, absolutely a majority of them are very left wing. Which is why Starmer can’t get rational policies over the finishing line. I bet if Corbyn had the same support from the public as Nigel has for reform, there’d be loads of Starmer’s back bench MPs defecting.

mumofoneAloneandwell · 26/01/2026 20:36

MaybeThisTimeILlbeLucky · 26/01/2026 20:30

@mumofoneAloneandwell what do you mean re tightening belt for reform ?

Our belts are already very tight here.

Well my dd is autistic so I expect that we are going to have a reduction in her already not massive dla, should they get in

I expect that the support she gets at school will be cut

I suspect that things like cheap events due to her being disabled will be stopped

I expect food prices to get higher, etc 😪

ive got health issues for which I need the nhs - I expect we won’t have the ready access to gp’s (however rubbish it currently is) that we do now.

OP posts:
Kingscallops · 26/01/2026 20:36

BlueJuniper94 · 26/01/2026 20:27

Labour Reform coalition?

I think Farage has his sights set on a Tory Refom coalition.

MaybeThisTimeILlbeLucky · 26/01/2026 20:30

@mumofoneAloneandwell what do you mean re tightening belt for reform ?

Our belts are already very tight here.

BlueJuniper94 · 26/01/2026 20:27

KatiePricesKnickers · 26/01/2026 20:17

I’m right of center, and I can’t see Reform getting in. Without Farage they are nothing.
Labour are already more right wing than the previous Tory government.
If Starmer doesn’t perish due to the illegal immigration ( they are mostly economic migrants ) then I rate Labour’s prospects the highest.

Labour Reform coalition?

EmeraldShamrock000 · 26/01/2026 20:25

You might be right from an outsider’s perspective. I highly doubt that they’ll deploy ICE agents. The current government all over Europe are ignoring or pandering to mass immigration policies, people have had enough and want change. If the current government cared they’d could start taking action, similarly in Ireland, hospitality industry is hugely impacted by hotel accommodation shut down to the public, alongside most other services, you’re taking your life into your hands in a&e over crowded rooms these days.

caringcarer · 26/01/2026 20:24

I think no it's a bit of a joke to say Reform would be a security risk when it's Starmer who is attacking farmers and putting our food security at risk, trying desperately to give away the Chargos Islands and rent them back costing billions and allowing a mega Chinese embassy to open in London far larger than necessary for purpose.

Kingscallops · 26/01/2026 20:20

Underthinker · 26/01/2026 20:19

I'm not a reform fan, but calling them fascists is a bit of a stretch. I used to read the guardian and remember fondly the section of their readership who like to claim anyone right of Corbyn is a fascist. There were always bullet pointed checklists that "proved" it.

That still goes on, as well as calling them right wing bots.

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