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To think this is why Reform will win the next election “Epping hotel asylum seeker mistakenly released”

394 replies

SingleSexSpacesInSchools · 24/10/2025 22:43

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2d5rl36vgo

Police have launched a manhunt after a former asylum seeker who sexually assaulted a 14-year-old girl was mistakenly released from prison.
Ethiopian national Hadush Kebatu, who arrived in the UK on a small boat, was jailed for 12 months over the attack in Epping, Essex, last month.

Custody shot of Hadush Kebatu

Manhunt for asylum seeker jailed for sexual assault mistakenly released

Ethiopian national Hadush Kebatu sparked nationwide protests after sexually assaulting a 14-year-old girl.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2d5rl36vgo

OP posts:
JenniferBooth · 29/10/2025 16:57

Vinvertebrate · 28/10/2025 12:38

Interesting. I suspect it will up the ante by fermenting more discontent in a new demographic. Typically, the wealthier have benefitted most from immigration: it means cheap services (plumbers, cleaners, childcare, etc), a great choice of cuisine and does not impact on their ability to access shared resources, as it may in a deprived community. I suspect there will be limited tolerance for any anti-social behaviour of the type that has been reported following the use of a military base in James Cleverly’s constituency in Essex iirc.

I live in this constituency and there was a news report last night from a whistle blower who worked there claiming female cleaners were sexually harassed.

JenniferBooth · 29/10/2025 16:49

ForestBath · 28/10/2025 12:24

I think this is excellent news. I've long argued that the problem with housing asylum seekers is that the load hasn't been spread evenly. The poorest areas with the poorest resources have been leaned on heavily; it was always going to lead to discontent. More affluent areas MUST take their fair share. This will help turn the temperature down on the whole debate.

Just seen a TV report about it Some of the ppl of Crowborough aint happy

suburburban · 29/10/2025 10:17

Katiesaidthat · 29/10/2025 09:30

I don´t think the poster meant to pay them that kind of salary...
Also I don´t think the work needed on railways is unskilled...

yes, It really isn’t unskilled

Katiesaidthat · 29/10/2025 09:30

taxguru · 25/10/2025 12:42

Trouble with infrastructure work is that those workers now command ridiculously high wages so the cost is ruinous - as we've seen with HS2. Unskilled labourers on £1k per day freelance rates for example.

I don´t think the poster meant to pay them that kind of salary...
Also I don´t think the work needed on railways is unskilled...

UniteTheUnicorns · 29/10/2025 06:13

Vinvertebrate · 28/10/2025 11:55

One of the party complained that she didn’t like seeing black faces in adverts, I’m horrified, is this their true M.O?

I think what she was (very clumsily) trying to say was that the number of POC - and specifically mixed families - in advertisements seemed disproportionate in a population that is 83% white British, and that these families didn’t accurately represent many people’s lives outside the M25.

We are a mixed race family living quite a considerable distance from the M25 so the advertising probably goes over my head a little. But our rural area is apparently 95% white British and so the demographic is wildly different to (say) Newham, Islington or even most of Birmingham, and it might well seem incongruous in that context. I have also noticed that every old dear wheeled out to advertise funerals, stairlifts or life insurance is white, almost without exception.

I do think it’s important to be able to discuss these issues and make observations respectfully without defaulting to either invective or accusations of racism. If everything is racist, then nothing is racist - this is sadly not a lesson that Labour seems willing or able to learn.

Exactly this!

EasternStandard · 28/10/2025 19:12

Oh yeh just read, lorry

Vinvertebrate · 28/10/2025 19:09

EasternStandard · 28/10/2025 19:06

The earlier article that stated he didn’t arrive in a small boat was misinformation?

Technically correct - he arrived in a lorry.

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 19:08

EasternStandard · 28/10/2025 19:06

The earlier article that stated he didn’t arrive in a small boat was misinformation?

Back of a lorry.

ForestBath · 28/10/2025 19:06

Pharazon · 28/10/2025 18:40

Crowborough isn’t liberal. It’s try blue Tory. Hardly ‘elite’ either. Just wealthy, mostly older people.

Depends how you define ' elite'; for me it's a synonym in this country for 'wealthy' and the protection that that affords. Inverness, where the 2nd military barracks is to repurposed is lib dem isn't it?

EasternStandard · 28/10/2025 19:06

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 19:04

Confirmed. Asylum seeker, granted leave to remain.

The earlier article that stated he didn’t arrive in a small boat was misinformation?

CorneliaCupp · 28/10/2025 19:05

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 19:04

Confirmed. Asylum seeker, granted leave to remain.

So a refugee?

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 19:04

Vinvertebrate · 28/10/2025 17:39

Apparently he’s an Afghan national, but he did not arrive on a small boat (ie we don’t know whether he’s an asylum seeker, but the way it’s written suggests not).

Confirmed. Asylum seeker, granted leave to remain.

EasternStandard · 28/10/2025 19:03

Vinvertebrate · 28/10/2025 17:04

I agree, but what can he do? All of the potential solutions - Rwanda, hostile environment tactics, ECHR withdrawal or reform - are antithetical to him (and to most Labour MP's). Labour was not elected because the nation's politics swung left, or because their policies were especially popular, but because people rightly felt that the Tories did not deserve to win.

Starmer seems to have no idea how to address his unpopularity, so he's dabbling in a few crowd-pleasers (like the plans discussed on this thread) whilst his MP's and cabinet colleagues seem duty-bound to hobble those efforts at every turn.

Meanwhile, there has been no improvement in the quality or integrity of government - Angela Rayner's tax affairs, Tulip Siddiqi embroiled in fraud allegations, that housing minister who section 21'ed her tenants and then hiked the rent, Haigh's resignation after pleading guilty to fraud years previously. I have no desire for a Reform government, but even I can appreciate that the two main parties have run out of road, largely because of their own incompetence and lack of integrity.

I agree with a lot of this but the cancelling Rwanda was a very Starmer decision. He was completely self assured in his declarations that he could smash the gangs.

Idk why he got it so wrong given his past job, but there you go if the one in one out is what we have now then I’d say he’ll struggle to even complete a term.

Pharazon · 28/10/2025 18:40

ForestBath · 28/10/2025 12:29

Well we'll certainly see if the liberal elite will put their money where their mouth is...

Crowborough isn’t liberal. It’s try blue Tory. Hardly ‘elite’ either. Just wealthy, mostly older people.

1dayatatime · 28/10/2025 18:33

CorneliaCupp · 28/10/2025 17:35

What makes you say that the left base their views on emotions and the right in facts? What facts are the left ignoring?

The old saying is that if you vote right wing then you have no heart and if you vote left wing then you have no brain.

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 17:48

CorneliaCupp · 28/10/2025 17:34

Was he an asylum seeker? I don't think the media have said have they?

You are correct, they have not announced his status.
He could be one of the doctors, engineers or health workers, or he could be an asylum seeker.
Let’s see.

Vinvertebrate · 28/10/2025 17:39

Apparently he’s an Afghan national, but he did not arrive on a small boat (ie we don’t know whether he’s an asylum seeker, but the way it’s written suggests not).

CorneliaCupp · 28/10/2025 17:35

1dayatatime · 28/10/2025 17:28

I don't think they will because such murders will be explained away as isolated and that the vast majority of migrants don't murder and that you are clearly far right and racist for pointing this out.

And lastly maybe having innocent dog walkers being stabbed to death is a price worth paying for showing "compassion " to refugees and not having Reform in power.

You see the problem you are having is that the left base their views on emotion and the right base their views on facts. Pointing out facts to a person that has already formed their opinion on emotion is never going to change their minds.

What makes you say that the left base their views on emotions and the right in facts? What facts are the left ignoring?

CorneliaCupp · 28/10/2025 17:34

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 17:19

Reform might win because the asylum seekers keep murdering people.
Like the dog walker in Uxbridge stabbed to death by an Afghan National yesterday. 2 others, including a child, stabbed.

Was he an asylum seeker? I don't think the media have said have they?

EasternStandard · 28/10/2025 17:31

1dayatatime · 28/10/2025 17:28

I don't think they will because such murders will be explained away as isolated and that the vast majority of migrants don't murder and that you are clearly far right and racist for pointing this out.

And lastly maybe having innocent dog walkers being stabbed to death is a price worth paying for showing "compassion " to refugees and not having Reform in power.

You see the problem you are having is that the left base their views on emotion and the right base their views on facts. Pointing out facts to a person that has already formed their opinion on emotion is never going to change their minds.

It’s not worth it for this to be the outcome for a dog walker trying to help 😓

1dayatatime · 28/10/2025 17:28

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 17:19

Reform might win because the asylum seekers keep murdering people.
Like the dog walker in Uxbridge stabbed to death by an Afghan National yesterday. 2 others, including a child, stabbed.

I don't think they will because such murders will be explained away as isolated and that the vast majority of migrants don't murder and that you are clearly far right and racist for pointing this out.

And lastly maybe having innocent dog walkers being stabbed to death is a price worth paying for showing "compassion " to refugees and not having Reform in power.

You see the problem you are having is that the left base their views on emotion and the right base their views on facts. Pointing out facts to a person that has already formed their opinion on emotion is never going to change their minds.

HellsBalls · 28/10/2025 17:19

Reform might win because the asylum seekers keep murdering people.
Like the dog walker in Uxbridge stabbed to death by an Afghan National yesterday. 2 others, including a child, stabbed.

1dayatatime · 28/10/2025 17:10

ZoeCM · 28/10/2025 16:36

I don't know what's going to happen. I'm extremely worried about what Reform would do to abortion rights, workers' rights, disability allowances, the NHS, etc. I also worry that if Reform were elected, racists would start to see themselves as the majority and feel emboldened to harass BAME people.

But I also don't see how the UK's current approach can continue. We've already reached the stage where a fun run organised by a London mosque has brazenly banned women. Young girls are being sexually harassed by asylum seekers on their way to school. The Casey Report showed decades of institutional denial about the racial aspect of grooming gangs. After the Manchester Arena bombing, a security guard testified that he was suspicious of the bomber, but he was afraid to approach him in case he got called racist.

I'm angry that this situation has been allowed to spiral out of control and create this false dichotomy. We shouldn't be in a position where we're having to choose between two extremes. I feel as though the people in charge have abdicated their responsibilities over the last few decades.

But by expressing those exact concerns you will be labelled as a racist and a Reform supporter (even if you aren't).

Looking at the most recent polls we are seeing: Reform on around 30%, Labour and Conservative on around 17%, Liberals and Greens on around 15%.

If an election were to take place on those figures then clearly Reform would win. But my takeaway from the recent Caerphilly election is that voters will vote tactically to prevent a Reform victory.

Thus leading to a Labour/ Lib Dem / Green coalition where the price from the Greens is a much further shift to the left (shared by many Labour supporters). The Liberals not having any real policies apart from "we're not the other guys and they're bad" will happily make up the numbers for a seat in power.

The ego of the Conservatives under Badinoch would prevent them taking a junior role in any coalition with Reform.

Vinvertebrate · 28/10/2025 17:04

EasternStandard · 28/10/2025 16:41

If Starmer really has given up on decreasing crossings that decision will likely cost him the next GE.

I agree, but what can he do? All of the potential solutions - Rwanda, hostile environment tactics, ECHR withdrawal or reform - are antithetical to him (and to most Labour MP's). Labour was not elected because the nation's politics swung left, or because their policies were especially popular, but because people rightly felt that the Tories did not deserve to win.

Starmer seems to have no idea how to address his unpopularity, so he's dabbling in a few crowd-pleasers (like the plans discussed on this thread) whilst his MP's and cabinet colleagues seem duty-bound to hobble those efforts at every turn.

Meanwhile, there has been no improvement in the quality or integrity of government - Angela Rayner's tax affairs, Tulip Siddiqi embroiled in fraud allegations, that housing minister who section 21'ed her tenants and then hiked the rent, Haigh's resignation after pleading guilty to fraud years previously. I have no desire for a Reform government, but even I can appreciate that the two main parties have run out of road, largely because of their own incompetence and lack of integrity.