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War, farming and food supply

281 replies

Lifeinthepit · 14/09/2025 10:43

With the recent incursions by Russia into NATO territory, it got me thinking about the increased danger of war. Bearing in mind we have nearly 70 million people squashed onto this island that's a lot of mouths to feed if the food supply lines are broken (which presumably would be a priority target by any enemy).

With that clear danger in mind, I wonder how the government is encouraging and supporting our farmers and what measures they are taking to ensure that farmers continue to farm the land to produce our food. And also how they are making sure there is enough proper farmland available (and not built on or sold to Blackrock to be covered in solar panels) to potentially support 70 million hungry people.

AIBU to think that the Government are doing the opposite of making sure our food supply will be secure in the time of any war.

OP posts:
Lifeinthepit · 18/09/2025 19:21

lljkk · 18/09/2025 17:01

Ah bummer, I still don't have answer to my question, which is

What was the tax relief situation for farmland being passed down before [the IHT relief introduced in early 1990s]? How did farms avoid having to be sold or broken up then [due to their tax bills]?

Is OP saying the inheritance tax change in 2025 is not a concern to her after all? Confused.

I'm saying it's irrelevant what the situation was in 1992. I've been very consistent in what I'm saying. We may want to look at the IHT situation down the line but at the moment it is very much not the right time (given the potential urgent need for food security) as it's not a positive or supportive tax regime for farms in any way whatsoever. Is it. Reread my original post and then explain why war was just as possible in 1992 in Europe as it is in 2025.

OP posts:
lljkk · 18/09/2025 17:01

Ah bummer, I still don't have answer to my question, which is

What was the tax relief situation for farmland being passed down before [the IHT relief introduced in early 1990s]? How did farms avoid having to be sold or broken up then [due to their tax bills]?

Is OP saying the inheritance tax change in 2025 is not a concern to her after all? Confused.

WestwardHo1 · 18/09/2025 12:44

HoskinsChoice · 14/09/2025 10:49

Squashed? Less than 10% of the UK is built on. You can drama queen as much as you like but when your opening para claims we are 'squashed' into an island, it's hard to take you seriously.

Yes, I'm quoting the first page and haven't yet got any further, but I find statements like this moronic. Yes, we are squashed. An enormous proportion of the UK is not suitable to be built on or to live on. There are uplands, moors, river floodplains, coastal floodplains, forests (we need them), farmland (ditto). In fact we need all of them.

Yes only a small proportion of the UK is built on, for good reason. Humans are not the only things that live on our islands.

HostaCentral · 18/09/2025 12:41

The VAT is almost a side issue IMHO. Locally to us, since Labour announced house building targets there are literally thousands of houses in the process of planning, all in the last few months, either already granted, or being brought to planning. Some are in the local town on brownfield, hurrah, a huge number are on productive farm land, recently farmed for wheat and rape, grazing land for sheep. Oh, and let's not forget the huge solar farm, also on farmland.

Once it's gone, it's gone.

Lifeinthepit · 18/09/2025 12:38

lljkk · 18/09/2025 12:29

Hey OP : thanks for sticking with the thread. I very much want an answer to first question below.

I think most of your posts have as motivation the change in inheritance tax (Labour introduced recently) that means farms could get a big tax bill when passed to next generation. Really sorry if you already answered this and I missed it, long thread.

My question:
The agricultural tax relief being taken away was only introduced in about 1992. What was the tax relief situation for farmland being passed down before that? How did farms avoid having to be sold or broken up then?

Bonus question:
How do you feel about people like Jeremy Clarkson using agricultural land as a tax shelter for their kids? Which was reason for his original investment, regardless of his farmer conversion since. Do you blame people like JC for driving up price of agric land?

My point has always been throughout that any negative policy towards farms (such as making them chargeable for IHT when they currently arent) is madness when there are incursions by the Russians into Poland. Whatever the situation was in 1992 the world is in a very much more unstable state as we all know.

JC is a very unusual case and a huge red herring. There are very few farmers like him. The government are trying to spin it for ideaological reasons that most farmers are in a similar situation to JC and therefore need putting in their box. It's not true and it's a shame that no one in government listens to the average farmer. The IHT will raise little money, probably cost taxpayers more than it raises and leads to the destruction of a good thing in this country.

Incidentally the IHT provisions on BPR will similarly affect family businesses, although perhaps not so relevant to my particular thread. Rachel Reeves is a hugely destructive Chancellor that only thinks short term in many areas. I hope the country doesn't get put to the test.

OP posts:
lljkk · 18/09/2025 12:29

Hey OP : thanks for sticking with the thread. I very much want an answer to first question below.

I think most of your posts have as motivation the change in inheritance tax (Labour introduced recently) that means farms could get a big tax bill when passed to next generation. Really sorry if you already answered this and I missed it, long thread.

My question:
The agricultural tax relief being taken away was only introduced in about 1992. What was the tax relief situation for farmland being passed down before that? How did farms avoid having to be sold or broken up then?

Bonus question:
How do you feel about people like Jeremy Clarkson using agricultural land as a tax shelter for their kids? Which was reason for his original investment, regardless of his farmer conversion since. Do you blame people like JC for driving up price of agric land?

Lifeinthepit · 18/09/2025 12:28

hydriotaphia · 18/09/2025 11:43

All well and good. But Rachel Reeves's tax policy is a negative regarding supporting farming and food. Thats simply a fact. And once the family farms in this country go, they are very hard to replace. And a negative effect at this time on farms (which produce much of our food) is extremely short sighted if supply lines are broken. No one can predict what might happen. The Government is not making good decisions in many areas. Everyone is well aware of that and it's shown by polling and by their retreating from their decisions. So I personally have little trust that this paper will lead to a good outcome for us if there is a war. As I've said, much of their decision making is idealogical and run by the law of unintended consequences. There really is no arguing against that, unfortunately.

I'm sorry for not agreeing with people who are arguing against the farmers on here (the ones that are arguing in a reasonable way without being rude to me). I get what you are trying to say. I simply don't agree. Which is allowed.

OP posts:
hydriotaphia · 18/09/2025 11:43

To the OP, there is a government policy paper setting out this government's food strategy www.gov.uk/government/publications/a-uk-government-food-strategy-for-england/a-uk-government-food-strategy-for-england-considering-the-wider-uk-food-system

SerendipityJane · 18/09/2025 11:35

Ivelostmyglasses · 17/09/2025 19:30

There is no contingency plan around food. Our food supply is massively at risk, it is being called out and ignored by academics and food chain experts who are asking for contingency plans. Food companies are huge powerful global investment companies, bigger than government. They are killing our rivers, selling us food that has no nutritional value and is in turn killing the planet. The OP is right to be worried. So many things outside of war can disrupt the food chain. We rely too much on supermarkets and they have no magic solutions. There have been many occasions where our supermarket shelves have been very sparse with no fruit or veg over the last few years & weather changes have meant farmers have lost crops or had to replant repeatedly in the UK.

None of which is wrong.

However no matter how right you are, it is physically impossible for the UK to become self sufficient in food. And anyone who pretends otherwise is up to a grift.

If we had only just stopped being self sufficient - say 10, 15 years ago - then yes. Go for it.

But it's not 10,15 years. It's 200 years. It would take decades to reverse that with a wartime style application for every single day of it. Forget conscripting soldiers, you'd need an army of labour for farming. Even with tractors and machines.

I can't make it any clearer. "Food security" is not a synonym for "100% food self sufficiency", even if the reverse is true.

Very few nations are completely self sufficient in food. And frankly I'm not sure I'd like to live in the ones that are.

CoffeeCantata · 18/09/2025 07:38

As someone brought up on a family farm (not a huge agri-business) - being a small farmer isn’t like other jobs. You’d never get people to put in the hours and commitment all round the clock that farmers have to for the money they earn. Please don’t make the mistake of thinking all farms are like the vast rolling acres you see in E Anglia, some parts of the Cotswolds or Wiltshire. Many are clinging on by their fingernails, especially in upland areas.

Owning the farm is the only real motivator - if you didn’t, you’d just pack up and get a job with better conditions and pay. Farmers have often inherited their land from several previous generations and feel a strong bond to it. It’s hard to explain but it’s not just about money. Land needs nurturing for the future, not just exploiting, and if you own it you’ll take care of it.

France, for eg, absolutely prioritises its small family farmers because it values their role in vital food production. I’m concerned about some utterances and policies from the government which imply that they see these farms as highly dispensable. I’m no Clarkson fan (I’m really not!) but even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

Lifeinthepit · 17/09/2025 22:05

randomchap · 17/09/2025 21:49

With the sums you gave out earlier, there's ways round it with decent tax planning

Gift the farm to children while you're still young and fit. Obviously sudden unexpected death negates this

Put the farm in a trust

If you can't do this, then it's quite common to take out a loan to pay off an inheritance tax bill

There should be no bankruptcy

Giving away the farm incurs CGT and is often the owners only source of income. You're relying on your child not to get divorced and your farm be up for grabs in their divorce estate. You have to live for 7 years but isn't Rachel Reeves considering removing this relief too?

Trusts are a way forward but firstly they are expensive and complicated plus there are 10 year charges. Its the end of the family owned farm. (And businesses btw).

Life assurance on IHT has many variables and is expensive particularly if you are only making £50,000 profit on which you need to pay income tax and live off.

"There should be no bankruptcy". People in government need to start listening to what people who actually know what they are talking about (no one in government) are saying about the effect of IHT on farming.

In amy event, all of the above are an impediment to food production not a positive in a time of potential war (which still remains my point). Charging IHT on assets that are not currently chargeable is not a good idea at this current time.

OP posts:
randomchap · 17/09/2025 21:49

Lifeinthepit · 17/09/2025 21:31

I don't think I am doing what you suggest at all.

Looking at the sums I outlined earlier in the thread, how do you suggest that farms that have been in families for generations can feasibly continue? Government IHT policy should not result in the bankruptcy of otherwise going concerns.

My point has been all along that to attack farming at this time is madness. The status quo in farming that you refer to won't be the status quo from next year. The tax policies of Labour are clearly disastrous for food production in this country at this time.

With the sums you gave out earlier, there's ways round it with decent tax planning

Gift the farm to children while you're still young and fit. Obviously sudden unexpected death negates this

Put the farm in a trust

If you can't do this, then it's quite common to take out a loan to pay off an inheritance tax bill

There should be no bankruptcy

Lifeinthepit · 17/09/2025 21:31

randomchap · 17/09/2025 20:51

Sorry, just to correct myself, the 25% relief came in 1925, so between the wars

I don't think I am doing what you suggest at all.

Looking at the sums I outlined earlier in the thread, how do you suggest that farms that have been in families for generations can feasibly continue? Government IHT policy should not result in the bankruptcy of otherwise going concerns.

My point has been all along that to attack farming at this time is madness. The status quo in farming that you refer to won't be the status quo from next year. The tax policies of Labour are clearly disastrous for food production in this country at this time.

OP posts:
randomchap · 17/09/2025 20:51

Sorry, just to correct myself, the 25% relief came in 1925, so between the wars

randomchap · 17/09/2025 20:50

Full self sufficiency in food would be extremely damaging for the economy.

If you stop importing food, you're likely to lose export markets too

Farming is far less financially productive than the services industry, to have enough farm workers, you would need to pull people from the services industry, cutting GDP

Imported food is often cheaper due to different climates

Essentially it's impossible, it's been impossible for 200 years or so. Successive governments have accepted this as a trade of in becoming an industrial and post-industrial economy.

What OP is doing is using this historic lack of self sufficiency to attack the government over it's tax changes to inheritance tax.

A tax that was in place since 1894, and where farms had a 25% relief during the two world wars. If inheritance tax was so damaging to farming, then the government would have suspended it for farms during the world wars. It wasn't set to 100% relief until 1981 for owner occupied farms

curious79 · 17/09/2025 20:34

First thing farmers need to do is to actually grow things people will eat, or can eat. A lot of our wheat is grown for beer. And a lot of the root crops are grown to feed to animals. So farmers would have to fundamentally change what they grow.

Supermarkets would have to accept veg whatever size or shape. We would have to eat in season. This would mean no fruit most of the year, unless you knew how to grow / store your own

Anyone with a garden should stick in some apple trees and get a veg patch growing.

Crochetandtea · 17/09/2025 20:28

brytersky · 14/09/2025 10:49

Do you honestly think the government give a damn about the population? Feeding the proles would be the last thing on their minds if there was a catastrophe. We're surplus to requirements.

You’re wrong! The government care enough to just keep everyone ticking over to avoid full out riots. Hence farming being heavily subsidied for years.
The government assume they will be able to continue to import cheap food to feed everyone. Which is great until it isn’t possible!
Farming and food production should be the number one priority imo.

CoffeeCantata · 17/09/2025 20:14

Pedallleur · 17/09/2025 19:40

Plus people would want their Chilean sea bass and Kenyan asparagus. Fuel rationing would be a nightmare since there are so many cars and our lives are based around road transport

Plus, if you compare to the Second World War, most homes in the UK had coal fires (no central heating) and people would just heat ine room and basically wrap up warm, taking hot water bottles to bed.

Can you imagine people now being told “You can’t wear that sexy vest top - you need 2 thick jumpers and no heating!”

Pedallleur · 17/09/2025 19:40

Lifeinthepit · 14/09/2025 11:05

Supply chains can be broken. Which is what happened in the Wars. But we had a far lower population and far more food production here already.

Plus people would want their Chilean sea bass and Kenyan asparagus. Fuel rationing would be a nightmare since there are so many cars and our lives are based around road transport

Ivelostmyglasses · 17/09/2025 19:30

SerendipityJane · 14/09/2025 11:23

I have totally grasped the point.

Fuck all we can do will move the dial more than a few points of a percent on food grown in the UK. And that would require more money than you could imagine.

If the UK is to face the sort of war people like to imagine (and I have doubts) then there are much better uses of resources.

There are a plethora of things the UK is not self sufficient in. Food is just the most immediate example. We are - and have always been - a trading nation. What we don't have we beg, buy or (more often) steal from other countries.

And for reasons I cannot imagine, the government has taken the rather bold (although some would say despicably underhand) decision not to make public all their plans for the contingencies of war. Which would encompass not just food supply, but a whole host of things that hopefully no one thinks about.

There is no contingency plan around food. Our food supply is massively at risk, it is being called out and ignored by academics and food chain experts who are asking for contingency plans. Food companies are huge powerful global investment companies, bigger than government. They are killing our rivers, selling us food that has no nutritional value and is in turn killing the planet. The OP is right to be worried. So many things outside of war can disrupt the food chain. We rely too much on supermarkets and they have no magic solutions. There have been many occasions where our supermarket shelves have been very sparse with no fruit or veg over the last few years & weather changes have meant farmers have lost crops or had to replant repeatedly in the UK.

Lifeinthepit · 17/09/2025 19:12

anon666 · 17/09/2025 18:44

Hmmmm, I can see how my comments might come across as a little patronising. However, I find the idea of a straightforward right/ wrong answer a little naive.

I mean - it's clearly wrong for some people who had hoped to continue using this tax loophole.

It's right for all those who are currently unable to use this particular tax loophole to evade inheritance tax. Why should there be one rule for everyone else and one for farmers.

Its rich to say that I don't have a point when you've dodged every point I've made anyway and not directly addressed them. You've instead misconstrued them to grind your own axe against the government. Whilst sophistry might work in law, its hardly going to win hearts and minds. Nor is presenting Jeremy Clarkson as the poster child of the campaign, a man who has openly stated he wants to use this to pass his wealth onto his descendants tax free. 🙄

Edited

I think "hearts and minds" are on the farmers' side looking at the polls. Including well over half of Labour voters.

OP posts:
anon666 · 17/09/2025 18:44

Lifeinthepit · 17/09/2025 12:00

I don't think it's constructive for people to use words such as "psychological thing" ""different realities", cognitive dissonance " or "blinkered position" "bleating" when arguing policy issues that you disagree with. It looks condescending and a little rude and detracts from the substance of whatever argument you are trying to make. I can't see one.

Not that it's relevant but I'm not directly affected as I'm a lawyer not a farmer but I live in the countryside. This tax on farming is wrong. I think counterproductive and at a bad time for the country which affects us all (as we all eat food. I'm assuming you do as well).

Edited

Hmmmm, I can see how my comments might come across as a little patronising. However, I find the idea of a straightforward right/ wrong answer a little naive.

I mean - it's clearly wrong for some people who had hoped to continue using this tax loophole.

It's right for all those who are currently unable to use this particular tax loophole to evade inheritance tax. Why should there be one rule for everyone else and one for farmers.

Its rich to say that I don't have a point when you've dodged every point I've made anyway and not directly addressed them. You've instead misconstrued them to grind your own axe against the government. Whilst sophistry might work in law, its hardly going to win hearts and minds. Nor is presenting Jeremy Clarkson as the poster child of the campaign, a man who has openly stated he wants to use this to pass his wealth onto his descendants tax free. 🙄

Lifeinthepit · 17/09/2025 12:00

anon666 · 17/09/2025 09:51

You know that psychological thing where people live in different realities - this is how I feel reading your replies.

You're determined to be 100% right, and its slanted. But then again, maybe I am on the other extreme.

No-one said Labour needed Clarkson to make this tax dodge visible to the experts. But he made it front page news and he has made a fortune out of his TV programme, flashing it up to millions of voters. He is now spearheading the campaign , which reinforces the idea that this is a corrupt secret of the privileged elite, who have avoided death duties since the time of William the Conqueror. Everyone else pays inheritance tax, why shouldn't they?

I suspect you are personally affected, amd so I feel very sad for you if this is a legitimate grievance, rather than the empty bleating over the private school VAT.

I think its called cognitive dissonance, where by arguing such a blinkered position, you in fact alienate people and reinforce their opposite opinion. The country will not collapse, but if this has impacted you, I take no delight in that.

But blame Clarkson and his ilk, not the government.

I don't think it's constructive for people to use words such as "psychological thing" ""different realities", cognitive dissonance " or "blinkered position" "bleating" when arguing policy issues that you disagree with. It looks condescending and a little rude and detracts from the substance of whatever argument you are trying to make. I can't see one.

Not that it's relevant but I'm not directly affected as I'm a lawyer not a farmer but I live in the countryside. This tax on farming is wrong. I think counterproductive and at a bad time for the country which affects us all (as we all eat food. I'm assuming you do as well).

OP posts:
EasternStandard · 17/09/2025 10:18

anon666 · 17/09/2025 09:51

You know that psychological thing where people live in different realities - this is how I feel reading your replies.

You're determined to be 100% right, and its slanted. But then again, maybe I am on the other extreme.

No-one said Labour needed Clarkson to make this tax dodge visible to the experts. But he made it front page news and he has made a fortune out of his TV programme, flashing it up to millions of voters. He is now spearheading the campaign , which reinforces the idea that this is a corrupt secret of the privileged elite, who have avoided death duties since the time of William the Conqueror. Everyone else pays inheritance tax, why shouldn't they?

I suspect you are personally affected, amd so I feel very sad for you if this is a legitimate grievance, rather than the empty bleating over the private school VAT.

I think its called cognitive dissonance, where by arguing such a blinkered position, you in fact alienate people and reinforce their opposite opinion. The country will not collapse, but if this has impacted you, I take no delight in that.

But blame Clarkson and his ilk, not the government.

No this isn’t right. It’s easy to see why Labour’s policy isn’t good for anyone.

anon666 · 17/09/2025 09:51

Lifeinthepit · 17/09/2025 09:28

But it won't help anything. Farms won't be bought by farmers as that would be madness. The land will be bought by Blackrock and the Qatar sovereign wealth fund (for example). Land is valuable.

And if Labour needed Jeremy Clarkson to prove that some farms (not many) are bought as a tax dodge then they really need new accountants. (Which they do).

Edited

You know that psychological thing where people live in different realities - this is how I feel reading your replies.

You're determined to be 100% right, and its slanted. But then again, maybe I am on the other extreme.

No-one said Labour needed Clarkson to make this tax dodge visible to the experts. But he made it front page news and he has made a fortune out of his TV programme, flashing it up to millions of voters. He is now spearheading the campaign , which reinforces the idea that this is a corrupt secret of the privileged elite, who have avoided death duties since the time of William the Conqueror. Everyone else pays inheritance tax, why shouldn't they?

I suspect you are personally affected, amd so I feel very sad for you if this is a legitimate grievance, rather than the empty bleating over the private school VAT.

I think its called cognitive dissonance, where by arguing such a blinkered position, you in fact alienate people and reinforce their opposite opinion. The country will not collapse, but if this has impacted you, I take no delight in that.

But blame Clarkson and his ilk, not the government.