Please or to access all these features

AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Who’s going to pay our pensions in 20-30years if the UK keeps its birth rate low and also restricts immigration?

565 replies

AlertEagle · 27/07/2025 12:59

posted from another forum
Serious question. The UK’s birth rate is well below replacement level, meaning fewer young people entering the workforce. At the same time, the political mood seems pretty anti-immigration, even though immigration is one of the only things that’s kept the tax base stable.

State pensions are paid by current workers’ National Insurance contributions, not some magic fund. So… what happens when there’s a huge retired population and not enough working-age people to support them?

Will the government raise taxes, increase the retirement age, cut pensions, or eventually U-turn on immigration just to prop things up?

Feels like a ticking time bomb no one’s really addressing. Curious what others think, is anyone actually planning for this?

Or are we as a nation willing to give up state pensions if it means less immigration?

OP posts:
Thread gallery
7
Theolittle · 27/07/2025 23:29

I think the problem is housing costs too. Young people need to save fro their own retirement rather than relying on the state pension which isn't affordable. I think it would be a good idea to highly tax second homes (especially if they're left empty). There are exemptions eg when an executor is selling a home following death. It's disgusting that homes are sitting empty when young people can't afford to buy.

Wareart · 27/07/2025 23:28

Yes the big issue is housing.

I said this several pages ago. Sort out housing and other necessary costs like utilities. Surely that's an easier solution than having 70 year olds hoying themselves round Amazon warehouses and then euthanising them five years later.

Genevieva · 27/07/2025 23:24

High levels of inward migration are associated with suppressed birth rates in the host population. It’s possible to speculate on why. Factors might included infrastructure and services stress, such as the affordability and availability of housing, access to healthcare, education and job opportunities; suppression of wages due to increased competition from people willing to risk for less; increased likelihood of needing to move further away from family support structures to fund jobs and homes.

ThatBoldBear · 27/07/2025 23:18

CaptainSevenofNine · 27/07/2025 23:09

Threads like this terrify me. Sometimes it seems that even if you’ve planned well the odds are against you. My DH and I save into pensions. We’ll be ok as long as we have each other I think and somehow manage to pay off the mortgage.

We’ve risked a lot now to get our son a mortgage early (18, still at Uni) and save a paltry amount into a pension for both DC.

we need to do more don’t we? Feck. It’s never going to be enough.

Yep I agree, then you have the worry at the back of your mind that you’re letting life pass you by because you’re too concerned with 30 years down the line.

CaptainSevenofNine · 27/07/2025 23:09

Threads like this terrify me. Sometimes it seems that even if you’ve planned well the odds are against you. My DH and I save into pensions. We’ll be ok as long as we have each other I think and somehow manage to pay off the mortgage.

We’ve risked a lot now to get our son a mortgage early (18, still at Uni) and save a paltry amount into a pension for both DC.

we need to do more don’t we? Feck. It’s never going to be enough.

soupyspoon · 27/07/2025 22:59

FreedomandPeace · 27/07/2025 22:46

Tbh I wasn’t discussing what people want. I was speaking of whats best for the country

Well not everyone would agree that people living in accommodation that is too dense, is best for the country if it brings with it a higher risk of ill health, poor MH, anti social behaviour and levels of crime.

If these properties are in the private purchase market, people will just buy other properties instead.

ThatBoldBear · 27/07/2025 22:56

Do immigrants not age or something? How does that work? Or are we asking if we need even more immigrants down the line to pay the pensions of the immigrants we need today to pay for pensions ?

FreedomandPeace · 27/07/2025 22:46

soupyspoon · 27/07/2025 21:32

People dont want or like dense housing, people complain its bad for us

There are not swathes of unemployed yet employable UK people not willing to work

The people that are long term, chronic unemployed are unemployable.

In answer to your OP, OP I thought our population was increasing year on year and decade on decade so I dont think there is anti immigration, all governments regardless of what they say are pro immigraiton, for exactly this reason

Tbh I wasn’t discussing what people want. I was speaking of whats best for the country

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 22:13

It seems to be what we are ending up with though

I read recently that a Reform council wants the gov to reconsider ending visas for certain overseas workers as they need the workers.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx201znge11o

TooManyCupsAndMugs · 27/07/2025 22:12

CareerChange24 · 27/07/2025 17:25

Give an example of what type of job

Writing, admin. Plenty that don't involve the stress of dealing with teenagers (and SLT) every day!

BurntBroccoli · 27/07/2025 22:10

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 19:02

No one should be able to opt out.

I see young teachers opting out of the amazing TPS because after rent/saving for a house deposit they don't have enough left. We need to address housing costs.

Yes the big issue is housing.

It needs to become affordable once more at x3 the average salary as opposed to x10.
The government needs to invest in social housing which cannot be sold off, rented to third parties, or passed down to a child/relative.
It could also build truly affordable, not for profit modular starter homes with things like solar panels for cooling as well as heating and be well insulated so minimum energy costs. Recycled grey water etc. These would be sold based on rises in inflation only (not speculative market rent so they always remained affordable).

There should be a rent cap for private rentals.

All of this would reduce the massive housing bill that the government is paying to private landlords. It would also free up more money for people to spend and do grow the economy. Perhaps people would be able to think about having a child/ more children.

There could also be incentives for elderly people to move out of larger homes into smaller properties (more of these need to be built as there is a lack of suitable single level housing at the moment). Apartments would work as they have lift access. They could have communal/ courtyard gardens with plenty of seating.

suburburban · 27/07/2025 22:06

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 20:08

Endless immigration especially unskilled or when they may need social housing and top up benefits

Who is arguing for endless unskilled immigration?

It seems to be what we are ending up with though

abracadabra1980 · 27/07/2025 21:59

@frozendaisy I agree with you regarding equity release. I've been in a position twice where equity release would have helped me enormously (exH buggering off, etc), but I don't like the structures in place for those schemes.

caringcarer · 27/07/2025 21:57

People are not onsentivised to save for their own pensions because the government gives people we go have never saved pension credit so they get about £3 less than those who paid in years of NI stamps. People should be encouraged to save more towards their own pension for their old age.

Livelovebehappy · 27/07/2025 21:56

AlertEagle · 27/07/2025 20:34

Wouldnt it be easier if the benefits system had an overhaul. For example in other European countries where you can claim some sort of financial support you can, but only for a limited time and not indefinitely. For example uc was introduced to get people back to work but I know some individuals who have never worked in their life and they claim uc. They are british btw

It would be easier for the benefits system to be reviewed. But that’s not going to happen under a Labour government.

caringcarer · 27/07/2025 21:51

1.27 million immigrants claim UC. This should be a priority of our government.

Shittyhouse · 27/07/2025 21:50

Annoyedone · 27/07/2025 21:39

Why are you so invested in killing old people? Have you watched Logan’s Run too many times or something?

I don’t care about what other people choose or who will or won’t pay for their care.

I know what I want—and what I don’t want—for myself. Everyone should have a choice.

My personal preference is to die with dignity rather than end up in a care home or make my family suffer because they’re forced to look after me.

There’s no point in threads like this one unless we’re willing to think about real solutions.

And the first solution should be to care for your elderly relatives at home, as many people do in other countries—if the relative chooses to stay at home until the end.

Livelovebehappy · 27/07/2025 21:49

Shittyhouse · 27/07/2025 21:08

t's becoming impossible to manage. Many elderly people in care homes require 24/7 assistance. A single caregiver can only look after a few patients, and while care is already expensive, offering competitive wages makes it financially unsustainable. The result is likely to be even worse care in the future.

It’s time we have an honest conversation about euthanasia. People should have the right to choose a dignified death rather than face the prospect of spending their final years in underfunded institutions, looked after by staff who are underpaid, overworked, and often unmotivated. Some may prefer to leave their home and savings to their children rather than spend it all on care they never wanted in the first place

But it’s pretty awful to suggest to someone that due to the system failing them in old age, that it might be best for them to be euthanised…

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 21:46

www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce8zn66k8rdo.amp @Shittyhouse

EasternStandard · 27/07/2025 21:45

BurntBroccoli · 27/07/2025 20:46

It’s not just that, we’ve also got to think about automation and AI that will reduce the number of employees required. No pay, no taxes, no pension.

It’s worrying.

This is the major incoming issue. There does t seem much preparation anywhere.

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 21:44

It's the dignified bit that's expensive as it will mean following procedures etc.

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 21:43

@Shittyhouse I was surprised to read that too and though the same but I'm thinking they are comparing the costs of having doctors sign off the assisted dying bit, administer it vs letting someone lie in a bed wasting away unable to eat or drink much.

Shittyhouse · 27/07/2025 21:41

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 21:32

It’s time we have an honest conversation about euthanasia. People should have the right to choose a dignified death rather than face the prospect of spending their final years in underfunded institutions, looked after by staff who are underpaid, overworked, and often unmotivated.

But a dignified death costs money doesn't it? I thought Wes said we couldn't afford assisted dying.

I don’t know the exact costs, but logically, they must be minimal compared to the expense of 24/7 care.

I want to decide my future while I still have my mind. I worked for a few months in a hospital and visited care homes with patients a few times, so I have a decent understanding of what it’s like. I know for certain that I would prefer a dignified death over living without my mind or the ability to care for myself in a care home.

I would rather leave my house to my family than have it go toward care I don’t even want.

I want to choose my life—and my future.

duvetsmuvet · 27/07/2025 21:41

Genuinely I must be out of the loop, how are young people/parents self-funding university?

The loan is means tested based on parental
income. The gov expects parents to help.

Annoyedone · 27/07/2025 21:39

Shittyhouse · 27/07/2025 21:31

But your life insurance or home insurance won’t cover you if you develop early-onset dementia, for example, and end up in a care home.

Believe me, you don’t want to end up in a care home anyway.

Why are you so invested in killing old people? Have you watched Logan’s Run too many times or something?