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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

... to think that Nigel Farage will be our next PM?

817 replies

ohime · 06/07/2025 11:04

Or, more accurately: AIBU to be afraid that truly nasty piece of work Nigel Farage who has, by all accounts, always been utterly useless at (or at least completely uninterested in) the actual business end of governing will be our next PM because everyone is so fed up with all the other parties being, variously or all at once, so corrupt, incompetent and useless that we've collectively abandoned all hope? I will never vote for Farage, who is a horrible man, or any of his party which keeps having to fire people for being just a teensy bit too overtly racist - but it seems from the polls that for many people the choice against the status quo outweighs what we may be choosing. (For an example, I can't believe that Farage's stated position that DOGE in the US didn't go far enough with its swinging cuts to the social safety net would be popular with UK voters who recently elected a government on the basis that it would reverse years of Tory austerity... not that that's worked out so well...)

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Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 11:16

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 11:10

I don’t think there is a convincing claim here.

If it was as easy as you say to use DA as a deterrent all the countries that still have it would use it that way.

Can you say why they choose not to?

Schengen
Also the other agreements we had on top

It must be really awful having noone listen to you. God, I can only imagine what that is like.

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 11:13

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 11:12

"Illegal migration was not at the levels we are seeing now or under the Tories, the highest yearly amount was under Sunak."

This from the Telegraph.
"A record 20,600 migrants have crossed the Channel so far in 2025 alone, up around 50 per cent on the total at the same point last year and the biggest number in the first six months since the first arrivals in 2018. Nearly 44,000 migrants have arrived since Labour came into power in July last year."

Well done Labour.

Yes that was incorrect. It’s up this year.

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 11:12

Alexandra2001 · 07/07/2025 10:20

A handful went to Ireland but boat crossings did not reduce.

Illegal migration was not at the levels we are seeing now or under the Tories, the highest yearly amount was under Sunak.

Rwanda, if it had happened, would have taken about 2% of all boat crossings, so 98 out of 100 people crossing would have remained in the UK.

Sunak of course could have delayed the GE, got Rwanda up and running and won the election.... but he knew it was a bat shit policy.

The only solution is International agreement, with France, on returns to other couuntries and breaking up criminal gangs but it will not be quick.

Leaving the EU, as Chris Philp said very clearly, has hampered attempts to return migrants.

You and others can dismiss this for your own political ends but he really should know.

UK consumer confidence up again!

"Illegal migration was not at the levels we are seeing now or under the Tories, the highest yearly amount was under Sunak."

This from the Telegraph.
"A record 20,600 migrants have crossed the Channel so far in 2025 alone, up around 50 per cent on the total at the same point last year and the biggest number in the first six months since the first arrivals in 2018. Nearly 44,000 migrants have arrived since Labour came into power in July last year."

Well done Labour.

Seriouslywhatnow · 07/07/2025 11:11

ThejoyofNC · 06/07/2025 11:24

I certainly hope he is.

At this point just to upset the boring idiots who just keep saying "aaaah he's so racist" on repeat.

Would you really want a terrible PM / government that would make your life worse, just to upset other people that you don't like?

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 11:10

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 11:06

What did he said that contradicts (factually).what I said about small boats and Brexit? Not what you think I think as a "lefty". But what I actually said?

I don't think people are wrong to be concerned about how immigration affects them. I don't think people are wrong to be concerned with the boats crossings (the fact this makes up a small percentage of overall migration doesn't mean politicians should ignore it)

But you said "educate yourself" as though there.was something in there which would turn what I think on its head. He didn't make any convincing case for Brexit not making the small boats issue worse.

I don’t think there is a convincing claim here.

If it was as easy as you say to use DA as a deterrent all the countries that still have it would use it that way.

Can you say why they choose not to?

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 11:07

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 11:06

What did he said that contradicts (factually).what I said about small boats and Brexit? Not what you think I think as a "lefty". But what I actually said?

I don't think people are wrong to be concerned about how immigration affects them. I don't think people are wrong to be concerned with the boats crossings (the fact this makes up a small percentage of overall migration doesn't mean politicians should ignore it)

But you said "educate yourself" as though there.was something in there which would turn what I think on its head. He didn't make any convincing case for Brexit not making the small boats issue worse.

What did you think of what he said? Overall?

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 11:06

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:02

Might I suggest you watch this with an open mind. You will (in the words of the left) "educate" yourself in what is actually happening. We have lost.control.

What did he said that contradicts (factually).what I said about small boats and Brexit? Not what you think I think as a "lefty". But what I actually said?

I don't think people are wrong to be concerned about how immigration affects them. I don't think people are wrong to be concerned with the boats crossings (the fact this makes up a small percentage of overall migration doesn't mean politicians should ignore it)

But you said "educate yourself" as though there.was something in there which would turn what I think on its head. He didn't make any convincing case for Brexit not making the small boats issue worse.

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:57

Alexandra2001 · 07/07/2025 10:20

A handful went to Ireland but boat crossings did not reduce.

Illegal migration was not at the levels we are seeing now or under the Tories, the highest yearly amount was under Sunak.

Rwanda, if it had happened, would have taken about 2% of all boat crossings, so 98 out of 100 people crossing would have remained in the UK.

Sunak of course could have delayed the GE, got Rwanda up and running and won the election.... but he knew it was a bat shit policy.

The only solution is International agreement, with France, on returns to other couuntries and breaking up criminal gangs but it will not be quick.

Leaving the EU, as Chris Philp said very clearly, has hampered attempts to return migrants.

You and others can dismiss this for your own political ends but he really should know.

UK consumer confidence up again!

We shouldn't be relying on the competence/good intentions of France. We need to be able to return illegals to their country of origin rather then back to northern France where they will just try again. Hence needing to leave or reform the ECHR. And have a good look at the decisions our judges are currently making.

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:55

Alexandra2001 · 07/07/2025 10:36

People have unrealistic time scales, we kept giving the Tories chance after chance to improve things, they never did but now think Labour can turn things around inside 12 months.

The Tories, in some ways were very clever, they made sure that there were some large funding gaps, so PO &Blood compensation, public sector pay rises, the NI cuts, nothing set aside.....

Then shout "But you re in power now, deal with it"

So of course this, as you say, leaves the public disillusioned.

Labour did say they were the "grown ups" though. But they seem to be making things much worse rather than better. It's so odd. One wonders how much worse they can make things in the next four years. Quite a lot worse, given the far left is rearing it's ugly head.

Alexandra2001 · 07/07/2025 10:36

GasPanic · 07/07/2025 10:27

Is Farage any worse that any other politician/party though, when they keep telling us they are going to reduce immigration, but make no or little effort to do so ?

Or worse that parties who tell us they are going to deliver better and wonderful services without any tax rises ?

Or year after year politicians promising they will deliver on housing, then never building the numbers they said they were going to ?

The whole of politics appears to be pretty untrustworthy at the moment.

People don't really trust any of the main parties to deliver, which is why fringe parties like Reform can gain traction.

Eventually people just get so fed up of politicians going back on their promises they are willing to through the dice in the hope it may make things better.

People have unrealistic time scales, we kept giving the Tories chance after chance to improve things, they never did but now think Labour can turn things around inside 12 months.

The Tories, in some ways were very clever, they made sure that there were some large funding gaps, so PO &Blood compensation, public sector pay rises, the NI cuts, nothing set aside.....

Then shout "But you re in power now, deal with it"

So of course this, as you say, leaves the public disillusioned.

GasPanic · 07/07/2025 10:27

StandFirm · 07/07/2025 09:40

Experience and competence is what Reform currently lack.

Experience and competence are not optional when running a government.
Also, the previous post you quoted said Reform had 'answers'. What are those fabled 'answers'?
I distrust Farage because when he pushed for Leave he argued that he knew the EU from the inside, and indeed, he must have known how immigration worked and about the agreements we had in place. He must have known how destructive leaving would be - not just economically, but for his pet topic: immigration control. Yet, he pushed for leave on the basis of 'taking back control of our borders' knowing full well that Brexit would make things much more difficult to police. Tell me, is that a trust-worthy stance? Or rather an opportunistic move of the worst kind?

Is Farage any worse that any other politician/party though, when they keep telling us they are going to reduce immigration, but make no or little effort to do so ?

Or worse that parties who tell us they are going to deliver better and wonderful services without any tax rises ?

Or year after year politicians promising they will deliver on housing, then never building the numbers they said they were going to ?

The whole of politics appears to be pretty untrustworthy at the moment.

People don't really trust any of the main parties to deliver, which is why fringe parties like Reform can gain traction.

Eventually people just get so fed up of politicians going back on their promises they are willing to through the dice in the hope it may make things better.

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 10:25

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:08

Very true. We are run by a human rights lawyer after all. And have a particularly interesting Attorney General.

We’d need a mandate too. Which may well be in place at next GE.

Alexandra2001 · 07/07/2025 10:20

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 09:23

Dublin hardly stopped illegal immigration before Brexit though. It's not exactly a new phenomenon.

Rwanda was stopped by Keir Starmer before it had even started so we will never know whether it could have been a deterrent. Bearing in mind illegals were going to Ireland from the UK when it was about to be put in place, I am suspicious the counterfactual means it may have had potential....the road not taken...

Instead, we got Labour. And Keir Starmer remember was going to smash the gangs and reduce illegal immigration significantly. So that's going really well.

A handful went to Ireland but boat crossings did not reduce.

Illegal migration was not at the levels we are seeing now or under the Tories, the highest yearly amount was under Sunak.

Rwanda, if it had happened, would have taken about 2% of all boat crossings, so 98 out of 100 people crossing would have remained in the UK.

Sunak of course could have delayed the GE, got Rwanda up and running and won the election.... but he knew it was a bat shit policy.

The only solution is International agreement, with France, on returns to other couuntries and breaking up criminal gangs but it will not be quick.

Leaving the EU, as Chris Philp said very clearly, has hampered attempts to return migrants.

You and others can dismiss this for your own political ends but he really should know.

UK consumer confidence up again!

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:08

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 10:01

It might happen at some point but not with Labour.

Very true. We are run by a human rights lawyer after all. And have a particularly interesting Attorney General.

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:05

StandFirm · 07/07/2025 09:40

Experience and competence is what Reform currently lack.

Experience and competence are not optional when running a government.
Also, the previous post you quoted said Reform had 'answers'. What are those fabled 'answers'?
I distrust Farage because when he pushed for Leave he argued that he knew the EU from the inside, and indeed, he must have known how immigration worked and about the agreements we had in place. He must have known how destructive leaving would be - not just economically, but for his pet topic: immigration control. Yet, he pushed for leave on the basis of 'taking back control of our borders' knowing full well that Brexit would make things much more difficult to police. Tell me, is that a trust-worthy stance? Or rather an opportunistic move of the worst kind?

You've misread my post.

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:03

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:54

@Quirkswork it's not lefty lawyers stopping the k returning migrants to France. Its the fact France is a sovereign country and you need their permission to do that

We had a returns agreement
We left the EU
The returns agreement ended
Irregular migration increased

I own a house
I paint the walls red
Now my walls are red

Not France. Their country of origin.

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 10:02

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:54

@Quirkswork it's not lefty lawyers stopping the k returning migrants to France. Its the fact France is a sovereign country and you need their permission to do that

We had a returns agreement
We left the EU
The returns agreement ended
Irregular migration increased

I own a house
I paint the walls red
Now my walls are red

Might I suggest you watch this with an open mind. You will (in the words of the left) "educate" yourself in what is actually happening. We have lost.control.

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 10:01

Quirkswork · 07/07/2025 09:40

The solution would be for us to actually police our borders if the EU is unable to police theirs. And if someone gets in they are returned without the hordes of lefty lawyers getting hold of them and suggesting they pretend to be Christian in order to avoid "persecution" by Muslims in their own country.

So leave whatever supra-national outfit is stopping that. Or reform it. That was one of the aims of Brexit but unfortunately we don't ever get what we vote for because the governments that we vote for won't do what the electorate vote for.

It might happen at some point but not with Labour.

LemondrizzleShark · 07/07/2025 10:00

CleverButScatty · 07/07/2025 08:21

Can you explain your thoughts process about how becoming highly educated means you are less likely to have common sense, or that not being very well educated means you are likely to have more common sense?

exactly - as far as I know there’s no way of teaching common sense.

So if you are born with none, surely it is better to be well educated with no common sense than pig-ignorant with no common sense?

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 10:00

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:54

@Quirkswork it's not lefty lawyers stopping the k returning migrants to France. Its the fact France is a sovereign country and you need their permission to do that

We had a returns agreement
We left the EU
The returns agreement ended
Irregular migration increased

I own a house
I paint the walls red
Now my walls are red

It just switched methods

Lorry to boat.

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 09:59

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:55

30000.more?

Could you look at what’s happening in other EU countries? Just in terms of migration pressures and how the DA isn’t doing anything to counter that.

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:56

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 09:51

No that was just the camp cleared out. Figures for arrival are different. The point was people just used lorries in high numbers pre boats.

Your argument seems to be shifting to lorries being better as detection was put in place. That seems a bit upside down as it was those restrictions that meant people turned to boats next.

If nothing had been put in place those methods would likely have remained.

No it's because people don't need to worry now about being caught at the border
They are already here at that point.

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:55

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 09:53

The DA needed permission. Refusals increased. The criteria to return was high. Hence only a few hundred using it and more coming to UK than out.

30000.more?

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:54

@Quirkswork it's not lefty lawyers stopping the k returning migrants to France. Its the fact France is a sovereign country and you need their permission to do that

We had a returns agreement
We left the EU
The returns agreement ended
Irregular migration increased

I own a house
I paint the walls red
Now my walls are red

EasternStandard · 07/07/2025 09:53

Namitynamename · 07/07/2025 09:48

We should and do police our UK borders. Once people reach the UK borders though, the police policing them can arrest the arrivals but can't send them back to France without Frances permission. Policing our borders doesn't change the headline numbers "30,000 arrivals.this year" which is upsetting people. Usually migrants just turn themselves in because they have no incentive not to now anyway.
The solution previously was to establish a.sort of UK border in France and police that (2003). That worked quite well. Until it ended as a result of Brexit. But short of invading France we need their agreement to set up UK borders in their country.

The DA needed permission. Refusals increased. The criteria to return was high. Hence only a few hundred using it and more coming to UK than out.

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