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AIBU The global fertility crisis is the biggest crisis humanity has ever faced?

542 replies

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 17:14

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’.

I’m astounded that global (even UK/European) fertility decline to below the replacement rate of 2.1 (thought to have happened now) isn’t in the forefront of most people’s radar. There are barely even any politicians acknowledging it let alone devising policies to tackle it.

Thee are even people who still think we’re in the 70s/80s/90s and ‘overpopulation’ is still an issue.

Once everyone who’s alone now is dead the human race will be in terminal decline.

Nothing else matters if there’s none of us left!

Even on a personal level a large proportion of women don’t have the number of DCs they expect to.

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’. Does this woman have a solution?

Countries across the world are fretting about falling birthrates. Now one academic believes she’s discovered the cause – and has a plan to address it

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

OP posts:
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Womblingmerrily · 22/06/2025 19:02

@BoldGreenDreamer I don't expect state healthcare or pension if I have resources to provide for myself, not whilst young people suffer and live a worse life than me, even though they're getting up every day to work.

Retirement was not meant to be 30/40/50 years of cruising/holidays/eating out and endless piddling about.

Yet that is what some people have had - I know many people who retired early in their 50s and are still going at 90 and have been having a whale of a time of final salary pensions as well as state pensions, plus extra state benefits

I am absolute furious at the Winter fuel payment U turn.

It is time for pensioners to pay up. They are getting a far better deal than anyone else at the moment. (as a group - I'm sure everyone will reply with the mythical poor pensioner who can't afford soup)

gotmyknickersinatwist · 22/06/2025 19:02

Good.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 19:01

Mobylome · 22/06/2025 18:57

@BoldGreenDreamer Can you really not think of any other solution to this problem than having more babies, though? Honestly?

Yes - significantly raising the retirement age now, then phasing out things lile the state pension in the and access to state healthcare for retirees over the next few decades.

But nobody will go for that, either.

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 19:01

Warmhandscoldheart · 22/06/2025 18:53

@EasternStandard

I have 2 DC and 3 DGC and love them all with every ounce of my being.
I'm not a doom person but I do feel humans are more destructive than any other creatures.

Edited

I completely agree the population should fall naturally. Which it seems to be.

There are too many of us. And resources are stretched.

But I want people to continue in a better world, with say half the population or whatever is more comfortable.

HeyThereDelila · 22/06/2025 19:00

YABU.

There will be a problem for a “bulge” generation where there aren’t enough workers to pay in to the state pension, but our island and world is overpopulated, climate change and industrialisation are destroying the planet, we don’t have enough housing and we can’t go on expanding the world’s population forever.

There are far more pressing issues which bother me.

Myrobalanna · 22/06/2025 18:59

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 18:55

Could I ask the folks who think humanity dying out is a good thing expect to have access to state pension, state Healthcare and alike? Or should you get to live in relevant comfort, and have your kids or grandkids' generation take a bigger hit?

I do think the view that we need fewer humans is a valid one, but the people who embrace it should be particularly willing to forego state support in their old age.

The point is that the generation who might provide the offspring who’ll fund services aren’t living in relative comfort. They’re living with their parents or in godawful flat shares. That’s one reason why they aren’t knocking themselves out to procreate

taxguru · 22/06/2025 18:58

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 18:55

Could I ask the folks who think humanity dying out is a good thing expect to have access to state pension, state Healthcare and alike? Or should you get to live in relevant comfort, and have your kids or grandkids' generation take a bigger hit?

I do think the view that we need fewer humans is a valid one, but the people who embrace it should be particularly willing to forego state support in their old age.

The Earth's resources are finite. It's impossible to keep increasing the population without a massive decline in living standards.

Mobylome · 22/06/2025 18:57

@BoldGreenDreamer Can you really not think of any other solution to this problem than having more babies, though? Honestly?

pointythings · 22/06/2025 18:57

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 18:09

I’ve never had my point proved so quickly on Mumsnet.

‘fertility’ in the context of demography means ‘the number of births per woman per lifetime’ not ‘ability of one woman to get pregnant’. Sorry for the confusion on that.

Birth rates have fallen so quickly in most countries that pensions & elderly care will no longer be provided by the state in our lifetime. Just think about what that means- your DCs starving & dying in cardboxes on the pavements.

But this is a global problem. Do you realise China’s population will drop to 700m during your DCs life?

Immigration won’t save any country when all countries are declining.

You can’t compare the upcoming drop to 5BN you remember as it will be a disproportionately elderly global population not the disproportionately working age 5BN we had.

All economies are built on the assumption of more workers than dependents. For the first time in human history this won’t be the case & we aren’t prepared for it.

Let it happen. Humans aren't the be all and end all. Let humanity die out, why the hell not? The planet will be better off without us.

My DC are not going to have kids. I am fine with that.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 18:55

Could I ask the folks who think humanity dying out is a good thing expect to have access to state pension, state Healthcare and alike? Or should you get to live in relevant comfort, and have your kids or grandkids' generation take a bigger hit?

I do think the view that we need fewer humans is a valid one, but the people who embrace it should be particularly willing to forego state support in their old age.

taxguru · 22/06/2025 18:54

The World's population got too big - THAT was the problem. Now we NEED a correction and hopefully it won't get too low. It was unsustainable to keep growing the World population, as ultimately, we WILL run out of water and food. In fact, the forecasts for water consumption over the next few decades are very worrying and could start wars!

mysecretshame · 22/06/2025 18:53

babyproblems · 22/06/2025 18:42

You’re mistaken in the first half of your post! We need more younger people than old- that’s exactly the point!
bang on in the second.

But those young people will then grow old .... and more young people will be needed. It would never end.
There needs to be some kind of "one in one out policy" with everyone contributing to society.
I don't see much hope for future generations, but I hope my kids get some kind of life before it all goes tits up.

Warmhandscoldheart · 22/06/2025 18:53

@EasternStandard

I have 2 DC and 3 DGC and love them all with every ounce of my being.
I'm not a doom person but I do feel humans are more destructive than any other creatures.

Snorlaxo · 22/06/2025 18:53

In the West, women in straight relationships are often paying 50% of the bills while doing more than 50% of the housework. There’s lots of stories on here where the woman is the breadwinner yet the man works fewer hours and does less than 50% of the child rearing and housework. I can see why younger generations of women (including my own dd) would stick to paying their share of the bills and not have kids. They’ve seen how men can leave, avoid paying child maintenance and if they are lucky, see the kids at Christmas and on their birthday. They see the trad wives being left and being fucked.

Womblingmerrily · 22/06/2025 18:53

At the moment the elderly have a greater share of the wealth but instead of them using that wealth to pay for the resources that they need as they age, they are being given more by taxpayers with the ridiculous expectation that they can keep their own 'wealth' for their children, whilst other people's children who have paid for their retirement - their standard of living gets worse and they have no resources of their own in retirement.

The older population needs to be paying with it's wealth AND it's resources - their housing, their second properties for what they are using. They need to pay for other older people as well.

If they having nothing to pass on then good, wealth inequality is reduced. Yes I will personally suffer from this but it can't continue this way.

The real problem is that we need to somehow get hold of the very wealthiest's unearned income that they have unfairly taken and redistribute that - but individual government's find that very hard to do because they tend to live across several countries.

So no. We shouldn't have more babies to feed the old and rich. The old and rich can feed themselves or starve.

MuckFusk · 22/06/2025 18:51

IrritatableandHot · 22/06/2025 18:50

I think our planet is perfectly glorious enough without our input.

Amen to that.

IrritatableandHot · 22/06/2025 18:50

Papyrophile · 22/06/2025 18:38

I read this, or similar, all the time and I can't help thinking that no rhinoceros or elephant is ever going to create anything to rival the Sistine Chapel. Humans are deeply flawed and endlessly fallible, but also infinitely more creative than any other species. So you are wrong IMO.

I think our planet is perfectly glorious enough without our input.

UniqueRedSquid · 22/06/2025 18:48

It is possible that some of the factors causing the fertility rate to drop will find an equilibrium or invert.

For example, in lots of “developed” countries, we accept housing is far too expensive. Lots of young people can’t move out, that is a factor pulling down the fertility rate.

As the working population decreases, house price demand might drop, causing house prices to reduce. Wages might increase to attract the workers that are available. More people will be able to buy homes. The fertility rate might tick up.

It is all ifs, buts and maybes. Good long term policy around supply of labour/housing would also adjust our demographic fortunes.

IrritatableandHot · 22/06/2025 18:47

QuantumLevelActions · 22/06/2025 17:19

I don't think it would be a bad thing if the human population declined massively or even died out completely.

It's the nature of life on planet Earth.

I tend to think much the same!

MemorableTrenchcoat · 22/06/2025 18:47

Papyrophile · 22/06/2025 18:38

I read this, or similar, all the time and I can't help thinking that no rhinoceros or elephant is ever going to create anything to rival the Sistine Chapel. Humans are deeply flawed and endlessly fallible, but also infinitely more creative than any other species. So you are wrong IMO.

I can’t help thinking that no rhinoceros or elephant is ever going to create anything to rival, say, nuclear weapons, or greenhouse gases, or leaded fuel.

CleverButScatty · 22/06/2025 18:46

JoshLymanSwagger · 22/06/2025 17:15

Gilead, anyone?

That was immediate first thought!

UnemployedNotRetired · 22/06/2025 18:46

The world is going to look quite different even in 25 years.

TomatoSandwiches · 22/06/2025 18:46

BurntBroccoli · 22/06/2025 18:21

We’re also going to be in a water deficit…

This is going to be the bigger problem, way, way bigger, it actually keeps me up at night sometimes.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 18:46

I do think its a major issue, particularly because actions needed to help address it will not be popular.

Having the winter fuel allowance be means tested was such a source of outrage that Labour felt it needed to u-turn...slashing or scrapping the state pension is not going to down well, but it'll likely need to happen in our lifetimes.

MuckFusk · 22/06/2025 18:45

Papyrophile · 22/06/2025 18:38

I read this, or similar, all the time and I can't help thinking that no rhinoceros or elephant is ever going to create anything to rival the Sistine Chapel. Humans are deeply flawed and endlessly fallible, but also infinitely more creative than any other species. So you are wrong IMO.

Surely you're not implying that that creativity matters so much that it makes it justifiable for us to destroy the planet and all the other species on it?
Humans suck. When it comes down to to the survival of an ecosystem our ability to paint and write books doesn't mean bugger all.

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