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AIBU The global fertility crisis is the biggest crisis humanity has ever faced?

542 replies

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 17:14

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’.

I’m astounded that global (even UK/European) fertility decline to below the replacement rate of 2.1 (thought to have happened now) isn’t in the forefront of most people’s radar. There are barely even any politicians acknowledging it let alone devising policies to tackle it.

Thee are even people who still think we’re in the 70s/80s/90s and ‘overpopulation’ is still an issue.

Once everyone who’s alone now is dead the human race will be in terminal decline.

Nothing else matters if there’s none of us left!

Even on a personal level a large proportion of women don’t have the number of DCs they expect to.

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’. Does this woman have a solution?

Countries across the world are fretting about falling birthrates. Now one academic believes she’s discovered the cause – and has a plan to address it

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

OP posts:
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Dingalingalong · 22/06/2025 20:10

Tbh the end of humans doesn't mean the end of the planet, quite the contrary. We're a parasite on Earth, all other beings will benefit from us being gone 🌱🌿🌳🌴

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:10

housemaus · 22/06/2025 20:03

I don't know we 'need' to continue, necessarily? Like I don't think it's some crying shame that there's the potential that we die off, as a species. It's not a concern for me because I don't see the continuance of the human race as something particularly necessary. Of course, I don't have children of my own (and don't want them - another one contributing to the stats, soz) so the survival or quality of life of my lineage isn't something I'm considering in a potential dramatically ageing and shrinking population - maybe it's different for those that do, but I see no reason to take action to ensure humanity keeps going.

Sure but, as I imagine you'd acknowledge, thats a selfish position, and you probably couldn't reasonably complain is younger generations acted with similar self interest and withdrew all support for retirees.

(Not that thats going to happen given voting demographics...).

CantStopMoving · 22/06/2025 20:09

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 20:00

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/un-population-2024-vs-2022?time=earliest..latest

Even compared to 2022 the UN has had to change its population projections because the global birth rate has decreased more than predicted.

Most people are unaware how much birth rates have plummeted globally even in developing countries.

eg even Iran’s fertility rate is only 2.1.

I look at that and think phew!

CantStopMoving · 22/06/2025 20:08

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 18:09

I’ve never had my point proved so quickly on Mumsnet.

‘fertility’ in the context of demography means ‘the number of births per woman per lifetime’ not ‘ability of one woman to get pregnant’. Sorry for the confusion on that.

Birth rates have fallen so quickly in most countries that pensions & elderly care will no longer be provided by the state in our lifetime. Just think about what that means- your DCs starving & dying in cardboxes on the pavements.

But this is a global problem. Do you realise China’s population will drop to 700m during your DCs life?

Immigration won’t save any country when all countries are declining.

You can’t compare the upcoming drop to 5BN you remember as it will be a disproportionately elderly global population not the disproportionately working age 5BN we had.

All economies are built on the assumption of more workers than dependents. For the first time in human history this won’t be the case & we aren’t prepared for it.

All economies are built on the assumption of more workers than dependents. For the first time in human history this won’t be the case & we aren’t prepared for it.

We absolutely need to move away from population being needed to feed a Ponzi scheme for workers providing for the age above. It means population has to increase and increase and increase with absolutely no ability to step back and say we can’t sustain this!

the world is overpopulated. It managed just fine 200 years ago. If the population shrank to that level again in 100 years then everyone will be happier. More resources, more space per person and better for the environment.

eventually if things get better and people are happier, my money is on they will start having more babies. At the moment people don’t feel inclined to have lots of kids as they know they need to provide for each one and 2 is probably the most the majority can provide for comfortably.

Buildingthefuture · 22/06/2025 20:07

No. We are, as a species, massively overpopulated. I am child free by choice and a net contributor by a very long way. My retirement and any needs I have as I age are already fully funded by me and I haven’t retired yet. I can pay all the tax in the world but I cannot change other peoples choices.

OhSoSalty · 22/06/2025 20:07

Has the fact the planet is being ravaged by war, genocide and climate change completely bypassed you?

Womblingmerrily · 22/06/2025 20:04

@Valeriekat You say what do you owe us (our our children/grandchildren actually)

What do we owe you? What have you done for society?

Why on earth should you not pay for the care you receive as you get older. It is entirely predictable that getting older means needing help. Why did you not plan for this? Have you downsized and made sensible decisions to minimise the help you need? If not, why not?

Why should you not use your own resources first before taking other peoples?

Buzzybee25 · 22/06/2025 20:03

The reason most countries need population to keep increasing is to fund the Ponzi scheme that is defined benefits pension; In the UK, the absolute number of earning and taxpaying population needs to keep increasing to fund the benefits budget

housemaus · 22/06/2025 20:03

I don't know we 'need' to continue, necessarily? Like I don't think it's some crying shame that there's the potential that we die off, as a species. It's not a concern for me because I don't see the continuance of the human race as something particularly necessary. Of course, I don't have children of my own (and don't want them - another one contributing to the stats, soz) so the survival or quality of life of my lineage isn't something I'm considering in a potential dramatically ageing and shrinking population - maybe it's different for those that do, but I see no reason to take action to ensure humanity keeps going.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:01

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 19:54

I agree with pp AI and robots will start to fill the gap anyway.

It might prove a useful tool to mitigate some of the effects but I think it'd be reckless to bank on it (particularly as a way of justifying an ongoing refusal to make sacrificies now).

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 20:00

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/un-population-2024-vs-2022?time=earliest..latest

Even compared to 2022 the UN has had to change its population projections because the global birth rate has decreased more than predicted.

Most people are unaware how much birth rates have plummeted globally even in developing countries.

eg even Iran’s fertility rate is only 2.1.

AIBU The global fertility crisis is the biggest crisis humanity has ever faced?
OP posts:
AirborneElephant · 22/06/2025 20:00

Why does it matter if there’s none of us left through people’s choice? Not that that’s likely to happen. The demographic problem with a smaller working population supporting a large elderly population is a real problem, and is at the forefront of many politicians minds. It’s part of what is driving things like the increase in state pension age, and the issue will get worse before it starts to get better

DressOrSkirt · 22/06/2025 19:59

Planet Earth still matters, and will have a better chance to thrive, when there's none of "us" left.

Kendodd · 22/06/2025 19:57

MuckFusk · 22/06/2025 18:32

I doubt anti-immigration weirdos can ever be rational about it, even in the service of their own best interest. Their beliefs about immigration aren't based on anything rational, they're based on racist and xenophobic fear, which can override even self interest.

Yes I agree.
I remember seeing some passengers interviewed on a bus route that had recently been reinstated with a Polish driver saying they'd rather do without the bus than have immigration.

taxguru · 22/06/2025 19:56

@Womblingmerrily

As a society we need to protect our young people and provide them with a life worth living, jobs worth doing and a reason to have their own children.
At the moment we are asking them to bear a massive burden of paying for non working people to have a better standard of living than them.

Nail on the head. We need to start offering the young something to work towards. At the moment, our young workforce is being shafted from all directions. That's why so many have either "opted out" to a life of unemployment, or working in the black economy to avoid taxes etc., or emigrating. Those who are likely to get a decent inheritance will be OK in the end, though they'll have to wait decades for it - in the meantime, they may too wonder why they bother working. Those without inheritances on the way will feel the whole thing is just pointless as they'll never be able to own a home, unless they're higher earners - certainly not a chance on minimum wage or even average wages really if all their wages are going on rents and other living costs.

WooleyMunky · 22/06/2025 19:54

AlmostAJillSandwich · 22/06/2025 17:20

Nope, we're massively overpopulated and killing the earth, it's one of several reasons i'm childless, i couldn't bring a child into the world in the state it is in.

We are not really killing the planet, just making it inhospitable to our species.
Once our sad little parasitic existence has gone, the planet will do something else.
Every Homo has been about for, at best, 8m years.
The simple, lovely frog is 30 times older.
Good fucking riddance to us.

EasternStandard · 22/06/2025 19:54

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 19:34

Okay, so, what do you propose?

Maintain the current path of passing a huge economic crisis down to the next generations? Or would you be willing to forego state support in retirement (or even forego retirement at all)?

Or, (and I'm sorry this isnt meant to sound as hostile as it may come accross) - would the most moral thing that you could do, given your mindset, be ending your own life?

I agree with pp AI and robots will start to fill the gap anyway.

StandFirm · 22/06/2025 19:52

LindorDoubleChoc · 22/06/2025 17:29

I think climate change and antibiotic resistance are more pressing.

And deforestation releasing more viruses causing more pandemics.
And fungal infections (an overlooked one, very Last of Us)
And madmen ruling 80% of nations...
But it was ever thus. Europe recovered after losing about half its population at the time of the Black Death.

Womblingmerrily · 22/06/2025 19:52

@HeddaGarbled No! Immigration just kicks the can further down the road (again) and frankly we've been doing that for long enough.

We need to take the pain now, those who have the greatest resources need to pay more - no matter what their age.

As a society we need to protect our young people and provide them with a life worth living, jobs worth doing and a reason to have their own children.

At the moment we are asking them to bear a massive burden of paying for non working people to have a better standard of living than them.

Some of them have realised that only a fool would do this - and opted out. I don't blame them.

This is not just UK - across the world young people are deciding not to take on this burden.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 19:51

taxguru · 22/06/2025 19:47

@BoldGreenDreamer

We either need more young people, or slash state spending on older people.

Or increase taxes/reduce benefits for the richer older people.

That would certainly help ease the issue.

But against the political backdrop of a country that wouldnt accept the winter fuel allowance being means tested, it isnt going to happen any time soon.

Papyrophile · 22/06/2025 19:51

Dearest Muckfusk, thank you for debating sensibly. Yes of course I understand ecosystems and their connectivity with wellbeing. I am reasonably well educated and thoughtful, or I like to think I am. But on the infinite debate between history, geography and natural history, I tend to take a position on the side of humanity.

HeddaGarbled · 22/06/2025 19:48

Wouldn’t relaxing immigration restrictions solve everything?

Jamesblonde2 · 22/06/2025 19:48

I see plenty of large families doing sad face in the Daily Mail who seem to be making up for the women having fewer or no children.

Depends on the country doesn’t it. UK, USA and China as examples are low. Nigeria, Kenya, Tanzania in the 3/4/5 children ball park.

Natural consequence as I see it in the UK is in the future, people won’t have families to support them. Not necessarily personal care, but even helping fill in forms, set the new TV up, odd little jobs that older folk struggle with. Hopefully we become more community based, rather than individual based, otherwise it will be a shit show.

taxguru · 22/06/2025 19:47

@BoldGreenDreamer

We either need more young people, or slash state spending on older people.

Or increase taxes/reduce benefits for the richer older people.

Ironfloor269 · 22/06/2025 19:47

Damn good! The world will be a much better place without humans ruining and killing everything.