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AIBU The global fertility crisis is the biggest crisis humanity has ever faced?

542 replies

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 17:14

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’.

I’m astounded that global (even UK/European) fertility decline to below the replacement rate of 2.1 (thought to have happened now) isn’t in the forefront of most people’s radar. There are barely even any politicians acknowledging it let alone devising policies to tackle it.

Thee are even people who still think we’re in the 70s/80s/90s and ‘overpopulation’ is still an issue.

Once everyone who’s alone now is dead the human race will be in terminal decline.

Nothing else matters if there’s none of us left!

Even on a personal level a large proportion of women don’t have the number of DCs they expect to.

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’. Does this woman have a solution?

Countries across the world are fretting about falling birthrates. Now one academic believes she’s discovered the cause – and has a plan to address it

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

OP posts:
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DeffoNeedANameChange · 22/06/2025 20:38

chaosmaker · 22/06/2025 20:33

What drugs are you taking @plantsdieinmyhouse ? Human population globally is out of control. The earth will breathe a sigh of relief when ai kills us all.

It's not out of control at all. Many countries are already in population decline (this is hidden by immigration figures in the UK) and the increase in global population is slowing, expected to peak and start falling within the next 50-60 years.

InAFewYearsTime · 22/06/2025 20:37

DressOrSkirt · 22/06/2025 19:59

Planet Earth still matters, and will have a better chance to thrive, when there's none of "us" left.

A bit off topic, but planet earth will be in a new ice age in around 100,000 years, regardless of whether humans exist or not, and eventually will be overcome by the expansion of the sun.
I do believe humans should exist for as long as they possibly can, we are the only ones who can figure out what is coming, through science, and help ourselves and other species survive for as long as possible.

Although in the end none of it will really matter, and the solar system as we know it will be gone, and there will be no one to know we ever existed, but let's not wish for our extinction sooner than it need be.

Dingalingalong · 22/06/2025 20:37

PracticallyIncompetentInEveryWay · 22/06/2025 20:25

This is the response that has made the most sense to me. I'm the same age with a 9 year old and I totally agree. What devastates me is how we've left the planet for the younger generation. I hate to the think of the world my daughter and grandkids may have to survive in.

I feel the same. I try not to think about it too much or I dive into deep despair, but I am horrified at the state of the world (climate and society) my children are growing up in.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:36

Bridport · 22/06/2025 20:27

What about the elderly who didn't have children?

Used fewer resources, took less out of the state, filled less bins...can we have more pension and a bit of state healthcare instead?
Perhaps there could be a sliding scale - two kids no pension and you have to take your own teeth out with pliers. One kid half a pension and one free set of dentures on the state, no kids - £12k a year and an option on a hip replacement every three years.

Or perhaps businesses could pay less to shareholders and more in tax and the 1% who own more wealth than 70% of Britons could pay more tax and share it around more fairly.

Even as a childless person myself, if we're going to tie state benefits to the number of kids you have, its having children that should rewarded (and being childless should be penalized).

Although I'm entirely for increasing the tax burden on the rich, the demographic crisis is just as pronounced in countries with fairer distribution of wealth (like the Scandinavian ones). I'm for it, but it doesn't sole the problem.

So, if population decline continues, we're still left with a choice - do the current and next generation of older people make significant sacrifices, or do we prioritize them and cause far greater suffering to the subsequent generations of elderly people?

Is your personal level of comfort really that much more important than that of your kids or grandkids? Is there nothing to be said for sharing the burden?

chaosmaker · 22/06/2025 20:33

plantsdieinmyhouse · 22/06/2025 17:14

We’re in a ‘global fertility crisis’.

I’m astounded that global (even UK/European) fertility decline to below the replacement rate of 2.1 (thought to have happened now) isn’t in the forefront of most people’s radar. There are barely even any politicians acknowledging it let alone devising policies to tackle it.

Thee are even people who still think we’re in the 70s/80s/90s and ‘overpopulation’ is still an issue.

Once everyone who’s alone now is dead the human race will be in terminal decline.

Nothing else matters if there’s none of us left!

Even on a personal level a large proportion of women don’t have the number of DCs they expect to.

https://www.thetimes.com/article/43a9bd63-25c9-4941-bc99-fc9f7e42c12a?shareToken=29bf27cb9dafe9af7a006bc25355e411

What drugs are you taking @plantsdieinmyhouse ? Human population globally is out of control. The earth will breathe a sigh of relief when ai kills us all.

Jumpupjumphigh · 22/06/2025 20:32

It's not clear to me why you think this is such a problem.

It means we're all going to have to adjust to a lower material standard of living, but that's obvious for other reasons anyway. Not least the contribution of rampant overconsumption to climate change.

All the time I was growing up, the biggest bogeyman facing humanity was supposed to be overpopulation. Now it's finally sorting itself out, and people like the OP are in a blind panic about it. Nowt so queer as folk, as they say.

housemaus · 22/06/2025 20:29

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:10

Sure but, as I imagine you'd acknowledge, thats a selfish position, and you probably couldn't reasonably complain is younger generations acted with similar self interest and withdrew all support for retirees.

(Not that thats going to happen given voting demographics...).

Yeah I get that. And personally, I don't expect to get much (if anything) in the way of help by the time I reach retirement age and am preparing financially to be entirely self-sufficient (although I acknowledge that lots and lots of people aren't lucky enough to be in the position I am, either through health or earning capacity, and I absolutely acknowledge that there's a need to support the retired population - so yes, in that sense I get that it's selfish of me to be less concerned about the material facts of a declining population. And obviously there are no guarantees I won't end up unable to work in the coming decades and then have to eat my words and hope all the offspring my peers have are contibuting to a social care system, I know that!)

When I say I don't see a need for humanity to continue I mean more in the sense that I don't think we're some uniquely special species who 'deserves' to survive - and as a species we've globally made decisions which are directly impacting our ability to do so. I obviously do care about the things that are impacting birth rates on a personal and political level - I'd like to see governments improve quality of life in ways that would probably result in more people having children, I'd like a world with proper social care systems, proper healthcare, affordable housing and good education available to everyone, and I'd like a world where there's not tons of political uncertainty and where global warming is taken seriously.

TheAmusedQuail · 22/06/2025 20:28

Humanity is going to be fighting for the little bits of land that aren't flooded and are still inhabitable, due to climate change, in the not so distant future. So having a smaller population would make that much easier.

Bridport · 22/06/2025 20:27

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 19:44

It hasn't balanced itself out. The percentage of GDP spending on retirement age benefits is ever increasing, with that trend expected to not only continue but accelerate.

We either need more young people, or slash state spending on older people.

I don't revel in the latter, I just think people need to accept the huge societal problems of a falling birth rate, particularly those who embrace the idea of a shrinking population.

There are certainly merits to having far fewer humans, I don't argue that, but it will require huge sacrifice, particularly for the elderly.

What about the elderly who didn't have children?

Used fewer resources, took less out of the state, filled less bins...can we have more pension and a bit of state healthcare instead?
Perhaps there could be a sliding scale - two kids no pension and you have to take your own teeth out with pliers. One kid half a pension and one free set of dentures on the state, no kids - £12k a year and an option on a hip replacement every three years.

Or perhaps businesses could pay less to shareholders and more in tax and the 1% who own more wealth than 70% of Britons could pay more tax and share it around more fairly.

DeffoNeedANameChange · 22/06/2025 20:27

We're well below 2.1 and have been for some time. Ask anyone with kids in primary school outside a major city - classes are having to be collapsed, village primaries are really struggling.

But I don't believe it's a crisis for humanity - it's quite specifically a crisis for our generation, who won't have anyone to pay our pensions or staff our care homes. Within two generations we might well have evened back out to a manageable global population.

Side note: I can't believe so many people are still so heavily invested in stopping economic migration. Within 30 years we will desperately need immigrants to try and stabilise our population.

EviesHat · 22/06/2025 20:27

You and your husband own a four bedroom house. You have two children and a spare room. One of your children gets married and their spouse moves in to your house. Your other child later marries too and their spouse joins your family. There are now six of you in a four bedroom house. You still have the ability to have guests to stay.

A few years later one of your children has twins. Your grandchildren move into the spare room. There are now eight of you in a four bedroom house. All the bedrooms are occupied.

A guest comes to stay. You manage to squeeze them into the sitting room, sleeping on the sofa. It’s inconvenient, but do-able.

Your other child gives birth to your third grandchild. All four bedrooms can each only accommodate a maximum of two people. Someone has to move into the sitting room full time.

You all grumble but accept that there is no other option. You throw out the sofa and move the tv into the kitchen. You all accept that’s just how it is now. Luckily there is still room at the table so you can all sit down to a meal.

One of your grandchildren gets married and their spouse moves into your home. You have to change the sleeping arrangements and your married grandchild and spouse move into the sitting room and the grandchild who was previously there moves into the bedroom with your other grandchild. There is much grumbling from the grandchild who previously had the whole sitting room to themselves, but you tell them they’ll have to put up with sharing now.

Your husband hurts his back and needs to live on the ground floor. He has mobility equipment that fits into the sitting room so you both move in there, giving up your bedroom for your grandchild and their spouse who move out of the sitting room. You cannot fit two wardrobes in the sitting room with your husband’s mobility equipment, so both you and your husband throw out half of your hanging clothes each and accept that that’s just how it is now.

Unfortunately your husband’s mobility equipment means you cannot all fit round the table for dinner together, so you agree to stand at the side to eat so all the couples and children can sit together.

Your married grandchild announces that you will soon be a great-grandmother.

You are both overjoyed and terrified.

You are currently a family of 10 in a four bedroomed house, soon to be a family of 11.

You love your family and you wish them all to have a good life. But where will the great-grandchild sleep? And who has to eat in the hallway because there is no more room in the kitchen, not even standing room?

Your realise that although it is your house you have given up your bedroom, your wardrobe and half of your storage space already. There is no sitting room and you have nowhere to relax and be quiet, to breathe calmly and to be alone. You wonder if this is really what you dreamed of when younger. You feel guilty thinking this, after all, your grandchildren will have it far worse when they all live here with their siblings, cousins and their own great-grandchildren and this four bedroom house has to accommodate a family of 30. Perhaps they will extend the house into the garden. There will be more rooms but no outside space or greenery, no homegrown food and no visiting wildlife.

You wonder if you can tell your family what you have realised. Should you explain what will happen and destroy their dreams? Or should you keep quiet and hope that by then they have worked out how to underpin the foundations so your four-bedroomed house can grow upwards, into a 12 story block of flats, without falling down?

But even so, you know eventually that there will be too many descendants to all fit at your table. Who will be the ones to miss out? You worry, but you cannot change things.

Your house is a microcosm of our world.

Dingalingalong · 22/06/2025 20:27

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:15

Its hard to phrase this right, without making it sound like a hostile suggestion, but honestly - a genuine question.

Based on your above comment, why not kill yourself?

I wouldn't kill myself just because I believe humans are a parasite on Earth, because I don't think we are on an individual level (although, some massive twats are 👋 Trump, Musk, Netanyahu,...). But our species as a whole, as many pp have said above, have destroyed so much that I don't believe we are any good for this planet at all.

minnienono · 22/06/2025 20:27

There’s plenty of babies being born, just not here, the population needs to shrink.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:26

Dingalingalong · 22/06/2025 20:23

Well I would if/when I feel the time is right. I come from a country where euthanasia has been legal for a long time, and it is something that I will state very clearly I want in certain circumstances. I have no desire to be living as long as possible, and/or with zero independence (physical and intellectual), zero pleasures in life, and being a burden to those I love the most and to society. I see no point at all in living this way myself (I would never dictate or judge anyone for doing so or for having elderly family members who do).

Fair enough - if proponents of human extinction are willing to put their money where their mouth is, particularly before expecting state support, I wont quibble that.

Fangisnotacoward · 22/06/2025 20:26

If I'm being really honest, the best thing that could happen to this planet is mankind dying out.

The UN predicts 9 billion people by 2037 and 10 billion by 2060. Hardly a crisis.

Afewtimesagain · 22/06/2025 20:26

I'm pleased the human population is declining. We already take up far too much of the earth and leave little room for other species.

PracticallyIncompetentInEveryWay · 22/06/2025 20:25

REDB99 · 22/06/2025 17:37

My DD is 8 and most likely won’t live to see the fall out of this. Rich countries will poach the best people to come and live there and have the money to buy the resources they need for a long time yet. I also don’t think it’s a bad thing and if awful consequences do play out in my life time (I’m 45) I would honestly have the attitude that if we’ve messed it up to the point that there’s full on world wars over resources and dystopia is becoming a reality I’d think enough is enough, gather all my loved ones and pray the NHS is offering an easy way to end your life (and hope my loved ones feel the same as me) I’ve no want to survive for survival’s sake.

This is the response that has made the most sense to me. I'm the same age with a 9 year old and I totally agree. What devastates me is how we've left the planet for the younger generation. I hate to the think of the world my daughter and grandkids may have to survive in.

Sunbeam01 · 22/06/2025 20:24

coolbreezes · 22/06/2025 17:18

We don't have enough resources for this population size. Hence all the wars over resources and crazy high house prices and fights over immigration

Just because a population drops doesn't mean it couldn't grow in size again later.

It's basic animal behaviour

It does actually. It's precisely what it means.

Dingalingalong · 22/06/2025 20:23

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:15

Its hard to phrase this right, without making it sound like a hostile suggestion, but honestly - a genuine question.

Based on your above comment, why not kill yourself?

Well I would if/when I feel the time is right. I come from a country where euthanasia has been legal for a long time, and it is something that I will state very clearly I want in certain circumstances. I have no desire to be living as long as possible, and/or with zero independence (physical and intellectual), zero pleasures in life, and being a burden to those I love the most and to society. I see no point at all in living this way myself (I would never dictate or judge anyone for doing so or for having elderly family members who do).

Loupeckham · 22/06/2025 20:22

Elon? Is that you?

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:20

Bridport · 22/06/2025 20:11

This is awful.
Would you say the same about children or adults who are unable to contribute to the economy due because they have disabilities?

Where do you draw the line?
How do you say to someone who has worked and contributed all their life, perhaps had children who contribute, 'Sorry nan, you're FUBAR and like costing us quite a bit. We're going to put you to sleep now so we can pour the money in to more regular bin collections.'

Well, what do you suggest?

The aging population crisis is getting exponentially worse, and will continue to do so.

Failing a radical solution - its either hard decisions now, or even harder decisions for the next generation.

kirbykirby · 22/06/2025 20:16

People have been told for years that having children was destroying the planet, how selfish it is to have children and that they should be ashamed of their climate footprint, that natural habits are being destroyed to make way for housing and agriculture for the increasing population, not to fly, the horrors of overconsumption by an ever growing population etc. No wonder fertility has dropped. Yet now there is a pivot to an apparent crisis of not enough people being born. Seems like there are conflicting messages being put out. Which is it?

Bridport · 22/06/2025 20:15

taxguru · 22/06/2025 19:11

Nail on the head. We need more people to be more productive. We also need the "right" type of population increase, i.e. people with skills and work ethic - not just "more" people.

There is another way. If successive governments had encouraged better investment in systems, business, training, facilities and education then workers could actually be much more efficient, productive and lucrative and less workers needn't mean less economic growth.

BoldGreenDreamer · 22/06/2025 20:15

Dingalingalong · 22/06/2025 20:10

Tbh the end of humans doesn't mean the end of the planet, quite the contrary. We're a parasite on Earth, all other beings will benefit from us being gone 🌱🌿🌳🌴

Its hard to phrase this right, without making it sound like a hostile suggestion, but honestly - a genuine question.

Based on your above comment, why not kill yourself?

Bridport · 22/06/2025 20:11

Sunnyafternooning · 22/06/2025 19:21

I (unfortunately) think, the logical (not moral or pleasant) conclusion to this issue, in the UK at least, is that we are going to have to stop funnelling huge amounts of state money into elderly care both social and health. That when you get to 80 odd, you’ve got dementia and physical problems and you’re costing the state tens if not hundreds of thousands per year, that the state will not intervene.

They may offer a painless medicated death to avoid suffering (the comment re ill homeless elderly on the street as per previous poster) but will not continue to pour scant recourses from a shrunken tax revenue into ailing old people with poor life quality and high costs, when that money could achieve more good to a greater number of young people, eg schools, maternity and child heath services, or actually just services like road maintenance, bin collections, etc boring but vital.

It’s not a vote winner! But, perhaps, in conjunction with immigration, might reduce the crash of civilisation/society that otherwise will be inevitable when you have an inverted triangle of old to young people.

This is awful.
Would you say the same about children or adults who are unable to contribute to the economy due because they have disabilities?

Where do you draw the line?
How do you say to someone who has worked and contributed all their life, perhaps had children who contribute, 'Sorry nan, you're FUBAR and like costing us quite a bit. We're going to put you to sleep now so we can pour the money in to more regular bin collections.'