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Iran - full evacuation of Tehran?

795 replies

Fitasafiddle1 · 17/06/2025 04:18

Genuinely finding it hard to sleep now having seen the news that Tehran - a population of 10 million are being urgently advised to leave. Is anyone else feeling very concerned (and nervous) watching what is now taking place in the ME? It is being reported that Israel have ‘full ariel control’ of Iran?

www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/israel-has-full-control-of-tehrans-airspace-over-100-missile-launchers-destroyed-idf-says/

www.euronews.com/2025/06/17/trump-hints-at-major-israeli-offensive-as-he-urges-all-of-tehran-to-evacuate-immediately

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/liveblog/2025/6/17/live-israel-iran-trade-attacks-trump-orders-residents-of-tehran-to-flee

Blasts rock Tehran, Tel Aviv; Iran warns Israel of ‘devastating’ attacks

Blasts rock Tehran and sirens blare in Tel Aviv as hostilities between Iran and Israel continue for a fifth day.

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/liveblog/2025/6/17/live-israel-iran-trade-attacks-trump-orders-residents-of-tehran-to-flee

OP posts:
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AnonymousBleep · 17/06/2025 10:56

EasternStandard · 17/06/2025 10:51

How can you be certain about the rhetoric being as you suggest?

Plus it’s clear other democracies are seeing the general threat, hence recent statements.

The whole thing is a grey area as I said upthread. There are valid arguments on both sides to the legitimacy of this conflict. It looks to me like it tips over into being an illegal attack on a sovereign nation but I'm not an international lawyer (or any kind of lawyer) and they're the ones who'll be arguing this at some point in the future.

The other problem is that attacking Iran is unlikely to solve any hatred of Israel/the West. It'll just radicalise more people, make terror attacks more likely in the West, and send millions of refugees our way.

notimagain · 17/06/2025 10:53

Brownthosebrownonionsbrown · 17/06/2025 10:06

Does that not contravene the protocol additional of the Geneva conventions:
Article 56. Protection of works and installations containing dangerous forces

The devil is in the detail with a lot of the Geneva Conventions, for example in the case of Article 56 you might want to look at the caveats that state when protection from an attack might cease...

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 10:53

MiloMinderbinder925 · 17/06/2025 10:51

Heaven forfend people are offended. How about: ethnic cleansing and war crimes? I'm sure that's more palatable.

Not sure if you are joking or throwing these words about because you lack empathy.

MiloMinderbinder925 · 17/06/2025 10:51

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Heaven forfend people are offended. How about: ethnic cleansing and war crimes? I'm sure that's more palatable.

EasternStandard · 17/06/2025 10:51

AnonymousBleep · 17/06/2025 10:47

@alikelylass It's not official state doctrine though. It's rhetoric from some Iranian leaders, and a lot of it has been misintepreted and misquoted. I'm not denying the hatred exists, but even hateful rhetoric doesn't amount to a threat that would justify an attack on a sovereign state. It comes down to the old 'weapons of mass destruction' thing that was used as the basis of the Iraq war (and which was later proven to never have existed, in that case). Iran's nuclear programme is Israel's 'excuse' for this attack (even though Israel itself has always been opaque about its own nuclear programme, and refused to sign up to the NPF Framework).

Edited

How can you be certain about the rhetoric being as you suggest?

Plus it’s clear other democracies are seeing the general threat, hence recent statements.

Xenia · 17/06/2025 10:50

I have been in Iran on business. They call the US Great Satan and the UK the Little Satan. It is a horrible regime and they are one of the greatest enemies of us all in the UK. Now is the time for regime change and for the people of Iran to be strong and ensure freedom including for women to wear what they like to prevail in their land so that all those including those who want to return and left in about 1979 can go back too to build a new and better Iran which would no longer be a pariah state. for far too long we are tolerated Iran funding terrorism from Hamas to the terrorists in Yemen.

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 10:49

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Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 10:48

AnonymousBleep · 17/06/2025 10:47

@alikelylass It's not official state doctrine though. It's rhetoric from some Iranian leaders, and a lot of it has been misintepreted and misquoted. I'm not denying the hatred exists, but even hateful rhetoric doesn't amount to a threat that would justify an attack on a sovereign state. It comes down to the old 'weapons of mass destruction' thing that was used as the basis of the Iraq war (and which was later proven to never have existed, in that case). Iran's nuclear programme is Israel's 'excuse' for this attack (even though Israel itself has always been opaque about its own nuclear programme, and refused to sign up to the NPF Framework).

Edited

Fully agree with this.

but guess what? Keir Starmer has shown no backbone whatsoever and we will have Putin at one end, tens of millions of refugees at the other, and PM Farage in the middle.
What a shitshow. European needs to wake the hell up and unite.

tramtracks · 17/06/2025 10:48

treesfalling · 17/06/2025 09:26

This sort of thing is usually decided by negotiation rather than carpet bombing though

Did the War on Terror involve carpet bombing or negotiation?

Dresden. Pearl Harbour. Hiroshima.
thats what started the end of WW2 and the destruction of a terror regime.

HellsBalls · 17/06/2025 10:48

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 10:43

After seeing what Netenyahu has done in Gaza, do you wonder why Israel is so hated? Why have they done before the social media came about that we don’t know of?
However much I hate the theocracy in Iran, I don’t trust a word that comes out of the mouth of this Israeli regime. They are war criminals committing genocide right in front of our eyes.

Iran funded Hamas and therefore their actions have led directly to the situation in Gaza.
Their hatred of Israel started decades ago.

And once more, Israel is not committing genocide. Though that’s what Iran wants to inflict on Israel.

crumblingschools · 17/06/2025 10:48

Maybe not using the word genocide is offensive to those suffering in Gaza.

AnonymousBleep · 17/06/2025 10:47

@alikelylass It's not official state doctrine though. It's rhetoric from some Iranian leaders, and a lot of it has been misintepreted and misquoted. I'm not denying the hatred exists, but even hateful rhetoric doesn't amount to a threat that would justify an attack on a sovereign state. It comes down to the old 'weapons of mass destruction' thing that was used as the basis of the Iraq war (and which was later proven to never have existed, in that case). Iran's nuclear programme is Israel's 'excuse' for this attack (even though Israel itself has always been opaque about its own nuclear programme, and refused to sign up to the NPF Framework).

alikelylass · 17/06/2025 10:46

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 10:43

After seeing what Netenyahu has done in Gaza, do you wonder why Israel is so hated? Why have they done before the social media came about that we don’t know of?
However much I hate the theocracy in Iran, I don’t trust a word that comes out of the mouth of this Israeli regime. They are war criminals committing genocide right in front of our eyes.

I wish people would stop throwing the word "genocide" around. It is offensive to Jewish people.

And your emotive half-baked opinions don't help the discussion.

nomas · 17/06/2025 10:44

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Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 10:43

alikelylass · 17/06/2025 10:39

Iran is committed to the annihilation of the State of Israel and has said so. That seems reason enough to me.

from "Politico" -

"According to official state doctrine, the primary goal of the mullahs in Tehran is the annihilation of the State of Israel. Ayatollah Khamenei has described Israel as a “cancerous tumor.” And clocks in the streets of Tehran celebrate countdowns to the “destruction of Israel.”

After seeing what Netenyahu has done in Gaza, do you wonder why Israel is so hated? Why have they done before the social media came about that we don’t know of?
However much I hate the theocracy in Iran, I don’t trust a word that comes out of the mouth of this Israeli regime. They are war criminals committing genocide right in front of our eyes.

CleverButScatty · 17/06/2025 10:40

Fiver555 · 17/06/2025 07:20

Can you point to credible reports?

Are you serious?

alikelylass · 17/06/2025 10:39

KateShugakIsALegend · 17/06/2025 07:46

There is a reason Israel is targeting Iran.

Iran is committed to the annihilation of the State of Israel and has said so. That seems reason enough to me.

from "Politico" -

"According to official state doctrine, the primary goal of the mullahs in Tehran is the annihilation of the State of Israel. Ayatollah Khamenei has described Israel as a “cancerous tumor.” And clocks in the streets of Tehran celebrate countdowns to the “destruction of Israel.”

Amplepombear · 17/06/2025 10:33

AnonymousBleep · 17/06/2025 09:30

This is going to lead to millions of people fleeing the Gulf area and ending up here on small boats. It'll probably gift us Prime Minister Farage. So, as well as endless war which we'll probably be dragged into at some point, there's that to look forward to.

I fully agree with this.
Yet another scenario that will work out well for all the oligarchs that are supporting Trump and Netenyahu in this!

MiloMinderbinder925 · 17/06/2025 10:30

Fitasafiddle1 · 17/06/2025 10:27

I don’t think it’s at all obvious which way things are going to go, unless you know something we don’t?

I imagine lots of people will be killed and if Israel take out the leadership, he will be replaced by another autocrat. How do you imagine it going? A liberal arrives on a unicorn and brings in a democracy?

treesfalling · 17/06/2025 10:29

@literallyarabbit you're welcome 🙄

literallyarabbit · 17/06/2025 10:28

treesfalling · 17/06/2025 10:21

Slow down & actually read posts properly @literallyarabbit. Acknowledging that Isreal underestimated things in a similar way that the American government underestimated intelligence before 9/11 does in no way make them complicit in what happened. It's not the same thing...

Please don't talk to me like I haven't understood what has been written, or what happened.

But thank you anyway 😘

Fitasafiddle1 · 17/06/2025 10:27

MiloMinderbinder925 · 17/06/2025 10:21

I would have thought that was pretty obvious OP. They've being bombed and told to evacuate their homes. They're terrified and hundreds have been killed.

I don’t think it’s at all obvious which way things are going to go, unless you know something we don’t?

OP posts:
Fitasafiddle1 · 17/06/2025 10:25

ExitPersuedByAPomBear · 17/06/2025 10:16

@Fitasafiddle1 I’m not sure why you think I should be the one highlighting Hamas in this discussion. I haven’t defended them. Critcism of Israel is not a defense of Hamas. Criticism of Hamas is valid – and many Palestinians themselves are deeply critical of them.

But blaming Hamas alone for Gaza’s suffering erases two crucial realities:

  1. Israel maintains near-total control over Gaza’s borders, airspace, population registry, economy, and imports even before October 7. That’s why the UN and international law still regard Gaza as occupied, and why Israel holds legal responsibility for the welfare of civilians in the territory it controls.
  2. Collective punishment is a war crime. Even if Hamas committed atrocities, that does not give Israel the legal or moral right to starve or bomb civilians, block humanitarian aid, or destroy homes and hospitals. 70% of Gaza’s population is under 25. Children are dying here, not Hamas leaders. That’s not justice, it’s collective punishment.

So yes, even if Hamas is responsible for much of the suffering, Israel’s ongoing siege, bombings, and deliberate aid restrictions have compounded that suffering and disproportionately affected civilians. That’s why we’re seeing growing global outrage and legal action – not just at Hamas, but at Israel’s actions as well.

Let’s not forget: Israel is a sovereign state, not a stateless militia. With that sovereignty comes legal and moral responsibility under international law. So if we’re serious about justice and human rights, the focus can’t only be on Hamas. We have to hold Israel accountable too.

I agree with you. Israel will have justify its actions and I’m certainly not condoning any loss of life or food blockades. Nor would anyone. What do you think the solution is out of interest?

Given Israel is where it is, largely down to their own trauma and tragedy? Why do you think there has been no attempt by Iran and others to show some empathy over the years for the persecution of the Jewish communities? To accommodate a peaceful solution? Why is there just so much hatred directed at Israel?

We know that there was never a ‘state’ as such even before Israel became established - it was a collection of different countries.

OP posts:
MiloMinderbinder925 · 17/06/2025 10:21

Fitasafiddle1 · 17/06/2025 06:11

I am wondering what it means for the people of Iran.

I would have thought that was pretty obvious OP. They've being bombed and told to evacuate their homes. They're terrified and hundreds have been killed.

treesfalling · 17/06/2025 10:21

Slow down & actually read posts properly @literallyarabbit. Acknowledging that Isreal underestimated things in a similar way that the American government underestimated intelligence before 9/11 does in no way make them complicit in what happened. It's not the same thing...

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