Even the Guardian has reported on this.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/feb/13/full-time-part-time-work-no-longer-pays-uk-economy
Jeremy Hunt commissioned research on why UK productivity is so low. He was told why: these cliff-edges in every part of our tax and benefits system which discourage work. Did he rectify it? No. Reeves has been told the same. Has she rectified it? No.
The answer of “no” in both cases was to do with political optics, in different directions, but exemplifies why the UK economy is in such a mess. There is no evidence-based policy making, short-term savings are continually attempted despite the politicians (or any colour) knowing that this will result in larger longer term costs.
If the Government (any Government) genuinely wanted to raise UK living standards then they are well aware this can only happen by increasing productivity and therefore growth. It’s far easier to get the electorate to squabble over the crumbs, and often more politically expedient. All they care about is the next election and public perception, rather than long-term evidence-based policy making. That is why we are in the mess we are in and living standards in the UK will continue to drop until this changes.
They know what they need to do. Yes, long-term infrastructure projects (vastly neglected in the UK for decades) may improve growth, in 5-20 years. Yes, reforming the health service and education and state pensions all desperately need to happen (but not in the ways that this Government or the last one proposed).
What is, however, entirely within their control and would have an immediate effect i.e. change behaviour within a few months is to reform the UK tax and benefits system and remove or at the very least immensely reduce these cliff-edges that discourage economic activity at every level.
They have been told this. They know it. Reeves does has some economic training so she absolutely knows that she could do this and improve things massively raising living standards for all people in the UK because it would increase tax revenue to spend on services (this can be seen from the HMRC data with “bunching” below each threshold where there is means testing).
So the question we should all be asking the politicians is why aren’t they doing it? Are they more bothered about how “it looks” and what the media will say than actually raising UK living standards for all of our citizens? Clearly the answer to this question is “yes”, or they’d have done it already, It’s a no-brainer.
Your reduce the universal credit taper rate from 55% to maybe 35% or 40% and suddenly it’s worth people working more hours and the shortage of care workers etc disappears. You abolish the withdrawal of child benefit (means-testing that - as in ,most situations - has cost more than it saves so benefits only the additional HMRC employees who have had to be employed to administer the means-testing system) and you abolish the withdrawal of the personal allowance and the withdrawal of childcare funding and make them universal again. Within a matter of months people at all levels of earnings will be working more hours, reconsidering early retirement or moves abroad to escape these tax traps, or staying on benefits when they could work more because the marginal financial benefit is too low to bother.
It’s not rocket science. We know what works, we can see it demonstrated in many, many other countries around us who used to be our international comparators but whom we’re falling behind in PPP year on year.
But they’re too scared of being “soft on benefits” or “giving tax cuts to the rich” and treat the electorate as though we are all intellectually impaired because they think it’s too difficult to communicate the economic fact that removing these insane policies (which the Government could do tomorrow) would make everyone in the UK better off, not just those it effects directly: there would be more tax revenue, lower welfare claims and more money to fund public services.
This is just one aspect of UK economic mismanagement, part of a far larger pattern. But it is such a blindingly obvious one and easily provable with facts from freely available online calculators: you don’t have to be an expert in economics to see if for yourself. It’s as clear as day, factual, not subjective. Yet the electorate squabble amongst themselves rather than challenging the politicians on why not one party is suggesting this very obvious way to start to improve things for the people who live in this country.
Rather than attacking each other, it might be worth some thought why the majority of the UK population is happy to continue in this way becoming poorer year on year when there are measures our Government (whichever incompetents they happen to be at the time) could take to improve this for us all but choose not to do so, despite multiple independent economists having pointed out the way forward to them.
Are people happy with this?
If not, what are they going to do about it? Will they contact their MPs and demand change?
No, of course not. Let’s just continue making angry posts online resenting everyone in a richer/ poorer situation that they personally happen to be. I’m sure that’ll fix it….