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The UK has borrowed too much money, has a massive debt - £105 billion goes on paying our debt interest

331 replies

cakeorwine · 24/03/2025 08:14

A good visual guide from the Guardian

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/ng-interactive/2025/mar/24/visual-analysis-how-the-markets-boxed-in-rachel-reeves

But basically, the UK has had to rely on borrowing money as it spends more than it brings in.

It has borrowed money at low interest rates - but these rates have increased.

£105 billion on servicing debt interest. When you are borrowing a lot of money, even a small change in the interest level will massively increase the actual amount of money we need to pay on interest

Some context from the OBR on the budget

https://obr.uk/forecasts-in-depth/brief-guides-and-explainers/public-finances/

Income: £1149 billlion
Spending: £1276 billion
Of which £104 billion is on interest payments
Deficit: £127 billion

We need either more income, less spending and reduced interest payments.

The UK has borrowed too much money, has a massive debt  - £105 billion goes on paying our debt interest
The UK has borrowed too much money, has a massive debt  - £105 billion goes on paying our debt interest
OP posts:
Thread gallery
7
GasPanic · 24/03/2025 11:13

BIossomtoes · 24/03/2025 10:39

I don’t disagree. I used it only to counter the argument that Hunt was a competent chancellor.

More to do with the claim that one government can "salt the earth" for an incoming government.

This is not possible as parliament is sovereign and can undo any changes put in place by a previous government. Thus when politicians tell us stuff like "Britain will never be part of an EU superstate" they are lying, as they simply don't have the power to bind the country in that way in perpetuity.

The only situation you might argue where changes are not reversible is for situations where there is a second party that is not subject to sovereign constraints like international treaties where there are no exit clauses (very rare probably for this very reason) or the process becomes irreversible through practicality.

Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 11:13

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 24/03/2025 11:05

You are happy for people to lose their home and their support network?

Moving at an advanced age is very stressful.

Yes. They should move.

Would you rather we went on with the current bonkers council tax and stamp duty, or do you want a fair land tax system? I want the latter (although I’d be paying 3 x more a year in land tax). Your gran having the stress of moving shouldn’t stand in the way of implementing a fair tax system. It’s laughable that you should think so.

Badbadbunny · 24/03/2025 11:10

BIossomtoes · 24/03/2025 09:43

Why was he promising tax cuts then? And why did he implement an unfunded NI cut? He certainly understood actions have consequences when he salted the earth for the incoming government.

He and Sunak were trying to grow the economy by reducing tax to incentivise people to work, to start businesses, etc. There were green shoots of growth appearing.

RR killed all that with her NIC hike!

TheNoonBell · 24/03/2025 11:09

We are approaching the time when the IMF will get called in.

Then the cuts to services and benefits will really begin.

Badbadbunny · 24/03/2025 11:06

BeyondMyWits · 24/03/2025 08:37

Is the organisation which holds the debt actually putting any pressure on for repayment? (For us and everyone else)

Or is it that, yet again, political parties are putting in "targets"... "no borrowing for day to day costs" is usually there... "reduce the borrowing burden by end of term" ... those sorts of things.

Are there any actual consequences?

Err yes! Most governmental debt is relatively short term and needs to be repaid at the end of the term, to be funded and replaced by new loans/debt. Lenders will only lend if the return/risk/reward works for them. Hence why it's so important that the country works WITH its lenders and the international money markets, and tries to maintain the highest credit rating possible. When our credit rating falls, the interest rate we have to pay to attract new loans/debt increases! Every government has to try to keep the international money markets on side by at least trying to persuade them that we're in control of our country's finances and can service/repay the debt. Rachel tried to satisfy the country's lenders by her self imposed fiscal rules (as did Gordon Brown), but when she has failed to meet them, just months after she created those rules, the money markets will be getting spooked, so she'll have to announce some pretty spectacular changes later this week to try to persuade them that she knows what she's doing and will start to get the nation's finances back under control in terms of cutting the deficit. Remember the deficit is the yearly shortfall, which adds to the total debt, which is currently approaching a whopping £3 trillion. That's enormous, being decades of accumulated deficits.

In the last fifty years, the country has only been in surplus for five years, the last time being 2000/2001.

We got away with it to some extent when interest rates were at historical lows, but now they're increased back to historical average levels, we're screwed. I remember loads of posters on her and other fora a few years ago saying we should borrow to invest because interest rates were so low. They've now gone quiet, because the money borrowed back then at low interest rates is now being loaned at much higher interest rates as we couldn't pay it back.

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 24/03/2025 11:06

What other bad behaviour are you going to tax?

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 24/03/2025 11:05

Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 11:01

Yes of course. Sorry to be blunt but it’s true that many pensioners are living in houses too big for their needs in this country. We need to tax behaviour that is bad for society. It is bad for society not to make most efficient use of housing stock.

You are happy for people to lose their home and their support network?

Moving at an advanced age is very stressful.

LlynTegid · 24/03/2025 11:03

BIossomtoes · 24/03/2025 10:39

I don’t disagree. I used it only to counter the argument that Hunt was a competent chancellor.

I think Jeremy Hunt knew exactly what he was doing. Knew the Tories would lose, so left a bad situation for Labour, in the hope they would have to make unpopular decisions and give the Tories a chance in 2029 of at least having enough seats to deny a second majority for Labour.

The real damage was that the amount needed in 2020 and 2021 to support the economy was much greater than should have been the case, given the dubious Covid procurement, things such as Eat Out to Help out, cheap bus fares and above all that furlough payments could have been at least a third less had there been a prompt response in March and September 2020.

cakeorwine · 24/03/2025 11:03

Mischance · 24/03/2025 10:57

This is how all governments function. It is not like a household budget.

However - when you are spending £105 billion on interest repayments and you are having to borrow £120 billion because of a deficit and you have an income of £1100 billion from tax receipts, then that's a big percentage of your Government spending and borrowing going on debt servicing.

OP posts:
Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 11:01

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 24/03/2025 10:56

You want to tax housing?

There are so many house owners who are cash poor, many of the elderly.

Do you want them to lose their homes? Moving is costly and difficult. Also, why should they have to lose their homes?

What about council housing, who will paymthe tax there?

Yes of course. Sorry to be blunt but it’s true that many pensioners are living in houses too big for their needs in this country. We need to tax behaviour that is bad for society. It is bad for society not to make most efficient use of housing stock.

Mischance · 24/03/2025 10:57

This is how all governments function. It is not like a household budget.

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 24/03/2025 10:56

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:41

The thing is, if you tax a business more, that almost certainly goes on to the consumer, not the business. If the business cannot operate with the increased level of taxation it goes bust.

There is an easy way to tax companies like Amazon more. That is to put a delivery tax on them, so every parcel that is delivered to a UK address gets a tax imposed on it. That is unavoidable. However, the public would see that as a tax on them, not a tax on Amazon and probably go nuts about it. So the government won't have the bottle to implement it.

I'm not sure that it is possible to get everyone in the UK paying more tax. The bottom end is taxed out. It is the middle ground where there are opportunities for taxation. Probably I would say on housing. Housing is a great way to tax people as it is immovable and the asset stays in the UK.

You want to tax housing?

There are so many house owners who are cash poor, many of the elderly.

Do you want them to lose their homes? Moving is costly and difficult. Also, why should they have to lose their homes?

What about council housing, who will paymthe tax there?

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:54

Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 10:43

I like your delivery tax idea.

Stamp duty and council tax need to be binned and a tax of 0.5-0.7% of house value needs to be introduced instead. Stamp duty has been shown to be incredibly bad for growth.

I agree with that.

When people move there is a cascade of spending. Estate agent and solicitor fees. Builders, painters and decorators. New furniture and appliances. This is money churning round in the economy generating economic activity. It is better for this money to be say spent in the economy that reside in inflating values of bricks and mortar. Stamp duty dissuades people from moving and therefore lowers this activity. You are also basically betting that the reduced stamp duty raised can be spent better into the economy by the government through taxation - a tall order since governments are notoriously rubbish at doing anything.

We need a tax free rate for housing, maybe 200K, then all value above that taxed and doubles for second homes and landlords. No one needs a second home. Housing in this country is partly in crisis because people with money keep buying up property and that needs to be heavily penalised if we all want a place to live.

Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 10:43

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:41

The thing is, if you tax a business more, that almost certainly goes on to the consumer, not the business. If the business cannot operate with the increased level of taxation it goes bust.

There is an easy way to tax companies like Amazon more. That is to put a delivery tax on them, so every parcel that is delivered to a UK address gets a tax imposed on it. That is unavoidable. However, the public would see that as a tax on them, not a tax on Amazon and probably go nuts about it. So the government won't have the bottle to implement it.

I'm not sure that it is possible to get everyone in the UK paying more tax. The bottom end is taxed out. It is the middle ground where there are opportunities for taxation. Probably I would say on housing. Housing is a great way to tax people as it is immovable and the asset stays in the UK.

I like your delivery tax idea.

Stamp duty and council tax need to be binned and a tax of 0.5-0.7% of house value needs to be introduced instead. Stamp duty has been shown to be incredibly bad for growth.

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:41

Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 09:13

It’s not a loophole. It’s international tax legislation. The OECD are working hard to fix this but currently Amazon are doing wrong.

what I find REALLY tiresome with comments such as yours is that you assume that HMRC haven’t thought of this, or are in some way happy to let the likes of Amazon off the hook (laughable) and you seem to think this will fix our funding issues. Guess what - it won’t.

The answers to better public services (which I’d love!) is an increase in basic rate income tax and / or VAT. Oh shit, that mean you’d have to pay (and everyone else in the UK). Not so keen on it now are you? Chucking the ‘Amazon’ argument in deflects from the real problem and the real solution to the problem, which is every single person in the UK paying more tax.

The thing is, if you tax a business more, that almost certainly goes on to the consumer, not the business. If the business cannot operate with the increased level of taxation it goes bust.

There is an easy way to tax companies like Amazon more. That is to put a delivery tax on them, so every parcel that is delivered to a UK address gets a tax imposed on it. That is unavoidable. However, the public would see that as a tax on them, not a tax on Amazon and probably go nuts about it. So the government won't have the bottle to implement it.

I'm not sure that it is possible to get everyone in the UK paying more tax. The bottom end is taxed out. It is the middle ground where there are opportunities for taxation. Probably I would say on housing. Housing is a great way to tax people as it is immovable and the asset stays in the UK.

BIossomtoes · 24/03/2025 10:39

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:31

Why didn't Labour promise to undo it as part of their manifesto then if it was so bad ?

Part of the reason they are in the position they are in now is because they wouldn't be honest about taxation and spending.

Now they are in a position where a Labour government is cutting services and benefits to the vulnerable because they have to operate within their own election promises.

Labour are effectively operating as a Tory government at the moment.

I don’t disagree. I used it only to counter the argument that Hunt was a competent chancellor.

kirbykirby · 24/03/2025 10:37

IMF bailout incoming...?

Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 10:36

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:31

Why didn't Labour promise to undo it as part of their manifesto then if it was so bad ?

Part of the reason they are in the position they are in now is because they wouldn't be honest about taxation and spending.

Now they are in a position where a Labour government is cutting services and benefits to the vulnerable because they have to operate within their own election promises.

Labour are effectively operating as a Tory government at the moment.

Agreed. We wouldn’t be in this mess if both main parties hadn’t been promising unaffordable tax cuts in the manifestos. Does anyone want a tax cut more than they want better public services? £5 a month better off, or an ambulance within 5 mins if you are having a heart attack? You’d take the ambulance every time. We’re not fools. Stop treating us as idiots.

TheNuthatch · 24/03/2025 10:34

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:31

Why didn't Labour promise to undo it as part of their manifesto then if it was so bad ?

Part of the reason they are in the position they are in now is because they wouldn't be honest about taxation and spending.

Now they are in a position where a Labour government is cutting services and benefits to the vulnerable because they have to operate within their own election promises.

Labour are effectively operating as a Tory government at the moment.

Yep, labour could have reversed the NI cut if it was so bad and unfunded. As they did with other tory policies they didn't like.
Instead, they've chosen to go after the elderly and disabled rather than admit that the budget was a massive failure.

GasPanic · 24/03/2025 10:31

BIossomtoes · 24/03/2025 09:43

Why was he promising tax cuts then? And why did he implement an unfunded NI cut? He certainly understood actions have consequences when he salted the earth for the incoming government.

Why didn't Labour promise to undo it as part of their manifesto then if it was so bad ?

Part of the reason they are in the position they are in now is because they wouldn't be honest about taxation and spending.

Now they are in a position where a Labour government is cutting services and benefits to the vulnerable because they have to operate within their own election promises.

Labour are effectively operating as a Tory government at the moment.

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 24/03/2025 09:44

Cumberlandsausagedog · 24/03/2025 08:58

looking at government borrowing also perfectly illustrates what an idiot Liz Truss was. Announce crazy policies, the government looks like it’s being run but a nutter, no one wants to let us borrow as they think the UK might go bankrupt, our interest rate soars as we look uncreditworthy. Cheers Liz!

Liz Truss was gone within days.

Rachel Reeves is still wrecking the economy.

BIossomtoes · 24/03/2025 09:43

caringcarer · 24/03/2025 08:56

Pressed too soon. Much as dislike Tory's Hunt was a fat better Chancellor and he did at least have economy on track and understood his actions have consequences.

Why was he promising tax cuts then? And why did he implement an unfunded NI cut? He certainly understood actions have consequences when he salted the earth for the incoming government.

carcassonne1 · 24/03/2025 09:39

It surprises me - UK is definately richer than Venezuela or Greece. It has looted other countries for centuries It has trillions in assets and treasure. Why not sell some of these?

CatsChin · 24/03/2025 09:37

fruitbrewhaha · 24/03/2025 09:04

Stop whining? WTF? It’s not whining to query the tax payments large international corporations make. It’s not unusual for global businesses to use loophole and tax breaks to siphon money off shore. It was a pertinent question.

Last year Amazon paid corporation tax for first time in years. They had tax credits the previous years of over 100% of infrastructure investment, set up by Sunak. I’m sure they could afford to pay more.

And then they would just move their headquarters to another country, and probably stop employing the thousands of people that they employ in the UK.

EasternStandard · 24/03/2025 09:25

caringcarer · 24/03/2025 08:55

And RR keeps on borrowing more money. Last time to give civil servants an above inflation pay rise. It's very scary. S&P have already downgraded UK creditworthiness since RR Autumn budget. She's also lost her headroom cash by increasing taxes on Non Dom's and now many of these wealthy people have moved to other countries where they pay less tax but still massive amounts of tax, RR did not foresee this in her budget planning so thought she'd squeeze them for far more cash but naively thinking they would not move out of GB. Also taxing businesses more in their NI contribution will cause massive job cuts but RR doesn't care about that either, causing both inflation and unemployment to rise. I wish she'd be sacked only I don't know who else Labour have got who understands economics.

Yep borrowing for that wasn’t a good idea. And NI increases are a tax on work which is a bad idea when you really only have growth to get things going. That’s halved now.

Anyway all you can do is see what they’ll do next. A gov that didn’t get the importance of the private sector wasn’t a good idea, but there you go. Reeves it is.