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AIBU?

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Original poster

To think that Reform might overtake the Conservatives at the next GE?

115 replies

Annabella92 · 28/11/2024 19:37

I'm not saying they should. I'm saying I think they might.

Aibu?

OP posts:
Honeycrisp · 28/11/2024 19:46

The people presently leading the way in Reform would have to get a lot better at being a coherent unit than they've historically managed.

MrTwatchester · 28/11/2024 19:46

ChicOP · 28/11/2024 19:40

Reform will tap into Labours ethnic minority vote.

Labour's largest ethnic minority vote is Muslim. Reform would have to do quite the swerve to tap into that.

They're not even a real party, it's just Farage's latest grift. Every few years he rebrands his "movement", and the same cohort of voters falls for it every time, even though he never does any actual work to run either the party, or the districts they win.

alwaysonadiet1 · 28/11/2024 19:46

Yes I think they will because the Conservatives are so split they can't deliver on their promises.

Yellowbananasarebetterthangreen · 28/11/2024 19:43

I doubt it. They didnt do at all well locally to me - despite endless promotion by their local supporters.

And also by that time I presume they will have self imploded/had yet more scandal/drama than they already have had.

cardibach · 28/11/2024 19:43

ChicOP · 28/11/2024 19:40

Reform will tap into Labours ethnic minority vote.

This makes no sense whatsoever.

cardibach · 28/11/2024 19:42

K0OLA1D · 28/11/2024 19:39

I'd say very likely. I counted votes this time and it was pretty close between the Tories and reform

There was 2.7 million votes between them.

Dontrowlmyflavour · 28/11/2024 19:42

Hopefully

EvangelicalAboutButteredToast · 28/11/2024 19:42

No I don’t

ChicOP · 28/11/2024 19:40

Reform will tap into Labours ethnic minority vote.

K0OLA1D · 28/11/2024 19:39

I'd say very likely. I counted votes this time and it was pretty close between the Tories and reform

iwishihadaname · 28/11/2024 19:39

Kentuckycriedfrickin · 28/11/2024 19:38

There's a lot of time between here and there, I think Reform will implode long before then.

i hope so

cardibach · 28/11/2024 19:39

If the Tories don’t get a grip their vote will collapse. Reform’s hasn’t grown for several elections though (look at UKIP v Reform over a few elections).

Kentuckycriedfrickin · 28/11/2024 19:38

There's a lot of time between here and there, I think Reform will implode long before then.

sprigatito · 28/11/2024 19:38

Annabella92 · 28/11/2024 19:37

I'm not saying they should. I'm saying I think they might.

Aibu?

It's possible, yes. I wouldn't say likely, but even the fact that it's plausible should give us all a jolt.

Catza · 28/11/2024 19:38

Who cares. It's in 5 years. We cross that bridge when we come to it.