Please or to access all these features

AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

National insurance - people have short memories

114 replies

MumofCandR · 01/11/2024 09:54

I don't understand the outrage over the national insurance increase in the budget. Only 2 years ago (April 2022) Rishi Sunak increased employee NI to 13.25%, 5.25% higher than it is today - fact. Only in January this year it was 12%, today it sits at 8% - fact. This was a very clever move by the conservatives to pull the wool over everyone's eyes. On the one hand, best case scenario it would increase their vote share as they floundered in popularity (didn't work), worst case they would leave the next government with an impossible hole to fill and the NHS underfunded laying the foundations for privatisation, and setting the conditions for any subsequent government to fail - very, very devious. And people seem to have fallen for this machivelian move, memories are incredibly short. So much consternation over a 1.2% increase for employers? This doesn't even bring NI near to where it started out less than 12 months ago, if businesses are this sensitive to a minor % increase in NI then there's far more to worry about the sustainability and viability of these in the first place, surely - AIBU?

OP posts:
Harvestfestivalknickers · 01/11/2024 12:16

I know I would be happy to pay more tax if I could see my investment paying off on improving economic growth. I want to see the UK as a good place to do business, to attract foreign investment because we have a high skilled, productive workforce utilising excellent modern transport links.
But I just can't see that that happening, rather than increasing productivity I think employers will be cutting hours, cutting investment in training and upskilling. I just don't see growth happening anytime soon.

samarrange · 01/11/2024 12:15

Colourfulduvets · 01/11/2024 10:51

It's not a dopey answer but it is quite a childish one.

Of course no one is advocating for the private sector not to exist that's just a ridiculous thing to say.

There is no perfect answer or route out of the situation the country finds itself in Years of underinvestment in public services and a belief that profit and share holders are king has led us to where we are.

Something had to be done. Maybe all of the new measures are a disaster. Only time will tell.

Genuine politics comes down to discussing where we want to be in the space between "The government should own the pubs" and "A private company should run the army and police". Bad-faith politics consists of claiming that your opponent holds one of those positions.

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:11

@Blondiie yes it was billed as a temporary measure but then got changed to permanent.

Parker231 · 01/11/2024 12:08

Xenia · 01/11/2024 11:43

I think the employer Ni on wages from about 5k to £10k and the 1.2% extra of NI together (for employers who are above the employer NI exemption and those with a nanny where there is no exemption) costs about £1k per employee on minimum wage. if the minimum wage increase is about £1 an hour roughly (it is a bit less) that is about £1800 a year per minimum wage employee so that is about £2800 a year extra. So someone I heard about yesterday has about 800 staff - kind of care business and they probably are mostly on the minimum wage. 800 x 2800 = £2.24m a year extra so presumably that means redundancies. That is quite a high increase.

I would much rather we had many many fewer public services. I have seen a doctor twice in 15 years - I call them my £100,000 NHS appointments for 7 minutes a time and would rather have no NHS or one where people pay at point of use and in return pay half my tax bill.

How would your idea of paying for healthcare services work for those on minimum or low income or those elderly or with health conditions requiring multiple appointments or services?

How would fewer public services work in education, social care, emergency services, unemployment or sickness benefits? All these services need huge investment not less.

Blondiie · 01/11/2024 12:07

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:02

My business could stand this a lot easier if VAT wasn’t 20%

that was meant to be a temporary increase

Really? It’s been temporarily 20% for nearly 14 years now - baring the temp reduction during covid.

SerendipityJane · 01/11/2024 12:05

WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:54

Well those who orchestrated it are definitely not prepared to step up.

So it'll fall to those who didn't actually vote for it.

Great.

Which is what we are seeing.

When the UK get's it's collective head out of it's arse and accepts that maybe - just maybe - there were some upsides to being in the EU, things can start looking up.

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:02

My business could stand this a lot easier if VAT wasn’t 20%

that was meant to be a temporary increase

titbumwillypoo · 01/11/2024 12:02

Xenia, which public services should be gotten rid of then?

Mlanket · 01/11/2024 12:00

Britain can't keep borrowing more and more with no consequence for ever. At some point it will all come crashing down.

It already is but people want someone else to pay.

Wait until nurseries, old people's homes, GPs start shutting in droves.

We have an ageing population so care homes will still exist, likely to be more expensive though so people will have to get used to paying for their care.

Blondiie · 01/11/2024 11:55

It’s a huge burden to put on business, especially business with lots of part time and low paid employees such as supermarkets, retail, hospitality, care, food distribution and production.

It’s on top of the previous burdens of Brexit, covid, Liz Truss, VAT hikes, Putin.

Some businesses will go bust and twats will rub their hands in glee because the business owners might be “Tory” or “have holidays” and nobody deserves to run a business that can’t stand a tripling of raw materials and energy costs, hiked interest rates, extra red tape, increase in wages of 40%, increased interest on borrowing, increased taxes in VAT and NI. The staff will be unemployed.

Some businesses will stay open with pay and recruitment freezes.

Prices in industries dependent on low wages like food and childcare will increase, everything gets more expensive, wages go up across the board. Inflation increases so interest rates are hiked again.

My business could stand this a lot easier if VAT wasn’t 20%. It used to be 8%. If you need an extra £2800 per employee then you need to generate £3500 to cover the cost plus the VAT (at least in hospitality where you claim close to nothing back) and you would have to do that without incurring any addition expenses such as raw materials, increased opening hours, utilities, bank charges eg you would have to do it solely in price rises. It would be doable on its own but it’s not on its own. It’s on top of an absolute avalanche of shit.

WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:54

SerendipityJane · 01/11/2024 11:48

Someone has to pay for Brexit.

Well those who orchestrated it are definitely not prepared to step up.

So it'll fall to those who didn't actually vote for it.

Great.

Beekeepingmum · 01/11/2024 11:54

I am surprised they didn't just unwind Rishi's pre-election lets pretend every things going great unfunded tax reduction. It is all tory gaming with our incomes.

SerendipityJane · 01/11/2024 11:48

Havanananana · 01/11/2024 11:35

@IMustDoMoreExercise "I'm sure you are clever enough to find the cash from somewhere, just as clever as all the entrepreneurs who will be leaving the UK and setting up elsewhere."

All of the clever entrepreneurs who could started leaving the UK in 2016 when the country was conned into voting for Brexit and businesses were cut off from the largest unified market on the planet, cut off from a supply of well-qualified staff, had supply chains disrupted and had higher costs of doing business imposed on them - the complete opposite of what Boris promised.

Someone has to pay for Brexit.

coffeeandteav · 01/11/2024 11:45

Xenia · 01/11/2024 11:43

I think the employer Ni on wages from about 5k to £10k and the 1.2% extra of NI together (for employers who are above the employer NI exemption and those with a nanny where there is no exemption) costs about £1k per employee on minimum wage. if the minimum wage increase is about £1 an hour roughly (it is a bit less) that is about £1800 a year per minimum wage employee so that is about £2800 a year extra. So someone I heard about yesterday has about 800 staff - kind of care business and they probably are mostly on the minimum wage. 800 x 2800 = £2.24m a year extra so presumably that means redundancies. That is quite a high increase.

I would much rather we had many many fewer public services. I have seen a doctor twice in 15 years - I call them my £100,000 NHS appointments for 7 minutes a time and would rather have no NHS or one where people pay at point of use and in return pay half my tax bill.

Crazy society wouldn't work if lots were left vulnerable.

Says it all if you don't want to invest in public services. What about roads, armed force and police. Don't use them either?

Flabbergasted.

WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:44

Colourfulduvets · 01/11/2024 11:27

I know you didn't vote for them.

My question was if they had said they would up income tax would you have voted for them?

It depends what they said they were planning on doing with the increased tax revenue. And it also depends on the constituency I am in doesn't it? Here Labour had no chance so I wasn't going to waste my vote on them. This isn't a gotcha moment.

I don't know how you know I didn't vote for them before I said I hadn't!

I'll say what I've said elsewhere. I own and manage a small business which supports 2 full time workers and two part time. We have been in business for 20 years and have weathered the financial crash, Covid and the aftermath, so we must be doing something right. We are too small for the new measures to affect, however I am able to look at the bigger picture and see that it is bigger than just me. Majority of the burden falling on a minority shouldn't be how it works. Everyone should pay their way to the best of their ability.

The system the UK has fallen into is crazy.

Take prescription charges as a small illustration. Most people pay nothing. A large percentage of prescriptions are dispensed free of charge. If many more people paid a much smaller amount rather than the £9.90 per item that some people have to pay, it would generate more revenue surely. I was in the surgery the other day and a woman was making a fuss that her prescription wasn't ready. It was ibuprofen. She was asked if she paid for her prescriptions. "No" was the answer.

Xenia · 01/11/2024 11:43

I think the employer Ni on wages from about 5k to £10k and the 1.2% extra of NI together (for employers who are above the employer NI exemption and those with a nanny where there is no exemption) costs about £1k per employee on minimum wage. if the minimum wage increase is about £1 an hour roughly (it is a bit less) that is about £1800 a year per minimum wage employee so that is about £2800 a year extra. So someone I heard about yesterday has about 800 staff - kind of care business and they probably are mostly on the minimum wage. 800 x 2800 = £2.24m a year extra so presumably that means redundancies. That is quite a high increase.

I would much rather we had many many fewer public services. I have seen a doctor twice in 15 years - I call them my £100,000 NHS appointments for 7 minutes a time and would rather have no NHS or one where people pay at point of use and in return pay half my tax bill.

Harvestfestivalknickers · 01/11/2024 11:42

I was under the impression the budget was all about facilitating economic growth. I was looking forward to investment in public services and infrastructure - I am happy to pay more tax/NI if I see an improvement in roads/rail etc I find travelling pretty painful going anywhere these days if it's by car or rail. But I didn't see anything that would encourage growth. In fact it seems to have clobbered small business and farmers. Who would want to start a small business these days?

yeaitsmeagain · 01/11/2024 11:38

cout · 01/11/2024 10:09

Who in their right mind would start a business now? Such a shame because small business contribute massively to growth

There's always many reasons not to start a business, there's no perfect time to do it. You do it anyway.

The barriers are actually very low, especially for online businesses. You could start one today for under £500, or less even. There are also various investment opportunities and funding options out there.

But no I wouldn't recommend hiring staff or renting premises from day 1 unless you've done it before and know what you're doing or you have strong investment and a long term plan.

Havanananana · 01/11/2024 11:35

@IMustDoMoreExercise "I'm sure you are clever enough to find the cash from somewhere, just as clever as all the entrepreneurs who will be leaving the UK and setting up elsewhere."

All of the clever entrepreneurs who could started leaving the UK in 2016 when the country was conned into voting for Brexit and businesses were cut off from the largest unified market on the planet, cut off from a supply of well-qualified staff, had supply chains disrupted and had higher costs of doing business imposed on them - the complete opposite of what Boris promised.

Lulubo1 · 01/11/2024 11:31

MumofCandR · 01/11/2024 11:29

Lol. You're missing the point somewhat.

I was correcting your incorrect comment that an employees cost is an employers cost, and that because employees NI was decreased, employers are back where they are and shouldn't complain. What am I missing?

MumofCandR · 01/11/2024 11:29

Lulubo1 · 01/11/2024 11:28

That's not how payroll works, a lot of people don't understand payroll. Employees NI comes out of employees wage. That's why it's gross pay minus PAYE and employees NI equals net pay (take home pay)

Employers NI is ADDED to the gross pay that an employer pays someone. So no, your comment is incorrect. This new increased NI and reducing of threshold is a new cost to the employer. It has absolutely no bearing on employees NI and how it has dropped

Edited

Lol. You're missing the point somewhat.

OP posts:
WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:28

I think the whole system of taxation needs streamlining and making more straightforward and transparent. Abolishing the nonsense that is "national insurance" would be a start.

What are we insuring ourselves against exactly?

MumofCandR · 01/11/2024 11:28

WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:23

It doesn't seem as though you understand.

The point is, though the tax is on paper coming from a certain quarter, in reality it will affect everyone anyway. And the fact that the public sector is exempt, while it may make sense I guess, just looks really really bad.

It would have been far fairer and less damaging to put a percentage point on everyone's tax. But they boxed themselves in with their idiotic manifesto pledges.

How do you think nurseries and care homes (to name just two) are going to cope with this, along with the increase in minimum wage?

So you contradict yourself - if it makes no difference how it's badged it makes no difference right? So are you saying a) There should have been no increase to 'anything' at all whatever the label as some sectors can't cope with any increase (and where is the viability if that's your argument) or b) There should have been an increase in 'something' despite some sectors still being affected. Your argument is completely incoherent.

OP posts:
Lulubo1 · 01/11/2024 11:28

MumofCandR · 01/11/2024 10:10

In the round though, costs to employees are costs to employers and cost to goods and services, whichever way it's cut/presented.

That's not how payroll works, a lot of people don't understand payroll. Employees NI comes out of employees wage. That's why it's gross pay minus PAYE and employees NI equals net pay (take home pay)

Employers NI is ADDED to the gross pay that an employer pays someone. So no, your comment is incorrect. This new increased NI and reducing of threshold is a new cost to the employer. It has absolutely no bearing on employees NI and how it has dropped

Colourfulduvets · 01/11/2024 11:27

WestwardHo1 · 01/11/2024 11:26

I didn't vote for them!

I voted for the LDs who have always been completely honest about the need to put up income tax in order to pay for the public services we need.

I know you didn't vote for them.

My question was if they had said they would up income tax would you have voted for them?