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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Another budget one. Sorry.

307 replies

photodiva · 31/10/2024 09:03

I keep seeing posts about how this budget will be so bad for us all, am I the only one who won't be (personally) directly affected? Or at least, in a negative way?

I get the issues around businesses and NI but I am a civil servant.

I will get a pay rise! Yep, you read that right. I earn NMW so my wages will go up.

And I don't have a 'gold plated ' pension.

I totally get there will be a lot affected but I can't be the only one who benefits can I?

OP posts:
MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:57

Nohugspleaseandthankyou · Today 10:53

I'm curious to see what the people that are unhappy with it would do differently.

Quite. As the Chancellor correctly said, whoever was chancellor, of whatever persuasion, would be having to correct the complete ineptitude of the previous Government. The difference being that Hunt would have favoured tax cuts to the wealthy and a continuation of the running down of public services.

We’re well off. We’ll be paying more taxes, as we should in the circumstances. The poorest have carried the burden for far too long. Time to redress the balance.

twistyizzy · 31/10/2024 10:54

BlackeyedSusan · 31/10/2024 10:50

If a small percentage of private school kids now have to go to state schools, the schools budget has to be spread between more kids.

Precisely because there is no extra money coming in for them into the Treasury.
50,000 leave indy schools = schools budget has to be spread even thinner to fund £375,000,000.

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 31/10/2024 10:54

MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:45

Brananan

It's quite sweet that you believe that this is a growth budget.

My very experienced (40 years) and extremely successful risk manager husband and the IMF are quite sweet, too.

Correction: this country was fucked, prior to the GE.

Oh well, if hubby says so then of course we must defer to his superior opinion.

Nohugspleaseandthankyou · 31/10/2024 10:53

I'm curious to see what the people that are unhappy with it would do differently.

Spirallingdownwards · 31/10/2024 10:53

BlackeyedSusan · 31/10/2024 10:50

If a small percentage of private school kids now have to go to state schools, the schools budget has to be spread between more kids.

You appear to have quoted the wrong person. Unless you too believe the only impact of the budget relates to VAT on private school fees??

LivinInYourBigGlassHouseWithAView · 31/10/2024 10:51

I suspect schools are about to shed even more of the last standing TAs ... which will make them worse for the incredible number of children in mainstream schools who need extra support for a variety of reasons.

Schools will struggle to find the money to pay for the payrises that will need to be made to keep them above minimum wage AND the corresponding NI contributions. Another unfunded mandate.

MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:51

Your expertise is economics, Brananan?

BlackeyedSusan · 31/10/2024 10:50

Spirallingdownwards · 31/10/2024 09:31

Tell me you didn't understand the impact of the budget without telling me you don't understand the impact of the budget!

If a small percentage of private school kids now have to go to state schools, the schools budget has to be spread between more kids.

MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:49

Gosh. Possibly.

Brananan · 31/10/2024 10:48

MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:45

Brananan

It's quite sweet that you believe that this is a growth budget.

My very experienced (40 years) and extremely successful risk manager husband and the IMF are quite sweet, too.

Correction: this country was fucked, prior to the GE.

Gosh. I guess they know something that the OBR don't then.

noblegiraffe · 31/10/2024 10:47

crumblingschools · 31/10/2024 10:44

@noblegiraffe is that in addition to the additional funding they announced for schools yesterday or rolled into that?

In addition to it. We don't know whether it will fully cover the cost of the NI increases yet, the details will be announced in the spring. Colleges and other public sector bodies will also get additional funding for this.

MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:45

Brananan

It's quite sweet that you believe that this is a growth budget.

My very experienced (40 years) and extremely successful risk manager husband and the IMF are quite sweet, too.

Correction: this country was fucked, prior to the GE.

crumblingschools · 31/10/2024 10:44

@noblegiraffe is that in addition to the additional funding they announced for schools yesterday or rolled into that?

Driedonion · 31/10/2024 10:43

Hypermedi · 31/10/2024 09:36

Didn't realise anyone in the civil service earned NMW how awful. Surely the pension isn't worth the shit wage?

It is if your employer is paying 20+% into your pension.
in the private sector it’s as low as 3%

ByQuaintAzureWasp · 31/10/2024 10:42

MeMyCatsAndI · 31/10/2024 09:05

It's not that bad, it's mainly the upper classes getting taxed & those who attend private schools will need to pay more.

Too simplistic a view with no consideration of the overall effect of same

Superworm24 · 31/10/2024 10:39

Where i do sympathise with small businesses, larger ones could make up the shortfall by cutting back on bonuses and the pay of their executives. The cost doesn't have to be pushed on to the consumer. For example, the average FTSE 100 CEO was paid £3.91 million in 2022, and an average FTSE 250 CEO was paid £2.37 million. They've had massive pay rises when most of the country has had an accept stagnant wages.

Brananan · 31/10/2024 10:38

MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:35

senua · Today 09:09

I will get a pay rise!

But your costs will go up even more. Who do you think will pay for the increase in NMW, in National Insurance, in the benefits bill as people get laid off, etc.
This is not a Budget for growth

It absolutely is! The UK has been at the bottom of the league table of investment in infrastructure in Europe for over 50 years. The borrowing to invest will begin to address that and boost growth.
Personally, we’ll have to pay more. No problem with that.

It's quite sweet that you believe that this is a growth budget.

No wonder this country is fucked.

MrsSkylerWhite · 31/10/2024 10:35

senua · Today 09:09

I will get a pay rise!

But your costs will go up even more. Who do you think will pay for the increase in NMW, in National Insurance, in the benefits bill as people get laid off, etc.
This is not a Budget for growth

It absolutely is! The UK has been at the bottom of the league table of investment in infrastructure in Europe for over 50 years. The borrowing to invest will begin to address that and boost growth.
Personally, we’ll have to pay more. No problem with that.

Icanthinkformyselfthanks · 31/10/2024 10:33

295bkq · 31/10/2024 09:19

I can't see that this is actually true. There is a thread from a GP whose practice will be hard hit by NMW/NI increased costs. If lots of GPs close their practices, we will all be hurt.

It seems on the face of it to be OK for most of us. But the way that "rich" people are being hit will hurt us all. And just to be clear - I don't think all those hurt in this budget are actually rich. Farmers might be asset rich, but they aren't cash rich - also there is a thread with an 83yo farmer who is considering killing himself before the IHT on farms comes in, in order that his grandson can take over the farm without a crippling/unpayable IHT bill.

And the private school thing, done to death on here, but if you read contributions, you will see that many people are facing serious consequences over this. I have also read a thread where a state sixth form is deluged with private applicants and it will push out state applicants who otherwise would have got in.

I don't really understand the full impact of DC pensions IHT, but I imagine that people are going to be less keen to build a big pension pot.

It's very dangerous to sit back and say that this stuff doesn't affect me/you/the majority IMO. None of it affects me just to be clear. Not yet. And that's the key.

I think it's one of the sneakiest budgets I've seen. Hurting minorities to please the masses.

@295bkq , it’s an extremely sneaky budget and Ms Reeves is banking on the faithful left falling for the outright lies in the Labour manifesto. She’s managed to spin this as protecting workers when it’s anything but.

noblegiraffe · 31/10/2024 10:33

crumblingschools · 31/10/2024 10:27

More funding for schools, but the highest cost for schools is staffing, usually 70-80% of costs. With NI and NMW increases this will increase their staffing costs, so what do you think the extra funding for education will cover?

Public services including schools are going to be given additional funding to cover the NI increases.

Brananan · 31/10/2024 10:31

I guess how you feel about the budget depends on whether you believe that the vast sums RR is raising will actually help the NHS or schools improve.

I don't believe they will, so to me the budget is ideological and short sighted.

Worldgonecrazy · 31/10/2024 10:28

twistyizzy · 31/10/2024 09:52

Classic socialist policy ie make alcohol cheaper whilst raising taxes that will impact everyone yet pretending they only affect the "wealthy".
I believe Russia did this with vodka....

Given that alcohol misuse is one of the biggest drains on the NHS (both long term health issues and alcohol injury, violence etc.) it would make far more sense to increase the tax on this, especially shop bought drinks.

crumblingschools · 31/10/2024 10:27

More funding for schools, but the highest cost for schools is staffing, usually 70-80% of costs. With NI and NMW increases this will increase their staffing costs, so what do you think the extra funding for education will cover?

Another76543 · 31/10/2024 10:23

For those who think yesterday’s announcement doesn’t affect them, they might want to look a little deeper. How are businesses, faced with a large NIC hike, going to fund this? They are very likely to do this by passing on the cost through price rises, which we all pay for.

The cost of borrowing is also likely to be higher than it otherwise would have been due to decisions taken.

From Times today
“The cost of borrowing touched a near one-year high as the yields on UK government bondsrose again this morning in a sign the market is feeling minor jitters over the budget.
The yield on 20-year gilts rose to 4.85 per cent and for the benchmark ten-year gilt it rose to 4.41 per cent. Yields also rose for two-year bonds, which are more sensitive to the outlook for interest rates, as investors scaled back their bets on the likelihood of Bank of England interest rate cuts.”

inews.co.uk/inews-lifestyle/money/property-and-mortgages/mortgage-rates-likely-to-rise-after-budget-experts-warn-3353970?srsltid=AfmBOoq0M9OeS3uJ04XCW19Nbhbnc_SEQGXoHE-43eUCzMvaSE5k6F09

What are bonds and gilts? The market explained

The reaction of the bond markets to Labour’s first budget will give the first signs of what investors think about Rachel Reeves’s tax and spending plans

https://www.thetimes.com/business-money/economics/article/what-are-gilts-and-bonds-the-market-explained-jf6v7brpv#:~:text=Bonds%20issued%20by%20the%20UK,gilded%20edges%20on%20the%20certificates

Spirallingdownwards · 31/10/2024 10:16

Dutchhouse14 · 31/10/2024 09:47

I think it's a good budget.
I'm an average earner, DH a high earner and we will basically stay the same-zero changes.
I think they probably put the NI increase onto businesses after the tories tried to bribe voters/scupper prospective Labour government by cutting employees NI contributions just before General Election - The country couldn't afford this so they've had to plug that gap the tories left.

As well as not understanding the budget you clearly didn't read the thread either 🤦‍♀️