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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Another budget one. Sorry.

307 replies

photodiva · 31/10/2024 09:03

I keep seeing posts about how this budget will be so bad for us all, am I the only one who won't be (personally) directly affected? Or at least, in a negative way?

I get the issues around businesses and NI but I am a civil servant.

I will get a pay rise! Yep, you read that right. I earn NMW so my wages will go up.

And I don't have a 'gold plated ' pension.

I totally get there will be a lot affected but I can't be the only one who benefits can I?

OP posts:
ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 31/10/2024 10:15

Bonnyrowantree · 31/10/2024 10:13

Omg..seriously?

Sorry, I really fucked up this post.

I don’t agree with the Count yourself lucky comments. I think they are utter madness and completely heartless.

Hoolahoophop · 31/10/2024 10:13

twistyizzy · 31/10/2024 10:04

You obviously have no idea about how farming assets work or care about food security. This WILL result in farms being sold off and not to other farmers as they won't be able to afford to buy them. So they will go to developers. Young farmers won't be able to afford to buy farms so you end generations of knowledge and skill. What happens when all the farms are sold off? Who produces our food?
Don't you understand how environmentally and economically damaging it is to rely on food imports?
Labour obviously don't. It only takes another Ukraine war to show us how precarious we are if we rely on imports.

Farmers are making a lot of noise.

All family business's are being effected similarly. Your favorite local restaurant that has been family run for years, that garage round the corner that Bob took over from his Dad, the bakers and greengrocers, all at risk. Might be taken over by new people and improved, but may not. Profits in SME's in the UK are not massive, they are major employers and do pay a lot of tax. Often family owned and family run. Not enough profits to pay IT so will be sold off or just closed down. Either way, likely to change for good. Another kick for the independent parts of the high street. Its not a disaster, you can replace Roys of Wroxham with a few chain stores....but they will likely be manned by self service rather than actual people, so less jobs about and a little more romance will be stripped from life.

Bonnyrowantree · 31/10/2024 10:13

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 31/10/2024 10:00

The farmer thread is infuriating.

Count yourself lucky you will owe millions in tax. You are rich.

Utter madness.

Omg..seriously?

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 31/10/2024 10:12

twistyizzy · 31/10/2024 10:04

You obviously have no idea about how farming assets work or care about food security. This WILL result in farms being sold off and not to other farmers as they won't be able to afford to buy them. So they will go to developers. Young farmers won't be able to afford to buy farms so you end generations of knowledge and skill. What happens when all the farms are sold off? Who produces our food?
Don't you understand how environmentally and economically damaging it is to rely on food imports?
Labour obviously don't. It only takes another Ukraine war to show us how precarious we are if we rely on imports.

Sorry, you misread me. I suppose I put it unclearly.

I don’t agree with the Count yourself lucky comments.

I think farmers are being fleeced so the land can be used for development.

Citrusandginger · 31/10/2024 10:12

According to a newspaper calculator, I will be 35p a year worse off. As pp have said that's not the whole picture though.

Workwise, it is likely to affect next year's pay rise. The rise in employers NI and minimum wage will need to be funded before pay increases can be considered. On the other hand, we may possibly be able to pick up additional contracts depending on what the NHS changes turn out to be.

Personally, costs will go up and so my bills and weekly shop will increase. I will avoid paying an extra £10 a month fuel duty though, as that has been left alone.

I'm glad to see investment in healthcare and education. It's what I voted for and what I expected to pay for. My main concern is what the detail is going to look like in the workers rights legislation. If it leads to businesses being reluctant to employ new staff, it will be a disaster for growth and employment.

Icanthinkformyselfthanks · 31/10/2024 10:12

MeMyCatsAndI · 31/10/2024 09:05

It's not that bad, it's mainly the upper classes getting taxed & those who attend private schools will need to pay more.

@MeMyCatsAndI , Ms Reeves has stated this morning that the average worker will be £300.00 a year worse off. £100.00 extra to tax your vehicle or bus/train fare rises. Little prospect of pay rises you might otherwise have enjoyed for those not on minimum wage. Higher rents/mortgage payments. Higher prices on everything you buy. I would say £300.00 was (no pun intended) conservative.
Who are these ‘upper classes’ you speak of and how will they be affected?

bombastix · 31/10/2024 10:11

DelicateSoundOfEchos · 31/10/2024 09:58

I'm not directly affected. I expect next year's payrise to be smaller than this year's to offset the increase in NI. But I'd have expected them to decline as inflation falls anyway.

The cost of goods and services may increase, but again it is to be expected. NMW increases every year and the impact to the cost of goods is relatively small.

Every year there are cries of horror about how businesses will lay everyone off and the dole queue will stretch from one end of the country to the other. But it hasn't happened. Even after the massive impact of lockdowns. So I choose not to buy into the hysteria.

I'm not against paying taxes on inherited pensions. I'm not against levying inheritance tax on farming assets, though understand the issue of it could lead to land being sold off.

I don't agree with the speed at which some of the changes are being implemented. Giving a couple of months notice of removing the WFA and then applying VAT to school fees doesn't seem fair, and I think should have applied from next winter and the next school year.

Thank you for this measured response. My guess is that largely the public will back the budget. Lots of Conservatives will be upset. But they literally chose absolutely economically incompetence in the last five years. They gave this to Labour at the last election. I believe most of the country is small c Conservative. However to keep power you can’t elect a bunch of Tufton St fruitcakes. Small c the UK maybe but they want functional public services and low mortgages. If Labour deliver that then they will be fine.

photodiva · 31/10/2024 10:08

senua · 31/10/2024 09:14

am I the only one who won't be (personally) directly affected? Or at least, in a negative way?
Wasn't there something about making the Civil Service more productive.

Good grief, my team, in the (many) years I have been there, has been decimated. Probably 3/4 gone. Obviously they have streamlined the work but I'm not sure how they can reduce it much more.

Fortunately I retire soon so won't be there to see it.

OP posts:
twistyizzy · 31/10/2024 10:04

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 31/10/2024 10:00

The farmer thread is infuriating.

Count yourself lucky you will owe millions in tax. You are rich.

Utter madness.

You obviously have no idea about how farming assets work or care about food security. This WILL result in farms being sold off and not to other farmers as they won't be able to afford to buy them. So they will go to developers. Young farmers won't be able to afford to buy farms so you end generations of knowledge and skill. What happens when all the farms are sold off? Who produces our food?
Don't you understand how environmentally and economically damaging it is to rely on food imports?
Labour obviously don't. It only takes another Ukraine war to show us how precarious we are if we rely on imports.

photodiva · 31/10/2024 10:03

I did say in my original post not directly affected. I do realise all the wider implications, obviously but not even fuel going up.

I do understand how hard some people are having it, my two sons are both struggling, hopefully neither will be too much affected either.

OP posts:
HappyHolidai · 31/10/2024 10:02

Hoolahoophop · 31/10/2024 09:52

I say again, happy to pay if it were actually used wisely. It is not, in any department.

That's just silly! Lots of HMRC spend goes on people answering the phone and administering the system. Another big chunk goes on compliance activities to get in the tax that isn't being paid. Are you really saying that these are pointless activities?

Of course there is inefficiency and not everyone does everything perfectly. But to say that no money is spend sensibly on any department is just being silly for the sake of it.

Restlessinthenorth · 31/10/2024 10:00

There will absolutely be redundancies at my work due to the NI increase. This will not only mean that my job is at risk, but if I manage to keep it I'll have to take on more work. It will also hit the public as we teach the future healthcare workforce. Quality of their education will undoubtedly be impacted by fewer staff, and that will impact the care people recover from nurses in the future. So disastrous all round really

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 31/10/2024 10:00

295bkq · 31/10/2024 09:19

I can't see that this is actually true. There is a thread from a GP whose practice will be hard hit by NMW/NI increased costs. If lots of GPs close their practices, we will all be hurt.

It seems on the face of it to be OK for most of us. But the way that "rich" people are being hit will hurt us all. And just to be clear - I don't think all those hurt in this budget are actually rich. Farmers might be asset rich, but they aren't cash rich - also there is a thread with an 83yo farmer who is considering killing himself before the IHT on farms comes in, in order that his grandson can take over the farm without a crippling/unpayable IHT bill.

And the private school thing, done to death on here, but if you read contributions, you will see that many people are facing serious consequences over this. I have also read a thread where a state sixth form is deluged with private applicants and it will push out state applicants who otherwise would have got in.

I don't really understand the full impact of DC pensions IHT, but I imagine that people are going to be less keen to build a big pension pot.

It's very dangerous to sit back and say that this stuff doesn't affect me/you/the majority IMO. None of it affects me just to be clear. Not yet. And that's the key.

I think it's one of the sneakiest budgets I've seen. Hurting minorities to please the masses.

The farmer thread is infuriating.

Count yourself lucky you will owe millions in tax. You are rich.

Utter madness.

Lincslady53 · 31/10/2024 09:59

She also slipped in social housing rents increasing by more than inflation for the next 5 years. The measures to punish landlords will result in some landlords selling up, resulting in fewer private rentals so the others will increase rents. The FTSE100 has dropped by 2% this week. Bond yields have increased which apparantly will result in interest rate rises. So if you rent or buy your property the costs will go up. The increased cost to business will result in some small businesses closing, some reducing staff numbers, some holding back on wage increases. The easiest way to cover these increased costs is to increase prices, so expect to see price increases across all sectors. She did not increase tax thresholds, so everyone who pays income tax will pay more. At the end of the day, the measures brought is to protect us during covid, lockdown, furlough, bounce back loans and grants, discounts on meals, reductions in business rates all have to be paid for, so the fact you can say that you will be better off as you are getting a pay rise shows that the gov continue to try to pull the wool over our eyes, and in many cases, it works.

Catza · 31/10/2024 09:58

senua · 31/10/2024 09:21

"Today we are setting a 2% productivity, efficiency and savings target for all [Govt] departments to meet next year by using technology more effectively and joining up services across government," said Reeves, in her Budget speech to the House of Commons.
So you could lose your job to a computer. Still happy?

I won't lose my job to a computer but I would bloody love a fully functioning and integrated records system which saves me hours hunting out-of-area patient's GPs, a system that would automatically generate letters with basic patient information filled out so I don't have to spend 10 minutes just copying patient's address, DOB and GP details into a referral form and a system which will scout records to summarise historical information for clinical reports. It would save me hours a week and I can see additional patients in these hours.
I am sure many GPs, clinicians, social workers, teachers and such will very much welcome losing this part of their job to a computer so that they can actually focus on human contact.

DelicateSoundOfEchos · 31/10/2024 09:58

I'm not directly affected. I expect next year's payrise to be smaller than this year's to offset the increase in NI. But I'd have expected them to decline as inflation falls anyway.

The cost of goods and services may increase, but again it is to be expected. NMW increases every year and the impact to the cost of goods is relatively small.

Every year there are cries of horror about how businesses will lay everyone off and the dole queue will stretch from one end of the country to the other. But it hasn't happened. Even after the massive impact of lockdowns. So I choose not to buy into the hysteria.

I'm not against paying taxes on inherited pensions. I'm not against levying inheritance tax on farming assets, though understand the issue of it could lead to land being sold off.

I don't agree with the speed at which some of the changes are being implemented. Giving a couple of months notice of removing the WFA and then applying VAT to school fees doesn't seem fair, and I think should have applied from next winter and the next school year.

northernballer · 31/10/2024 09:58

The thing is, the earners on 150k (which is alot I agree but not rich) will be making sacrifices like letting their cleaners go, no more personal trainers, no new car and such like to pay for their increased tax on things like school fees and the fact wages won't keep up with inflation because of the NI increase.

I don't know what the answer is, but to say it won't affect anyone who isn't a high earner is naive.

EasternStandard · 31/10/2024 09:57

bombastix · 31/10/2024 09:52

I am affected by this budget - but I expected to be. I will be paying more tax. This is not a surprise. I don’t even think it’s a surprise to the majority of the public who before the election thought tax was going to rise. We still got a Labour government.

If it works then the Conservatives will be toast for a decade.

Great about your tax rise but that doesn't change that those lines which Labour relied on so heavily, and you just repeated, being incorrect

jellycat · 31/10/2024 09:57

I think the employer’s NI increases might be an attempt to force Amazon et al to pay more tax on their UK operations (since they manage to pay very little in Corporation Tax by moving their profits elsewhere). They can’t avoid the taxes on employing staff. There is an attempt to mitigate the effect on small businesses by increasing employment allowance from £5,000 to £10,500. However I think it’s inevitable that businesses will pass their increased costs on to their customers, and/or respond by reducing staffing levels. So everyone will be affected by the resultant inflation/rise in unemployment or underemployment.

noblegiraffe · 31/10/2024 09:56

What's the alternative? Schools physically collapsing, councils going bankrupt, more and more people on NHS waiting lists unable to work? That doesn't sound great either.

I'm not sure what people think is actually possible. A budget that attempts to rescue the collapsing public sector and no one paying for it?

jeaux90 · 31/10/2024 09:54

It will impact me. I'm a lone parent who decided to put my DD15 who has AuDHD into the private sector because of the shitshow SEN provision in local state schools.

I'm not wealthy. I can just about afford it. Local state schools are recently inundated with people moving their kids out of private because this has pushed them over the edge.

bombastix · 31/10/2024 09:52

I am affected by this budget - but I expected to be. I will be paying more tax. This is not a surprise. I don’t even think it’s a surprise to the majority of the public who before the election thought tax was going to rise. We still got a Labour government.

If it works then the Conservatives will be toast for a decade.

twistyizzy · 31/10/2024 09:52

Classic socialist policy ie make alcohol cheaper whilst raising taxes that will impact everyone yet pretending they only affect the "wealthy".
I believe Russia did this with vodka....

Hoolahoophop · 31/10/2024 09:52

twistyizzy · 31/10/2024 09:34

But you can set up a direct debit each month to voluntarily pay more tax and you can choose which department the money goes to. If you are happy to pay more tax then the mechanism is there to enable you to do it.

I say again, happy to pay if it were actually used wisely. It is not, in any department.

EasternStandard · 31/10/2024 09:50

Raspberryripple11 · 31/10/2024 09:44

The richest people are the ones who will be most affected by this budget. They’re also the people who own all the media in this country…
I don’t think it’ll affect me at all, and I look forward to the results of increased funding for public services.

Do you work for an employer?