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Nervous/anxious/scared about the Autumn budget 2024

683 replies

Cartwrightandson · 26/10/2024 19:29

I know that we don't know any details. We have read or heard bits that might be incorrect or just plain wrong. I also know we won't know anything until Wednesday when Rachel Reeves publishes/announces the contents of the budget...

But what we do know...it's the first labour budget for over 14 years, we've had a conservative government, austerity, brexit, covid and cost of living/interest rate increase meaning our economy is not in a good place.

Our services/infrastructure haven't had much needed investment for a long time.
Councils are practically bankrupt, some already are. Schools, housing, NHS, social care and economy are all struggling..to remedy this requires money and this will need to come from higher taxes.

There's a 19 billion pound black hole and Labour have already removed the winter fuel allowance, showing they are willing do things that are unpopular or possibly controversial..the Labour manifesto said it wouldn't increase taxes, but now they are saying they have to.

They've already allocated money for Ukraine, teachers, train drivers, junior doctors, NHS staff ect

Keir said people who don't 'work' for their income (shares/savings/landlord income) aren't classed as working people and will be taxed..

Basically this budget is going to need to raise taxes to pay for investment in services. That much we do know. But where the cuts and the tax increase will be is unknown. I don't think anyone will be 'better off'...

Possibilities.. (note these are not absolute, I could be very wrong)

Inheritance tax changes
Fuel duty increase
Income tax increase
Social housing rent increase
Benefit cuts
No free universal prescription for over 60s
Change to tax free allowance
Removal of help to buy, right to buy and alterations to stamp duty
Pension age to increase
State pension to decrease?
Tuition fees to increase
Tax free pension allowance to be reduced
Isa/bond/shares/investments taxed

Who really knows...but I think the labour comms are possibly leaking information so that we are being drip fed so when the budget does happen we already know and are braced/prepared for it.

Or what is being leaked about the budget is really bad but when the budget happens we are relieved it wasn't as bad the leaks hinted at. But it is still painful but we are more accepting because it's not as bad as it could have been...if that makes sense.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
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Clavinova · 30/10/2024 20:09

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 19:31

You know as well as I do that Starmer wasn’t privately educated. We’ve gone over this time and time again and still you keep saying it. I don’t know if you think I have the memory of a goldfish or if you have. Perhaps you do it to provoke because you know it teases.

My memory is perfectly adequate.

Starmer was privately educated with a bursary/scholarship in sixth form - funded by the school/fee-paying parents. Surrey County Council only covered fees up to Year 11. Fee-paying girls were admitted to his school sixth form as well.

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 20:00

Plus if the Guardian can talk about the budget in less than glowing terms the pro Labour on mn will have to read some posts that don't align with their views. That's a public forum for you, I'm sure there are closed FB sites or whatever where it's all Labour.

Brananan · 30/10/2024 19:54

lemonmeringueno3 · 30/10/2024 19:49

All I've heard since 12:30 is about how farming will suffer. Can you explain how?

I know the budget has been frozen since 2014, which seems harsh but cannot be laid entirely at the feet of the current government.

IHT at 20% on property over £1000,000?

What else?

Most farms are worth over 1 million because they own so much land for obvious reasons. When they are passed down to children - because that's how farming works in the main - the children will have to pay IHT on, say, a million pounds if the farm and land is worth 2 million. That would be 400k, which they can only raise by selling land. That land will probably be bought by developers.

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 19:54

Shakeoffyourchains · 30/10/2024 19:51

Talk of the devil. I've no issue with anti-labour sentiment when it's merited, it's just the incessant complaining has gotten really, really tiresome.

We've just had weeks of constant doom and gloom from your lot. Every single day, another thread about how this budget was going to be a catastrophe, cause a mass exodus, immediately destroy the economy and send the UK into a death spiral from which it would never recover.

In the end it wasn't that bad, certainly it hasn't illicited a trussenomics reaction from the markets, but instead of saying "oops we've got that one wrong", the gloom squad have instead become farming and estate planning experts (in under an hour) and are immediately back complaining again.

Take a day off.

I can post as I wish thanks.

And since the budget was today it's a bit pointless to wait for a few days when the threads are over. You can if you want if it means that much to you.

Shakeoffyourchains · 30/10/2024 19:51

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 19:04

We can't have anything not pro Labour on mn, terrible stuff.

Talk of the devil. I've no issue with anti-labour sentiment when it's merited, it's just the incessant complaining has gotten really, really tiresome.

We've just had weeks of constant doom and gloom from your lot. Every single day, another thread about how this budget was going to be a catastrophe, cause a mass exodus, immediately destroy the economy and send the UK into a death spiral from which it would never recover.

In the end it wasn't that bad, certainly it hasn't illicited a trussenomics reaction from the markets, but instead of saying "oops we've got that one wrong", the gloom squad have instead become farming and estate planning experts (in under an hour) and are immediately back complaining again.

Take a day off.

lemonmeringueno3 · 30/10/2024 19:49

Brananan · 30/10/2024 19:31

I live in the countryside and think the repercussions for farming are actually quite scary.

Who knew the Labour government would sell us out to the building companies.

All I've heard since 12:30 is about how farming will suffer. Can you explain how?

I know the budget has been frozen since 2014, which seems harsh but cannot be laid entirely at the feet of the current government.

IHT at 20% on property over £1000,000?

What else?

Brananan · 30/10/2024 19:37

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 19:31

You know as well as I do that Starmer wasn’t privately educated. We’ve gone over this time and time again and still you keep saying it. I don’t know if you think I have the memory of a goldfish or if you have. Perhaps you do it to provoke because you know it teases.

Well i guess he technically was - or at least he went to a private school, even if it was originally a grammar.

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 30/10/2024 19:35

IVFmumoftwo · 30/10/2024 18:10

A much better term than some private parents have used to describe state kids.

On here?

Can you link to that please?

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 19:31

Clavinova · 30/10/2024 19:27

Louise Haigh, Anneliese Dodds, Keir Starmer and John Healey attended private secondary schools and/or private sixth forms, Hilary Benn and Lisa Nandy attended private prep schools and David Lammy's state boarding school fees were funded by an ILEA scholarship.

You know as well as I do that Starmer wasn’t privately educated. We’ve gone over this time and time again and still you keep saying it. I don’t know if you think I have the memory of a goldfish or if you have. Perhaps you do it to provoke because you know it teases.

Brananan · 30/10/2024 19:31

I live in the countryside and think the repercussions for farming are actually quite scary.

Who knew the Labour government would sell us out to the building companies.

StatisticallyChallenged · 30/10/2024 19:30

For small businesses this will bite hard. It's not 1.2% on NI, it's 1.2% plus £615 for every staff member (the threshold drop is big) so for all but the very smallest this will have quite a noticeable impact

It will be especially bad for industries where staff are the majority of costs. Between that, min wage plus the changes to ssp etc I'd fully expect to see nursery fees jump another chunk for example

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 19:28

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 19:21

Because I’m a Labour voter and you said yourself I’m apparently the only kind of poster who’s welcome.

That's nice. Enjoy

Clavinova · 30/10/2024 19:27

BIossomtoes · 29/10/2024 23:16

None of the current cabinet were privately educated and this government is bringing in legislation to prevent MPs having second jobs.

Louise Haigh, Anneliese Dodds, Keir Starmer and John Healey attended private secondary schools and/or private sixth forms, Hilary Benn and Lisa Nandy attended private prep schools and David Lammy's state boarding school fees were funded by an ILEA scholarship.

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 19:21

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 19:12

Tbf I often wonder that about your posts quoting mine on every thread.

Because I’m a Labour voter and you said yourself I’m apparently the only kind of poster who’s welcome.

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 19:12

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 19:07

How come you’re here then?

Tbf I often wonder that about your posts quoting mine on every thread.

Shakeoffyourchains · 30/10/2024 19:11

GhosterPoster · 30/10/2024 18:40

Where’s the free choice for higher earners not to pay for lower earners? For council tax discount, for UC, for free school meals, for childcare contributions?

There’s no free choice in the UK, you are correct in that regard.

If that's the way you feel you could start a campaign about it.

I'm not sure many of us would object to this providing you followed through with your opt out completely and pledged never to use any infrastructure or services that benefits from government spending.

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 19:07

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 19:04

We can't have anything not pro Labour on mn, terrible stuff.

How come you’re here then?

EasternStandard · 30/10/2024 19:04

Shakeoffyourchains · 30/10/2024 19:02

No matter what Reeves announced today the tories were going to criticise it, and as sure as night follows day, the Tory prophets of doom arrive to parrot the latest HQ attack lines.

On a related note, isn't it astounding how all the six-figure earning, inheritance tax paying, private school using posters have suddenly been replaced by small business owning farmers in the last 6 hours or so?

We can't have anything not pro Labour on mn, terrible stuff.

Shakeoffyourchains · 30/10/2024 19:02

No matter what Reeves announced today the tories were going to criticise it, and as sure as night follows day, the Tory prophets of doom arrive to parrot the latest HQ attack lines.

On a related note, isn't it astounding how all the six-figure earning, inheritance tax paying, private school using posters have suddenly been replaced by small business owning farmers in the last 6 hours or so?

IVFmumoftwo · 30/10/2024 18:59

GhosterPoster · 30/10/2024 18:40

Where’s the free choice for higher earners not to pay for lower earners? For council tax discount, for UC, for free school meals, for childcare contributions?

There’s no free choice in the UK, you are correct in that regard.

The likes of Joseph Rowntree and Zachariah Pearson were happy to give their wealth to do this but it seems many now are very selfish. It isn't the fault of the children if that hot meal is the only one they get. A slightly embarrassing attitude to have I think. Don't you?

Ginmonkeyagain · 30/10/2024 18:50

@GhosterPoster many farming families, including mine, rent.

MrsMurphyIWish · 30/10/2024 18:48

GhosterPoster · 30/10/2024 18:40

Where’s the free choice for higher earners not to pay for lower earners? For council tax discount, for UC, for free school meals, for childcare contributions?

There’s no free choice in the UK, you are correct in that regard.

@GhosterPoster I think the poster meant that in the UK democratic society we all pay for basic services through taxes. Nothing is free for anyone - even the homeless will pay tax on their alcohol unless stolen (if we’re buying into stereotypes). Higher wages gives opportunities, that’s where the choice comes in.

GhosterPoster · 30/10/2024 18:40

MidnightMeltdown · 30/10/2024 18:36

Where's the 'free choice' for people on lower incomes?

People can still send their kids to private school, they simply have to pay more for it. Maybe they're not working hard enough if they can't afford it, eh? That's what the lower earners are always told anyway.

Where’s the free choice for higher earners not to pay for lower earners? For council tax discount, for UC, for free school meals, for childcare contributions?

There’s no free choice in the UK, you are correct in that regard.

MidnightMeltdown · 30/10/2024 18:36

Missymoo100 · 30/10/2024 17:56

It's the Labour Party!
They are fundamentally opposed to private education and private health care.
Why is that so hard to understand?
It's not about envy, it's about equality.
Both my kids went through the state system in a roughish area and both did really well.

  • yes I do understand, My kids also go to state school too and I’m sure they will do well, as do many others- but I don’t begrudge others trying to what they think best for their children. It should be their choice. If equality means less free choice then I don’t think it’s a good target to be honest.

Where's the 'free choice' for people on lower incomes?

People can still send their kids to private school, they simply have to pay more for it. Maybe they're not working hard enough if they can't afford it, eh? That's what the lower earners are always told anyway.

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