Please or to access all these features

AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Nervous/anxious/scared about the Autumn budget 2024

683 replies

Cartwrightandson · 26/10/2024 19:29

I know that we don't know any details. We have read or heard bits that might be incorrect or just plain wrong. I also know we won't know anything until Wednesday when Rachel Reeves publishes/announces the contents of the budget...

But what we do know...it's the first labour budget for over 14 years, we've had a conservative government, austerity, brexit, covid and cost of living/interest rate increase meaning our economy is not in a good place.

Our services/infrastructure haven't had much needed investment for a long time.
Councils are practically bankrupt, some already are. Schools, housing, NHS, social care and economy are all struggling..to remedy this requires money and this will need to come from higher taxes.

There's a 19 billion pound black hole and Labour have already removed the winter fuel allowance, showing they are willing do things that are unpopular or possibly controversial..the Labour manifesto said it wouldn't increase taxes, but now they are saying they have to.

They've already allocated money for Ukraine, teachers, train drivers, junior doctors, NHS staff ect

Keir said people who don't 'work' for their income (shares/savings/landlord income) aren't classed as working people and will be taxed..

Basically this budget is going to need to raise taxes to pay for investment in services. That much we do know. But where the cuts and the tax increase will be is unknown. I don't think anyone will be 'better off'...

Possibilities.. (note these are not absolute, I could be very wrong)

Inheritance tax changes
Fuel duty increase
Income tax increase
Social housing rent increase
Benefit cuts
No free universal prescription for over 60s
Change to tax free allowance
Removal of help to buy, right to buy and alterations to stamp duty
Pension age to increase
State pension to decrease?
Tuition fees to increase
Tax free pension allowance to be reduced
Isa/bond/shares/investments taxed

Who really knows...but I think the labour comms are possibly leaking information so that we are being drip fed so when the budget does happen we already know and are braced/prepared for it.

Or what is being leaked about the budget is really bad but when the budget happens we are relieved it wasn't as bad the leaks hinted at. But it is still painful but we are more accepting because it's not as bad as it could have been...if that makes sense.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
7
PandoraSox · 31/10/2024 09:15

EverythingAllatOnceAllTheTime · 31/10/2024 07:37

A significant number of SMEs will go to the wall - no doubt.

A combination of NI and the increase in the minimum wage.

I thought she'd allowed some mitigations for small businesses?

from the budget document:

To support small businesses with these (NICs) changes, the government is increasing the Employment Allowance from £5,000 to £10,500 and removing the £100,000 threshold, expanding this to all eligible employers. This means that 865,000 employers will pay no NICs next year.

Xenia · 31/10/2024 09:09

Won't help larger nurseries but the exemption from employer NI limits have increased (although the only group of people to which that does not apply is a mother having to pay for full time childcare at home as they don't get the exemption)".Reeves increased the employment allowance from £5,000 to £10,500, meaning 865,000 businesses will not pay any NI at all next year, with another one million paying the same or less as they did previously." When I employed 2 sons under PAYE I was surprised to see that allowance meant I had no employer NI to pay at all due to the allowance and yet when I employed childcare I had to pay employer NI. I do think Reeves should extend the allowance to full time working parents who need to employ childcare but I don't think that would comply with her political views and she would probably say - use a childminder (even if a young doctor could not rely on that for 50 hours a week of regular childcare given shifts etc)

lemonmeringueno3 · 31/10/2024 08:13

Brananan · 31/10/2024 07:49

It's definitely not preferable to a raise in income tax.

It's just underlined RRs weird ideological schemes, when a rise in income tax would have meant less divisiveness.

I guess we will have to wait and see what the impact is.

People I've spoken to, people I've seen being interviewed on tv and on sm, seem relieved.

It's not possible to raise money without hurting anybody.

EasternStandard · 31/10/2024 07:58

Errors · 31/10/2024 07:20

So much this! It’s a budget to make everyone breathe a sigh of relief and to think “well, Labour aren’t so bad? I mean… they’re not raising taxes are they?”
But as someone astutely pointed out upthread, the rise in NI to be paid by employers (along with min wage rises) will absolutely be passed on to the consumer. Look forward to keeping roughly the same amount of money in your pockets but for the cost of living to increase for everyone.

That poster made a good point about how businesses whose staffing costs are a big proportion of their expenses such as nurseries… their fees will have to increase to cover it. Childcare is already too expensive as it is!

Now don’t get me wrong, I don’t have any skin in this game as such. I don’t use childcare anymore and I have a lot of disposable income (by choice, I earn very well but live well within my means) but people are being naive if they think they won’t be affected by this.

I agree on nurseries, it’ll be tough. I’m not at that stage anymore but cc fees can be prohibitive already for many

Brananan · 31/10/2024 07:49

It's definitely not preferable to a raise in income tax.

It's just underlined RRs weird ideological schemes, when a rise in income tax would have meant less divisiveness.

lemonmeringueno3 · 31/10/2024 07:43

The money had to come from somewhere.

Businesses took the brunt of it. Smaller businesses already struggling may be pushed over the edge. Still preferable to a rise in income tax, NI or VAT imo.

Nobody is daft enough to think that they won't be affected. Profits will take a hit to keep customers. Prices might ultimately rise.

EverythingAllatOnceAllTheTime · 31/10/2024 07:37

A significant number of SMEs will go to the wall - no doubt.

A combination of NI and the increase in the minimum wage.

Errors · 31/10/2024 07:20

Wn38475 · 31/10/2024 01:41

That’s the critical point. Nothing for most of us to worry about. Nothing in the budget hurts me. So people think it’s ok.

It’s because certain people have been disproportionately hit. I am astonished that as a society, we think this is ok and that nobody is going to stand up for those hit, as they are considered rich or whatever.

Businesses - including GP surgeries - are going to bear the brunt of this. We can sit around thinking it won’t affect us. There’s a poster on here tonight talking about shutting her GP practice because of the budget. What if that is your GP?

Logically, given that Reeves needs mega money for spending, she needs to raise mega money. Does it really make logical sense that it can all be magicked up without hurting most of us? It doesn’t.

So much this! It’s a budget to make everyone breathe a sigh of relief and to think “well, Labour aren’t so bad? I mean… they’re not raising taxes are they?”
But as someone astutely pointed out upthread, the rise in NI to be paid by employers (along with min wage rises) will absolutely be passed on to the consumer. Look forward to keeping roughly the same amount of money in your pockets but for the cost of living to increase for everyone.

That poster made a good point about how businesses whose staffing costs are a big proportion of their expenses such as nurseries… their fees will have to increase to cover it. Childcare is already too expensive as it is!

Now don’t get me wrong, I don’t have any skin in this game as such. I don’t use childcare anymore and I have a lot of disposable income (by choice, I earn very well but live well within my means) but people are being naive if they think they won’t be affected by this.

EverythingAllatOnceAllTheTime · 31/10/2024 06:29

That budget gives many of us breathing space to reduce our liability before the next one hits.

For the moment I will ‘take the win’.

Neurodiversitydoctor · 31/10/2024 06:20

Brananan · 30/10/2024 19:31

I live in the countryside and think the repercussions for farming are actually quite scary.

Who knew the Labour government would sell us out to the building companies.

The labour government made no secret that they want more houses built- this should surprise no one.

lemonmeringueno3 · 31/10/2024 03:35

"Landed families? Wtf are you talking about?"

Eh? A perfectly correct term to use. Try google before showing yourself up.

Wn38475 · 31/10/2024 01:41

LBFseBrom · 31/10/2024 00:01

All done now, not so bad, certainly nothing for most of us to worry about.

That’s the critical point. Nothing for most of us to worry about. Nothing in the budget hurts me. So people think it’s ok.

It’s because certain people have been disproportionately hit. I am astonished that as a society, we think this is ok and that nobody is going to stand up for those hit, as they are considered rich or whatever.

Businesses - including GP surgeries - are going to bear the brunt of this. We can sit around thinking it won’t affect us. There’s a poster on here tonight talking about shutting her GP practice because of the budget. What if that is your GP?

Logically, given that Reeves needs mega money for spending, she needs to raise mega money. Does it really make logical sense that it can all be magicked up without hurting most of us? It doesn’t.

LBFseBrom · 31/10/2024 00:01

All done now, not so bad, certainly nothing for most of us to worry about.

MrsSkylerWhite · 30/10/2024 22:20

Pumpkittenspice · Today 16:16

BIossomtoes · Today 14:58
Good budget, Sunak’s rage was a fair indication of just how good.

I thought this too!

Oh yes. Hunt looked alarmingly more swivel eyed than usual, too.

Clavinova · 30/10/2024 21:35

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 21:26

It is nonsense and that will be the response every time you trot it out.

Well, I'm not backing down. Grin

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 21:26

It is nonsense and that will be the response every time you trot it out.

Clavinova · 30/10/2024 21:06

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 20:37

Then if your memory is perfectly adequate, why do you keep posting this nonsense over and over again. You really are better than this.

It's not nonsense:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/01/28/exclusive-hypocrite-keir-starmer-benefited-private-school-charity/
https://www.yahoo.com/news/headmaster-keir-starmer-old-school-135906857.html

You are the one posting nonsense - you said;

"None of the current cabinet were privately educated" -

Louise Haigh, Anneliese Dodds, Keir Starmer, John Healey, Hilary Benn and Lisa Nandy all attended private schools for at least part of their education - plus David Lammy's state boarding fees were paid by an ILEA choral scholarship fund.

Brananan · 30/10/2024 21:03

lemonmeringueno3 · 30/10/2024 20:32

"Most farms are worth over 1 million because they own so much land for obvious reasons. When they are passed down to children - because that's how farming works in the main - the children will have to pay IHT on, say, a million pounds if the farm and land is worth 2 million. That would be 400k, which they can only raise by selling land. That land will probably be bought by developers."

The landed families I know all use trusts to get around that. Or is that loophole being plugged too?

Landed families? Wtf are you talking about?

Brananan · 30/10/2024 21:02

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 20:34

For two years. Jesus.

Oh, I see. Going private for 6th form is fine is it?

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 20:37

Clavinova · 30/10/2024 20:09

My memory is perfectly adequate.

Starmer was privately educated with a bursary/scholarship in sixth form - funded by the school/fee-paying parents. Surrey County Council only covered fees up to Year 11. Fee-paying girls were admitted to his school sixth form as well.

Then if your memory is perfectly adequate, why do you keep posting this nonsense over and over again. You really are better than this.

BIossomtoes · 30/10/2024 20:34

Brananan · 30/10/2024 19:37

Well i guess he technically was - or at least he went to a private school, even if it was originally a grammar.

For two years. Jesus.

lemonmeringueno3 · 30/10/2024 20:32

"Most farms are worth over 1 million because they own so much land for obvious reasons. When they are passed down to children - because that's how farming works in the main - the children will have to pay IHT on, say, a million pounds if the farm and land is worth 2 million. That would be 400k, which they can only raise by selling land. That land will probably be bought by developers."

The landed families I know all use trusts to get around that. Or is that loophole being plugged too?

lemonmeringueno3 · 30/10/2024 20:30

I don't understand the fixation on where people went to school. Two of mine went to private school and had no say in it whatsoever - it was my choice. Who cares where any of them were sent to school? Plenty of shit MPs that were from 'ordinary' families. Plenty of shit MPs that were from landed gentry. And vice versa too I suppose.

devilsadvocate77 · 30/10/2024 20:15

IVFmumoftwo · 30/10/2024 18:09

What an idiot. If you can buy two houses you can afford the fees.

Edited

So, if choice is no longer 'allowed'. Should we then perhaps:

  • ban the ability to buy our own houses - perhaps it should all be state owned accommodation - unfair some can afford to buy their own homes.
  • ban private healthcare - it's unfair that some people can afford it (and no VAT on it).
  • ban holidays abroad unless state approved - as it's unfair some people can afford the luxury of going long haul and on all inclusive (perhaps an extra tax on foreign holidays - as it's a 'luxury').

The reality is that most countries have NOT opted to tax education, even those countries that in the past have been staunch socialist.

The freedom that comes from choice is what made Britain the country it is - multicultural (aspirational), industrious, innovative - a place where people want to come to make their dreams come true.

Stickinthemuddle · 30/10/2024 20:14

Starmer passed the 11-plus examination and gained entry to Reigate Grammar School, then a voluntary-aided selective grammar school.[1][10] Reigate GS converted into an independent fee-paying school in 1976, while he was a student. The terms of the conversion were such that his parents were not required to pay for his schooling until he turned 16, and when he reached that point, the school, now a charity, awarded him a bursary that allowed him to complete his education there without any parental contribution.

(Wikipedia)

Voluntary aided school - Wikipedia

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voluntary-aided

Swipe left for the next trending thread