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Nervous/anxious/scared about the Autumn budget 2024

683 replies

Cartwrightandson · 26/10/2024 19:29

I know that we don't know any details. We have read or heard bits that might be incorrect or just plain wrong. I also know we won't know anything until Wednesday when Rachel Reeves publishes/announces the contents of the budget...

But what we do know...it's the first labour budget for over 14 years, we've had a conservative government, austerity, brexit, covid and cost of living/interest rate increase meaning our economy is not in a good place.

Our services/infrastructure haven't had much needed investment for a long time.
Councils are practically bankrupt, some already are. Schools, housing, NHS, social care and economy are all struggling..to remedy this requires money and this will need to come from higher taxes.

There's a 19 billion pound black hole and Labour have already removed the winter fuel allowance, showing they are willing do things that are unpopular or possibly controversial..the Labour manifesto said it wouldn't increase taxes, but now they are saying they have to.

They've already allocated money for Ukraine, teachers, train drivers, junior doctors, NHS staff ect

Keir said people who don't 'work' for their income (shares/savings/landlord income) aren't classed as working people and will be taxed..

Basically this budget is going to need to raise taxes to pay for investment in services. That much we do know. But where the cuts and the tax increase will be is unknown. I don't think anyone will be 'better off'...

Possibilities.. (note these are not absolute, I could be very wrong)

Inheritance tax changes
Fuel duty increase
Income tax increase
Social housing rent increase
Benefit cuts
No free universal prescription for over 60s
Change to tax free allowance
Removal of help to buy, right to buy and alterations to stamp duty
Pension age to increase
State pension to decrease?
Tuition fees to increase
Tax free pension allowance to be reduced
Isa/bond/shares/investments taxed

Who really knows...but I think the labour comms are possibly leaking information so that we are being drip fed so when the budget does happen we already know and are braced/prepared for it.

Or what is being leaked about the budget is really bad but when the budget happens we are relieved it wasn't as bad the leaks hinted at. But it is still painful but we are more accepting because it's not as bad as it could have been...if that makes sense.

OP posts:
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Singinginthespring · 28/10/2024 17:29

Incredible lack of understanding of tax and spending according to a recent survey.

Many, many people just have no understanding at all.

taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/10/26/the-publics-surprising-choice-of-tax-increase-and-why-we-should-ignore-it/

A survey showed people thought MPs expenses cost the state more than pensions. They thought immigration cost more than pensions too! Pensions = £141bn a year, immigration = £3bn. MPs cost £100m. Is this what too much Daily Mail does? Mushes brains? 40% of taxpayers thought when you reach the 40% higher rate of tax, ALL of your income is taxed at that rate. Of course it isn’t! The first £12,500 is tax free, the next to £50k is 20% and any income that you make over £50k is taxed at 40%.

This leads me to think there must be a lot of people out there who are petrified that they’ll lose loads if their income hits the higher rate. When it doesn’t. Chill guys. Chill.

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 28/10/2024 17:29

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:18

Well to be honest they can.

I see plenty of beamers and audis on the roads. People don't need those. They don't need foreign holidays and skiing, they don't need horses and they don't need 5 TV subscriptions or football season tickets either.

There is plenty of scope for taxing people in the UK more. What there probably isn't much scope for is taxing them more without impacting their comfortable lifestyles.

Who the fuck are you to tell people what they can and cannot spend their money on?

Stalin in disguise?

I’m working every hour God sends. I will spend it on what pleases me. I’ll feed caviar to my ponies while I drive them to a horse spa in my Range Rover while the dog rides separately in the Porsche. Well, not quite but you get the idea.

And WTF is a “beamer”?

ByQuaintAzureWasp · 28/10/2024 17:28

AlbionLass · 28/10/2024 09:43

One of the least satisfactory aspects of all this is the way Rachel Reeves and her colleagues seem to be enjoying all this. They are gloating.

I’ve worked hard to overcome the trauma of a challenging childhood with an alcoholic father. The engine that has driven me is the determination to ensure my children are protected and not exposed to the horrors I was. I’m no fat cat, I’ve worked incredibly hard. All we have we have earned. The prospect that a Labour government can change the rules at the end of the game and tarnish all of what I have done in my life makes me feel resentful and anxious.

Unfortunately, labour is not the party for workers. It is for scroungers, who don't want to work and won't work.

lifeturnsonadime · 28/10/2024 17:23

BIossomtoes · 28/10/2024 17:16

He’s a lot better at it than Johnson was.

No doubt.

But it's still disappointing and we are allowed to say so.

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:22

Wellingtonspie · 28/10/2024 17:21

But the people that already don’t have those things can’t cut back even more.

But are still affected by the increase. Those people cannot afford to pay more tax.

Not when you hit the higher tax bands and pensions payments.

lifeturnsonadime · 28/10/2024 17:22

dollopofsauce · 28/10/2024 17:16

@lifeturnsonadime no I'm not saying that. I'm aware that it's legal and that those many getting dividends are working. But closing these legal loopholes is something that has been discussed for years. Why can't those working people be taxed in the same way as all the other working people? If a small business owner earns over the basic or higher tax threshold, how is it fair that they can reduce that burden by taking some of their income in dividends?
If I worked full time I'd be into the higher tax band. I'm PAYE so I have to pay tax.
Someone earning on paper the same yearly salary could push themselves back down into the basic rate by paying dividends.
Why should their tax burden be lower than mine?

I haven't got a personal objection with the tax as such, it's the use of the term 'working people' prior to the election and the fact that it is now being used in a different way.

Changing the meaning of everyday words isn't a good look. He ought to have had the courage of his convictions prior to the election to explain his intentions with taxation.

Instead people will feel mislead, and rightly so.

Wellingtonspie · 28/10/2024 17:21

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:18

Well to be honest they can.

I see plenty of beamers and audis on the roads. People don't need those. They don't need foreign holidays and skiing, they don't need horses and they don't need 5 TV subscriptions or football season tickets either.

There is plenty of scope for taxing people in the UK more. What there probably isn't much scope for is taxing them more without impacting their comfortable lifestyles.

But the people that already don’t have those things can’t cut back even more.

But are still affected by the increase. Those people cannot afford to pay more tax.

icelolly12 · 28/10/2024 17:20

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:18

Well to be honest they can.

I see plenty of beamers and audis on the roads. People don't need those. They don't need foreign holidays and skiing, they don't need horses and they don't need 5 TV subscriptions or football season tickets either.

There is plenty of scope for taxing people in the UK more. What there probably isn't much scope for is taxing them more without impacting their comfortable lifestyles.

The average Joe isn't off skiing, doesn't have a Merc or own a horse. 🙄

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:18

Wellingtonspie · 28/10/2024 17:14

Social care is a big issue isn’t it. Thats a huge bill.

But how do you “fix” it. Same as the few SEN children who have to as it’s the only place they can attended are basically private boarding or non boarding schools fully funded. It’s huge costs.

But these things are needed. But people can’t just be taxed and taxed and taxed higher and higher because what happens when they can no longer afford anything. Taxes up, food up, rent up, energy up, costs of getting to work up. Everything but wages going up.

Well to be honest they can.

I see plenty of beamers and audis on the roads. People don't need those. They don't need foreign holidays and skiing, they don't need horses and they don't need 5 TV subscriptions or football season tickets either.

There is plenty of scope for taxing people in the UK more. What there probably isn't much scope for is taxing them more without impacting their comfortable lifestyles.

KnittedCardi · 28/10/2024 17:17

NHS England is developing a 10 year NHS plan. You can even contribute your views if you wish

Another one? There is already one. And a digital plan and a mental health plan. The trouble is the plans always come up with the same conclusions which never get implemented.

Ginmonkeyagain · 28/10/2024 17:16

If it was me I wouldn't of promised not to tax income any more, but here we are.

BIossomtoes · 28/10/2024 17:16

lifeturnsonadime · 28/10/2024 17:15

He just doesn't seem terribly good with telling the truth, which is not a good look for a prime minister imo.

He’s a lot better at it than Johnson was.

PandoraSox · 28/10/2024 17:16

EvangelicalAboutButteredToast · 28/10/2024 17:13

Time is going to tell on whether the leaked stories are disinformation. Let’s come back to this post budget.

Obviously some are probably true, like CGT and IHT changes and continued freeze on thresholds, but others are just scaremongering, like the council tax discount one. VAT on children's clothes also seems unlikely.

Eta: @Cartwrightandson never bothered to come back to their thread, so that is a bit 🧐

dollopofsauce · 28/10/2024 17:16

@lifeturnsonadime no I'm not saying that. I'm aware that it's legal and that those many getting dividends are working. But closing these legal loopholes is something that has been discussed for years. Why can't those working people be taxed in the same way as all the other working people? If a small business owner earns over the basic or higher tax threshold, how is it fair that they can reduce that burden by taking some of their income in dividends?
If I worked full time I'd be into the higher tax band. I'm PAYE so I have to pay tax.
Someone earning on paper the same yearly salary could push themselves back down into the basic rate by paying dividends.
Why should their tax burden be lower than mine?

lifeturnsonadime · 28/10/2024 17:15

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:14

Well it's because he's tying himself in knots.

He doesn't want to appear unpopular by saying he is taxing "working people" because most people identify "working people" with the working poor, the very subsection of society that Labour should be protecting.

But working people are literally the only people who you can tax to raise the amounts necessary to make a meaningful difference to the nations finances.

And whether they are on 20K or 200K, paying dividends or taking their whole salary as PAYE they are still "working people".

So he's got himself basically into a right mess.

He just doesn't seem terribly good with telling the truth, which is not a good look for a prime minister imo.

Wellingtonspie · 28/10/2024 17:14

Social care is a big issue isn’t it. Thats a huge bill.

But how do you “fix” it. Same as the few SEN children who have to as it’s the only place they can attended are basically private boarding or non boarding schools fully funded. It’s huge costs.

But these things are needed. But people can’t just be taxed and taxed and taxed higher and higher because what happens when they can no longer afford anything. Taxes up, food up, rent up, energy up, costs of getting to work up. Everything but wages going up.

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:14

lifeturnsonadime · 28/10/2024 17:09

It's perfectly legal to be a shareholder in a company.

My objection is the use of the phrase 'working people'. Lots of people work very hard and are shareholders, many companies give shares to reward long service.

Using the phrase 'working people' in the way Starmer did to avoid explaining exactly who would be impacted by tax increases prior to the election ,was trying to be clever / mince words. Or do you think that he is right that those who receive dividends, for what ever reason, are not really working people?

As I said up thread he's getting a bit of a track record for not knowing the meaning of commonly used words, another example is woman.

Well it's because he's tying himself in knots.

He doesn't want to appear unpopular by saying he is taxing "working people" because most people identify "working people" with the working poor, the very subsection of society that Labour should be protecting.

But working people are literally the only people who you can tax to raise the amounts necessary to make a meaningful difference to the nations finances.

And whether they are on 20K or 200K, paying dividends or taking their whole salary as PAYE they are still "working people".

So he's got himself basically into a right mess.

EvangelicalAboutButteredToast · 28/10/2024 17:13

PandoraSox · 28/10/2024 16:51

Are you not concerned about the effect of disinformation being posted? Disinformation which scares people?

Time is going to tell on whether the leaked stories are disinformation. Let’s come back to this post budget.

icelolly12 · 28/10/2024 17:13

BIossomtoes · 28/10/2024 17:08

They never had most pensioners’ votes and they certainly haven’t lost mine, it would take A LOT more than £150 to do that.

There's a lot of anger amongst pensioners, particularly those who've voted Labour for years- (who also are usually low income) this is seen as a big betrayal and won't be forgotten.

coffeeandteav · 28/10/2024 17:12

@JaneEyreLaughing you are literally having a laugh. Far left indeed. Hilarious!

Feelingleftoutagain · 28/10/2024 17:11

Google MPs expenses its all there

Chunka · 28/10/2024 17:10

MidnightPatrol · 28/10/2024 13:16

I think for your average person, the biggest impact will be an increase in employers NI contributions.

Because this will ultimately impact if you’re getting paid more next time you’re expecting a pay rise.

This

Im dreading Wednesday, I’m responsible for 30 people’s rent/mortgages.
we are doing very well this year and you want to reward loyal and hard working staff. But how, when it’s going to cost be 15% on top in tax plus pensions and the added red tape of last week’s announcement.
But according to this Government, I’m part of the problem ?
I work 14 hour days 6 days a week to make a profit and invest in my staff and business in a brutally tough industry and I still clean the staff toilets.

and no I’m not coining it in, as much as possible is reinvesting in facilities, and also improving staff facilities and environment.

lifeturnsonadime · 28/10/2024 17:09

dollopofsauce · 28/10/2024 17:03

Is that because being paid in dividends is a tax loophole? It certainly was when my DH had a limited company many years ago and paid himself in dividends. I've known many people do this over the years.

It's perfectly legal to be a shareholder in a company.

My objection is the use of the phrase 'working people'. Lots of people work very hard and are shareholders, many companies give shares to reward long service.

Using the phrase 'working people' in the way Starmer did to avoid explaining exactly who would be impacted by tax increases prior to the election ,was trying to be clever / mince words. Or do you think that he is right that those who receive dividends, for what ever reason, are not really working people?

As I said up thread he's getting a bit of a track record for not knowing the meaning of commonly used words, another example is woman.

BIossomtoes · 28/10/2024 17:08

icelolly12 · 28/10/2024 17:04

I think they're being very shortsighted. They've already lost a lot of pensioner's votes. If they increase taxes for business owners and working people they're basically left with the unemployed and young who are left unaffected - the groups least likely to vote.

They never had most pensioners’ votes and they certainly haven’t lost mine, it would take A LOT more than £150 to do that.

icelolly12 · 28/10/2024 17:08

dollopofsauce · 28/10/2024 17:06

So how do they raise money without doing any of this? From the "magic money tree"?

Just saying it's all pointless if they don't get another term which will leave more appetite for extremism.