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Nervous/anxious/scared about the Autumn budget 2024

683 replies

Cartwrightandson · 26/10/2024 19:29

I know that we don't know any details. We have read or heard bits that might be incorrect or just plain wrong. I also know we won't know anything until Wednesday when Rachel Reeves publishes/announces the contents of the budget...

But what we do know...it's the first labour budget for over 14 years, we've had a conservative government, austerity, brexit, covid and cost of living/interest rate increase meaning our economy is not in a good place.

Our services/infrastructure haven't had much needed investment for a long time.
Councils are practically bankrupt, some already are. Schools, housing, NHS, social care and economy are all struggling..to remedy this requires money and this will need to come from higher taxes.

There's a 19 billion pound black hole and Labour have already removed the winter fuel allowance, showing they are willing do things that are unpopular or possibly controversial..the Labour manifesto said it wouldn't increase taxes, but now they are saying they have to.

They've already allocated money for Ukraine, teachers, train drivers, junior doctors, NHS staff ect

Keir said people who don't 'work' for their income (shares/savings/landlord income) aren't classed as working people and will be taxed..

Basically this budget is going to need to raise taxes to pay for investment in services. That much we do know. But where the cuts and the tax increase will be is unknown. I don't think anyone will be 'better off'...

Possibilities.. (note these are not absolute, I could be very wrong)

Inheritance tax changes
Fuel duty increase
Income tax increase
Social housing rent increase
Benefit cuts
No free universal prescription for over 60s
Change to tax free allowance
Removal of help to buy, right to buy and alterations to stamp duty
Pension age to increase
State pension to decrease?
Tuition fees to increase
Tax free pension allowance to be reduced
Isa/bond/shares/investments taxed

Who really knows...but I think the labour comms are possibly leaking information so that we are being drip fed so when the budget does happen we already know and are braced/prepared for it.

Or what is being leaked about the budget is really bad but when the budget happens we are relieved it wasn't as bad the leaks hinted at. But it is still painful but we are more accepting because it's not as bad as it could have been...if that makes sense.

OP posts:
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Ginmonkeyagain · 28/10/2024 17:53

The winter fuel allowance has been in the cross hairs for a while as it was widely accepted in policy circles for years to be a poorly targeted and poor value benefit. There are much better ways to help low income, fuel poor pensioners.

AquaPeer · 28/10/2024 17:52

Dragonflysparkles · 28/10/2024 17:50

Oh right, ok keep blaming the tories as they did it at an election years ago

Labour has black hole as in the first six weeks they spent billions on pay rises we couldn’t afford. And now we all have to pay for it. It’s not the tories, we all know the economy was righting itself. Interest rates dropping, but they fucked it. We all watched, watched labour spend spend spend and cow tow to the unions again and now they are scrabbling about looking to tax everyone.

and it’s going to be a shit show for the next four years. If you think for one moment you’re going to see marked improvements for the money, you are sadly mistaken,

Labour has black hole as in the first six weeks they spent billions on pay rises we couldn’t afford

you don’t really believe this surely? Are you having us on?

Lifeomars · 28/10/2024 17:52

LlynTegid · 28/10/2024 13:35

I think we should all be far more concerned about the possibility of Donald Trump in the White House. For the people of Ukraine and the US above all, but it will affect us too.

This terrifies me, if he wins it will make the world even more dangerous and if he does not win he is going to cause profound problems by challenging the result and whipping up his cult followers. When I am feeling really depressed about it I can imagine civil war breaking out in the USA. Trump would love that. I try not to be dramatic but the events of January 6th leave no room for complacency

NotOneOfTheInCrowd · 28/10/2024 17:51

I don’t think that anything can be written off as disinformation until it actively hasn’t been implemented.

If people had said during the election that labour were planning to scrap the winter fuel allowance they would have been shouted down for publishing “disinformation” on the basis that Keir Starmer accused the tories of killing pensioners if they scrap the WFA, and yet that was one of the first things that labour did.

Of course not everything that is being bandied about is going to come to fruition, but until the budget is published, absolutely nothing can be ruled out.

Flatulence · 28/10/2024 17:51

I reckon it's mostly going to be changes to rates of taxation on sources of income that aren't subject the standard income tax thresholds. The rationale being to bring them up to or above the normal income tax bands.
Also, employer NI contributions (so no one will see a change in their pay packet, though obviously some companies may slow/freeze recruitment and/or offer smaller pay rises/bonuses to fund it).
The freeze on petrol/diesel duty will end (painful, yes, but hard to still justify the freeze). Probably changes to CGT and IHT (see my first point) and the removal of various exemptions.

Pensions won't be cut (triple lock); income tax thresholds won't change; personal NI contributions won't change; state pension age won't rise.

I earn pretty well, I pay a lot of tax, I'll probably have to start paying more after the budget. But if doing so helps to improve and maintain services - especially the NHS - and make life just a tiny little bit easier for people who are really struggling then fine by me.

Dragonflysparkles · 28/10/2024 17:50

MasterBeth · 28/10/2024 17:47

Fucking hell, at the last election, the Tories were blaming Gordon Brown for the last 14 years!

Labour were elected in JUNE! In what world are they supposed to turn the country round by October!?

Oh right, ok keep blaming the tories as they did it at an election years ago

Labour has black hole as in the first six weeks they spent billions on pay rises we couldn’t afford. And now we all have to pay for it. It’s not the tories, we all know the economy was righting itself. Interest rates dropping, but they fucked it. We all watched, watched labour spend spend spend and cow tow to the unions again and now they are scrabbling about looking to tax everyone.

and it’s going to be a shit show for the next four years. If you think for one moment you’re going to see marked improvements for the money, you are sadly mistaken,

Ariela · 28/10/2024 17:49

There will be a lot of tax changes that affect the rich, the super rich and pensioners that pay tax.
Eg cutting the amount you can take from a pension pot tax free from 25% to 20%, or taxing amounts over an amount eg 100K. (It's only fair, as these will mostly be people that paid tax at a higher rate and used the pension pot to reduce the tax they paid will be the argument, never mind that the plan was to draw this money out to pay off the mortgage/buy a new roof for the house or adapt the downstairs bathroom and add a bedroom so allowing you to live there for longer without impacting on social care.)

Free prescriptions will be discontinued for the over 60 but under retirement, and higher rate tax paying pensioners in England - that'll benefit the NHS.

Any pensioners without private pension will be fine as they can claim pension credit which opens the door to masses of over benefits, including winter fuel allowance: these will I'm sure be protected

And FWIW @GasPanic my eldest has a horse, pays for it all herself out of her (lowest tax bracket) income BUT the amount she spends is still less than one of her friends pays out on holidays abroad.

@dollopofsauce tax payments on dividends are now a 'thing' - back in the day it was considered fine if your company paid corporation tax thatdividends were considered tax paid. Now there's a threshold free - which has already been cut from £5k in 2016/2017 progressively down to £500 in this tax year, and then you're taxed according to your income tax band See https://www.gov.uk/tax-on-dividends

Tax on dividends

How you're taxed on dividend payments and how your income affects the amount of tax to pay

https://www.gov.uk/tax-on-dividends

PandoraSox · 28/10/2024 17:48

Dragonflysparkles · 28/10/2024 17:39

I’m middle aged and for the first time in decades I’m scared too. In the midst of a col crisis and our heating just going up , as winter approaches they are going to fuck the public. Every single way they can, as they came in and spent spent spent in their first weeks.

its terrifying.

What is it you are scared of that the budget will do to you?

Boomer55 · 28/10/2024 17:47

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:18

Well to be honest they can.

I see plenty of beamers and audis on the roads. People don't need those. They don't need foreign holidays and skiing, they don't need horses and they don't need 5 TV subscriptions or football season tickets either.

There is plenty of scope for taxing people in the UK more. What there probably isn't much scope for is taxing them more without impacting their comfortable lifestyles.

Not everyone wants to pay more and more tax, and be poorer. It shouldn’t be a race to the bottom. 🤷‍♀️

MasterBeth · 28/10/2024 17:47

Dragonflysparkles · 28/10/2024 17:40

ar some point Labour supporters need to stop blaming the tories. Really they do. No one is buying this shit show is their fault any more.

Fucking hell, at the last election, the Tories were blaming Gordon Brown for the last 14 years!

Labour were elected in JUNE! In what world are they supposed to turn the country round by October!?

EasternStandard · 28/10/2024 17:47

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:42

Well I wouldn't suggest any on income because I am not in favour of them.

But they are pretty obviously going to be ones associated with discretionary spending.

So revenue associated with higher rate tax bands for example will be where they will try to increase taxes.

Personally as regards taxation I would like taxes on assets (CGT) and income to be aligned, and I'd like to see higher taxation on housing and inheritance tax.

Tax burden is pretty high already for higher centiles so you'd have to be sure higher taxes wouldn't trigger behaviour change where people just opt out altogether

Boomer55 · 28/10/2024 17:44

Dragonflysparkles · 28/10/2024 17:40

ar some point Labour supporters need to stop blaming the tories. Really they do. No one is buying this shit show is their fault any more.

When a new party come in they always blame the party before. They hope it will deflect blame from them. 🙄

GhosterPoster · 28/10/2024 17:44

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:18

Well to be honest they can.

I see plenty of beamers and audis on the roads. People don't need those. They don't need foreign holidays and skiing, they don't need horses and they don't need 5 TV subscriptions or football season tickets either.

There is plenty of scope for taxing people in the UK more. What there probably isn't much scope for is taxing them more without impacting their comfortable lifestyles.

What? Who are you to tell anyone what they can and can’t spend their money on?

I’m not on this earth to redistribute wealth, reduce inequality or fix the NHS. I didn’t cause any of these issues. They’re unsolvable, anyway.

I’m an additional rate taxpayer, I contribute enough. Any more, and I would seriously think of leaving. Why on earth would you stay.

VimtoVimto · 28/10/2024 17:44

Singinginthespring · 28/10/2024 17:29

Incredible lack of understanding of tax and spending according to a recent survey.

Many, many people just have no understanding at all.

taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/10/26/the-publics-surprising-choice-of-tax-increase-and-why-we-should-ignore-it/

A survey showed people thought MPs expenses cost the state more than pensions. They thought immigration cost more than pensions too! Pensions = £141bn a year, immigration = £3bn. MPs cost £100m. Is this what too much Daily Mail does? Mushes brains? 40% of taxpayers thought when you reach the 40% higher rate of tax, ALL of your income is taxed at that rate. Of course it isn’t! The first £12,500 is tax free, the next to £50k is 20% and any income that you make over £50k is taxed at 40%.

This leads me to think there must be a lot of people out there who are petrified that they’ll lose loads if their income hits the higher rate. When it doesn’t. Chill guys. Chill.

I’m also dubious whether people realise that CGT is only payable when the asset is sold, and only on the profit not the total value from some of the reactions I’ve seen.

I’ve had a quick google and the only reference I’ve seen about Rachel Reeves getting £250k expenses is she received £248k in campaign donations.

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:42

EasternStandard · 28/10/2024 17:29

What tax rises are you suggesting?

Well I wouldn't suggest any on income because I am not in favour of them.

But they are pretty obviously going to be ones associated with discretionary spending.

So revenue associated with higher rate tax bands for example will be where they will try to increase taxes.

Personally as regards taxation I would like taxes on assets (CGT) and income to be aligned, and I'd like to see higher taxation on housing and inheritance tax.

Dragonflysparkles · 28/10/2024 17:40

Bananamanlovesyou · 28/10/2024 17:37

The world this weekend on radio 4 had an interesting section on their programme. You can listen on catch up in BBC sounds. People really need to start going beyond the tabloid headlines and online news bites. We’ve had years of underfunding and lack of investment from the tories. Austerity was a political idea not a necessity. There is no budget under any government right now that would not involve tax rises. The real question is what are they going to do with it. That’s where the debate should be.

ar some point Labour supporters need to stop blaming the tories. Really they do. No one is buying this shit show is their fault any more.

Dragonflysparkles · 28/10/2024 17:39

I’m middle aged and for the first time in decades I’m scared too. In the midst of a col crisis and our heating just going up , as winter approaches they are going to fuck the public. Every single way they can, as they came in and spent spent spent in their first weeks.

its terrifying.

BobLemon · 28/10/2024 17:37

Ginmonkeyagain · 28/10/2024 15:06

@KnittedCardi Your husband retired early with no pension or investment income?

Edited

Must have had one of those magic money trees.

Bananamanlovesyou · 28/10/2024 17:37

The world this weekend on radio 4 had an interesting section on their programme. You can listen on catch up in BBC sounds. People really need to start going beyond the tabloid headlines and online news bites. We’ve had years of underfunding and lack of investment from the tories. Austerity was a political idea not a necessity. There is no budget under any government right now that would not involve tax rises. The real question is what are they going to do with it. That’s where the debate should be.

EasternStandard · 28/10/2024 17:36

Raspberryripple11 · 28/10/2024 17:35

The telegraph and other right wing media are doing a lot of scaremongering.

Don't you think Labour announcements have spurred this on?

They've said pain, difficult decisions and harsh light of fiscal reality

I mean pain is never good is it?

lifeturnsonadime · 28/10/2024 17:35

Actually I'll qualify my statement. My concern about higher taxes for small business owners is that as a nation we need to encourage economic growth. These taxes may disincentivise some small businesses.

I would like to know what plans Labour have for that, what incentives are there for businesses to set up or remain in the UK? Without a serious plan for economic growth , higher taxes are pointless as the financial burden is too great.

Raspberryripple11 · 28/10/2024 17:35

The telegraph and other right wing media are doing a lot of scaremongering.

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:32

ChardonnaysBeastlyCat · 28/10/2024 17:29

Who the fuck are you to tell people what they can and cannot spend their money on?

Stalin in disguise?

I’m working every hour God sends. I will spend it on what pleases me. I’ll feed caviar to my ponies while I drive them to a horse spa in my Range Rover while the dog rides separately in the Porsche. Well, not quite but you get the idea.

And WTF is a “beamer”?

Edited

I haven't told anyone what they can or cannot spend their money on.

Learn to read and comprehend. If your brain cell can stretch that far.

Ginmonkeyagain · 28/10/2024 17:32

@Singinginthespring fucking hell that.is terrifying. Sort of explains a lot of things though. 😬

EasternStandard · 28/10/2024 17:29

GasPanic · 28/10/2024 17:18

Well to be honest they can.

I see plenty of beamers and audis on the roads. People don't need those. They don't need foreign holidays and skiing, they don't need horses and they don't need 5 TV subscriptions or football season tickets either.

There is plenty of scope for taxing people in the UK more. What there probably isn't much scope for is taxing them more without impacting their comfortable lifestyles.

What tax rises are you suggesting?