Page 3 | To think the Chinese gender prediction calculator is always accurate?

Dreamingofthree · 2024-10-21T21:15:26+00:00

Eerily so for me and everyone i know (who’s had kids) is there anyone out there who’s it’s not been accurate for link below [[https://www.babycenter.com/chinese-gender-predictor https://www.babycenter.com/chinese-gender-predictor]] Yabu- it’s not always write, it’s not science. Yanbu- it’s been bang on for everyone I know, it’s magic

PiggieWig · 22/10/2024 09:27

Told me I’d had two girls. I have two boys.

KimberleyClark · 22/10/2024 09:27

Just did it with my mum’s info. DB and I were born two years apart in the same month. Apparently he should have been a girl and I should have been a boy.

SoupDragon · 22/10/2024 09:26

Wrong for me.

AllProperTeaIsTheft · 22/10/2024 09:26

How is it 'eerie' that it was right, OP? There are only two possibilities, boy or girl, so obviously it's going to be right 50% of the time anyway You might just as well base it on whether you had cereal or toast for breakfast on the day of conception. Just as likely to be 'eerily' right!

sanityisamyth · 22/10/2024 09:25

It's bollocks.

theeyeofdoe · 22/10/2024 09:23

Wrong for all of mine - I got girl girl boy. Have boy, boy, girl!

Bjorkdidit · 22/10/2024 09:22

So what's the odds of picking the right outcome by guessing @Bagpuss83

Bagpuss83 · 22/10/2024 09:17

foodforclouds · 22/10/2024 09:09

Literally isn’t

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What?

A guess is just a guess - pure luck and randomness.

If using a tool, even if not a perfect one, gets you a 50:50 chance of being right than surely that is better than using nothing at all.

I despair sometimes, I really do.

foodforclouds · 22/10/2024 09:09

Bagpuss83 · 21/10/2024 22:23

I heard it's a 50:50 chance. But that's better than just guessing.

Literally isn’t

user47 · 22/10/2024 09:07

Wrong for me 2/2 and for my mum who has many many children it was wrong 4/9

CurlewKate · 22/10/2024 09:03

@Dreamingofthree " Yeah it has been eerily correct with the people I know but as demonstrated by the thread it’s not the case for everyone"

But it's not "eerily correct". It's just as correct or not correct as it should be.

FarmGirl78 · 22/10/2024 08:57

Well according to that I'm a boy and my brother is a girl. So nope.

Bjorkdidit · 22/10/2024 08:55

Exactly @MiraculousLadybug . I don't understand how this is even a question/discussion as the concept is so simple to understand and easily demonstrated that surely it is studied at school at some point.

A class of students each tosses a coin a few hundred times and makes a visual representation of the results using a spreadsheet or an app. The results are analysed to show that it is indeed random when you have enough results it will be 50/50 but there will be runs of all heads, all tails or repeating 'patterns'.

Anyone saying that a 'gender predictor' or citing examples such as 'I knew SIL would have a girl because she's got two already' is true is simply zooming in on the section of the chart of random results that illustrates the point they think they are making.

But each outcome is equally likely, as is the case for pregnancies, OK there is a slight bias towards boys, but for any randomly selected couple it cannot be predicted that they will have a boy or a girl with any more reliability than the more or less equally likely 50/50 outcome.

MiraculousLadybug · 22/10/2024 08:38

Yellowbananasarebetterthangreen · 22/10/2024 06:43

I get that you dont like being called out for posting nonsense. But you have.

"clearly tongue in cheek" but you still think its eerily accurate.

Of course its not the case for everyone - it will only ever be right about 50% of the time. Because that is how probability works when given a choice between two and both are equally likely.

I think what you understand and perhaps what a lot of people don't understand about probability is it only averages out at 50% over a fairly decent sample size. Hence, with a coin, you can get 20 heads in a row and one tail, but overall you've still got a 50% chance and it doesn't make the coin "magic". Likewise, someone else could get 20 tails in a row and one head. Because it's a 50% chance per attempt, which is different to it needing to be 50% over any given sample size, however small. Obviously both those cases would be unusual.

So someone's immediate family might find this predictor "accurate" but that's just a small sample size so not representative of the accuracy of the thing as a whole. But on this thread with a much larger sample size the reality becomes clear that it's just a guess.

Yellowbananasarebetterthangreen · 22/10/2024 08:25

@dreamingofthree called out for not knowing basic maths. This topic is taught at primary school level.
A light hearted thread is a chat of no real consequence. Topics like do you prefer jam or lemon curd on toast.

This isnt that. Its just silly nonsense by someone who either clearly doesnt understand basic maths. Or who is trolling mn. Whichever.

Zonder · 22/10/2024 08:15

Dreamingofthree · 22/10/2024 07:43

Feel free to report. I’m in a bit of a squeeze this morning. I can report later but I’ve seen quite a few light hearted threads on Aibu if I recall

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It's up to you to get your own thread moved if you don't like it being treated as AIBU in AIBU. I'd never start a thread in AIBU, personally.

Amanitacae · 22/10/2024 07:53

Right for two of mine (who share the same birthday two years apart and are the same sex) wrong for the third.

Isn’t the baby’s sex based on the sperm component though? If so would it make more sense for the dads to fill this in and see?

echt · 22/10/2024 07:49

Dreamingofthree · 22/10/2024 07:43

Feel free to report. I’m in a bit of a squeeze this morning. I can report later but I’ve seen quite a few light hearted threads on Aibu if I recall

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You invited people tp pass opinions on its not being science and were called out on its not being science. Which it isn't You asked others to side with its being magic. Which it also isn't, because there is no magic.

Don't post on AIBU and then get the arse because people do exactly what you've asked them to do.

And it's sex, not gender.

Hoardasurass · 22/10/2024 07:44

Dreamingofthree · 21/10/2024 23:09

It is commonly referred to as the Chinese gender prediction calculator, it may be inappropriately called that, but a simple google will tell you that. The link I shared by the baby centre was just for ease. I’m not saying it’s evidence based rather it’s a light hearted thread asking if it has been accurate for you with your children/ grandchildren.

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Well as it predicts gender rather than sex noone will know for several years what gender the child is

Original poster

Dreamingofthree · 22/10/2024 07:43

Zonder · 22/10/2024 07:40

Maybe report your own post and ask for it to be moved out of AIBU? AIBU isn't the usual place for light hearted tongue in cheek.

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Feel free to report. I’m in a bit of a squeeze this morning. I can report later but I’ve seen quite a few light hearted threads on Aibu if I recall

OP posts:

Zonder · 22/10/2024 07:40

Dreamingofthree · 22/10/2024 07:17

called Out for what, honestly this is the epitome of mountains out of molehills. It’s sufficient to say, not accurate for me, it’s a load of cobblers. Not everything needs to be this huge MN debate. It’s clearly a lighthearted thread, if you can’t tell something is tongue in cheek then I don’t know what to tell you.

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Maybe report your own post and ask for it to be moved out of AIBU? AIBU isn't the usual place for light hearted tongue in cheek.

LadyR77 · 22/10/2024 07:24

Well, it's just told me I'd have a girl....but I had a boy. So not accurate at all here (hardly surprising as it's a load of nonsense!)

Welshcake15 · 22/10/2024 07:21

It's telling me I'm having a girl. I'm 36 weeks pregnant with a boy that's been confirmed to be a boy by about 5 or 6 different sonographers at this point (I get growth scans).

WiserOlderElf · 22/10/2024 07:20

Wrong for 2 out of 3 of mine.

Original poster

Dreamingofthree · 22/10/2024 07:17

Yellowbananasarebetterthangreen · 22/10/2024 06:43

I get that you dont like being called out for posting nonsense. But you have.

"clearly tongue in cheek" but you still think its eerily accurate.

Of course its not the case for everyone - it will only ever be right about 50% of the time. Because that is how probability works when given a choice between two and both are equally likely.

called Out for what, honestly this is the epitome of mountains out of molehills. It’s sufficient to say, not accurate for me, it’s a load of cobblers. Not everything needs to be this huge MN debate. It’s clearly a lighthearted thread, if you can’t tell something is tongue in cheek then I don’t know what to tell you.

OP posts: