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UK fertility rate drops by 18.8% in 12 years

482 replies

MidnightPatrol · 13/10/2024 20:35

The UK has the fastest falling fertility rate in the G7.

2022 saw the lowest number of births for 20 years.

The current TFR is 1.49 births per woman.

What do you think the reason for this is, and what could be done to reverse the trend?

news.sky.com/story/amp/britains-fertility-rate-falling-faster-than-any-other-g7-country-with-austerity-thought-to-be-a-principal-factor-13232314

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IcedPurple · 14/10/2024 17:33

IVFmumoftwo · 14/10/2024 17:26

I think in Spain it is common to only have one child and have that child very late.

In Italy too. Having one child is pretty much the norm. It doesn't really go along with the Dolmio ad idea of big extended families sitting around the table, but that's what the statistics show.

IVFmumoftwo · 14/10/2024 17:26

IcedPurple · 14/10/2024 17:23

I don't think it is at the extreme end. It's about average for Europe. Italy and Spain, despite being supposedly so family friendly, have lower birth rates. Fertility has been extremely low in Eastern Europe for years now. SK and Japan also have extremely low birth rates, to the point where their populations are shrinking.

I think in Spain it is common to only have one child and have that child very late.

Appledrop · 14/10/2024 17:25

I only had one anyway, but if I were considering having a child today, I wouldn't have bothered. Bad enough the cost of housing, wages, etc but the thought of them going to school where they teach kids that they can change sex is a big fat no from me.

OptimismvsRealism · 14/10/2024 17:25

BruFord · 14/10/2024 16:32

@OptimismvsRealism Being childfree is definitely a valid and often positive choice.

I’m taken aback at your description of how adult children treat their parents though:

They leave and call you once a year to ask for money
-They put you in a home and you cry for your husband who died many years ago
-you die

Is that how you treat your parents?!

Edited

Haha no my mum is definitely living her best stki life (which I approve of)

IcedPurple · 14/10/2024 17:23

WasteOfPaint · 13/10/2024 21:15

UK may be at the extreme end but this trend is happening across the developed world. It's happening in countries with cheap childcare lots of government support for families. Several countries have tried offering specific incentives to have children, and it's made very little difference.

I don't think it is at the extreme end. It's about average for Europe. Italy and Spain, despite being supposedly so family friendly, have lower birth rates. Fertility has been extremely low in Eastern Europe for years now. SK and Japan also have extremely low birth rates, to the point where their populations are shrinking.

GretchenWienersHair · 14/10/2024 17:16

pinkdelight · 13/10/2024 20:49

I don't know why this is being touted as a bad thing. In coverage about all the issues with aging population, they talk about this being a bottleneck that will ease off as the birth rate goes down, so why is anyone trying to keep it up? Especially as the actually population hasn't declined due to net migration. It doesn't make sense to want to keep pumping babies out at the same rate, as though British born babies are needed to sustain at the high levels of the last couple of generations when all was that bit better.

It will certainly be a problem in 30 years time when we haven’t got enough doctors or nurses to look after us all!

GretchenWienersHair · 14/10/2024 17:13

Childcare costs. Housing costs. Poor healthcare. The list goes on…

IVFmumoftwo · 14/10/2024 17:12

The poor bashing has started. "Breeding like rabbits".

SmileyHappyPeopleInTheSun · 14/10/2024 16:37

User135644 · 14/10/2024 16:30

We already rely on immigration. 1 million people come in every year on various visas. The country wouldn't function if we had a net zero approach to immigration. But it's a ponzi scheme ultimately because they get old as well.

They do quickly pick up on UK fertility rates ( as they face similar costs ) does mean a slump in population not a cliff - like Japan or other low immigration nations are facing - so we muddle along for longer with aging population importing workers and other tweaks.

However if we suddenly look unappealing to large number of immigrants then we'd already be in trouble and as more countries face same situation needing immigration we may well get fewer than we need.

BruFord · 14/10/2024 16:32

@OptimismvsRealism Being childfree is definitely a valid and often positive choice.

I’m taken aback at your description of how adult children treat their parents though:

They leave and call you once a year to ask for money
-They put you in a home and you cry for your husband who died many years ago
-you die

Is that how you treat your parents?!

User135644 · 14/10/2024 16:30

SmileyHappyPeopleInTheSun · 14/10/2024 16:27

Many counties are going to need to rely on immigration - and we may have to compete with them for workers as well as not lose our own trained young people to other countries offering higher standards of living.

That doesn't look like it will be a problem for a while but it's something you'd hope someone in government was keeping a eye on for long term planning.

We already rely on immigration. 1 million people come in every year on various visas. The country wouldn't function if we had a net zero approach to immigration. But it's a ponzi scheme ultimately because they get old as well.

SmileyHappyPeopleInTheSun · 14/10/2024 16:27

User135644 · 14/10/2024 16:23

Immigration is only going to keep increasing. Particularly while there's wars and eventually climate crisis displacing people.

Many counties are going to need to rely on immigration - and we may have to compete with them for workers as well as not lose our own trained young people to other countries offering higher standards of living.

That doesn't look like it will be a problem for a while but it's something you'd hope someone in government was keeping a eye on for long term planning.

User135644 · 14/10/2024 16:23

dizzydizzydizzy · 14/10/2024 08:59

We need a balanced population. With people living longer we could end up with a massive population of elderly and not enough young people working and paying taxes to care for the old people and pay taxes for their state pensions, NHS care and other care costs.

Immigration is only going to keep increasing. Particularly while there's wars and eventually climate crisis displacing people.

TallulahBetty · 14/10/2024 16:21

We can't bloody afford them.

House prices + childcare costs. I'd have loved a second child, can't afford it, so I won't.

I am aware that plenty of people would have forged ahead anyway..

SmileyHappyPeopleInTheSun · 14/10/2024 16:21

nearlylovemyusername · 14/10/2024 16:06

Well, if £17/week is a decision making criteria for a family to have another child or not then it's probably good that they don't.

Well it's the cap and the cut in services and the rising cost of housing and living all at once. Rather than just one figure.

However the previous government did want people on lower incomes to have fewer kids and cost less in benefits and at same time cost of living increased and wages stagnated - so people do respond by having fewer kids.

It was predictable and in fact was predicted by some - and the current government clearly doesn't see it as an issue yet and hasn't made changes - so it is where we are - the consequences will be as I said earlier later retirement (with knock on effects) and more immigration to fill jobs we won't have people for.

OptimismvsRealism · 14/10/2024 16:15

I missed out having to "socialise" by hanging out with other parents awkwardly at extortionate parties

nearlylovemyusername · 14/10/2024 16:14

Fertility rates are declining rapidly across the entire world, especially so in most developed countries.

If you take e.g. Germany or Hungary, the level of support they provide to families with children, silly low cost of childcare, taxation exemption, the list goes on, still their fertility rates are about 1.58.

Even in Africa it's declined from 4.7 to 4.1 in the same 12 years which is 13%.

Probably not a bad thing given planet's resources

OptimismvsRealism · 14/10/2024 16:13

Goldenbear · 14/10/2024 13:46

Being a parent is not just putting blocks in holes. In fact the reward of being a parent is nothing to do with the performance of functional tasks by your toddler, for a start they aren't playing with blocks for a very long time, I am at the discussing politics stage with my eldest and believe me, he is much better informed and read up on the subject than probably 80% of the voting population. You don't have kids if you see growing up as a developmental stage tick box as that would just be a child without love. Having children suits me and my personality as I enjoy reading and I loved fostering that love of reading with them. I have a family that loves music and play instruments so the freedom to share that love with your offspring and putting on performances and plays was something I loved doing but obviously it isn't for everyone. I have a fairly straight job in privacy and IT so it is the contrast that I enjoyed/enjoy.

I am sure you love it and fair play to you but I don't like children at any age. For me, it seems to go:

-Sleep depriving pooing potato
(Childcare expense kicks in)
-Sleep depriving pooing kamikaze with the blocks thing
-Mummummummummum stage
(No more holidays in terms time kick in)
-Endless homework support
(School trips expense kicks in)
-You still have to take them everywhere for some reason
-Mental health crises
-annoying know-it-all phase
-Standing on the side of sporting pitches in the freezing cold (or sitting in drafting orchestra/dance/drama halls)
-I HATE YOU MUM WHY DO YOU HAVE TO BE SUCH A BITCH
-Off to university (or drugs/drop out)
(University, flat deposit or on duty solicitor expenses kicks in)
-They leave and call you once a year to ask for money
-They put you in a home and you cry for your husband who died many years ago
-you die

OptimismvsRealism · 14/10/2024 16:08

JHound · 14/10/2024 14:19

They solve the problem of relying on state pension

Argggg no they don't because they WON'T PAY OUT EITHER

nearlylovemyusername · 14/10/2024 16:06

SmileyHappyPeopleInTheSun · 14/10/2024 15:04

Well then this is good news - as it poorer women in lower social economic areas who have started having fewer kids in last 12 years in UK where as previously it was more educated women in high income areas (which is still happening as well).

This is in many respects what 2 child cap and even austerity wanted to achieve.

Well, if £17/week is a decision making criteria for a family to have another child or not then it's probably good that they don't.

TemuSpecialBuy · 14/10/2024 15:37

Coat and abysmal maternal health services are the big ticket items
more broadly our attitude just sucks.

As a society in Britain we treat children as a nuisance not a joy.

we also treat women who have children like shit at every level of society from queuing to pay in shops to shafting them in divorce / sharing of assets and CMS payments

there is a very heavy price to pay and a lot of women don’t want to sign up for it.

Mirrorxxx · 14/10/2024 15:33

Cost of childcare
lack of support
poor healthcare
pay is too low at all levels

Goldenbear · 14/10/2024 15:32

User135644 · 14/10/2024 14:25

It's a bit like the opening scene of Idiocracy. All the feckless or poor people breed like rabbits and expect everyone else to pay for them, while the urban professionals might have 1 or 2 later in life once they've got all their ducks in a row, or might not bother.

Edited

Goodness, what a simplified and crass way to look at things.

Goldenbear · 14/10/2024 15:30

QuietlyConfident · 14/10/2024 15:25

Have you got your own hospital, ambulance, police force, road roller, street lights, army?

And do you actually want to live in a country where people without a comfortable private pension are left to rot? Would witnessing that not make your life a little less pleasant?

Yes exactly, people are so unrealistic, I'm not convinced that the young people today will have this all covered by AI in 20 years time.

QuietlyConfident · 14/10/2024 15:25

DonnaBanana · 14/10/2024 13:48

As long as we are prepared to axe the old age pension at some point, it’s not a bad thing. There will be more old people and far fewer workers eventually though so don’t expect those workers to be able to support the entire state as it currently stands. You will be more on your own but that’s fine by me as I’ve saved for my own pension.

Have you got your own hospital, ambulance, police force, road roller, street lights, army?

And do you actually want to live in a country where people without a comfortable private pension are left to rot? Would witnessing that not make your life a little less pleasant?