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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think increasing pension age isn’t going to add up?

306 replies

Tiredandconfused23 · 03/10/2024 09:43

I was reading a few recent studies about the employment situation for over 50s, basically confirming how this age group struggles to return to work, is more likely to be laid off and/or forced into early retirement and how a far higher proportion are in poverty and/or insecure employment than other age groups. And how, despite years of pushback against age bias, it’s only increased in recent years.

If we accept this, I can’t help feeling the idea that increasing the pension age so we work longer, thus save money on benefits, isn’t going to add up. Many people in their fifties would happily carry on working - the issue is many employers may not want us. You can’t keep working if there’s no job to work at.

AIBU to think we may soon be facing a load of older people on benefits, often through no fault of trying, rather than claiming a pension? Would this be seen as still more favourable by the Government?

OP posts:
IthinkIamAnAlien · 03/10/2024 18:17

https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/insight-and-analysis/long-reads/whats-happening-life-expectancy-england

The fall in life expectancy in England resulting from the Covid-19 pandemic was unprecedented in recent decades, and life expectancy has not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
Future improvements in life expectancy depend on many factors. However, the outlook for England is not promising given the deterioration in population health. The poor health of children, the huge and growing backlog of unmet health care needs (pre-dating the pandemic but exacerbated by it), the almost 3 million – and rising – working-age adults unable to work because of long-term sickness, the persistent constraints on NHS capacityand widening health inequalities illustrate the scale of the challenges that need to be addressed. Added to these are the unpredictable risks of, for example, periodic resurgences in Covid-19, flu or other viral infections, and extreme climate change events such as the heatwaves in 2022.
Life expectancy in the UK compared poorly with most comparator countries before the Covid-19 pandemic; higher excess mortality during the pandemic has resulted in the UK’s further downward slide in international life expectancy tables, with female life expectancy now the lowest among comparator countries (with the exception of the US). Meaningful long-term gains in reducing health inequalities and improving population health and the UK’s life expectancy relative to comparator countries have never been more urgent and yet also more challenging.

Labour market overview, UK - Office for National Statistics

Estimates of employment, unemployment, economic inactivity and other employment-related statistics for the UK.

https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/uklabourmarket/latest

ImNunTheWiser · 03/10/2024 17:57

BIossomtoes · 03/10/2024 16:06

I think you might find we are if you look at contributions over a lifetime. Many of us were higher rate tax payers for 20+ years while taking nothing in healthcare or education.

As a group, no Boomers are not net contributors. Some are, obviously, my husband being one of them (and me, as a Gen X). But as a group, no. Figures from LSE. Probably also buried in ONS too, if you care to look.

ImNunTheWiser · 03/10/2024 17:53

Probably true. Beveridge was in favour of universal benefit so that those who needed it less would buy in to the idea of paying for it for those needed it more.

“Means testing is offered 'only on terms which make men unwilling to have recourse to it', and they 'penalise what people have come to regard as the duty and pleasure of thrift, of putting pennies away for a rainy day'”.

I’ve always thought it would be good way to stop the moaning of the sainted taxpayer but I suppose the contributions in vs benefits out argument will always win out.

Reugny · 03/10/2024 17:44

MrsMurphyIWish · 03/10/2024 17:28

I’m an English teacher.

Imagine having 70 year old teachers!

You will end up as a self-employed tutor and/or teaching older children/young adults in the badly funded further sector who need to get an English qualification.

At school we had one teacher in his mid-60s. He came back as supply only to teach specific classes e.g. the classes who wouldn't give him shit as they needed to pass in the subject he taught. He didn't do more than a year though.

I also had good teachers who were younger who unfortunately didn't managed to live long after retirement.

BlackShuck3 · 03/10/2024 17:42

Tiredalwaystired · 03/10/2024 17:35

A lot of menial work is very physical though.

Sounds good, getting paid to exercise!!

Reugny · 03/10/2024 17:38

Milkandacookie · 03/10/2024 17:27

@MrsMurphyIWish There's so few older teachiers now isn't there. It's another ticking time bomb. Many go part/time or rely on partners income.

I'm a bit younger than you but thinking I need to get out and find something that can sustain me as a second career also

They are also forced out as they are expensive.

Tiredalwaystired · 03/10/2024 17:35

BlackShuck3 · 03/10/2024 15:08

What about a version of UBI where you got a basic income for doing a certain amount of menial work every week? When I say menial work I mean work that no one else wants to do and where the employers find it difficult to recruit.

A lot of menial work is very physical though.

suburberphobe · 03/10/2024 17:31

I’m a boomer who was a single parent for most of my Gen X kid’s childhood. Like you, I worked full time, did all the housework and was responsible for everything. I was by no means alone.

Me too. Took care of aging parents too.

MrsMurphyIWish · 03/10/2024 17:28

Reugny · 03/10/2024 17:24

What do you teach?

BTW the government still has time to accelerate the pension age as they said they will give 10 years notice minimum.

I’m an English teacher.

Imagine having 70 year old teachers!

Milkandacookie · 03/10/2024 17:27

@MrsMurphyIWish There's so few older teachiers now isn't there. It's another ticking time bomb. Many go part/time or rely on partners income.

I'm a bit younger than you but thinking I need to get out and find something that can sustain me as a second career also

Windchimesandsong · 03/10/2024 17:27

Finally (because I'm spent too long on this thread and must stop taking it over, and also need to get on with offline life - my own fault for getting too invested!).

In reply to some people suggesting there's no money to address society's issues. There is enough money. It's simply being misspent.

As a previous poster said, within her and many people's lifetimes there's been a massive shift. From having well-funded and well-managed public services and state owned necessities (housing, energy, water, healthcare, social services etc).

Shifted to privatisation, cuts, and out-sourcing of all of these - at great cost to individuals, to society, and to the economy.

I posted earlier about the false economy approach - austerity and similar policies. I've also posted links on other threads about the massive costs of false economy - to individuals and the economy.

If anyone's interested (or even if you're not, because I can't help myself sometimes and I think it's worth people seeing, I'll post the links here later).

So basically, there is enough money. Simply the false economy approach and misspending needs to end.

Reugny · 03/10/2024 17:24

MrsMurphyIWish · 03/10/2024 17:22

Gen X teacher here 👋 Taught since 2000, current retirement age 68 (Born late 78 so miss the April 78 cut off to retire at 67).

Teachers pensions aren’t great now - I’m at the age where they’re tied to state pension age. I am hoping to leave in 6 years and do a less stressful job but will I find another career at 52?

Edited

What do you teach?

BTW the government still has time to accelerate the pension age as they said they will give 10 years notice minimum.

MrsMurphyIWish · 03/10/2024 17:22

Gen X teacher here 👋 Taught since 2000, current retirement age 68 (Born late 78 so miss the April 78 cut off to retire at 67).

Teachers pensions aren’t great now - I’m at the age where they’re tied to state pension age. I am hoping to leave in 6 years and do a less stressful job but will I find another career at 52?

MidnightMeltdown · 03/10/2024 17:22

I think you might find we are if you look at contributions over a lifetime. Many of us were higher rate tax payers for 20+ years while taking nothing in healthcare or education.

@BIossomtoes No, there have been analyses done on how much each generation pays in vs. takes out. Baby boomers will take out roughly 25-30% more than they have paid in - more than any other generation.

I'm not saying that it's their fault, they should be taxed more, but I think it's completely understandable why later generations are angry.

Tiredandconfused23 · 03/10/2024 17:22

Presumably any service they’ve benefited from was also provided by self-funded privately educated people too?

OP posts:
Inslopia · 03/10/2024 17:16

@Reugny which may be true just odd that they are saying millions of others were similar 😆😆😆

Reugny · 03/10/2024 17:15

Inslopia · 03/10/2024 16:39

Many of us were higher rate tax payers for 20+ years while taking nothing in healthcare or education.

What does this even mean?

Basically the poster didn't go to school in the UK and arrived here in their 20s, and didn't have children.

Windchimesandsong · 03/10/2024 17:12

BIossomtoes · 03/10/2024 16:41

All of that is absolutely true except too late to make arrangements to protect inheritance from IHT and more importantly from care home costs. It’s not too late in the case of IHT - although there is an argument that it’s unfair to deprive the state of taxes used to provide public services. It’s virtually impossible to protect money (normally the proceeds of a house sale) from care home costs and I believe it’s morally wrong to do so - why should taxpayers foot the bill for care when someone has the money to pay for their own?

I was thinking of the growing number of people private renting in poverty in older age, when I spoke of care home costs taking inheritance. Which costs taxpayers (which is all of us - because everyone pays tax) many billions. In housing and other benefits, and health and social care costs, because private renting harns health.

The fastest growing group of private renters are over 45. It's a ticking time bomb re the future with benefits and retirement costs.

Re morally right. Is it morally right to take their inheritance, when there's not enough social housing? Older private renters are statistically the poorest group of renters and studies have found many have been in poverty for long periods.

The answer really though is

a) more social housing asap - including for older people and smaller households.

b) tax inheritance on the wealth of the recipient, plus defer care home fees when the would-be recipient of an inheritance has a need for housing or financial support (either due to low wages or disability or caring responsibilities).

Tiredandconfused23 · 03/10/2024 17:08

Kendodd · 03/10/2024 16:53

Never happen!
We will absolutely bankrupt the country first. Demographics are changing. Pensioners had always been the highest voting demographic, they are also growing as a percentage of the electorate. No politician dare piss them off.

Not necessarily. From what I’ve read Gen X is actually a far smaller generation than the Boomers - about a third of the size if I remember correctly. Millennials and Zoomers are bigger than them too - though Boomers exceed both as well individually (just not by as much as Gen X).

That’d suggest - immigration apart - we’re actually facing a bottleneck, where the “older” generation actually decrease proportionally compared to where we are now (considering life expectancy isn’t increasing and will, at least, remain static) before expanding again when the Millennials reach traditional retirement age.

This might even have exacerbated the fact the Boomer generation have been so focussed on, aside from older people being more likely to vote. Even when they were younger they were such a significant portion of the electorate through sheer numbers alone their interests were taken more seriously.

This is a double edged sword for Gen X though. Whilst it might mean there’s fewer of us to burden society as we age, it also means our needs could be overlooked in favour of the greater numbers (and potential votes) of the generations below us.

OP posts:
YourLastNerve · 03/10/2024 17:07

Milkandacookie what region is that? It just wasn't like that where i live (south west).

Milkandacookie · 03/10/2024 17:04

Yup I'm in my 40s and when I was at school most mums either were sahm or had a very part time job in my area. One wage was enough (and that person needn't have been to uni either) to have a house nicer than mine is now!

It was a different world.

Windchimesandsong · 03/10/2024 16:59

Re net contribution.

If looking at it from purely amount paid in, no age group is a net contributor. Only the richest (who exist in all age groups) are. But they can afford to - and can afford to without losing a still very high standard of living.

Although in a way everyone actually is a net contributor even if not directly through income tax etc. Those many low paid, and also average paid, workers? They're keeping the businesses going and in (often large) profit. And those unable to work? They're also keeping the economy going, through keeping the jobs of the many people in health and social care.

Also contribution to society is impossible to look at on purely financial terms.

And it's a slippery slope, starting to look at who's paid "their share" the most and so who deserves the most back.

I mean, if going down that road then childless and childfree people would justifiably say they pay the most and get the least back. Especially single childless/childfree.

Lower priority for housing and less welfare benefits, no need for schooling (yes, they went to school, but now they also pay for our children to go to school), less use of healthcare (only use for themselves, unlike us parents who use maternity care, and then healthcare for our children).

And no, the majority of children aren't going to become professional carers - so no they won't, when adults, be caring for the childless/childfree. Nor will they be funding pensions - given the increased pension age with the consequence that lots of people will probably die before getting a pension.

To clarify. I am not saying that's a road I want to go down, with that argument of who pays in the most and/or takes the least back. I'm simply giving an example of what happens if we start doing that.

Boomer55 · 03/10/2024 16:56

With AI flying up, most generations will be a drain on financial resources. Many jobs will go. How this is managed remains to be seen. 🤷‍♀️

Meadowfinch · 03/10/2024 16:56

Reugny · 03/10/2024 15:40

Lots of Gen X don't have boomer parents. 😉

Not everyone has children young, and actually this is becoming more of an issue due to the lack of affordable housing meaning that people are having less children due to having children later.

Correct. I'm a boomer and my DS is only 16. That makes him firmly Gen Z.

Kendodd · 03/10/2024 16:53

YourLastNerve · 03/10/2024 16:45

My assumption is that they will stealth remove the state pension rather than means test it. The easy route to this is via pension credit which is already means tested.

The obvious route is to axe the triple lock, and allow state pension to gradually devalue, while allowing pension credit to steadily uprate with inflation.

They will never actually have to remove state pension, but it will become worthless while those with little/no private pension provision will be protected via pension credit.

Edited

Never happen!
We will absolutely bankrupt the country first. Demographics are changing. Pensioners had always been the highest voting demographic, they are also growing as a percentage of the electorate. No politician dare piss them off.

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