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House prices

218 replies

Socialmediamakespeopleunhealthilycompetitive · 13/08/2024 13:08

In the mid 80s there were 3 bedroom family houses in ok areas of outer London for £50k, around 2.8 times a decent officeworkers salary. The same houses are now around £450k & ten times the same workers 2024 salary. I realise interest rates, even after recently hikes are somewhat lower. Since the late 90s I have wondered when people will demand government action on this, amd actually see lower housing costs as a good thing. When the above house was £200k ca. 2003, and 6 times a decent salary, I thought action might happen. Is the point at which action is taken the point at which the transactional costs of middle class young or middle-aged people buying their own home even wirh an inheritance become prohibitive? Do people doing jobs they don't like or which damage their health to pay enormous mortgages in expensive locations, London, Oxford, Cambridge, Dublin etc ever think about the opportunity cost of sitting on equity which could be invested to earn income if they relocated to a cheaper area? How on earth have modest, poorly insulated houses including those in rough areas been allowed to get to this astronomical level? Why is it politically unacceptable for a party leader to say they want to engineer lower house prices, perhaps even say 75 orn80£ lower (still leaves the million pound househat 200k)?

OP posts:
XVGN · 14/08/2024 11:57

Bumpitybumper · 14/08/2024 11:22

So someone renting a hugely expensive house from a landlord could potentially pay peanuts in your model? They are benefitting from all the services that are provided by the local government so why on earth can't they be expected to pay their way? Meanwhile someone with much less money who has chosen to invest in a home has to pay LVT which will be the bulk of their bill?

This is what I mean about what is 'fair' and 'equitable'. Renters are not automatically poorer than homeowners. People should be encouraged to invest their money into buying and improving their homes rather than to spend money on holidays and cars that will not retain their value and ultimately increase the likelihood that if these people fall into more difficult financial times they will be more likely to lose their rented home and need to rely on the state.

They would only pay peanuts if the landlord was charging peanuts. That's not likely on a hugely expensive house.

Poll tax will generally cover the local government element, so people paying their way. DVLT would generally replace the proceeds of Stamp Duty. The government would have to choose the ratios and rates. It's above my pay grade!

People should NOT be encouraged to invest in single (or a few) property. It's generally a bad investment and not very productive. Buy a home. Then choose more sensible investments or take the risk of investing in property when we're trying to impact that per the thread.

Nanana1 · 14/08/2024 11:55

It isn't the case that homeowners or people with large pensions are morally superior to those without these things. It's more that they shouldn't be penalised for doing the sensible thing that ultimately helps the rest of us as it relieves a burden from the State. You may not have worked harder than someone of the same age and income that chose to rent but ultimately you are now more securely housed and less likely to need government assistance.

Am I? Why would I not need the NHS more? Or Attendance Allowance? Pension Credit? Universal credit? What if I have more dc?

FrillyKnickersAndNoFurCoat · 14/08/2024 11:55

Biggaybear · 13/08/2024 18:45

Not read the full thread just the OP.

Sorry OP but houses in outer London in the mid 80's were not £50k !!

I bought a studio flat just outside the M25 in 1988 for £47k. A studio flat. At that time affordability was a stretch at around 4x income.

They were! We bought a 3 bed house in zone 5 (West London) in 1986 for £54k.
In 1983 you could buy a studio flat in Z5 in SE London for £17k, I know because I went to view one.

XVGN · 14/08/2024 11:49

Bumpitybumper · 14/08/2024 11:14

No, LVT is a specific economic concept that works in a specific way. A government is free to impose whatever tax it wants but it isn't LVT if it starts factoring in the value of the building built on the land.

What is 'fair' and 'equitable' is completely subjective. If you have worked hard and invested your money in property when you could have frittered it away then is it fair that you then get taxed so heavily for this? These people have arguably made themselves more financially secure and less likely to be a burden on the state and yet you want to tax them further for simply owning an expensive property?

There are also pretty extensive unintended consequences to suddenly imposing huge tax increases on property owners. Many people that aren't homeowners have a stake in the property market through their pension funds. An LVT would place a huge burden on these funds.

You're right. LVT is a specific concept so I'll just call it DLVT - Developed Land Value Tax.

Buying a home is great. Investing in property is a very specialised action. Most investors probably wouldn't even "invest" in a single property because it is so illiquid. Many homeowners did little or nothing to acquire their wealth. Some inherited (didn't work hard) and some benefited from out of control house price growth (again, didn't work hard). Taxing based on value is a very progressive tax regime.

I agree that a sudden change would be unnecessarily harsh. It should be promoted and phased in over a set period, say 5 years.

As with any change there will be winners and losers. We're trying to affect house prices in this topic and bring in a more equitable system. You're focused on the losers and not thinking of the winners such as young FTB's who would benefit from lower prices.

FrillyKnickersAndNoFurCoat · 14/08/2024 11:49

@Dangermouse43
Haven't you heard that Australia has a housing crisis too, and NZ.
The COL in Australia is really high too.
Also consider that Australia is suffering very badly due to climate change and large parts of it are already inhospitable due to heat/drought.

Bumpitybumper · 14/08/2024 11:43

Nanana1 · 14/08/2024 11:26

If you have worked hard and invested your money in property when you could have frittered it away then is it fair that you then get taxed so heavily for this?

Always the moralising around home ownership & renting? worked hard vs feckless, etc I haven’t worked any harder then plenty of others who are still renting just because my house went up in value…

It's not moralising. It's a fact that we all have decisions to make about how we spend our limited money. These decisions can have long term implications. The government encourages people to invest in their pensions not because they want you to have a really fabulous old age but because they want to reduce the chance that you will be old and destitute and therefore need more publicly funded services to support you. Buying a house isn't really too different than this.

It isn't the case that homeowners or people with large pensions are morally superior to those without these things. It's more that they shouldn't be penalised for doing the sensible thing that ultimately helps the rest of us as it relieves a burden from the State. You may not have worked harder than someone of the same age and income that chose to rent but ultimately you are now more securely housed and less likely to need government assistance.

FrillyKnickersAndNoFurCoat · 14/08/2024 11:33

Ratisshortforratthew · 13/08/2024 15:09

Well I would support a house price cap and 100% inheritance tax and I don’t really GAF about negative equity because homes shouldn’t be profit making assets. Yes, I’m a homeowner. But I lean towards communism when it comes to housing. Not many other people would vote for such policies though I imagine!

A communist home owner, an interesting concept.
Why should the government get all your estate when you die? What's the point of working hard, saving and being frugal? You may as well blow the lot on holidays and eating out.

Nanana1 · 14/08/2024 11:26

If you have worked hard and invested your money in property when you could have frittered it away then is it fair that you then get taxed so heavily for this?

Always the moralising around home ownership & renting? worked hard vs feckless, etc I haven’t worked any harder then plenty of others who are still renting just because my house went up in value…

Bumpitybumper · 14/08/2024 11:22

XVGN · 14/08/2024 09:44

It's a great point, but THAT poll tax took no account (as far as I remember) of house worth. In my model the poll tax would be a much smaller amount or proportion of the overall bill. It just feels fair that every adult enjoying council services should pay the same amount (ignoring the question of reliefs for specific cases).

So someone renting a hugely expensive house from a landlord could potentially pay peanuts in your model? They are benefitting from all the services that are provided by the local government so why on earth can't they be expected to pay their way? Meanwhile someone with much less money who has chosen to invest in a home has to pay LVT which will be the bulk of their bill?

This is what I mean about what is 'fair' and 'equitable'. Renters are not automatically poorer than homeowners. People should be encouraged to invest their money into buying and improving their homes rather than to spend money on holidays and cars that will not retain their value and ultimately increase the likelihood that if these people fall into more difficult financial times they will be more likely to lose their rented home and need to rely on the state.

Bumpitybumper · 14/08/2024 11:14

XVGN · 14/08/2024 09:49

LVT will work in the way in which a government chooses to implement it. In my view, two equivalent parcels of land - one with a mansion and one with a ramshackle bungalow - would pay different amounts: their overall values being different. You are taking the expression LVT too literally. It can be set up in the most equitable and logical way possible.

No, LVT is a specific economic concept that works in a specific way. A government is free to impose whatever tax it wants but it isn't LVT if it starts factoring in the value of the building built on the land.

What is 'fair' and 'equitable' is completely subjective. If you have worked hard and invested your money in property when you could have frittered it away then is it fair that you then get taxed so heavily for this? These people have arguably made themselves more financially secure and less likely to be a burden on the state and yet you want to tax them further for simply owning an expensive property?

There are also pretty extensive unintended consequences to suddenly imposing huge tax increases on property owners. Many people that aren't homeowners have a stake in the property market through their pension funds. An LVT would place a huge burden on these funds.

KimberleyClark · 14/08/2024 10:06

0hshutupshirley · 14/08/2024 09:42

The thing is though - as a society we do need to start incentivising people to live in houses that are the right size for them. Nobody should be FORCED to downsize but it should be encouraged and considered the norm.

Sometimes life gets in the way. Friends were planning to downsize, then their son’s marriage abruptly ended, he moved back in with them (ex got marital home) and he has the children two or three nights a week. So they need the extra rooms. 🤷‍♀️

ForGreyKoala · 14/08/2024 09:59

BallooningBumblebee · 13/08/2024 16:12

Where people who work full time in minimum wage jobs cannot afford to house themselves this country is broken.

Where people on average jobs cannot afford to aspire to the security of home ownership this country is broken.

The young people in this country have realised this and are mightily annoyed. So many in older generations are ignoring this frustration.

Maybe look around a bit and you will see that it isn't only the UK where this is happening. I couldn't find a house here (NZ) for some of the cheaper prices I have seen in the UK.

XVGN · 14/08/2024 09:55

LoobyDoop2 · 14/08/2024 09:54

Presumably the Land Value Tax would be payable by the freeholder, not the leaseholder? That’s an excellent idea.

Absolutely!!

LoobyDoop2 · 14/08/2024 09:54

XVGN · 14/08/2024 08:07

Get rid of Stamp Duty and Council Tax. Introduce new taxes to raise the equivalent - Annual Land Value Tax and Poll Tax.

Stamp Duty is a daft tax only paid on specific purchases. It acts as a friction stopping people from moving - up, down and geographically for work.

Council Tax based on simple bands created 30 years ago is also daft. Mega mansions pay as much as homes a factor less. Some people avoid it altogether.

Annual Land Value Tax (ignore farms, forestry, etc for now) would apply to the amount of land owned, how it has been developed and its current value (the more your home is worth - the more tax you pay every year). Landlords would pay this tax along with homeowners. Will encourage (not mandate!) empty-nesters to give up large family homes. Second homeowners need to pay on second homes.

Poll Tax paid by every adult living at an address - homeowners and tenants - who benefit from local services. Brings equity when two equal homes are inhabited by one or four adults.

This should organically lower out of control house prices since out of control house prices would trigger corresponding tax bills. Tax bills will significantly increase in more expensive locations - such as Westminster.

A last measure would be to add house price growth management as a BoE target. Raise/reduce rates also corresponding to house prices.

Presumably the Land Value Tax would be payable by the freeholder, not the leaseholder? That’s an excellent idea.

GasPanic · 14/08/2024 09:53

BallooningBumblebee · 14/08/2024 08:29

This is exactly the answer, spoken by someone who really understands the issues.

Unfortunately it will never happen as wealthy pensioners feel they have the right to rattle around in massive houses paying minimal tax for the rest of their lives, and so won’t vote for it. C’mon Rachel Reeves, do you care about the younger voters? This is what you need to do, get on with it!

(spoken as someone who would get HAMMERED by these sorts of tax reforms but cares about my kid’s future).

People have the right to choose to live where they want, but the government should not subsidise people living in unsuitable properties.

It's good to see that the winter fuel payment has now been stopped, because this was another subsidy propping pensioners up in unsuitable houses.

MadameMassiveSalad · 14/08/2024 09:52

leenan · 13/08/2024 15:16

We have a high mortgage in London but DH and I enjoy our jobs and they aren't dangerous. Not all high paying jobs are unpleasant - most friends in a similar income bracket are happy with their careers. My peers and I aren't interested in moving to a cheaper area because we enjoy the leisure and arts opportunities here, and travel connections and diversity - most Londoners aren't living here purely because of proximity to work. And for our family, it works out well to build equity vs other investments - a period family home in our part of zone 2 is going to reliably increase, with no tax and we get the benefits of living in this area in the meantime.

Did you mean to sound so smug?

CaptainBolt · 14/08/2024 09:52

Yes, the same people who had access to these 50k houses in the 80s are now expecting their own kids and grandkids to buy them for half a million. One guess as to which generation they are... 🙄🙄🙄🙄

billysboy · 14/08/2024 09:52

until as a country we start building enough homes to create an oversupply then prices will not come down significantly
With all of the vested interest in this it is unlikely to happen and it would not help the economy with negative equity etc

MadameMassiveSalad · 14/08/2024 09:50

Prices will drop when people stop buying

XVGN · 14/08/2024 09:49

Bumpitybumper · 14/08/2024 09:03

Land Value Tax doesn't work in the way you seem to think it works. It specifically ignores the value of the buildings in the land or improvements you have made. Someone with a ramshackle old small bungalow on a large plot would pay the same as someone with a huge executive home. The value of the two houses would be vastly different but they would pay the same LVT.

You seem to think it can somehow be associated with the value of the property which would mean that it actually isn't LVT anymore and would remove many of the benefits of LVT which are around encouraging development.

LVT will work in the way in which a government chooses to implement it. In my view, two equivalent parcels of land - one with a mansion and one with a ramshackle bungalow - would pay different amounts: their overall values being different. You are taking the expression LVT too literally. It can be set up in the most equitable and logical way possible.

XVGN · 14/08/2024 09:46

D20 · 14/08/2024 09:00

Why land tax though? My house sits on just under an acre of woodland so I can’t build on it and it provides environmental (wildlife, carbon sequestration, drainage, sound reduction) benefits to the local area. Oh, and I have to pay for maintenance and management of the trees.

Edited

Well I did say ignore farms, forestry, etc for now. We're talking about the general principle. I would expect different classes of land to attract different rates.

XVGN · 14/08/2024 09:44

HeBeaverandSheBeaver · 14/08/2024 08:55

@BallooningBumblebee

I like the idea of scrapping council tax and having a land tax but I'm not sure about poll tax. That happened before and it was horrendous.

I was 19 when the council tax was Introduced I aren't a pittance and suddenly my
Parents had a huge bill. Ok it was my
Bill but I didn't have the money to pay it.
If it was done there need to be a low earner band and want about newly qualified students
Now that have loans to repay?? Add poll tax to them
Too.

I think a land tax that doesn't matter how
Many live there is better

Or just
Up income tax. That's the fairest way and scrap all other stupid taxes

It's a great point, but THAT poll tax took no account (as far as I remember) of house worth. In my model the poll tax would be a much smaller amount or proportion of the overall bill. It just feels fair that every adult enjoying council services should pay the same amount (ignoring the question of reliefs for specific cases).

0hshutupshirley · 14/08/2024 09:42

Tiredalwaystired · 14/08/2024 09:41

I hate comments like this. It dehumanises the pensioners who have just as might right to live in their home as anyone else. They live near friends, family and support networks and may have lived in the same home for fifty years or more. What right do you have to take all that away from someone because it’s essentially in your best interests and not theirs?

The thing is though - as a society we do need to start incentivising people to live in houses that are the right size for them. Nobody should be FORCED to downsize but it should be encouraged and considered the norm.

Tiredalwaystired · 14/08/2024 09:41

BallooningBumblebee · 14/08/2024 08:29

This is exactly the answer, spoken by someone who really understands the issues.

Unfortunately it will never happen as wealthy pensioners feel they have the right to rattle around in massive houses paying minimal tax for the rest of their lives, and so won’t vote for it. C’mon Rachel Reeves, do you care about the younger voters? This is what you need to do, get on with it!

(spoken as someone who would get HAMMERED by these sorts of tax reforms but cares about my kid’s future).

I hate comments like this. It dehumanises the pensioners who have just as might right to live in their home as anyone else. They live near friends, family and support networks and may have lived in the same home for fifty years or more. What right do you have to take all that away from someone because it’s essentially in your best interests and not theirs?

XVGN · 14/08/2024 09:40

0hshutupshirley · 14/08/2024 08:23

But surely poll tax would encourage people NOT to downsize? Since they'd be paying the same on a 1 bed to a 6 bed? Unless I'm missing something here...

No. I think that you are missing the combined effect. Yes, they would pay the same poll tax on the 1-bed but they would be paying far less LVT given the lower value of the one bed.

I haven't stipulated how much of the overall tax would come from the poll tax and how much would come from the LVT. In truth, there's no point trying to work that out until the principle Is agreed. But, it could be something like £50 pm per adult for the poll tax and the rest made up by LVT.