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Original poster

Is it a foregone conclusion now that labour will win?

183 replies

hangerba · 29/05/2024 20:30

That’s it really…

OP posts:
user1471453601 · 29/05/2024 20:46

As a Labour party member, I really don't take this election for granted, and I think I speak for the majority of Labour members.

When May went to.the electorate she had a 20% lead, it fell to 2% by voting day.

I said to my daughter, I'll start (but only "start") to believe Labour will win if (a big if) the exit polls echo the polls currently showing a Labour lead.

ask me again at about 3:00 am on 5/7.

HappiestSleeping · 29/05/2024 20:46

hangerba · 29/05/2024 20:45

@Sirzy what will it mean if they are not a majority government? Will they be able to put all their policies in place?

Show quote history

They will have to try and form a coalition in the way that the Conservatives did with the Liberal Democrats a few years ago.

Original poster
hangerba · 29/05/2024 20:45

Sirzy · 29/05/2024 20:33

I think realistically the biggest question is if they will win by enough to form a majority government. I think that is unlikely but I do think they will have the most seats.

@Sirzy what will it mean if they are not a majority government? Will they be able to put all their policies in place?

OP posts:
HappiestSleeping · 29/05/2024 20:44

NeelyOHara1 · 29/05/2024 20:40

A party called None of the Above would probably win if it existed.

There is, sort of. Spoilt papers are counted and are as close as we have to the good old Brewster's "none of the above".

NeelyOHara1 · 29/05/2024 20:40

A party called None of the Above would probably win if it existed.

pointythings · 29/05/2024 20:37

I think they will get in with a large majority, though the polls will tighten. Tactical voting will play a part, and with their policies the Tories have increased political engagement among younger voters - they are ANGRY. I'm not sure it will be a 1997 style landslide, but equally I wouldn't rule that out either.

I live in Suffolk, which is very Tory indeed, and people here are angry too. Some will not vote, some will vote Reform and split the Conservative vote. Some will remain loyal.

Recent polling shows that the Tories have now even lost their lead among voters over 70.

Sirzy · 29/05/2024 20:33

I think realistically the biggest question is if they will win by enough to form a majority government. I think that is unlikely but I do think they will have the most seats.

HappiestSleeping · 29/05/2024 20:33

Nothing is ever guaranteed with politics. It does seem that the Conservatives have given up though evidenced by how many are stepping down. Also, Sunak wants to move to America, so has probably set the date sooner than expected so that he can crack on with his move.

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