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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To wonder what the NHS will be like in 10 years?

90 replies

Makemeanothercupofteaplease · 12/12/2023 17:34

What do you think it will be like? Will it be restructured, so it is once again the envy of the world? How can that be done?

I don't live in the UK anymore but family and friends I love are there so it is something I think about. The current state worries me. Healthcare in general worries me to be fair as someone with autoimmune conditions, I have good quality care where I am now but in 10 years time will it be affordable...I don't know.

I think medical care in general is becoming precarious everywhere as the best treatments just get more and more expensive. Then we also have anti-biotic resistance and superbugs to factor in.

How do you think the NHS will fare in the future? What will healthcare in general be like down the line?

OP posts:
headcheffer · 12/12/2023 18:41

It will be just through another restructure - these happen about every ten years. It's just been through one now, and the last one was around 2012/3. This one is about more localised care, a move away from centralised assurance processes/directions, and towards more preventative health care.

I imagine the next one will be back to more centralised top down ways of working.

LemonCandle · 12/12/2023 18:41

What does your focus group think, OP? Are you working for an agency or for a party themselves? Are you hearing what you want to hear from this demographic?

MorrisZapp · 12/12/2023 18:38

Ten years ago everyone said in ten years there'll be no NHS, we'll be like America.

But we still very much have an NHS. I've had amazing treatment this year, so has my mum.

Youcannotbeseriousreally · 12/12/2023 18:37

Honestly? I’d like it gone. The only way to save it now is to totally stop. Then start again. I’d much rather contribute financially than have the shit offer now. There is absolutely a better , more cost effective model.

But all the directors and managers need to go. Then rebuild.

bryceQ · 12/12/2023 18:35

Hollyhead · 12/12/2023 18:16

I think this is one area where AI will be very useful, lots of dr’s time will be freed up by technology that does a better job than a human- analysis test results etc.

I actually wish this would be the case but think how slow the NHS has been to adapt to even basic technology. You can't sign up for email alerts over paper letters. No unified systems. NHS staff seem to spend an eternity inputting information which all could be speeded up. Only some GPs have online booking. It's decades behind where technology is in other sectors.

hopeishere · 12/12/2023 18:35

I agree @CoatOfArms when was it the envy of the world??

More people will go private so they will max capacity there and it will have to be a hybrid model.

CoatOfArms · 12/12/2023 18:30

When was it ever the "envy of the world"? I have no time for this fetishisation of the NHS. It is an unwieldy, inefficient beast of an organisation which might have been fit for purpose in the 1950s but certainly isn't now.

It needs a bomb putting underneath it and for us to move towards a European model. Like they have in the Netherlands, France or Germany. This idea that everything will be hunky dory if Labour get in, or if we pour another few billion into the black funding hole is just crazy.

CaroleSinger · 12/12/2023 18:27

There won't be an NHS as we know it in 10 years time. What they will do is systematically run it down until it gets so poor and underfunded that we start going private instead because anything will seem better than what we are left with.

baileybrosbuildingandloan · 12/12/2023 18:24

Depends on the next 2 General Elections.

Redlarge · 12/12/2023 18:24

It wont exist... not even in 5 years

NotTerfNorCis · 12/12/2023 18:19

It depends whether we have a Labour or Conservative government. If Tory, the NHS will still be very much there, but in a worsened state. Under Labour, I think it will still degrade but not as badly. Labour need to invest in social care. That would take some of the strain off the NHS.

Hollyhead · 12/12/2023 18:16

I think this is one area where AI will be very useful, lots of dr’s time will be freed up by technology that does a better job than a human- analysis test results etc.

LouLaBear23 · 12/12/2023 18:12

It’s probably difficult to quantify in years but actually, 10 years is quite a long time.

Perhaps a bit leftfield as a comparison, and obviously there are different elements here (some legal) such as the government perhaps having a duty of care re providing a health service, but we weren’t prepared for COVID, didn’t see it coming and we, as a society, just had to deal with it. Of course, I’m not saying that I want to lose the NHS but in my limited experience of using it recently, it shocked me just how overstretched it is.

I think it will very much be like the US; private healthcare financed by the individual through insurance or as an employment ‘benefit’ or a basic/dire need access to healthcare for free for those who can’t afford it.

Makemeanothercupofteaplease · 12/12/2023 17:55

LouLaBear23 · 12/12/2023 17:50

I don’t think the NHS will exist in 10 years’ time, sadly. It will be private healthcare for the majority with access for those who can’t afford that.

Well, I could see that as a reality in the further years ahead but surely not so soon as only 10 years?

The country isn't prepared for that shift within 10 years. I have loved ones who are barely making ends meet with the cost of living crisis as it is, additional private healthcare costs are unthinkable.

OP posts:
LouLaBear23 · 12/12/2023 17:50

I don’t think the NHS will exist in 10 years’ time, sadly. It will be private healthcare for the majority with access for those who can’t afford that.