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To wonder what the NHS will be like in 10 years?

90 replies

Makemeanothercupofteaplease · 12/12/2023 17:34

What do you think it will be like? Will it be restructured, so it is once again the envy of the world? How can that be done?

I don't live in the UK anymore but family and friends I love are there so it is something I think about. The current state worries me. Healthcare in general worries me to be fair as someone with autoimmune conditions, I have good quality care where I am now but in 10 years time will it be affordable...I don't know.

I think medical care in general is becoming precarious everywhere as the best treatments just get more and more expensive. Then we also have anti-biotic resistance and superbugs to factor in.

How do you think the NHS will fare in the future? What will healthcare in general be like down the line?

OP posts:
Circumferences · 12/12/2023 20:29

...the NHS. It is an unwieldy, inefficient beast of an organisation

America has a mostly privatised system.
The US government still spends about twice as much per head compared to the UK on population healthcare (even taking into account Obamacare which applies to a tiny minority of the population, and was introduced only recently). Privatisation is less efficient for the government in practice.

Our model worked for decades until endless Tory cuts got to it.

DojaPhat · 12/12/2023 20:28

But to answer the question, the NHS won't exist in 10 years. The reason it's so unwieldy, bureaucratic and at ground level described as a 'war zone', is intentional. The saving grace you'll soon realise is a tory somewhere who just coincidentally happens to own a clinic here or there and so forth.

DojaPhat · 12/12/2023 20:25

roarrfeckingroar · 12/12/2023 19:58

It has never been the "envy of the world"

To be fair to the Brits (I am one though not native), they appear to also think their democracy, parliament, railways, pretty much anything you can think of was once 'the envy of the world'. A leftover from the heady days of imperialism.

Makemeanothercupofteaplease · 12/12/2023 20:23

Coolstorysis · 12/12/2023 20:19

Tbh I have not heard anyone online saying god I wished I lived in the UK tbh. We are so egocentric.

Do you have medical conditions that cost a lot of money to treat?

In those contexts, people very much wished they lived in the UK to access the NHS.

OP posts:
Radiatorvalves · 12/12/2023 20:22

DH works as a very senior manager in the nhs. Recently asked me what I would do about private medical cover when I retire… I’ve had a few issues and used private medical insurance several times. But I doubt it’s sustainable in retirement…. So much has changed since 2010 when the defunding came in. But while I blame the tories for a lot, with an aging population I don’t think the nhs is sustainable. The amount my elderly parents cost the nhs is staggering. 30/40 years ago they’d have been dead. Now they are having multiple appointments a week to keep them heading towards 90. I’ve not seen dr for…. Years.

Coolstorysis · 12/12/2023 20:19

Tbh I have not heard anyone online saying god I wished I lived in the UK tbh. We are so egocentric.

BotterMon · 12/12/2023 20:18

CoatOfArms · 12/12/2023 18:30

When was it ever the "envy of the world"? I have no time for this fetishisation of the NHS. It is an unwieldy, inefficient beast of an organisation which might have been fit for purpose in the 1950s but certainly isn't now.

It needs a bomb putting underneath it and for us to move towards a European model. Like they have in the Netherlands, France or Germany. This idea that everything will be hunky dory if Labour get in, or if we pour another few billion into the black funding hole is just crazy.

Absolutely this. Perfectly put!

Coolstorysis · 12/12/2023 20:17

Was it ever the envy of the world? I have never heard it.

VanityDiesHard · 12/12/2023 20:16

Non existent. It hasn't been fit for purpose for a long time. Covid showed us that very clearly. It's why we had to lock down for nearly two years and trash our economy in the process.

Makemeanothercupofteaplease · 12/12/2023 20:14

roarrfeckingroar · 12/12/2023 19:58

It has never been the "envy of the world"

It really was, at one point. It might be a complete shambles now, but it once was high quality healthcare free at point of use. That is a huge benefit to people able to access it.

In fairness I am biased, as I'd have died by my twenties if it weren't for the NHS.

OP posts:
roarrfeckingroar · 12/12/2023 19:58

It has never been the "envy of the world"

SALWARP2023 · 12/12/2023 19:53

Even parts of private sector are overstretched. My DH needed his gallbladder removed. 2 years wait on NHS so looked into going private. 2 month wait for a consultation! Travelled 120 miles to a new private hospital. Cost in excess of £11k. New private hospital opening near us soon but I didn't know about it. Can I add he got sepsis as a result of NHS failing to remove it in the beginning.

PostItInABook · 12/12/2023 19:35

The NHS was never designed to do everything that people expect of it nowadays. It needs to be stripped right back in terms of what it offers to patients so it’s resources can be used for what it’s original purpose was. It is taken advantage of on a daily basis and there is very little personal responsibility for health and well being taken by the general public. That needs to change quite frankly.

Spacecowboys · 12/12/2023 19:24

I love the original idea behind the nhs, that everyone regardless of money or wealth could access healthcare free at the point of delivery. Unfortunately, the complexities of today’s health care system mean it isn’t sustainable. A population that lives longer, transplants , various elective surgeries, joint replacements, extremely expensive drug treatments, vaccination programmes, the list goes on. It’s not simply about mis- management by whichever govt is ‘ in power’ , as a population we simply cannot afford the nhs anymore. It was not designed for the advances we have made in medicine. The sentiment behind the original idea has also been lost and replaced with contempt for nhs workers and the system in its entirety in all honesty. It will not be the wealthy who feel its loss either, it will be those who need it most.

the80sweregreat · 12/12/2023 19:22

I dread to think tbh and I'm dreading getting older.
A lady called lbc earlier on saying that her dad was on a trolley in a and e and she described it as ' a war zone ' and he'd been there 30 hours already without any hope of a bed on a ward
It's never been perfect , but it's definitely going to get worse.

Makemeanothercupofteaplease · 12/12/2023 19:13

LemonCandle · 12/12/2023 18:41

What does your focus group think, OP? Are you working for an agency or for a party themselves? Are you hearing what you want to hear from this demographic?

I'm not working for anyone 🙄I have been chronically ill since I was a child, I have loved ones who are medically vulnerable.

OP posts:
Makemeanothercupofteaplease · 12/12/2023 19:09

When was it ever the "envy of the world"? I have no time for this fetishisation of the NHS. It is an unwieldy, inefficient beast of an organisation which might have been fit for purpose in the 1950s but certainly isn't now.

It definitely was the envy of the world when I was a child, teenager and uni student.

Other people with my conditions sometimes just die if their parents can't afford treatment. I first realised this when I joined online support groups at uni.

OP posts:
Tracker1234 · 12/12/2023 18:55

Josh. It does t surprise me! I was a supplier to the NHS for many years. Parts of it are truly in the dark ages and the worst thing is

THEY DONT WANT TO CHANGE AND TRAIN THEIR STAFF WHATSOEVER IN ANY NEW TECHNOLOGIES.

JoshLymanIsHotterThanSam · 12/12/2023 18:50

As someone who works for NHS I reckon it’ll go one of two ways, collapse and rebuild, or just collapse.

It’s a fucking mess that’s for sure.

The idea of state healthcare is so perfect but the leaps in technology in the last 75 years since it was founded have not filtered in properly.

The trust I work in STILL uses paper notes! We have a medical records library with thousands of blue folders of patient records that in the grand old year of 2023 we still haven’t computerised! The amount of these folders that go missing on a daily basis is frightening, we actually have an email address dedicated to missing notes. Patients are missing surgery because notes cannot be found!

MissBuffyAnneSummers · 12/12/2023 18:49

I'd be astonished if it exists.

It's broken and needs change. Shovelling money at it doesn't work.

I know so many people who've had to go private as they can't wait years for treatment and are in pain.

Time for some form of insurance.

Tracker1234 · 12/12/2023 18:46

Not Fast - agree too! People dont want to think about their health and take responsibility for it because the good old NHS will sort them out. After all they have paid their taxes - oh wait….

NotFastButFurious · 12/12/2023 18:42

Youcannotbeseriousreally · 12/12/2023 18:37

Honestly? I’d like it gone. The only way to save it now is to totally stop. Then start again. I’d much rather contribute financially than have the shit offer now. There is absolutely a better , more cost effective model.

But all the directors and managers need to go. Then rebuild.

To be fair, anyone who pays tax is already contributing to it financially yet I doubt few would be happy paying direct for the levels of service they receive, and many people will be paying tax and also paying or being provided with private medical care. My only fear about abolishing it completely is that once again it’ll be the squeezed middle who suffer because those on low incomes and benefits will get free access and those at the top of the tree won’t think twice about paying to go private, and everyone else will have to suck it up and find the cash.

TooBigForMyBoots · 12/12/2023 18:42

I think it will be GP, emergency and geriatric/palliative care only.

Everything else will be contracted outside the UK.

Tracker1234 · 12/12/2023 18:41

Coat is right. Fgs - let people co pay. There is nothing wrong with the European model. Stop with the USA model. It’s shouted out by people who want to scare us. We cannot keep pouring money in. Have you seen the waste going on within the NHS?

FixTheBone · 12/12/2023 18:41

hopeishere · 12/12/2023 18:35

I agree @CoatOfArms when was it the envy of the world??

More people will go private so they will max capacity there and it will have to be a hybrid model.

2013, since you asked.

To wonder what the NHS will be like in 10 years?