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To think it's not a foregone conclusion that Labour will win the next election?

471 replies

flashbac · 27/11/2023 09:45

I am seeing things here and there predicting Keir Starmer being our next prime minister etc, as if its already been decided.

I won't be voting for them under Keir that's for sure. Their stance on Gaza is the straw that broke the camel's back. I don't care if the Tories get in again. I am so disenfranchised I dont give a shit and at least with the Tories its "better the devil you know" and not Labour pretending they give a shit about people/human rights.

OP posts:
curaçao · 27/11/2023 11:04

FourFourOne · 27/11/2023 09:52

Labour and Starmer have been such a massive disappointment- considering the mess the Tories have made, it SHOULD be easy for Labour to get in. But they seem to be tying themselves up in knots, making all kinds of messes, and are simply not a credible opposition at all. I am so angry at the state of Labour and I just cannot vote for them as things stand right now.

They are 20 points ahead!

SlightlyJaded · 27/11/2023 11:03

I have never felt so politically homeless as I do right now.

I cannot believe that we don't have a credible party to vote for. My heart wants to vote Labour but it worries me that given the absolute shameless, self serving mess the Tories have created, neither Labour nor Lib Dem have elevated themselves to the point where it is 'no contest'.

The fact that people are still considering voting Tory - despite everything we have seen and know - shows you just how poor Labour and Lib Dem are as options. I actually think Lib Dems should be ashamed of themselves - they should have looked at the government, looked at Keir and seen that this was a chance for them to pull a coherent and viable party together and do a clean sweep. The fact that they are still completely irrelevant - even now - is a joke.

thebellagio · 27/11/2023 11:03

Looking at my MP, he has had a 65% majority for the last three elections.

The second place labour candidate only received 19% share of the vote. There literally is no point in me bloody voting in this area!

Frasers · 27/11/2023 11:03

NoCloudsAllowed · 27/11/2023 11:01

Cameron becoming leader and taking us back into the EU to undo the harm he's done to the country - that I might just vote for :)

I’m not sure the population feel he did it as such, he was against it, I think they think it was Boris and co who were responsible.

Frasers · 27/11/2023 11:02

Treaclesandwich · 27/11/2023 10:56

There’s no such thing as a dead cert but it’s going to take something cataclysmic for the outcome to be anything other than a Labour majority. For the Tories, it’s damage limitation only, the best they can realistically hope for is to limit the losses to something respectable. There is a serious chance that it could be a historic battering for them.

I don’t think it’s that extreme to be honest, general elections are always very different to locals. And the bloody noses governments get in power don’t always translate at ge time.

a huge amount of people are still very uncertain about labours policies and keirs ability to be pm, and as said, the tories are already making populist moves like cutting income tax and freezing duty on booze, increasing national wage, increasing pensions. They will do a lot more of this in the next 6 months. And I suspect someone else make take over from sunak to lead them through the ge. Cameron could be back for a reason. He didn’t want brexit. With some populist moves, and a change at the top, I don’t think it’s a foregone conclusion, but do think it will be tight.

six to nine months is a long time in politics and the tories are starting to make their moves.

NoCloudsAllowed · 27/11/2023 11:01

Frasers · 27/11/2023 10:55

I think if there was an election today, yes labour would win. Nut Tory have already started making populist moves.and they will continue . I’d also assume that sunak will be taken out of power, and someone else will lead them in the next election. Who remains to be seen. No natural successor. I do wonder if Cameron could throw his hat back in the ring.

Cameron becoming leader and taking us back into the EU to undo the harm he's done to the country - that I might just vote for :)

Treaclesandwich · 27/11/2023 11:00

Frasers · 27/11/2023 10:55

I think if there was an election today, yes labour would win. Nut Tory have already started making populist moves.and they will continue . I’d also assume that sunak will be taken out of power, and someone else will lead them in the next election. Who remains to be seen. No natural successor. I do wonder if Cameron could throw his hat back in the ring.

Cameron would have to renounce the peerage and stand to be an MP to “throw his hat into the ring”.

Being Foreign Secretary from the House of Lords is one thing. Being Prime Minister would be unprecedented in the modern era - the last time it happened was 121 years ago. In 1963, the Lord Home had to renounce his peerage and be elected to the Commons to become Prime Minister.

justteanbiscuits · 27/11/2023 11:00

I will be voting labour, and campaigning for them, to get rid of of the utter utter arsehole of a Tory MP. He stands for everything I am against and is pointless on a local level.

NoCloudsAllowed · 27/11/2023 11:00

@thebellagio do you have to be a dodgy person to go into politics, or does politics make you dodgy?

I think you have to be a slimeball, most of the time. To be chosen as a candidate. To progress anywhere.

I have a vision of politics once being about being in an industry, having a perspective of how things could be improved, going into politics as an act of public service to change things and make use of your expertise, skill and connections. (This may be rose-tinted, maybe it was ever thus).

Now it seems to be just a game where you have to be power hungry and prepared to take epic volumes of shit to get anywhere, or else get parachuted in because you're all chums from Eton.

I think postwar politics had so many substantial figures who had been through wartime trials and had proper heft and vision in terms of what it means to suffer or to persevere, what collective good means, what it means to build a better country. Nowadays it's all just a cynical game between lightweights whose sum total of work experience is a few years turning in newspaper columns or doing PR a bit.

MumblesParty · 27/11/2023 10:58

I think we’ll end up with coalition. People will vote Lib Dem as they don’t like the Tories or Labour, but the Lib Dems won’t get enough votes on their own, so they’ll form a coalition with whoever they like best.

ActDottie · 27/11/2023 10:58

I’ll be voting Lib Dem as that’s what I need to do to get the tories out in our area.

Personally I think the tories have had enough time in power and I think we need a party which is different. All I care about it getting the tories out even though I’ll probably be taxed more as a result but quite frankly the country needs it as public services are so underfunded.

user1497207191 · 27/11/2023 10:57

TripleDaisySummer · 27/11/2023 10:51

Education secretary should be someone who has actually taught in a state school and understands the system....

Estelle Morris though she resigned - she also said she felt she had more influence as junior education secretary - which tallies for me with things Rory Stewart said in interview with Mary Beard about how ministries they have to rely on others to get things done and they can feel powerless and ineffectual at top.

I don't think that people understand that the "true" power is with the senior civil servants in the ministries, i.e. the Sir Humphrey's from Yes Minister. Ministers are merely just figureheads and most havn't the faintest idea about the detail of their portfolios.

Same in local councils, where councillors themselves have little power/influence over the council officials who actually run the councils, make decisions, etc.

Often the "elected" representatives are given options by the permanent staff, and don't really have the power to come up with their own ideas. A bit like a senior official giving the minister a choice of having his leg cut off or his arm cut off - ministers/councillors with their own ideas are usually shot down in a blitz of reasons why it can't possibly happen!

bombastix · 27/11/2023 10:57

Honestly unless there is a sea change I think it's a Labour government for a decade. The numbers look like that. And my money is on that outcome.

TheLonelyStarbucksLovers · 27/11/2023 10:57

I’d love it if a Labour victory was a foregone conclusion, but I’m old enough to remember 1992…

For me what the Tories have overseen since 2010 in terms of UK poverty levels, and child poverty levels in particular, is unforgivable and inhumane. Other issues must take second place to this.

KimberleyClark · 27/11/2023 10:57

How anyone could think that anything could be worse than the current Tory government is beyond me.

Treaclesandwich · 27/11/2023 10:56

There’s no such thing as a dead cert but it’s going to take something cataclysmic for the outcome to be anything other than a Labour majority. For the Tories, it’s damage limitation only, the best they can realistically hope for is to limit the losses to something respectable. There is a serious chance that it could be a historic battering for them.

comfyoldcardi · 27/11/2023 10:56

I very much doubt Tim Farron would have made his top priorities the mutilation and sterilization of children, the removal of women's rights, nor would he have accepted hundreds of thousands of pounds from a company making puberty blockers. But as a practicing christian he was apparently unacceptable.
The Green party is just as bad.
There is no party to vote for. What choice do we have when faced with such greed, corruption, incompetence and ignorance on all sides?

Fieldofbrokenpromises · 27/11/2023 10:56

Acheyknees · 27/11/2023 10:26

Probably lots of votes for independents too

eh? What are you talking about?

thebellagio · 27/11/2023 10:56

We had dodgy politicians long before Boris! All political parties have had their share of corrupt, dishonest and incompetent people in positions of power and influence. It's nothing new. Scandals go back decades.

I know that, @user1497207191 but before, it always felt like one or two dodgy people, but most with a general desire to do good. This lot feel like they are ALL in it for themselves, regardless of what their constituents want.

I dunno, I just feel like every single one of the them is a bit corrupt now. I can't think of anyone that I would say is genuinely honest and trying to make the world a better place for others.

Frasers · 27/11/2023 10:55

I think if there was an election today, yes labour would win. Nut Tory have already started making populist moves.and they will continue . I’d also assume that sunak will be taken out of power, and someone else will lead them in the next election. Who remains to be seen. No natural successor. I do wonder if Cameron could throw his hat back in the ring.

TripleDaisySummer · 27/11/2023 10:54

I'm hoping a decent independent stands locally but if not, I have no idea who I will vote for.

I have a nationalist party and possible independent that may stand or have in the past - so will have a look at all the smaller parties though don't think they stand much chance of getting the seat here.

MumblesParty · 27/11/2023 10:53

I think the number of people not voting will be at an all-time high. I have voted in every single election since I turned 18 nearly 40 years ago, and for the first time ever I’m considering not voting, as I genuinely have no idea which party I want to win. They all seem to have aspects to them that are awful. I’m sure I’m not the only one who feels this way.

user1497207191 · 27/11/2023 10:53

@thebellagio

Absolutely. This is one of the reasons why I think that Boris has been so damaging to UK politics, because he was SO dodgy, and openly so - yet the electorate seemed to lap it up. Hes pretty much destroyed politics, because everyone is tarred with the same brush now. It begs the question, do you have to be a dodgy person to go into politics, or does politics make you dodgy?

We had dodgy politicians long before Boris! All political parties have had their share of corrupt, dishonest and incompetent people in positions of power and influence. It's nothing new. Scandals go back decades.

BigBoysDontCry · 27/11/2023 10:53

Labour used to be the party for ordinary working people who were looking for fair distribution of wealth, access to good services (health, education etc) and support for the disadvantaged.

Its demographic has changed and imo not for the better.

Vintagevixen · 27/11/2023 10:52

Not sure if they will get in or not - Tories are doing so badly it's hard to imagine a decent opposition not getting in.

However, Starmer is alienating people like me - voted Labour all my life, but his treatment of Rosie Duffield is abhorrent, pandering to gender woo, ignoring the rights of women and safeguarding of children.

So I won't be voting for Labour for the first time ever, I won't be voting at all. So who knows?