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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think we cannot afford to support Ukraine anymore

905 replies

Saysomething1234 · 04/01/2023 21:38

This may be an unpopular opinion but it is annoying me to no end and NC

We have a littany of issues crying out for funding domestically - NHS broken. Economy going down the drain. Pound down 20% in one year. Public services collapsing, Education system requiring re-investment, high taxes driving talent out. We can keep blaming our politicians but someone needs to prioritise where money goes - and no one is willing to talk about this

Yet we are spending hundreds of billions in supporting Ukraine in a war which has nothing to do with us. Yes we are morally supporting them but is there no amount which will be too much? We are paying both directly (through weapons and aid) and indirectly (through huge energy subsidies - last totalling north of £200bn) - we need to stop this spending, reduce energy prices, stop this craziness

How is this war something we can afford on the basis on principles and why aren't we more aggressively pushing for a negotiated settlement?

We cannot afford this. It sucks for Ukrainians but this is not UK's bill to foot.

AIBU?

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Autumnnewname · 05/01/2023 02:57

jeannie46 · 05/01/2023 00:48

The situation in Ukraine is complex. I have been trying to fathom the positions of all parties.

There has been a civil war going on since 2014 when the elected President Yanukovych who wanted Ukraine to be non aligned, was deposed. The Donetz People's Republic was set up in the Russian speaking Donbass and been recognised by some 7 states. Ukraine has been fighting 'the terrorists' from their point of view, ever since, defending the integrity of the Ukrainian State.

Ukraine is split between Russian speakers ( largely in the East and South ( Crimea eg ) and those who speak Ukrainian largely in the North and West. Historically I think Kviv was founded by the Rus who gave their name to the country Russia.

From the Russian point of view they and the Russian speakers in Ukraine are concerned about a hang over from WW2 when some Ukrainians supported the invading German Nazis. Some Nazi Organisations eg Azov Battalions have been adopted into the current Ukrainian armed forces. (These organisations have eg organised pogroms against the Roma, broken up meetings organised on International Women's Day etc. )

The Ukrainian Government has banned all opposition political parties and has banned all Trade Unions and confiscated their assets.

The US do not appreciate that using the Azov Battalions etc will only help Putin to play on the memory of the trauma of WW2 to keep the Russian population supporting him.

Putin claims that the US broke the agreement with Gorbachev at the end of the Cold War 1989-90 that Nato would not expand further East. He feels that it was betrayal of International Law.

Somewhere there has to be a peace negotiated for the sake of the people of the Ukraine.

I'm betting you're an anti vaxxer too

Everything you have posted is just wrong. Every bit of it

Findingmypurposeinlife · 05/01/2023 02:38

Britain's cold War with Russia has always been on the radar, even if (superficially) it looked to have thawed.
But that certainly never stopped the Government encouraging almost £2 billion worth of Russian investment in the UK. (Separate from the donations to British Political parties)

And you really don't need to be a Political analyst to raise an eyebrow and question the integrity of such 'investments' especially considering the fragility of British / Russian relations is historic.

The Government has just annouced an increase in investment in Security and Intelligence Agencies to £3.7 billion over the next three years, and current defence budgets are set at £48billion.

Meanwhile 14.5 million people are estimated to be living in poverty in the UK.

End of life charity Marie Cure recently published the findings of a research report stating that 90,000 people die in poverty each year in the UK and have subsequently launched a campaign to give dying people early access to their state pension. Let's see how that pans out.

Autumnnewname · 05/01/2023 02:26

theworldhas · 04/01/2023 22:40

Many predicted NATO expansionism would lead to war.

Strobe Talbott, deputy secretary of state, similarly described the Russian attitude. “Many Russians see Nato as a vestige of the cold war, inherently directed against their country. They point out that they have disbanded the Warsaw Pact, their military alliance, and ask why the west should not do the same.” It was an excellent question, and neither the Clinton administration nor its successors provided even a remotely convincing answer.

George Kennan, the intellectual father of America’s containment policy during the cold war, perceptively warned in a May 1998 New York Times interview about what the Senate’s ratification of Nato’s first round of expansion would set in motion. “I think it is the beginning of a new cold war,” Kennan stated. ”I think the Russians will gradually react quite adversely and it will affect their policies. I think it is a tragic mistake. There was no reason for this whatsoever. No one was threatening anybody else.”

He was right, but US and Nato leaders proceeded with new rounds of expansion, including the provocative step of adding the three Baltic republics. Those countries not only had been part of the Soviet Union, but they had also been part of Russia’s empire during the Czarist era. That wave of expansion now had Nato perched on the border of the Russian Federation.

Moscow’s patience with Nato’s ever more intrusive behavior was wearing thin. The last reasonably friendly warning from Russia that the alliance needed to back off came in March 2007, when Putin addressed the annual Munich security conference. “Nato has put its frontline forces on our borders,” Putin complained. Nato expansion “represents a serious provocation that reduces the level of mutual trust. And we have the right to ask: against whom is this expansion intended? And what happened to the assurances our western partners made after the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact?”

www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/feb/28/nato-expansion-war-russia-ukraine

Russia’s invasion is wrong, but the West deliberately broke its promises and continually pushed Russia’s buttons and here we are.

Ah right. We made them do it

It's fuck all business of Russia what sovereign nations choose to do.

Autumnnewname · 05/01/2023 02:20

ImAvingOops · 04/01/2023 22:27

I'm all for helping refugees but I agree that we shouldn't be committing money we haven't got to Ukraine, beyond the humanitarian aid.
Our own country is coming apart at the seams. It would be lovely if we were able to right injustice throughout the world but this requires all countries that value human rights, to behave as one cohesive unit and it also requires many more resources than the UK currently has available.
The EU countries seem very quiet compared to the UK on Ukraine - I wonder why.

the EU countries are not "quiet"

Even Macron has come up trumps today

ChungusBoi · 05/01/2023 02:00

To the OP: there are numerous reasons for the UK to support Ukraine, but also, follow the money. Yes it costs to support Ukraine but don’t forget that the UK’s defence industry is benefiting financially from the war. The share price for BAE systems leapt up when Putin declared war in Feb 2022 and has remained high.

The damage that Russian forces have inflicted on Ukrainian infrastructure if Ukraine win, will at some point need to be repaired. The support the UK is offering may open doors to lucrative opportunities for British engineering and construction companies, and companies in other sectors when it is time to rebuild. And once rebuilt, Ukraine is potentially an exciting trading partner, with rich soils, natural resources and an educated population, quite a few of whom will speak English.

For Ukrainians reading, I am happy that the UK is offering significant support to help your nation defeat Putin and his army. It is the only morally acceptable course of action. I want very much for you to have your lives and country restored. 🇺🇦

ClareBlue · 05/01/2023 01:56

The balticc states will be next if he wins in Ukraine. High ethnic Russian populations who don't have the same rights as non Russians in Estonia and Latvia. He will go in to protect them, or so he will say. Then we have a legal obligation to send our military to fight on the ground as they are all in Nato. He already runs supplies through lithuania to Russian kalingrad and when they said they were going to prevent it he said he would invade them. Then the cost will be dead UK citizens not higher heating bills.

Iamnotalemming · 05/01/2023 01:55

Energy prices and energy security issues have come about because of the sanctions imposed internationally on Russia. That will continue to have an impact on the UK domestically even if the UK stopped providing financial and military aid direct to Ukraine.

Unless OP thinks the UK should drop the sanctions and buy some cheap gas from Russia ...

Fluffnotscruffy · 05/01/2023 01:53

Saysomething1234 · 04/01/2023 22:54

Falkland islands, if you must ask. if it saves the rest of the country.

Nah, too far away for Putin. Northern Ireland would be a better option.

Sarcasm aside, I hope this thread does not get pulled given the excellent contributions from well informed posters counter arguing the OPs disingenuous opening question.

WinterSnowing · 05/01/2023 01:45

We are incredibly fortunate not to have our homes wrecked and friends die around us. Completely puts our problems in perspective. Of course we should continue to help. It’s also a drop on the ocean compared to our nations spend (and what has been wasted from deals in our present government with their mates). Wake up OP!

Findingmypurposeinlife · 05/01/2023 01:41

And I bet the Government have never handed back over £3million of funding (at least) that they have received from Soviet born donors.

In fact, just days after Boris 'warned' Putin about invading Ukraine, the Conservative party happily accepted a £65,000 donation from the wife of one of Putin's former aides!

Oh, the hypocrisy.

JassyRadlett · 05/01/2023 01:41

where did he say it is the worse case outcome for the west? I think he is saying a compromise is better because it allows putin to save face.

Nope. Literally not what he said. On his own LinkedIn.

His view is that a negotiated settlement that left Putin on the world stage and having made territorial gains would make him the winner/lesser loser because it would mean a fractured western alliance, a weaker NATO and a signal that western sanctions were ineffective. Putin would be relatively strengthened compared to the west - thus, the 'lesser loser'.

He's a fan of the rules based international system, it seems from his writings, and said at the start that he saw the conflict as a test of the power of US and Western sanctions in how the world order lines up.

Honestly, if you're going to invoke someone you should check what they've actually said about the issue under discussion.

blueshoes · 05/01/2023 01:37

Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 01:17

I wish the US would feel the energy price pain the same way we do - or foot the £500b bill that Europe is paying for. I'd feel a lot less aggrieved then.

instead this www.ft.com/content/0a78d7e8-c148-41a2-ba9e-6fedd89d2e04

Not sure why US needs to feel any energy price pain. This is apropos of nothing.

Do you think the US somehow responsible for the shit show, not Putin? Old thought patterns are hard to break. Careful, you are starting to show your true colours, Russian bot.

blueshoes · 05/01/2023 01:30

Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 01:13

Ray Dalio is the same guy who founded the largest and most successful hedge fund in the world called Bridgewater Associates

Also he is American btw. Not a russian bot.

Right out of the bot playbook to quote useful idiots in the West. You must keep a list of them to pull out of the bag from time to time.

Greenshake · 05/01/2023 01:29

@Saysomething1234 as has been pointed out numerous times, you are one of them.

SproutsLCerVEGNoEgg · 05/01/2023 01:28

@Saysomething1234

youre just being deliberately provocative now.

it's past your bedtime.

night night

Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 01:26

Greenshake · 05/01/2023 01:22

These are some unbelievable people on here. The ignorance and/or callousness is terrible.

totally agree with you on this one

its as if they dont understand basic maths. Maybe sunak is on to something

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Greenshake · 05/01/2023 01:22

These are some unbelievable people on here. The ignorance and/or callousness is terrible.

SproutsLCerVEGNoEgg · 05/01/2023 01:22

Saysomething1234 · 04/01/2023 22:16

So the UK should go and pay for everything which is terrible in the world? are you for real?

It's better to be quiet & thought an idiot, , than to open your mouth & prove it.

read what people are posting FFS

Findingmypurposeinlife · 05/01/2023 01:21

The UK Government literally uses millions upon millions of pounds of taxpayer's money to fight in actual and proxy wars. They also trade weapons with selective dictatorships because it benefits them to do so. Most taxpayers are not even clued up about the full extent.

Yet, on the other hand, British Veterans who were used in horrific Nuclear testing as guinea pigs by the Government have been kicked to the kerb, stopped from getting compensation or recognition and are being silenced despite years of campaigning.

Never trust what the Government tells you. They will use civilians suffering to invoke sympathy but when they are dropping the bombs, they will say the fatalities are 'unavoidable collateral damage'

They don't care!

Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 01:19

JassyRadlett · 05/01/2023 01:16

Why is that relevant to the question I asked?

Does it change the fact that he thinks a negotiated settlement would be a bad outcome for the West?

where did he say it is the worse case outcome for the west? I think he is saying a compromise is better because it allows putin to save face.

i am not familiar with his position on ukraine , but his analysis of changing world order is spot on

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Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 01:17

Kokeshi123 · 05/01/2023 01:15

The world is at war whether we want to be involved or not, and refusing to support Ukraine would earn us the contempt of our allies, who are doing their part right now, especially the States.

The Ukraine war will not go on forever; some sort of settlement will eventually be reached, but Putin needs to be forced to feel some serious pain, otherwise he and his successors (not to mention China) will be enboldened to do even worse things in the future. It's a choice of, do we want to eat a shit sandwich now, or an even bigger shit sandwich five or ten years from now?

Much of the pain is coming from the energy transition, but this energy transition is something that needs to happen anyway, and speeding up the transition is akin to ripping the bandaid - painful but necessary and unavoidable.

I wish the US would feel the energy price pain the same way we do - or foot the £500b bill that Europe is paying for. I'd feel a lot less aggrieved then.

instead this www.ft.com/content/0a78d7e8-c148-41a2-ba9e-6fedd89d2e04

OP posts:
JassyRadlett · 05/01/2023 01:16

Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 01:13

Ray Dalio is the same guy who founded the largest and most successful hedge fund in the world called Bridgewater Associates

Also he is American btw. Not a russian bot.

Why is that relevant to the question I asked?

Does it change the fact that he thinks a negotiated settlement would be a bad outcome for the West?

ZiriForEver · 05/01/2023 01:16

Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 00:40

money is fungible. a £150b subsidy due to increased energy prices is a real cost for the UK. I am asking whether it is a good use of UK taxpayer money in the situation which we find ourselves in.

150b is not pittance and is a direct result of the energy prices going through the roof due to this war. this is 150b less available for domestic productive spending on services including NHS

Imagine the UK would cease all support for Ukraine at this moment. Why do you think it would influence the energy prices in the UK ?
UK's support for Ukraine is significant, but they won't stop defending themselves if you stop supporting them.

Kokeshi123 · 05/01/2023 01:15

The world is at war whether we want to be involved or not, and refusing to support Ukraine would earn us the contempt of our allies, who are doing their part right now, especially the States.

The Ukraine war will not go on forever; some sort of settlement will eventually be reached, but Putin needs to be forced to feel some serious pain, otherwise he and his successors (not to mention China) will be enboldened to do even worse things in the future. It's a choice of, do we want to eat a shit sandwich now, or an even bigger shit sandwich five or ten years from now?

Much of the pain is coming from the energy transition, but this energy transition is something that needs to happen anyway, and speeding up the transition is akin to ripping the bandaid - painful but necessary and unavoidable.

Saysomething1234 · 05/01/2023 01:13

JassyRadlett · 05/01/2023 01:11

Is that the Ray Dalio who said that a negotiated settlement with Russia with Putin controlling western Ukraine and managing to remain on the world stage would make Russia a 'lesser loser' in the war than the West and NATO?

Ray Dalio is the same guy who founded the largest and most successful hedge fund in the world called Bridgewater Associates

Also he is American btw. Not a russian bot.

OP posts: