Ellie school girl error there re God existing scenarios: In two out of the three choices God exists as well as not existing. Equal odds if you were employing simple probability, could you also do a Bayesian Probability Analysis?
No.
Exempting God from logic does not mean we should also exempt ourselves. That's your error.
We live in a universe where logic applies. You demonstrated that yourself by acknowledging that a paradox arose (there is no paradox if we exempt ourselves from logic along with God).
Whatever the logic or lack of that God himself is subject to - WE REMAIN subject to logic and must use it to determine his existence.
By exempting God, you have merely added another possibility to the question of his existence. Instead of simply exists/ does not exist you've added exists/doesn't at the same time.
We therefore use our logic to determine which is the most likely to be true.
Logically something cannot exist and not exist at the same time. This is impossible. So using our logic we have:
a) An existent God
b) A non-existent God
c) An impossible God.
Impossible = non-existent. Using logic on all three propositions, we have a greater probability of his non-existence.
No, I wouldn't try and use Bayes Theorem to determine the probability of God's existence. Bayes Theorem calculates probability based on evidence. So we have an immediate problem, don't we? What "evidence"?
And "evidence" put forward by Christians/theists for their God usually turns out not to be evidence at all. At best, it is highly contentious. Therefore, it is impossible to properly establish what is/isn't evidence in order to make BT work. You just end up with a biased number based entirely on whether the calculator thinks "nice things happening" equals one point for God. And so on.
Ellie it's why people use narrative (in the Bible) to inform about God. Since the narrative can show His hand in events, you see where He has been. Physically, as humans, we are tied up in the linearity of time, a spirit is not
I have read this three times and truly have no idea what you mean. What is a "spirit" - can you demonstrate that there's any such thing? What evidence do you have that the Bible is a reliable source of knowledge & that a universe creating entity had a hand in writing/inspiring it? It looks to me like that rather silly ramblings of very primitive people who thought that a bird crapping on someone's head was a portent of earth-shattering proportions.